[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204643404

BigJay2012 wrote:

Wow. It still has better reviews than House of Gucci and a higher audience score than Spencer. Wow!

It’s not that higher for you to brag about the difference.

HoG has a much better audience score though.

 

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204643387

M wrote:

BTR debuts with 62% audience score. Not sure if it’ll improve over time, but I wonder if the movie could be as divisive with audiences too. Kidman is so unlucky. Destroyer felt like her potential comeback. And she didn’t make it then and it seems that now BTR will have less success.

 

Wow. It’s hated by both audiences and critics.

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204642529

I feel like Gaga will be snubbed.

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204642071

estrelas wrote:

Literally only Clouds of Sils Maria had any type of Oscar buzz for her, she was the critics favourite, but IFC Films didn’t even bother to campaign the movie or send screeners to the Industry. You’re talking as if she was ever in big contention for any of those movies. She never stood a chance for any of them, and Still Alice was literally just a vehicle to get Moore her overdue Oscar.

It really pisses me off. That was supposed to be Rosamund Pike’s year, but they took the bait and gave Moore an Oscar for an extremely weak movie specifically filmed for her Oscar nomination. I hate it when they exploit illnesses/sensitive social issues just to get nods from the Academy. I appreciate movies with social commentary, but it doesn’t have to be obvious Oscar bait.

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204641387

I thought that the Variety piece was delusional for putting Gaga in the first spot, but then I realized that The Independent published a whole ass article about Penelopa Cruz deserving to win BA for a Spanish movie that absolutely no one cares about.

La Vie en rose performed well at the box office, and Marion Cotillard won at the BAFTA and the Golden Globes.

Cruz is not happening. You are delusional if you still have her in the top 5.

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204640435

touchofmyfeet wrote:

Gaga is the JLo of this season and I hate it.

Except that JLo’s movie was actually acclaimed.

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204640272

I don’t get why Jessica Chastain is getting all the hate. She’s clearly one of the most versatile actresses of her generation. She is infinitely more talented than people like Jennifer Lawrence who just play themselves all the time.

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204639829

Rodrigo_Moura wrote:

sorry but i think nicole is falling behind in the race

I don’t think so. BTR is at 69%.

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204639825

Guys, stop hyping up some irrelevant awards. I’m a Gaga stan, but you are doing the most. This is getting laughable.

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204639570

M wrote:

As usual people are doing the most. Mind you Rami Malek won the Oscar few years ago from a movie with a similar RT score to HoG and lower Metacritic score to HoG. Why? Because his film had massive commercial success and he was seen as the best thing in the movie. Not saying Gaga will win. I have Kristen as the frontrunner. But claiming that it’s impossible for her to win because of the RT score when she has the biggest movie in contention and a NYFCC win (a trifecta win) is far too premature. What’s gonna determine her odds now are not the RT score, but the precursors. Who they give the wins to…

This is the same argument that I keep hearing, but I don’t see how Gucci and Bohemian Rhapsody are comparable since the latter had grossed almost $1 billion (I am aware that it was before the pandemic, but the difference is still huge). HOG is clearly a box office hit, but it’s not that big. I feel like it’s neither critically acclaimed nor popular enough to get any recognition at the Oscars.

 

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204639378

Actormogul wrote:

Chastain, Kidman, and Stewart are also in mixed reviewed movies with raves. Gaga has raves, is the saving grace of the film, is a mega celebrity and in the most awaited and successful box office film in two years. I think we are forgetting the power of campaign and celebrity. The Oscar’s have had poor ratings in the past. They want mega celebrities like Gaga at the party.

This is such a flawed argument. If they wanted to nominate celebrities, they would have nominated Jennifer Lopez for Best Supporting Actress in 2020 🤣. They are not that desperate. This is not the VMAs 🤣

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204639345

Opium wrote:

The people that keeps clinging about HOG RT and MC, always forgets to mention the movie is the best adult drama box office of the last 2 years in a pandemic with countries in yet it has to premiere, Gaga can open a movie (reported by several articles), proving she can fill seats more than Will Smith and other veterans actors who underperforms with their movies, this alone puts the movie and Gaga in a better position than Chastain and Kidman. The movie is seen and known, which is difficult to get, not everybody has that. Reminder that ‘Bohemian Rhapsody’ was 10 points less than HOG and Malek didn’t get the raves Gaga got, or NYFCC, and the movie got in BP, not to mention the controversy with the director, it’s best actress Oscar, not who has the higher score on Metacritic award.

The point is that it’s statistically improbable for Gaga to score a nomination based on the past nominees in this category over the last 10 years.

There is a clear pattern with the Academy nominating actresses that starred in 80+ movies.

Gucci turning rotten will definitely hurt Gaga’s chances.

Box office is a non-factor when it comes to nominations. Black Swan and La La Land were the only box office hits with BA wins in the 2010s. These movies were also highly acclaimed and were nominated for Best Picture.

I don’t see Gucci scoring any major nominations apart from Gaga’s long-shot BA nod.

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204639117

asyrafgrande wrote:

since Gaga movie HOG are sitting at 60% on RT or probably goes rotten. when is the last time Best Actress winner come from rotten film?

Meryl Streep in “The Iron Lady” remains the only BA winner with a rotten movie this millennium.

Glenn Close’s “Albert Nobbs” was also nominated that year, but she didn’t win.

JLaw’s Joy has 60 on RT, but it’s still fresh. Let’s see if HOG will remain fresh.
It’s too statistically improbable for Gaga to get nominated this year (let alone win the top prize).

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204639097

It seems like Gaga is out. There is no way she’s going to be nominated with a rotten tomato. The only rotten movies that have been nominated in the BA actress category over the past 20 years had Glenn Close and Meryl Streep.

She might sneak in if the score remains above 60, but it’s teetering on the cusp of turning rotten now.

[Michaël Fisher Joined: Nov 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 90 View Predictions]

#1204637835

It’s actually funny how HOG has so far managed to cling onto that fresh tomato because I was almost certain that it would be rotten (personally, I didn’t like the movie at all and I only gave a positive score on IMDB because of Gaga and my bias).

Somehow she always stays there.

ASIB has also managed to cling onto its 90-point score despite the onslaught of reviews.