I have a really hard time seeing Carey Mulligan making it in. She reeks of being the “underrated actor” who gives an acclaimed performance in an “edgy” critics push that comes really close but doesn’t end up happening a la Ethan Hawke in First Reformed, Jake Gyllenhaal in Nightcrawler, etc.

SONG OF THE YEAR
1. Black Parade, Beyonce
2. Don’t Start Now, Dua Lipa
3. I Can’t Breathe, H.E.R
4. Cardigan, Taylor Swift
5. Circles, Post Malone
6. Everything I Wanted, Billie Elish
7. If the World was Ending, Julia Michaels
8. The Box, Roddy Ricch

And unlike Carol, McDormand’s film is a top tier BP contender. I would actually liken McDormand in Nomadland to Leonardo DiCaprio in Once Upon A Time in Hollywood or Daniel Day-Lewis in Phantom Thread. All are strong lead performances by Academy favorites in BP contenders which are locks for nominations all season but aren’t in the winning…[Read more]

I am very confident in Helena Zengel and News of the World in general but it seems like many others aren’t. Genuinely wondering: why are people so skeptical about the film’s chances?

It really depends on if The Prom has legs to be a contender outside of the Globes. For example, in 2010, Meryl was nominated for both Julie & Julia and Hope Springs in GG Comedy Actress, but was nominated everywhere else for Julie & Julia. If The Prom is just a Globes contender, then an Oscar nom for Let Them All Talk is more assured.

I slotted in Meryl Streep for Let Them All Talk. Switching to campaigning as a film shows me HBO has confidence in the movie. Also I wanted to get 100/1 odds

I loved a while ago when Abby Elliott did her Zooey Deschanel sketch with Zoey Deschanel as Mary-Kate Olsen

1. Amanda Seyfried, Mank
2. Olivia Colman, The Father
3. Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman
4. Candice Bergen, Let Them All Talk
5. Helena Zengel, News of the World

6. Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian
7. Dominique Fishback, Judas and the Black Messiah
8. Natasha Lyonne, The United States vs. Billie Holliday
9. Dianne Wiest, Let Them All Talk
10. Glenn…[Read more]

I hope Chloe Fineman breaks out her Timothee Chalamet impression!

For what? Let Them All Talk? I thought that was TV

Maybe I’m wrong, but I think a Kirby win is much more feasible than people are letting on. Pieces of a Woman might not get into Picture but if Burstyn gets in, too, that’s enough movie support for it to happen imo. Plenty of movies are just acting plays, that’s nothing new. I’m still predicting Davis but a Kirby win is certainly not impossible.

I haven’t seen the movie so I can’t comment on Close’s performance. I also am not trying to shame anyone for their prediction, I’m sorry if that is how my comment came across. I am more just pointing out that talk surrounding Hillbilly Elegy is noticeably different than that of contenders in past years with similar (or better) receptions that have…[Read more]

I just find it weird that people are hanging onto Hillbilly Elegy. There are always Oscar-bait contenders that are predicted at the beginning of the year but aren’t well received enough to become contenders. So why is it different with Elegy? Because of Close’s narrative? Because of how controversial it is? Netflix has so many contenders to jug…[Read more]

Why are people doubting Kirby getting nominated?

I can’t predict someone sight unseen? It’s a prediction, it might end up being wrong, but I’m not going to wait until every contender has been seen to start predicting.

Don’t really get this comparison, as Stan and Ollie was one of the last things to come out. If anything, Ammonite reminds me more of First Man, Boy Erased, and 20th Century Women.

Supernova might not take off because of its distributor. It could stay under the radar this awards season

Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Frances McDormand, Nomadland
Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holliday
Zendaya, Malcolm & Marie

Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Meryl Streep, The Prom
Kate Winslet, Ammonite
Sophia Loren, The Life Ahead

A couple things:

I go back and forth with Sophia Loren.…[Read more]

I actually think Melissa McCarthy is an inspired choice but this list is pretty wack. I think they were purposefully looking for out of the box choices, but in doing so, they omitted several mainstream “Oscar-caliber” actors (DiCaprio, Blanchett, Winslet, Portman, Streep, Adams, etc.) who deserve to be on the list.

Actors who could start 2 decade streaks this year

(* = Top 10 on GD)

Felicity Jones, The Midnight Sky
Lesley Manville, Ordinary Love
Rosamund Pike, Radioactive
*Anthony Hopkins, The Father
*Gary Oldman, Mank
*Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Dev Patel, Personal History of David Copperfield
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Courier
*Olivia…[Read more]