Forum Replies Created
February 24, 2021 at 12:03 pm #1204059251
I think Colman is the only nomination lock. Youn missed AACTA even though Minari made it into Picture. It’s probably safe to say that AACTA has a race problem, but still, an unusual snub for such an acclaimed performance.February 24, 2021 at 10:40 am #1204058983
If Close loses the Golden Globe, is it possible she doesn’t get nominated at all? Oscar nomination voting won’t start until a week after the Golden Globes. If it doesn’t look like she will win, would voters feel inclined to include her on their ballots? She only got nominated for The Wife because she was expected to win (not to discredit for her performance but the film was a non factor everywhere else).February 23, 2021 at 8:15 pm #1204057927
Am I the only who really liked SBC in Trial of the Chicago 7? I loved him in Borat too so if he walked away from this year with an Oscar, I wouldn’t mind. My personal pick is Odom Jr. so I already know my fave isn’t winning either way lolFebruary 23, 2021 at 8:13 pm #1204057923
So you are going off 1 precursor? He needs to make the BAFTA final to even have a chance.
No I’m not, but you said he had no chance, so I’m pointing out that he’s already made 1/2 industry precursors. I’m also predicting him to be a surprise nominee, regardless of if he makes BAFTA or not. Raci is unknown, Murray is in a film no one cares about, and Jared Leto is… well, let’s just hope that SAG was the last we see of him.February 23, 2021 at 5:59 pm #1204057758
He made it in at the AACTA Awards. He’s the perfect Best Picture coattail (previous nominee, no internal competition), and the last two slots in this category are pretty open.February 23, 2021 at 5:40 pm #1204057739
1. Daniel Kaluuya
2. Sacha Baron Cohen
3. Leslie Odom Jr.
4. Chadwick Boseman
5. David StrathairnFebruary 23, 2021 at 2:53 pm #1204057445
I think Margot Robbie is going to win Best Actress. She’s at the perfect point in her career to win and DOR has directed 3 Oscar winning performances.February 23, 2021 at 2:44 pm #1204057413
I don’t really follow TV races that much so these are probably going to be wrong but I thought I’d be bold
Best Drama Series: The Crown (Netflix)
Best Actor (Drama): Jason Bateman, Ozark (Netflix)
Best Actress (Drama): Sarah Paulson, Ratched (Netflix)
Best Comedy Series: Ted Lasso (Apple TV+)
Best Actor (Comedy): Jason Sudeikis, Ted Lasso (Apple TV+)
Best Actress (Comedy): Kaley Cuoco, The Flight Attendant (HBO Max)
Best Limited Series: The Queen’s Gambit (Netflix)
Best Actor (Limited): Hugh Grant, The Undoing (HBO)
Best Actress (Limited): Anya Taylor-Joy, The Queen’s Gambit (Netflix)
Best Supporting Actor: Dan Levy, Schitt’s Creek (Pop TV)
Best Supporting Actress: Gillian Anderson, The Crown (Netflix)February 23, 2021 at 2:32 pm #1204057387
Also I think the better than expected reviews for Billie Holiday is cementing Andra Day as the frontrunner for slot #5. She has a really good narrative. I was worried that she wouldn’t be able to get enough press for her narrative to take off but sis is campaigning her ass off.
I know people are worried about the BAFTA long list snub, but we should consider that the BAFTA long list came out on February 4th and Oscar nomination voting doesn’t start until March 5th. That means that AMPAS will start voting after Billie Holiday has come out and after Andra has done all her press rounds. The race will look a lot different than how it did when BAFTA was voting.February 23, 2021 at 2:25 pm #1204057382
Streep in “It’s Not About Me” remains better than anything the rest of the field has produced this year in my opinion. Just goes ignored because it’s comedy. None of the other actors here could have done what she did with that.
Yes! I know people like to shit on Meryl Streep here just because she gets nominated so consistently but she is always delivering. I remember when people here were saying she was nothing special in Big Little Lies, or that she was phoning it in in Florence Foster Jenkins. She’s always fantastic. She would make my lineup for The Prom 100%.February 22, 2021 at 12:09 pm #1204054869
That reminds me of this cover from 2008
February 22, 2021 at 12:02 pm #1204054852
This isn’t a knock against Viola but I don’t think anyone should play Michelle Obama in her first lady years. It’s a really steep obstacle to be playing someone currently in the public eye, and both women have such recognizable mannerisms. Will she be able to truly disappear in the character? I think it’s a tall order for any actress. I personally think they should wait until Michelle Obama is significantly older (or dead) before they have anybody portray her in her first lady years.February 21, 2021 at 9:04 am #1204052877
Yeah but the HFPA sometimes go out of their way to stop people getting double nominations in acting.
None of your examples really prove that this is true.
1) Leslie Odom Jr.’s snub in favor of Lin Manuel-Miranda is understandable given that LMM is the face of Hamilton and literally wrote it. Yes, Leslie Odom Jr.’s performance is more acclaimed but that’s never stopped the Globes.
2) SAG also snubbed 5-time SAG Viola Davis for HTGAWM‘s third season, and they certainly don’t fear double nominations.
3) Scarlett Johansson’s double nomination train hadn’t really started by that point, and Jojo Rabbit wasn’t the big player that it would become (it missed Screenplay). ScarJo herself was double nominated in 2004.
So if they didn’t love Colman then why did they nominate her for The Crown this year when they not only so rarely double nominate performers but also when they so rarely nominate two leads in the television drama or comedy categories.
If anyone was going to be snubbed, it would have been Corrin, right? Colman won the year before and is playing the titular role (and a double Golden Globe-winning role, at that). Yes, Sandra Oh was dropped for Jodie Comer after her win but that was after Jodie Comer won her Emmy. But I really don’t see Corrin and Colman’s nominations as indicative of support for Colman given how ridiculously barren the TV field is and how much of a juggernaut The Crown is.
Also Sacha Baron Cohen is definitely loved by the HFPA. If he wan’t then why did he get nominated (over the incumbent Emmy winner) for an Israeli spy thriller no one watched. Or for Who is America when he failed to get in anywhere else?
This is something I’m not denying. As I said, blatant namechecks can be indicative of favoritism (or just good campaigning).