[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204782586

Wait, Kevin O’Connell did sound for Spider-Man: No Way Home?!?

Yeah, that’s partly why I’ve got Spider-Man getting a nom.

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[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204771783

Cinematography seems really tricky to predict now…

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Dune
Nightmare Alley
The Power of the Dog
The Tragedy of Macbeth
West Side Story
(Alt. Belfast)

FILM EDITING
Belfast
Dune
Licorice Pizza
The Power of the Dog
West Side Story
(Alt. Don’t Look Up)

PRODUCTION DESIGN
Dune
The French Dispatch
Nightmare Alley
The Tragedy of Macbeth
West Side Story

COSTUME DESIGN
Cruella
Cyrano
Dune
House of Gucci
West Side Story
(Alt. Licorice Pizza or Spencer)

MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Cruella
Dune
The Eyes of Tammy Faye
House of Gucci
The Suicide Squad
(Alt. Coming 2 America or Cyrano)

SOUND
Dune
No Time to Die
A Quiet Place Part II
Spider-Man: No Way Home
West Side Story
(Alt. The Power of the Dog or Belfast)

VISUAL EFFECTS
Dune
Ghostbusters: Afterlife
The Matrix Resurrections
No Time to Die
Spider-Man: No Way Home
(Alt. Shang-Chi, Godzilla vs. Kong, or Free Guy)

ORIGINAL SCORE
Don’t Look Up
Dune
Encanto
The French Dispatch
The Power of the Dog
(Alt. Parallel Mothers or Being the Ricardos)

ORIGINAL SONG
“Be Alive” – King Richard
“Dos Oruguitas” – Encanto
“Just Look Up” – Don’t Look Up
“No Time to Die” – No Time to Die
“Somehow You Do” – Four Good Days
(Alt. “Down to Joy” from Belfast)

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[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204732960

Aye does anyone else have a gut feeling that Spider-Man could miss out on a VFX nod or is it just me lol? Like I am imagining a scenario where it misses VES tomorrow and then gets snubbed at the Oscar bake-off. 💀

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[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204703805

Shit these are hilarious. Can’t wait till you do Spider-Man lmfao

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[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204703784

More and more confident in Encanto getting into Score now.

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[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204693924

OscarWatcher1971 wrote:

Oh dear. Spider-Man popping up. It’s getting PGA isn’t it? Watch it knock something more deserving like TLD out of the BP line up.

It likely hits PGA. Still probably won’t get in Picture. Won’t lie, I would honestly rather see it in over Don’t Look Up.

[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204693916

FreemanGriffin wrote:

Encanto is in my top ten films of the year and I would LOVE it if it were to make it in to the BP lineup! (I am not a huge animated film fan so when I really love an animated film it’s a big surprise for me). It is unfortunately very unlikely though. I think it will get three Oscar nominations: Animated Film, Original Score, and Original Song.

Would so love to see Encanto get lots of love on nominations day. We’ll likely just have to settle for those three. Won’t lie tho, wish they had submitted “We Don’t Talk About Bruno” for Song lol.

[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204684691

Cinematography
Belfast
Dune
The Power of the Dog
The Tragedy of Macbeth
West Side Story

Alt: Nightmare Alley

Film Editing
Belfast
Dune
Licorice Pizza
Tick, tick… Boom!
West Side Story

Alt: The Power of the Dog

Costume Design
Cruella
Cyrano
Dune
House of Gucci
Spencer

Alt: West Side Story

Production Design
Dune
The French Dispatch
Nightmare Alley
The Tragedy of Macbeth
West Side Story

Alt: Belfast

Makeup & Hairstyling
Cruella
Dune
House of Gucci
The Suicide Squad
The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Alt: Nightmare Alley

Sound
Belfast
Dune
No Time to Die
A Quiet Place Part II
West Side Story

Alt: Spider-Man: No Way Home

Visual Effects
Dune
Godzilla vs Kong
No Time to Die
The Matrix Resurrections
Spider-Man: No Way Home

Alt: Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings

Score
Don’t Look Up
Dune
The French Dispatch
The Power of the Dog
Spencer

Alt: Parallel Mothers or Encanto

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[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204677692

Honestly if Spider-Man gets a Picture nom I am staying the fuck off social media lol. The discourse would be more toxic and intense than all the conversations about MCU and cinema that came before. Film Twitter would absolutely collapse.

[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204672321

Predix for Sound and VFX:

SOUND
1. Dune
2. No Time to Die
3. West Side Story
4. Belfast
5. A Quiet Place: Part II
–
6. The Matrix Resurrections
7. Spider-Man: No Way Home
8. Tick, tick… boom!
9. The Power of the Dog
10. Last Night in Soho

VISUAL EFFECTS
1. Dune
2. The Matrix Resurrections
3. Godzilla vs Kong
4. Spider-Man: No Way Home
5. No Time to Die
–
6. Free Guy
7. Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
8. Eternals
9. Ghostbusters: Afterlife
10. Black Widow

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[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204671476

They’re dirty for snubbing Suicide Squad and Finch yet replacing them with Black Widow and Shang-Chi in VFX. Just unhinged energy.

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[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204581017

For anyone who knows, is this film a VFX player or not lol?

[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204576529

LLLhawks wrote:

4. Please please please please at least one nomination somewhere for The Green Knight. Beautiful film.

I would think that Green Knight’s best chance for recognition could be Makeup. I’d love for it to get a ton of nods but that seems it’s most realistic bet. I think Costume and VFX are more outside shots tho.

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[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204559992

Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe wrote:

I don’t disagree about Black Panther, I knew that, but still, it was assumed to be getting nominated. And as I said, the “major” MCU movies are what are important. Almost all Marvel movies to be nominated were Iron Mans, Avengers, and GotGs. The first is what kickstarted the entire universe, the second combines the entire universe, and the third is basically “Star Wars” Marvel. The only other two to get in were Doctor Strange (undeniably more visually stunning than other standalones) and CA: TWS. The latter I think is just an exception. It was a pretty weak year, and it had good effects, so it was nominated. But every single other one was “major”. So Eternals being an epic is in. But Shang-Chi and Spider-Man are “basic” Marvel so they won’t. That’s my rationale.

Yeah, I get that point lol.

So in line with that rationale, Spider-Man seems like a “major” one as well to me, what with the reuniting of old Spider-Man characters, the inclusion of Dr Strange (and thus probably a LOT of effects, particularly those trippy visuals associated with the character), so it probably has showier effects than the last two Spider-Man movies, so that’s why I think it’s a stronger contender lol, it’s all about what impresses at the bake-off.

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[MKnight98 Joined: Aug 14th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 26 View Predictions]

#1204559914

Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe wrote:

Lol this is basically exactly what I said:

“Well… imma let ya know a little secret. They HATE marvel lol. It WILL NOT get three movies in VFX mark my words. Even two is too much. Black Panther couldnt even get in and it was a frontrunner and a BP nominee. Dune is safe safe safe locked locked locked. Matrix Resurrections seems pretty safe as well. Eternals I think is in because it’s a “major” MCU movie (like avengers). Godzilla vs. Kong also seems in given Kong: Skull Island made it. Last slot I’m giving to Free Guy. I’ve seen it, and its vfx are great. Reminiscent of Ready Player One (yes, not as good, but still good).”

Eh well, assuming Spider-Man won’t get nominated simply because it’s Marvel isn’t rlly true lmao. The Academy at large is normally pretty averse to Marvel yeah. The VFX branch itself, tho, hasn’t necessarily demonstrated that it hates Marvel. Since 2012’s The Avengers, every year has seen at least one MCU entry get nominated, except for last year (no release) or 2015 when there were a slew of prestige players (also, Star Wars lmao). Even so, 2017 at least demonstrated that it’s possible for Marvel to beat two prestige films when Guardians of the Galaxy 2 beat Dunkirk and Shape of Water.

Basically I’m saying that it comes down to the bake-off and what leaves the best impression on voters. Three Marvel nominations is unlikely this year, I agree, but I mean, there’s been two in one year before (2014) so it’s possible both Spider-Man and Eternals will be nominated.

Also, Black Panther didn’t get nominated because there were criticisms about the CGI lol. Had the effects been actually good I’m very sure it would have been nominated alongside Infinity War. Black Panther had a lot of good will that year so it probably would have won lmfao.

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