He literally gets beat up by a group of black kids and chastised by a black woman on the bus in the first five minutes of the film. This movie does not necessarily have a race problem, but it does not try to posture that “only black people” treat him with kindness.

FINAL PREDICTIONS:
Laura Dern for “Marriage Story”
Jennifer Lopez for “Hustlers”
Florence Pugh for “Little Women”
Margot Robbie for “Bombshell”
Zhao Shuzhen for “The Farewell”

I have 100/1 odds on Pugh, Robbie and Shuzhen so I’m probably just being stubborn because I want to keep my good odds on them. Robbie and – to a lesser extent – Pugh are in…[Read more]

FINAL PREDICTIONS:
Scarlett Johansson for “Marriage Story”
Lupita Nyong’o for “Us”
Saoirse Ronan for “Little Women”
Charlize Theron for “Bombshell”
Renee Zellweger for “Judy”

I ended up sticking with Nyong’o over Awkwafina and Cynthia Erivo. If the voting window had ended a week later, I’d be more inclined to vote for Awkwafina, but I think the…[Read more]

FINAL PREDICTIONS:
Song Kang Ho for “Parasite”
Anthony Hopkins for “The Two Popes”
Al Pacino for “The Irishman”
Joe Pesci for “The Irishman”
Brad Pitt for “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”

I’m predicting the Kang Ho nomination as many others seem to be now, and maybe that is out of desperation for breaking up the consensus five that formed over the…[Read more]

FINAL PREDICTIONS:
Antonio Banderas for “Pain & Glory”
Leonardo DiCaprio for “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
Adam Driver for “Marriage Story”
Taron Egerton for “Rocketman”
Joaquin Phoenix for “Joker”

I think we could very likely see a surprise nominee here and there are certainly many options as for who it could be. In this order, I could see:…[Read more]

This is a dumpster fire of an awards show, but I ended up hate-watching last year. Might do the same this year if I can find literally nothing better to do with my time. Otherwise, I’ll check Twitter in case, by some act of God, the “critics” go their own way.

You could make a strong argument for “Knives Out” and “The Farewell” on any given day, which is why I have them as my #9 and #10, but I flip flop on who is likelier to make it. “Knives Out” is a crowdpleasing box office hit that struck at the right time and is really well-liked (at the very least) by everyone. “The Farewell” is a small, quiet…[Read more]

I just watched the whole season over the past four days, and while my feelings about the show as a whole are sort of all over the place considering how different a program it is from episode 1 to episode 10, the one thing I am certain of is that this is a stellar, astonishing performance from Jennifer Aniston. If the show around her was on her…[Read more]

Where is Olivia Wilde?

Taika over Todd Phillips…we love to see it.

I finally saw this earlier this week, and it is absolutely wonderful. “Lady Bird” is my favorite film of the 2010s, and now with this, Greta Gerwig has a lifelong pass in my book. This film grows upon the directorial promise shown in “Lady Bird” and improves in almost every single aspect. With a full budget and a sweeping story, Gerwig shows she…[Read more]

I saw this last night and was absolutely gobsmacked. This is a fantastic piece of filmmaking, one of the greatest technical achievements I’ve ever seen, and perhaps the best war film I’ve ever watched (not saying much on the latter as this isn’t a genre I particularly follow closely). Sam Mendes is really going balls to the wall with this one and…[Read more]

The decision to bring back Palpatine and introduce the concluding conflict of the entire “Star Wars” saga…in the first two sentences of the scrawl of the final film…and make the Big Bad of the 2010s trilogy a character who was never even mentioned in the first two films of said trilogy…

…thanks, I hate it.

Adam Driver is such a great…[Read more]

If Eddie Murphy doesn’t win an Emmy for this, I will be absolutely bamboozled. Best episode in a long time. I even said out loud “This is how it should be every week.” Alas, at least we have this one.

I have no clue what her being in the upcoming Barbie movie (being co-written by two likely Oscar nominees this year) has anything to do with this, but okay. And there hasn’t been a lawyer character that has won this category since Tilda Swinton, which makes me believe you only included that as “proof” that Laura Dern is winning.

I don’t argue…[Read more]

Having now seen “Bombshell,” I really wouldn’t be surprised if Margot Robbie takes SAG and becomes a big threat for the Oscar. First of all, she has the performance to back up a win. It’s a heartbreaking performance and she just really nails every moment she’s given. Beyond that, if SAG really loves “Bombshell” as evidenced by its overperformance…[Read more]

Literally nothing you said negated my belief that this conversation can be moved to the Supporting Actress thread. Also your belief that Dern is “getting away” with winning awards for an “average performance” is opinion, not fact, and opening a thread based on your opinion (though it may be shared with others) takes up unnecessary room on these…[Read more]

I need to echo other people’s complaints about this thread’s existence. The moderators have done a good job in the past of corralling threads like this to move into either the film’s thread or the category’s discussion post, but this is the exact type of unnecessary thread I thought was supposed to be filtered out. Beyond that, this thread brings…[Read more]

The point of these forums is to have discourse about awards, and that necessitates disagreement. Do you want everyone to just not post about their negative feelings toward the nominations? That makes no sense. I understand being offended when people get really nasty and over-the-top critical, but no nominations lineup is going to make everyone…[Read more]

I’m glad I didn’t have time to update my predictions yesterday and my “Jojo Rabbit” and “Parasite“ predictions were locked in and came true. Massive boost for the latter and proves “Jojo“ is at least in the conversation and solid for a Picture nomination. Supporting Actress is sort of falling apart. At this point, either one of Pugh or Shuzhen…[Read more]

I’m sad I took “The Farewell” out of my predictions last month and am only now putting it back in. I succumbed to the buzz for movies that haven’t lived up to it so far like “Bombshell” and “The Two Popes.” I still suspect one of those two could make the Oscar lineup, but I’m less confident in both, and it is more likely that “The Farewell” makes…[Read more]