Forum Replies Created
April 5, 2020 at 2:53 am #1203410639
I still don’t think McTeer would steal so many votes away from Garner. Do you watch Ozark? Garner still plays the flashier and more sympathetic role. But otherwise I totally agree.
The few people I’ve talked to who have watched the current season prefer McTeer. The buzz for her performance seems stronger than Garner or at least on par with her. Theoretically, if Garner is strong enough to win again, then the show should be strong enough to get McTeer nominated as well and this scenario doesn’t bode well for the former’s chances to repeat when the competition is already formidable.April 2, 2020 at 7:54 am #1203406204
First Look at Hollywood:March 31, 2020 at 1:04 pm #1203403357
Thrones also blocked Ozark from a DGA nomination in 2017, couple that with its triple nominations and casting win, I assume that the former overall had more support/votes than Ozark in the end.
Outstanding Directing for a Drama Series:
The Handmaid’s Tale
WestworldMarch 30, 2020 at 8:11 am #1203400927
The Crown won ensemble and Colman would have probably won as well if HBC wasn’t nominated. No show has won at SAG when it is the only one vote-splitting in a category. A really great stat by Riley that helped me correctly predict Aniston.March 29, 2020 at 2:44 pm #1203399785
Succession ain’t getting 3 acting noms.
The last two Lead Actor Drama winners were not nominated by SAG ever so I don’t know why people act like at least Cox can’t get nominated without a corresponding SAG nom. Cherry Jones is a well known Emmy quantity and is probably getting nominated as well. Remember The Americans? That show got two lead nominations and one guest nomination (similar to what I’m predicting for Succession) for its 4th and 5th seasons with zero SAG noms. 3 acting noms are absolutely within the realm of possibility for Succession.March 29, 2020 at 2:29 pm #1203399757
Nomination scenario for Succession:
Drama Series, Writing, Directing, Casting, Sound Mixing – Locked
Music Composition, Actor (Cox), Guest Actress – Very likely
Actor (Strong), Supporting Actor, Editing – Could happen
Contemporary Costumes, Production Design, Lead Actress – Long shots
I think Succession will land around 10-11 nominations and that is good enough for it to win. I mean Fleabag also had 11 nominations which was almost half that of Maisel. Barry and Russian Doll also had more nominations.March 29, 2020 at 1:14 pm #1203399654
The Outsider and Watchmen weren’t hits nor being in their third or second seasons, so I don’t get the comparison anyway. A better comparison would be Big Little Lies s2 and it got stronger ratings, digital included than Westworld (2.8m for episode 5, the latest episode I could find data for) while Westworld first 2 seasons were bigger than it.
The Outsider was definitely a big hit. It was HBO’s second most watched show of the season. Watchmen also had pretty strong numbers.
Westworld is still one of HBO’s most watched shows. It doesn’t need to be the most watched one. Silicon Valley also averaged similar numbers for its third season as Westworld’s second one and had a similar drop in ratings in its 4th season as Westworld’s third season. All this didn’t affect its nomination haul in the end. Westworld’s current ratings are certainly not a death knell for the show’s chances.
Improving your viewership or even maintaining it is pretty rare. Something like Game of Thrones is an anomaly, it shouldn’t be treated as the norm.March 27, 2020 at 5:51 am #1203396640
The Undoing pushed to fall is more than likely a TV business decision rather than an awards one. Due to coronavirus impacting productions, they won’t have their fall shows (Euphoria) ready and they now need something to fill in the slots. I don’t think it’s related to awards at all.
I’m not talking solely about award chances but it would be foolish to think that such things don’t factor in scheduling.March 27, 2020 at 2:31 am #1203396539
The Undoing was supposed to be their prime Limited contender and I think Watchmen turning out to be unexpectedly strong with the industry also had some impact on their decision to shift the former to fall. Watchmen will be their sole biggest priority now.March 26, 2020 at 5:14 pm #1203396010
Does anyone think Linney can win? The two frontrunners are pretty disappointing.March 26, 2020 at 4:17 pm #1203395965
I don’t think Metacritic is such a factor in this case (or at any case for that matter, but that’s a discussion for another place).
I don’t think we would be having this conversation of Ozark possibly winning series if it was in the 60s on Metacritic.March 26, 2020 at 3:42 pm #1203395894
Westworld S3 fell almost 10 points on Metacritic since the first reviews came. Let’s wait till Ozark’s score settles before anointing it as anything.