I wouldn’t call these the best comparisons. Jojo Rabbit is a film about Nazi Germany and Vice a film about a questionable politician and the Academy hardly passes on these type of films. Not only that, but on the opposite side they tend to reject dramas about about lawyers trying to get people out of prison.

This has been the only interesting thing in this whole thread.

The frontrunners in this race are nowhere near as competitive as the ones in the best actor category which is not being discussed as much. There’s a lot of comments saying the exact same thing here at this point, like a dog chasing its own tail. And considering how early it is to…[Read more]

First of all, I want to say that I’ve became so old that I remember this as if it happened yesterday. Let me tell you then:
I recall Mulligan being the potential critics’ pick that year, even before race started. And she, indeed, became it. Then Streep started to gain more traction and collected some of the big ones and that’s when Bullock came…[Read more]

I’ve just watched Soul and it’s definitely deserving of a Best Picture nom. Can it get it? The road might not be easy but I think it’s possible, even if it’s not as universally approved as Inside Out. Passion can lead to it, which outside of campaign is what it takes to get there.

Not my cup of tea:
06. Marion Cotillard (Two Days, One Night) / Roberto Benigni (Life is Beautiful)

OK:
05. Javier Bardem (Before Night Falls)

Great:
04. Marina De Tavira (Roma) / Benicio Del Toro (Traffic)

Excelent:
03. Javier Bardem (Biutiful) / Yalitza Aparicio (Roma) / Rinko Kikuchi (Babel) / Catalina Sandino Moreno (Maria Full of…[Read more]

For the emotional rollercoaster that Terms of Endearment was, I’d give it to Debra Winger. However, if I have to vote with mind instead of heart I’d go with Meryl. There are a lot of people who think this might be her best performance ever. It’s definitely top 3 for me, or at least top 5. And it’s one of those weird instances of her being the best…[Read more]

Do you recall the enormous bore that Good Night, and Good Luck was? That film got nominated everywhere and the only special thing about it was that it was in black and white, just like this film. White people only need to be half mediocre to get recognition.

Baffled to no end that Philip Seymour Hoffman won for Capote when he had excelent performances in:

Boogie Nights
Happiness
Flawless
Magnolia
Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead
The Savages
Charlie Wilson’s War
Synecdoche, New York
Doubt
The Master
A Most Wanted Man

Look, I hate to be that person, but there’s already a The Prom thread to discuss it, people.

As for Fincher: Mank is the kind of crap the Academy loves and the Globe might even give him the award for best director.

He better be happening at the Oscars for my own sanity.

Was Promising Young Woman moved to Drama so The United States vs. Billie Holiday can be submitted in the Comedy/Musical categories? Since Marion Cotillard got nominated for La Môme as lead actress in one of them, I can see the same thing happening once again. And that was the year the writers’ strike happened, this year we’ve got a pandemic (OK,…[Read more]

She’s going to be nominated anyway (it’s the only certain nomination this time of the race) and if they have to choose they’ll go with Let Them All Talk. And she had no problems getting in in supporting with something as Into The Woods, also being a musical adapted from stage, so it might be her first double nominated ceremony.

So if Pellman gets the nomination in leading then it’s possible Streep gets nominated in supporting, right? It wouldn’t be the first time there’s category fraud, let’s be honest. Also this may sound weird, but here me out:
I see Streep getting in at the Oscars as a certainty at this point (I’m tired of people even questioning this since we’…[Read more]

You’re right, but for being Regina King’s director debut she excelled. Plus, the two main industries, Emmys and Oscars have embraced her (as an actress, though). It’s also true that it could go any direction but at least she’s got the reviewers’ support and most actors turned directors have a great record at the Academy getting nominatio…[Read more]

I have no idea about the stage production but with huge musical ensemble casts they tend to submit (at least at the Globes) most of their performers in supporting (also, doesn’t this film has like at least 5 leading characters?). Plus, considering the changes in submission for some films, she might start to clear a path to get her first double…[Read more]

I just went to see the Rotten Tomatoes and Metacritic’s scores for One Night in Miami and I did not expect that. Kingsley Ben-Adir might get in.

What if Steven Yeun gets submitted here? Right at the beggining when the trailer came out it felt like it was a supporting performance and sometimes the Academy sticks by the very first impression. Plus, leading actor is too crowded while it’s still October December and so far, this category can barely get contenders.

I picture Gary Oldman nominated before Amanda Seyfried, and I feel his chances are going way down, though it’s the type of film the Academy loves (it could be ignored in televised precursors but appear on Oscar noms).
I feel both Streep and Loren being submitted by Netflix here.
I don’t see Maria Bakalova nominated. I feel she can win the Globe,…[Read more]

You can not be serious saying this while having a Phantom Thread icon.

People, pay attention to this user, because he definitely thinks like most voters and his white mediocre taste can lead us to better predictions.

I agree. Also, the Golden Globes are much more racist than the Oscars, though no more than the BAFTAs.