[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1203078653

I am very happy about all of the wins for The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, even though I was really hoping for justice for Peter MacNicol, and hope it does well next Sunday too. Chernobyl really dominated over When They See Us and Fosse/Verdon, but it is more of a visual piece, so I guess it shouldn’t be that surprising. And I can’t believe that the orphaned Handmaid’s Tale episodes managed to get both guest acting Emmys.

[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1203075401

I am so happy for Rachel Bloom finally winning an Emmy! And the Live In Front Of A Studio Audience win was so well deserved. Otherwise, Free Solo’s sweep and so many repeat winners dragged down tonight’s ceremony for me, so I’m hoping for more surprises in the next two!

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[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1203068533

I might have missed something, but where did “Where’d You Go, Bernadette” go? It’s not in the predictions center at all anymore. I know it received mixed reviews, but I still think it may have a chance somewhere.

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[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1203048262

Labor Day weekend predictions:

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series

MAHERSHALA ALI / Wayne Hays – “TRUE DETECTIVE” (HBO)
RUSSELL CROWE / Roger Ailes – “THE LOUDEST VOICE” (Showtime)
JARED HARRIS / Valery Legasov – “CHERNOBYL” (HBO)
IAN MCSHANE / Al Swearengen – “DEADWOOD” (HBO)
SAM ROCKWELL / Bob Fosse – “FOSSE/VERDON” (FX)
6th nominee: STELLAN SKARSGÅRD / Boris Shcherbina – “CHERNOBYL” (HBO)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series

PATRICIA ARQUETTE / Dee Dee Blanchard – “THE ACT” (Hulu)
JOEY KING / Gypsy Rose Blanchard – “THE ACT” (Hulu)
HELEN MIRREN / Catherine II – “CATHERINE THE GREAT” (HBO)
EMILY WATSON / Ulana Khomyuk – “CHERNOBYL” (HBO)
MICHELLE WILLIAMS / Gwen Verdon – “FOSSE/VERDON” (FX)
6th nominee: EMMA THOMPSON / Vivienne Rook – “YEARS AND YEARS” (HBO)

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series

STERLING K. BROWN / Randall Pearson – “THIS IS US” (NBC)
PETER DINKLAGE / Tyrion Lannister – “GAME OF THRONES” (HBO)
DAVID HARBOUR / Jim Hopper – “STRANGER THINGS” (Netflix)
JOHN KRASINSKI / Jack Ryan – “TOM CLANCY’S JACK RYAN” (Prime Video)
RAMI MALEK / Elliot Alderson – “MR. ROBOT” (USA Network)
6th nominee: JOSEPH FIENNES / Commander Waterford – “THE HANDMAID’S TALE” (Hulu)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series

OLIVIA COLMAN / Queen Elizabeth II – “THE CROWN” (Netflix)
LAURA DERN / Renata Klein – “BIG LITTLE LIES” (HBO)
NICOLE KIDMAN / Celeste Wright – “BIG LITTLE LIES” (HBO)
SANDRA OH / Eve Polastri – “KILLING EVE” (BBC America)
REESE WITHERSPOON / Madeline MacKenzie – “BIG LITTLE LIES” (HBO)
6th nominee: ELISABETH MOSS / Offred/June – “THE HANDMAID’S TALE” (Hulu)

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series

MICHAEL DOUGLAS / Sandy Kominsky – “THE KOMINSKY METHOD” (Netflix)
BILL HADER / Barry Berkman – “BARRY” (HBO)
MARC MARON / Sam Sylvia – “GLOW” (Netflix)
TONY SHALHOUB / Abe Weissman – “THE MARVELOUS MRS. MAISEL” (Prime Video)
HENRY WINKLER / Gene Cousineau – “BARRY” (HBO)
6th nominee: JIM PARSONS / Sheldon Cooper – “THE BIG BANG THEORY” (CBS)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series

ALISON BRIE / Ruth Wilder – “GLOW” (Netflix)
RACHEL BROSNAHAN / Miriam “Midge” Maisel – “THE MARVELOUS MRS. MAISEL” (Prime Video)
JANE FONDA / Grace Hanson – “GRACE AND FRANKIE” (Netflix)
JULIA LOUIS-DREYFUS / Selina Meyer – “VEEP” (HBO)
LILY TOMLIN / Frankie Bergstein – “GRACE AND FRANKIE” (Netflix)
6th nominee: UZO ADUBA / Suzanne “Crazy Eyes” Warren – “ORANGE IS THE NEW BLACK” (Netflix)

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series

BIG LITTLE LIES (HBO)
THE CROWN (Netflix)
GAME OF THRONES (HBO)
STRANGER THINGS (Netflix)
THIS IS US (NBC)
6th nominee: THE HANDMAID’S TALE (Hulu)

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series

BARRY (HBO)
GLOW (Netflix)
THE MARVELOUS MRS. MAISEL (Prime Video)
ORANGE IS THE NEW BLACK (Netflix)
VEEP (HBO)
6th nominee: ARRESTED DEVELOPMENT (Netflix)

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[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1203048258

Labor Day Weekend predictions:

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA

Big Little Lies (HBO)
The Crown (Netflix)
The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
Pose (FX)
Stranger Things (Netflix)
6th nominee: This Is Us (NBC)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA

Olivia Colman-The Crown (Netflix)
Nicole Kidman-Big Little Lies (HBO)
Elisabeth Moss-The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
Sandra Oh-Killing Eve (BBC America)
Reese Witherspoon-Big Little Lies (HBO)
6th nominee: Mandy Moore-This Is Us (NBC)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA

Kevin Bacon-City On A Hill (Showtime)
Sterling K. Brown-This Is Us (NBC)
Freddie Highmore-The Good Doctor (ABC)
Rami Malek-Mr. Robot (USA)
Billy Porter-Pose (FX)
6th nominee: Milo Ventimiglia-This Is Us (NBC)

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

Barry (HBO)
The Good Place (NBC)
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Prime Video)
The Politician (Netflix)
Russian Doll (Netflix)
6th nominee: Veep (HBO)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

Rachel Bloom-Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (CW)
Alison Brie-GLOW (Netflix)
Rachel Brosnahan-The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Prime Video)
Natasha Lyonne-Russian Doll (Netflix)
Gina Rodriguez-Jane The Virgin (CW)
6th nominee: Julia Louis-Dreyfus-Veep (HBO)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

Don Cheadle-Black Monday (Showtime)
Ted Danson-The Good Place (NBC)
Michael Douglas-The Kominsky Method (Netflix)
Bill Hader-Barry (HBO)
Ben Platt-The Politician (Netflix)
6th nominee: Jim Carrey-Kidding (Showtime)

BEST LIMITED SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Chernobyl (HBO)
Fosse/Verdon (FX)
His Dark Materials (HBO)
When They See Us (Netflix)
Years and Years (HBO)
6th nominee: The Spanish Princess (Starz)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Joey King-The Act (Hulu)
Helen Mirren-Catherine the Great (HBO)
Emma Thompson-Years and Years (HBO)
Michelle Williams-Fosse/Verdon (FX)
Renée Zellweger-What/If (Netflix)
6th nominee: Charlotte Hope-The Spanish Princess (Starz)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Mahershala Ali-True Detective (HBO)
Russell Crowe-The Loudest Voice (Showtime)
Jared Harris-Chernobyl (HBO)
Ian McShane-Deadwood (HBO)
Sam Rockwell-Fosse/Verdon (FX)
6th nominee: Jharrell Jerome-When They See Us (Netflix)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, LIMITED SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Laura Dern-Big Little Lies (HBO)
Zoë Kravitz-Big Little Lies (HBO)
Chrissy Metz-This Is Us (NBC)
Meryl Streep-Big Little Lies (HBO)
Shailene Woodley-Big Little Lies (HBO)
6th nominee: Uzo Aduba-Orange Is The New Black (Netflix)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, LIMITED SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Kieran Culkin-Succession (HBO)
David Harbour-Stranger Things (Netflix)
Stellan Skarsgård-Chernobyl (HBO)
Christian Slater-Mr. Robot (USA)
Henry Winkler-Barry (HBO)
6th nominee: Joseph Fiennes-The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)

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[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1203043272

Bingo. SFU only won 9 Emmys during its entire run: the 2 for Clarkson, 2 for Casting, 2 for Makeup, Main Title Design, Main Title Theme Music, and directing for the pilot. Clarkson is likely the only chance for Sharp Objects to win an Emmy, especially with the program having aired over a year ago now, and there doesn’t seem to be a groundswell of support of the other performances, so this looks like a category where “well, we like her enough, let’s just give her the award” seals the deal.

[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1203029650

Great list! It looks to me like many of these actors, particularly those in the comedy races, likely suffered from the lack of likability of their characters, but then some characters, like many of those in the drama categories, weren’t exciting enough to get voters’ attention. So the best Emmy bait would be over-the-top characters with something redeeming about them, although the latter has seemed less important in recent years as “anti-heros” become more of the norm. Generally, most of the perennial nominees lessen their chances of winning over time, but all it takes is a great storyline to get them back into the mix, so I wouldn’t rule anyone out entirely.

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[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1203024882

@ Sam K, this is a great list, but you’ve got a few inaccuracies here. Kirstie Alley, Kim Delaney, and Dylan McDermott were Emmy nominated for their Globe nominated roles, as were Hugh Bonneville, Debra Messing, and Allison Tolman in different categories. And 12 Angry Men was nominated for and Wit won the Emmy for Television Movie.

All that having been said, the HFPA does like honoring more prominent names and more international performers than the Emmys do, so I’ve already penciled in Ian McShane and Renée Zellweger as possibilities despite not getting Emmy nominations. There is also stronger Showtime and Starz love from the HFPA, so Kevin Bacon and even The Spanish Princess could also make it in with no corresponding Emmy love.

• This reply was modified 1 month, 1 week ago by  Nate.
• This reply was modified 1 month, 1 week ago by  Nate.
• This reply was modified 1 month, 1 week ago by  Nate.
• This reply was modified 1 month, 1 week ago by  Nate.
• This reply was modified 1 month, 1 week ago by  Nate.
• This reply was modified 1 month, 1 week ago by  Nate.

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[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1202983268

This promises to be a very entertaining evening. I’m already looking forward to Emmylou Harris and Dolly Parton performing and curious who’ll do “You’re No Good.” Tom Hanks will have to be there for the Sally Field tribute. And the evening will have to end with a rocking version of “September.”

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[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1202977854

Nailed It and James Corden for host were complete surprises to me.

I guess the Tracey Ullman love had to end at some point, but I am glad that Amy Sedaris and Sarah Silverman were still remembered.

And it looks like there is still love lost towards Jimmy Fallon, as it looks to me like he didn’t turned up anywhere this year except for short form actor, which is a surprisingly stacked category this year.

• This reply was modified 2 months, 1 week ago by  Nate.
• This reply was modified 2 months, 1 week ago by  Nate.
• This reply was modified 2 months, 1 week ago by  Nate.

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[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1202977826

The nominations went pretty much as the GoldDerby odds said they would, with Chernobyl and When They See Us building momentum from their late releases, but I was relieved that Catch-22 was overrated in the odds.

I a little disappointed for the Maniac shutout and only the 2 program nominations for Black Mirror (not even writing this time), but I suspect Netflix isn’t too broken up about it, considering the immense WTSU haul.

I am relieved that Watson finally got the monkey off her back and managed a nomination, but I am really surprised that Qualley made it in from Fosse/Verdon and not Butz.

[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1202977762

The series and lead acting nominations for Schitt’s Creek has to be the surprise of the day!

It turned out that only Brosnahan and Louis-Dreyfus were safe for lead actress, and the battle has to still be between the two of them.

Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt was completely forgotten, as was Brooklyn Nine-Nine, so I guess the Academy wasn’t into over-the-top comedy this year.

How does Betty Gilpin continue to be the only performer nominated from GLOW?

With Carrigan and Root nominated alongside Winkler from Barry, does that make it easier or harder for him to repeat?

But Veep being the comedy series with the 5th most nominations this year (6th if you count SNL) might really hurt its chances to win.

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[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1202977668

Homecoming really got skunked, with just a cinematography nomination to show.

I am so happy for so many This Is Us nominations, particularly for Ventimiglia returning and Moore finally making it in, but really sorry that Metz couldn’t make it back in.

How did Bodyguard only get in for series and for writing?

But the story has to be the 32 nominations for Game of Thrones, with such a massive domination that only The Handmaid’s Tale, with its limited capacity to pick up nominations, was another drama series with double digit nominations.

[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1202971479

It’s about time for the show to end, as this has been an even slower three years of law school than on The Paper Chase. But I do hope that there is a great death scene or something juicy for Ophelia so that Cicely Tyson can finally win that long overdue 4th Emmy.

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[NateParticipant Joined: Jun 5th, 2011 Topics: 5 Posts: 779 View Predictions]

#1202969658

Well, TV Guide had a very different reaction:

https://www.tvguide.com/news/orange-is-the-new-black-season-7-review/

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