[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203559916

I haven’t seen the movie so I can’t speak to that, but based purely on narrative I do remember thinking even at the time that she could’ve beat Emma Stone had she been in Lead.

There was a lot of momentum around her finally winning won, and I think it would’ve seemed really tough because La La Land seemed like such a juggernaut but we obviously all saw how much it ran out of steam by the end. Plus, as cynical as this sounds, she may have been helped by the political moment the same way Moonlight was (and just to be clear I say that as someone who even at the time thought La La Land was vastly overrated, Moonlight deserved to win, and is one of the best films of the decade). The maybe Emma Stone could’ve won for The Favourite, which is an infinitely better performance than La La Land, but it also means she probably would’ve gone lead so Olivia Colma wouldn’t have won there, but probably would’ve won in supporting.

And just to say everyones probably right that she would’ve taken Negga’s spot which is a real shame, because that was an inspired pick and my personal winner in the category (tied with Portman, but in a tie I go with the person who doesn’t already have one haha)

Reply

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203559907

I know it was due to her contract and she was just one of 3 equally ridiculous cases within her own show, but Natasha Lyonne getting nominated for Guest Actress for the first season of OITNB was absolutely ludicrous. She was in literally every episode with significant screen time, she might even have had more screen time than someone like Kate Mulgrew who came close to winning in supporting.

Reply

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203558757

I went with the Americans, mainly because it’s subsequent sweep of the winter awards season shows it had a major peak in passion for it’s final season, but it’s hard to tell if that peak started at the Emmy’s or was started by the Emmy’s.

Reply

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203555915

In chamber pieces like this you could argue that all 3 of the prominent characters are the 3 leads, but in terms of awards categories I think since the story is told so completely from Dohmnall Gleason’s point of view and he’s in basically every scene, he feels like the true LEAD and the other 2 are secondary to him, as the above poster said. This is one of those cases were it feels sort of ok to call her the “female lead” but at the same I think her and Oscar Isaac are equally prominent and no one is arguing that he’s lead

Reply

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203555913

I haven’t seen it since it came out but I don’t think she’s in it a ton. Out of the three main roles (Jamal, Malik, Latika), her character has the least screen time and she’s played by 3 different actresses at 3 different ages. What she is in though is good, if not especially challenging, and she has good chemistry with Dev Patel (they ended up dating for several years)

Reply

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203550353

A movie I just discovered is 1961’s Victim. It’s a pretty compelling noir film about a lawyer investigating a blackmailer that’s targeting gay men. It was pretty crazy watching a black and white film from 1961 where all the gay characters are treated sympathetically and the bad guys are the homophobic blackmailers. I’m surprised it doesn’t get discussed more in terms of queer cinema (i stumbled on it completely by chance on TCM) as its really good and really ahead of its time

Reply

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203547074

wilfredpickles wrote:

I’ve finally started The Great and love it about as much as expected given how much I adored The Favourite.

Halfway through the season and I’m going to stick to my predictions of it being nominated in Series and Supporting Actor (Hoult has several winning episodes), but actually watching the show hasn’t made me any more confident given how niche it is beyond the crafts.

It’s tough for me to know what its presence is in the US but plenty of people here in Australia have at least heard of it, hopefully there’s decent buzz?

From my vantage point it’s fairly popular in the US, basically everyone I know has heard of it or watches it, but I think it skews slightly younger (I’m in my 20’s) so I don’t know how well it will do at the Emmy’s. That’s the same reason I’m hesitant to predict Normal People anywhere despite how obvious a hit it seems to be, because it’s mostly people around my age talking about it

Reply

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203546443

I believe this project has been in development for YEARS, with producer Robert Downey Jr originally planning it for himself to star. My guess is the original iteration of the show was probably meant to be a bit more similar to the original concept, and over the years with writers and stars cycling in and out and broader TV trends getting grittier and grittier and more and more serialized, the project just changed bit by bit into what it is now. It does seem a little strange to still be calling it Perry Mason (as a 27 year old I’ve never seen an episode of the show, but am vaguely aware of it’s format so understand how different it is to this product) but if the Perry Mason name was how the project got started, they couldn’t really get rid of it even if they might want to.

Personally I enjoyed the pilot a lot more than I was expecting to based on the trailer and early reviews, so I’m excited to see where it goes and I hope it finds an audience. I originally was only watching this show for Tatiana Maslany and ended up not even minding that she doesn’t appear in the first episode

Reply

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203540541

Larrain earned enough goodwill from me with Jackie that I’m tempted to trust him, although the announcement threw me off so much i thought it was a joke at first haha. I’m tempted to agree that I don’t see stewart pulling this off, especially the accent. And generally when the consensus is so unanimous that someone is miscast that consensus is usually right, but every once in a while we all get proven wrong. I’ll hold out judgment because if we are proven wrong it will be really exciting.

I told my mom about this casting (my mom is a british woman, born the same year as Diana, absolutely loved her, completely broke down when she died) expecting her to be horrified and her reaction, somewhat distanced from all the stewart discourse people like us have been in for years, was that she liked it. She thought the movie was a terrible idea and actually got more intrigued when i told her the casting. I actually disagree, and my mom felt the same way as me, that they dont like anything alike. Stewart’s long angular features are a much better match than even Naomi Watts or someone like god forbid emilia clarke. And my mom felt she has a sort of dark, somewhat tortured energy that would be a good fit for Diana. So i’m going to keep an open mind, because if to someone outside our pop culture obsessed bubble with a deep affection for Diana thinks it’s good casting, who am I to say they’re wrong before we see the thing

Reply

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203519828

Literally no one saw this movie but Never Had written and performed by Oscar Isaac for 10 Years is a beautiful song that is actually an integral part of the movie and character development, which is Imo what should be prioritized in this category

Reply

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203519360

I just moved Chris Evans into 6th place in my predictions. The category is pretty weak, the series was popular enough, and he seems to be pretty well liked in the industry

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203519341

I don’t know if it’s what they’re submitting but: Tern Haven, Succession

Reply

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203499042

My personal choice won:
1. Natalie Portman, Black Swan

Not my personal choice but can’t deny they were very good:
2. Brie Larson, Room
3. Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
4. Julianne Moore, Still Alice
5. Olivia Colman, The Favourite (would probably rank higher with a bit more screentime, felt more supporting to me)

Pretty good performance that could have been great with a better movie:
6. Renee Zelwegger, Judy

Decent performance but underwhelming and miscast:
7. Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Incredible actress doing her best despite being given absolutely nothing interesting to do:
8. Emma Stone, La La Land

How the fuck was this movie considered good:
9. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards

Haven’t seen the Iron Lady

This has really made me realize how much I haven’t really liked the Best Actress winners this decade. Portman is the only time my personal winner won and like half of these performances I’d argue should have been filler noms, definitely not wins. A bit disappointing when looking at them all together.

Reply

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203499025

If Mindy Kaling gets nominated for The Morning Show for like 4 cumulative minutes of pretty uneventful screen time I will riot

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 21 Posts: 1576 View Predictions]

#1203490035

Yea I’m ok with her being supporting since it is such an ensemble movie, but I agree with above poster that Shoshanna definitely has the most developed arc, she’s the character that goes through the journey we generally associate with the protagonist. So even if she doesn’t have the most screen time, she sort of feels lead to me. And I would have given her a nomination in lead.

Reply