[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203994561

Cast Kathryn Hahn you cowards!

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203993767

I forgot about Regina Hall in Support the Girls! She was also great, definitely would make my top 5

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203991744

wgoran wrote:

Hathaway maybe. But with Laura, her nom/win was only about her and her family. Ngl I thought she was excellent in MS but the role felt like those roles that win Guest Emmy’s.

Laura Dern won her oscar for BLL season 2, honestly

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203991351

I saw online that the leaders in the critics awards rn are Delroy Lindo, Frances, Youn Yuh-Jung, and Paul Raci. Considering that usually at least one of the critics pic’s wins, and by process of elimination I don’t think Raci, Youn Yuh-Jung (too small), or Frances (just won too recently) are winning, does that help Lindo? Probably just wishful thinking because he’s my personal pick rn, but maybe? Maybe he wins lead and Chadwick takes supporting?

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203991305

^Carey would’ve been my personal winner! but out of who was nominated:

1. Yalitza Aparacio (upon rewatch it’s really clear how present she is in every moment)
2. Melissa McCarthy (deeply underrated film/performance)
3. Lady Gaga (if the 2nd half of the film had done her character more justice, she might be my winner)
4. Olivia Colman (very good, but a supporting performance imo so I wanted just a little more)
5. Glenn Close (she did the best she could, but the movie was just so weak imo and it frankly did her performance a disservice)

I suppose it was a good year in that I would’ve been able to make my peace with any of them winning, which can definitely not be said for every year.

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203969599

I’ve also moved Burstyn up to my number one spot. Completely regardless of her performance, she just feels like the type of actor the academy would feel comfortable giving a 2nd oscar too, whereas I can’t really see them giving Colman a second one so soon, or Seyfreid a win on her first nomination. Add to that it sounds like her performance is good enough to be worthy, even if not everyone’s first choice, and she feels like she’ll be a good consensus pick

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203966737

– You Will be Found – Dear Evan Hansen
– Everybody loves a Musical – Something Rotten
– Final scene – The Octoroon
– Act 2 – Head of Passes (basically one 40 minute monologue for Phylicia Rashad and it was ASTOUNDING)
– Don’t do Sadness – Spring Awakening
– Why we Tell the Story – Once on this Island
– I tragically didn’t get to see this in person, but National Theater Live aired a recording of Gillian Anderson’s Streetcar Named Desire from i think 2014 and it WRECKED ME. So for one moment, I’ll pick the classic “I’ve always depended on the kindness of strangers”

Off the top of my head, but I’m sure there are more. I fucking love the theater.

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203965124

Personally, I don’t understand why people make such a big deal about actors having to do their own singing, in a biopic at least (if it’s a straight musical then yes, 100%). People like Freddy Mercury, Edith Piaf, (Judy Garland *cough*cough*) have completely singular, once in a lifetime voices, that’s literally why they were famous. The expectation that an actor should even attempt to replicate that, to me, is like saying no actor should place a real person unless they look exactly like them. It’s a nice idea, sure, but so unrealistic to not even be a discussion.

PS – yes, I’m saying Renee should’ve lipsynced and the movie would’ve been better if she had. She has a nice voice, but it’s hard to understand how memorable Garland’s voice and talent was without hearing it

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203953194

This is purely anecdotal, but it looks like Promising Young Woman is going to be a hit. My boss (a 60-something film producer AND academy member) just asked me if I could get him a screener of the movie for this weekend. This is the first time he’s asked me to get him a movie in MONTHS (pre-pandemic it happened literally every weekend).

Plus I’m an indie spirit member, and they sent out invites for the virtual screening for PYW less than 24 hours ago and it’s already sold out. At the very least, film industry people are getting very interested in this movie. I just moved it into my globe predictions for best drama (I already had Mulligan in actress but I might move her up)

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203952100

Yea if this is still happening I’m very interested. I also work in entertainment so I knew my way around the industry a bit

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203950580

estrelas wrote:

Just finished Nomadland a while ago, Frances was absolutely brilliant but I don’t see her winning a third for this performance.

It’s a shame because she is SOO much better in this than she was in Three Billboards, and if she hadn’t won for that she’d probably be the frontrunner right now. I’ll just have to tell myself her second oscar is for Nomadland instead

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203947174

I feel this show had 4 leads, but if anything Murphy and Levy were more leading than O’Hara and Levy. They often had their own storylines while Moira and Johnny’s overlapped with each other much more, so I wouldn’t be surprised if in the long run Alexis and David had more screentime.

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203932767

A lot of very good pieces, but can’t help but feel like it ended up less than the sum of it’s parts. I couldn’t really tell you what this story was, and it was mostly just a series of minor, easily solved conflicts that served just to keep these characters in the room so they could deliver some monologues. Well written, well performed monologues, but basically just monologues for the sake of monologues. And subplots like Levee and Ma’s Girl, or Ma’s nephew’s stutter, ended up having no real baring on the story itself, just kind of ways to kill a few minutes – again, they were entertaining minutes, but nothing that really contributed to the story. I had heard in advance that the movie had a very stricking ending, but by the time it came around I really felt like literally anything could happen because there was no clear direction the story was building. A better director might have been able to slowly build up the tension so the final act of Levee’s character might’ve felt like a cathartic, if tragic, development, but it kind of just felt like they needed something big to end the story so they thought of something and threw it on the page (i know nothing about the original stage show). With that said, the coda at the end was very powerful.

I am slightly surprised at the RAVES this is receiving, as I think it’s very good, solid B+, maybe even A-, but not 99% on RT and 88 on MC. I’ve had D5B as Chadwick’s oscar in my predictions for months, and with the critics awards Chadwick is picking up there I wonder if that might really be his clearer path.

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203927853

Oops lol. I saw someone tweet it like it was hot news haha

I checked though and Menzies is still in lead and O’Connor and Corrin in supporting in the predictions center, so cant be that old news can it

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1704 View Predictions]

#1203927438

RED ALERT**

Emma Corrin and Josh O’Connor are being campaigned in Lead (along with Olivia Colman) at least at the globes:

https://www.thecrown2020.netflixawards.com/

I’m sure if this doesn’t work they’ll switch up their strategies for the Emmy’s but still, kind of shocking

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