[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1205003055

There have been some rumors going around that there was some tension between Wilde and the cast (those except Styles obviously) and that the shooting days were a little chaotic. All just rumor as far as I’ve been aware though.

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1205001439

My guess is probably 80’s on RT, 60s-70s on metacritic. It’s a very charming and entertaining movie, but doesn’t really do anything particularly exciting. I’m sure critics will largely react to it warmly but I don’t see it getting the response of Julia’s rom-coms from the 90’s.

Get ready for some reviews shouting out Lucas Bravo though. If it were possible to steal a movie from Roberts and Clooney (it isn’t) he just about does. I just recognized him as the hot french guy from Emily in Paris but he is so. fucking. funny in this movie

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1205000669

Whirlwind wrote:

Idk what to do with the Babylon ladies. Jean Smart is the obvious choice on paper but imo she just doesn’t have a winning role and her “big scene” isn’t really that showy acting-wise imo. Anna May Wong is the clear SA choice based on the script but it it feels like the studio has already made their choice.

Not to be too cynical about it but with EEAAO likely to be a big story if this sort of becomes a season of “asian performers breaking into the oscars”, and Anna May Wong being THE original asian movie star, then maybe they’d switch tactics. Sounds like she’ll have more to do anyway

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1205000614

I know she has no chance in hell but I just wanted to put down in writing that Nicole Beharie is so fucking funny in the sundance movie Honk for Jesus. Save Your Soul and I already feel like she’s got a real shot of making my personal ballot at the end of the year. I’m glad she’s doing some cool stuff with that Miss Juneteenth momentum

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1205000363

I wonder if they’re angling for some Julia Roberts “return to the rom-com” oscar buzz.

I attended a test screening of this, it is a crowd pleaser! I bet it makes a good amount of money. I doubt it becomes an awards player though so I’m surprised they’re going with a premiere at Venice of all places. But I guess Venice has been getting a bit more mainstream over recent years

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1204999364

Not my personal winner that year (if I remember correctly it was Johannson for Her) but of the nominees and major contenders, absolutely. She doesn’t get as much to do as she’s capable of, but there’s more to her perf than people remember. They used that same goddamn clip of her screaming about the soap at EVERY AWARDS SHOW so that’s what people remember but imo her best scene is actually the one where she very quietly and calmly wakes Solomon up in the middle of the night and asks him to kill her. So much controlled emotion that makes the later blow up much more powerful.

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1204998678

As great as it would be to see Yeoh win, and I do think she stands a very good chance of being nominated, I just do not see the academy giving one of the most “prestigious” awards of the night to a movie that features but plugs, dildo fights, and hot dog fingers that ejaculate ketchup and mustard. They’re just too safe for that. Screenplay is where the weird movies win. Unfortunately they’ll probably consider her nom (if she gets one, which i do think is likely) the reward and will give the win to something safer.

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1204997701

Rachel615 wrote:

Olivia DeJonge plays Priscilla in Elvis.

I haven’t seen the movie so this is purely anecdotal, but it sounds like their whole marriage is pretty rushed through and doesn’t get a ton of screentime (sounds like that’s the case for a lot of the movie). I doubt anyone besides Butler or Hanks would be in the convo for Elvis.

P.S. if this movie still does well enough to be deemed a success we should not be shocked to see Tom Hanks in the conversation

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1204995179

Theron’s snub makes more sense when you consider that her performance was just considered one aspect of the movie. MMFR was really acclaimed as a director’s vision that also featured a great performance, and George Miller did end up getting the BD nomination (and very possibly coming in second). Voters had SO MANY other categories to show their love of mad max without having to nominate Theron.

Yeoh is THE FACE (literally) of EEAAO, and after MAYBE screenplay she is the likeliest category for that movie to be recognized, possibly even the most likely. And as someone said earlier, Yeoh’s persona and career are intrinsically linked with the narrative and success of the movie. Two months ago I was thinking it was a longshot and people were getting ahead of themselves but after the movie’s continued success at the box office and it’s kind of anointment as THE indie hit of the first half of the year, i’d say they pretty much have a screenplay nom on lock and a Yeoh nom very likely. I’d imagine the likelihood of nominations:

Feel very confident:
1. Screenplay
Pretty confident:
2. Actress for Yeoh
Feeling like definite possibilities:
3. Editing
4. Picture
5. Visual Effects (I think the hurdle is the nom, if it gets in here I think it wins a la Ex Machina)
6. Supporting Actor for Quan
7. Sound
If they really love it:
8. Makeup & Hairstyling
9. Supporting Actress for Hsu
10. Supporting Actress for Curtis

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1204991719

100% this! Literally as I was watching that episode I was like damn this girl is good, I hope she gets a guest actress nom (I didn’t start watching Squid Game till later so it had already started it’s awards run). She creates such a complex character with so little screentime

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1204984423

As someone who thought Joker was perfectly fine, even decent, my main issue was that I didn’t feel like it really did anything new or took any risks – yes it blended comic book storytelling with scorsese-esque drama, but I felt like it was so proud of itself just for doing that blending that it didn’t actually seem to feel any need to do anything new within those genre’s. So while yes, adding musical elements is in some ways just throwing another genre into the blender, it at least feels like a risk that might inspire something interesting.

Also if I had to guess, I’d imagine these are going to be psychosis inspired musical numbers. Essentially “hallucinated” production numbers in the minds of our leads. If that’s the case I hope that means we’ll at least be getting a real show, and if there is ANYTHING that is unequivocally true about Lady Gaga (and to some extent Phoenix) it’s that she puts on a show

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1204984404

It would be especially smart for them to submit him this year, or him to submit himself, because if this season is any indication (and to be fair you never really know what’s going to happen on this show) he could be a big part of the next season and a guest nom would be a nice start for a supporting actor campaign for next year.

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1204984381

Butler certainly stands a very good chance, especially if Elvis does well at the box office, but I am hesitant to be super confident in him as a winner. The best analogue is of course Rami Malek in Bohemian Rhapsody, but they went into the season as very different actors – Rami was already an Emmy winner for dramatic acting and had indie cred from things like Short Term 12 and The Master.

This is Butler’s FIRST real adult dramatic showcase, and considering (as has been pointed out) how touchy oscar voters can be when it comes to young (and pretty) men, I feel like they might be a little weary to give him a Best Actor oscar so early in this new phase of his career. I mean prior to Elvis he’s primarily known to audiences for Disney Channel movies and The Carrie Diaries, a far cry from something like Mr. Robot. This “anointing of a breakout star” oscar goes to young women WAY more often than it goes to young men. If this movie DEMOLISHES at the box office like BoRap then it might work, but even then it sounds like he’s not even the real #1 lead of the movie, and therefore any success the movie achieves at the BO will be at least equally attributed to Hanks.

I know it’s completely foolish to say something like this so far out but I feel like his best case scenario is more of a Timothee Chalamet situation, i.e. consistent runner up to a much more “establishment” veteran pick. (I’m tempted to put Domingo first atm. Veteran actor that’s been around forever, currently staring in a hit show, got into the convo for a nom just last year for an indie darling, working with an officially oscar certified director, and not to mention he is ALSO in a biopic, and a much more traditional one at that. Plus cynically with all the talk about DeBose being the first openly queer acting winner, they might enjoy patting themselves on the back for giving a Best Actor oscar to an openly queer man of color)

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1204941181

I think netflix just hasn’t figure out the right way to campaign yet. They keep having early frontrunners (Chicago 7, TPOTD, The Irishman, Roma), and then they just can’t keep the momentum going and get overshadowed by a movie that plays better on people’s emotions.

I also think they’re making a mistake by putting all their eggs in the basket of these big established filmmakers, which takes away from that feeling of discovery or excitement that can help a movie. In the past FIFTEEN years, since No Country For Old Men in 2007, ONLY ONE movie from a director with a previous Best Picture nomination has won Best Picture (Birdman in 2014). They should take more risks with acquisitions (like apple did with Coda, cough cough) rather than expecting oscar annointed film makers to get them the gold.

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1204940008

I feel like Big Little Lies really pulled Nicole Kidman back onto the a-list from that tricky phase from the mid-aughts to the mid 2010s, and she hasn’t slowed down since.

And I wouldn’t say A Star is Born saved Gaga’s career, but it did seem like she had possibly reached her limit as a popstar with a couple of underwhelming albums and largely mocked performances (looking at you AHS) but then ASIB proved that there actually was a person underneath the character and I think basically overnight changed the way millions of people saw her.

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