nkb325
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May 4, 2021 at 9:09 pm #1204243015
I’m gonna say Samantha Barks in Les Miserables, and I remberer her being really good
Anne Hathaway really sucked up all the supporting actress oxygen for that movie, but I think she was also hurt by Hooper totally fucking up her big number. I mean it’s one of the most famous songs in the show and he directed it so strangely!
ReplyMay 3, 2021 at 11:26 am #1204240866I think category confusion hurt her! IMO she’s the Lead of the movie (she’s the only character who really goes through any sort of arc) but considering her limited screentime I understand the urge to consider her supporting, so I think that cost her any buzz.
ReplyMay 3, 2021 at 11:03 am #1204240794Seeing Gladiator for the first time years later, I was pretty surprised to see that Connie Nielsen got basically ZERO traction for Best Supporting actress. Not only is she very good, and honestly probably the most complex character in the movie (between Crowe’s stoic hero and Phoenix’s villain), but she was in a movie that ended up winning Best Picture and getting two acting nominations and a win. So for her to not even seem to get buzz is a bit shocking.
Also a shame that Yeri Han got NO buzz for Minari, considering how well that movie did elsewhere. IMO she was just as good if not better than Steven Yeun.
ReplyApril 16, 2021 at 11:48 pm #1204204824Fuck it, I’m predicting Kirby.
March 14, 2021 at 11:57 am #1204120369Just curious if people thing McDormand would be the frontrunner if she hadn’t just won for TBOEM? I’m tempted to say she would be sweeping, considering how well Nomadland is doing, and it’s a real shame bc she’s SO much better in this than Three Billboards, imo at least
March 2, 2021 at 11:05 am #1204077083Possibly. The Mauritanian might be one of those late surge contenders that over performs.
I was just coming here to say this. After Foster’s win, I bet a lot of people are going to be checking out the Mauritanian that wouldn’t have bothered before, and literally everyone I’ve encountered who’s seen it says he’s the real takeaway from the movie, so we have to imagine he’ll be getting at least a few votes.
PS it’s such a shame that Lindo’s chances seem to be getting smaller and smaller. He seemed like a lock at the beginning of the season and now probably won’t even get nominated. Personally he’s my top performance of the year, and I don’t understand how he’s not doing better.
March 1, 2021 at 12:56 pm #1204074812Honestly with how wide open supporting actress is right now and how weird the year is, who knows maybe Foster could somehow end up on that stage in a couple months. The movie’s only JUST coming out so if it becomes successful enough it would become the perfect safe, respectable choice for the academy to go with to avoid all the other messy choices
ReplyFebruary 13, 2021 at 1:51 pm #1204040822Just gonna try getting the drum beating for a surprise Han Ye-Ri nomination. I know she’s a huge long shot but she’s just as good as Steven Yeun (if not better) so if he’s safely in the conversation she should at least be getting discussed (she’s also 100% just as much if not more of a lead than he is, that indie spirit supporting nom was weird).
There’s always a big precursor-less shocker somewhere and it’s generally always someone in either a top ranking BP contender or a movie that’s a serious threat in other acting categories, both of which Minari looks like it’s going to be after SAG and CC. And it looks like people are JUST starting to talk about her, she’s gotten some headlines in the last couple days and she reached above 100/1 odds in the prediction center, so it would be cool if people starting talking more about her as a serious contender and maybe her buzz will grow. I don’t know if I think she really has a chance, but I did just move her into my predictions to grab those 92/1 odds. It kinda feels like with the top 3-4 locked and most of the other discussed contenders (Zendaya, Loren, Winslet, Day, etc.) somewhat underwhelming, people are looking for someone to fill in that last best actress slot so they may turn to the movie they’re voting for in a ton of other categories.
January 30, 2021 at 10:07 pm #1204010452Mulan has become a bit of an underrated fan favorite in the years since it came out (underrated as much as a disney movie can be) but it looks like there was some perception at the time that it was a bit of a down period for the disney renessaince films.
I think it would’ve been the prince of egypt. It has the “prestige” biblical soars and sandals epic angle, plus the big hit song
ReplyJanuary 26, 2021 at 1:36 pm #1204003608But that doesn’t make any sense because Marriage Story won the Altman and then got into Feature and Screenplay.
I think Altman winners aren’t eligible for any performance awards since the whole ensemble gets rewarded with Altman, but it is eligible elsewhere? Someone feel free to correct me if I’m wrong
January 20, 2021 at 5:02 pm #1203993767I forgot about Regina Hall in Support the Girls! She was also great, definitely would make my top 5
ReplyJanuary 19, 2021 at 12:08 pm #1203991744Hathaway maybe. But with Laura, her nom/win was only about her and her family. Ngl I thought she was excellent in MS but the role felt like those roles that win Guest Emmy’s.
Laura Dern won her oscar for BLL season 2, honestly
ReplyJanuary 19, 2021 at 9:50 am #1203991351I saw online that the leaders in the critics awards rn are Delroy Lindo, Frances, Youn Yuh-Jung, and Paul Raci. Considering that usually at least one of the critics pic’s wins, and by process of elimination I don’t think Raci, Youn Yuh-Jung (too small), or Frances (just won too recently) are winning, does that help Lindo? Probably just wishful thinking because he’s my personal pick rn, but maybe? Maybe he wins lead and Chadwick takes supporting?
January 19, 2021 at 9:43 am #1203991305^Carey would’ve been my personal winner! but out of who was nominated:
1. Yalitza Aparacio (upon rewatch it’s really clear how present she is in every moment)
2. Melissa McCarthy (deeply underrated film/performance)
3. Lady Gaga (if the 2nd half of the film had done her character more justice, she might be my winner)
4. Olivia Colman (very good, but a supporting performance imo so I wanted just a little more)
5. Glenn Close (she did the best she could, but the movie was just so weak imo and it frankly did her performance a disservice)I suppose it was a good year in that I would’ve been able to make my peace with any of them winning, which can definitely not be said for every year.
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