Forum Replies Created
February 18, 2020 at 8:20 am #1203350753
What are your initial impressions of The French Dispatch? Do we have another Grand Budapest type contender or will this go the way of his other films?
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHFebruary 18, 2020 at 6:53 am #1203350638
Parasite by miles. This might be a hot take, but I think the problem with Roma is it’s foreign cinema made for the appreciation of white people. This is anecdotal, but my family is made up of immigrants and they couldn’t make it 5 minutes into Roma. I enjoyed Roma but I admit I would never recommend it to a casual movie lover. Parasite breaks down language barriers and can be appreciated and enjoyed by all people. I think in countries like my family’s where poverty levels are high, movies are mostly enjoyed as escapism and for their entertainment value. Movies can still challenge viewers and put forth interesting ideas, but they still serve the primary purpose of being entertaining. From an accessibility standpoint, the two films aren’t even close.
Parasite is truly something special and I think it paves an exciting road for the future of World Cinema. It’s a foreign language film that was made for the enjoyment of all people- and not just cocktail intellectual Hollywood elites.
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHFebruary 13, 2020 at 7:06 am #1203345430
It would also help if the show was better. Results aside, it was a miserable watch. There were way too musical performances and most of them were terrible (save for Erivo and Eminem I guess). It ends up making the show overlong and this year it felt directionless too. Not a good combo.
I actually think people enjoy seeing the montages which showcase the movies in contention (the acting ones were particularly well-done). The funnier intros are also great. Nothing you can really do about the fact people are cutting cable, but make the show about the awards and the movies and I would bet more people would enjoy it and come back the next year.
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHFebruary 7, 2020 at 12:17 pm #1203334016
The closest race is Supporting Actress where Johansson (Jojo Rabbit) is probably second.
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHFebruary 7, 2020 at 12:15 pm #1203334013
Having now seen the Live Action Shorts, I think its clear that Brotherhood’s odds are WAY overstated for being listed alphabetically. There is LITERALLY NO WAY that wins. It lacks an engaging title (which we know helps) and content wise it’s very slow and emotionally way less impactful than its competition.
Neighbours Window felt like the conventional winner of the bunch, assuming people watched them. If you think namecheckers factor in I actually think Nefta Football Club is your dark horse.
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHFebruary 7, 2020 at 12:08 pm #1203334007
Production Design is an insanely difficult category to predict this year. I keep flip flopping. The people who think it’s locked and done for OUATIH are relying too much on the stats. I think it’s much closer than people think between the top 3 (hell, even top 4) contenders.
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHFebruary 6, 2020 at 1:47 pm #1203333117
I’m actually seeing them this year which is exciting. The last few years, and I’ve had success with this, I just pick the ones which have the names which stick out to me/seem like they’d be important. For me, this year that’s:
Nefta Football Club
Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone
St. Louis Superman
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHFebruary 6, 2020 at 12:46 pm #1203333043
Production Design might seem easy but it’s not. They rarely go with the frontrunner in that category and I’m not feeling OUATIH. I think it’s between 1917 and Parasite.
I agree that this category is more difficult than it seems. The category also links up with costume design quite often which makes me lean towards OUATIH which has the most ground in both plus better precursor support. I’m hoping the 1917 in BAFTA production design is just a British thing, because I will feel bad for switching off 1917 after the whole season I had it predicted at number 1.
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHFebruary 6, 2020 at 12:42 pm #1203333032
Lol, I currently have Sound Editing going to FvF and Sound Mixing going to 1917. My thought process is that if they both go to the same at least I will likely get 1 of them right, but now I am even more confused which one would likely go where if they were to split..
Traditionally the war film has a better shot at Mixing, but in this case I actually think if there was a split it would be 1917 in Editing and Ford in Mixing. That said I don’t trust that people can tell the difference enough and rather than predict the split and risk having it go the other way and you end up missing both I think it’s better to just put 1917 in both. If there is a split I imagine very few will predict it accurately.
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHFebruary 5, 2020 at 8:43 am #1203330996
Best Visual Effects?
Those are still up in the air
I think VFX is one of the hardest categories this year. 1917 just doesn’t feel like a winner and the Irishman has its critics. At the same time, it’s unwise to bet against BP nominees except Ex Machina also happened over three other BP contenders so …
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHFebruary 4, 2020 at 7:13 am #1203329385
I’m going to feel bad if Bombshell wins Makeup after I convinced all these people to switch to Joker.
I’ve been wrestling with the switch myself but I’m sticking to Bombshell for a few reasons:
1. BAFTA (and they also LOVED Joker)
2. As you pointed out, and as a general rule of thumb, it’s always wise to bet on a BP nominee in any category. That said, as we most clearly see in the VFX category over time, voters pick things that feel like they are BP noms even if they aren’t. It’s as if you need a level of prestige to be considered. Bombshell has the prestige factor of near miss BP snubs that became Oscar winners like First Man, Beale Street, etc.
3. They love this type of make up/hair because it’s represented across multiple actors and it’s totally transformative (Vice, Darkest Hour)
4. Everyone might read my number 2 and point to Suicide Squad or other fantasy films that won, but I think it’s impoetant to note that back then when there were only three nominees you would often have line ups of only commercial movies picked by the Make Up/Hair guild. Moreover, Suicide Squad likely didn’t win for just Joker make up but also for the whole cast. In Joker, it’s really only Phoenix’ make up/hair that stands out. His hair and make up, while definitely iconic and frightening, is also fairly grounded unlike those previous fantasy winners.
I could be wrong, but I’m going to stick with Bombshell for those reasons.
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHFebruary 3, 2020 at 6:02 am #1203327536
Other than the shorts (mostly guessing), I’m conflicted about the following:
Animated Feature- Klaus vs Toy Story 4. Klaus has emerged as the challenger and could widely have been seen by folks due to Netflix availability. However, with the whole Academy voting is it wise to bet against one of the most beloved franchises ever?
Documentary Feature- American Factory vs For Sama. This really could depend on which side of the Atlantic you’re on. The Obama’s are behind AF and the movie obviously plays really well in the states. For Sama really hits hard though and sometimes that’s enough. British support helps.
I feel good about my other predictions. Picture is in the air, which is exciting, but I think the case for either 1917 or Parasite makes sense. Either could win.
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHFebruary 3, 2020 at 5:44 am #1203327515
Both Screenplay categories. I’ve been harping it on for a long time, but I really do think Parasite and Jojo Rabbit make too much sense on paper. BAFTA confirmed what I was predicting.
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHJanuary 31, 2020 at 12:50 pm #1203322267
2010: The Social Network
2012: Silver Linings Playbook
2013: The Wolf of Wall Street
2015: The Big Short
2016: La La Land
2017: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIHJanuary 29, 2020 at 11:07 am #1203318639
Given the nominations, little women will probably be the first eliminated.
Little Women has multiple above the line nominations (cited twice in Acting and once in Screenplay). It also has two techs.
Ford v. Ferrari has two sounds and an editing nomination.
Given the nominations, Ford v. Ferrari would seem to have less support from fewer branches.
Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIH