Forum Replies Created
January 19, 2023 at 1:41 pm #1205254140
Dunno if this has already been mentioned but for the last two years we’ve had two actors make it into this category without Globe or SAG noms:
2020: Paul Raci & Lakeith Stanfield
2021: Jesse Plemons & J. K. Simmons
I seriously wonder if we could see the same thing happen again with Judd Hirsch and Albrecht Schuch. It’s a huge swing but I currently have both of them in along with the locked 3.December 30, 2022 at 4:40 pm #1205214629
Only one of these – Walken – could truly be considered win-competitive, having won both industry precursors. But I very much doubt a concurrent Razzie nomination had anything to do with his loss.December 28, 2022 at 10:20 am #1205211895
Others may know this but I just learned that the Oscar nominations will be announced the day BEFORE the WGA nominations (January 24th and 25th) and so we won’t have the WGA nominations to assist in predicting the Oscar screenplay nominations.
WGA has never been all that useful as a barometer anyway, due to multiple cases of ineligibility there every year. The most the guild noms can do in terms of aiding predictions is indicate which screenplays from those that do meet eligibility requirements are failing to gain traction, and even then they can be misleading, such as when First Reformed and The Ballad of Buster Scruggs missed WGA before being nominated at the Oscars (apparently they were eligible at the guild).December 12, 2022 at 3:04 am #1205189392
I totally understand why people think there should be genderless acting categories, but it just doesn’t work. If you only give out one award you cut the winners in half and run the risk of having a gender bias. If you give out two awards it feels like a cop-out anyways and lessens the value of a win because it just looks like a tie. I think just having non-binary performers submit for whatever category their character’s gender is the better alternative.
So then what if the character they are playing is also non-binary?November 19, 2022 at 12:55 pm #1205160358
I really feel [Hong Chau] gonna be a dark horse for the win. She will perhaps even get a trifecta
I’m not able to see The Whale yet but after viewing The Menu I could see trifecta critics awarding her for both performances in a combo as they often do.November 19, 2022 at 10:57 am #1205160237
I think cinematography is a STRETCH [for The <i>Batman</i>]
Funnily enough this would be the 4th Batman film nominated for cinematography (5th in the Batman universe if you include Joker). Batman Begins, The Dark Knight and, most surprisingly, Batman Forever were all nominated. And I do think it would be characteristic of the cinematographers’ branch to nominate it in lieu of at least one later-released Best Picture hopeful; there is some striking imagery in the film. DP Grieg Fraser being fresh off his win for Dune can’t hurt.November 13, 2022 at 11:11 am #1205150070
I have heard buzz that Inside Out came close to outright winning the Original Screenplay category in its year, but I don’t know how one would verify that.
From where? Because it likely wasn’t anywhere close to beating the actual Best Picture winner, especially considering that was Spotlight‘s only accompanying win and thus the main thing supporting its chances for the big prize. In fact I’d dispute the conventional wisdom that Inside Out was even the runner-up for original screenplay; not only was it the only one in the lineup not nominated for a PGA award, it also had the animated category as the go-to place for voters to recognise it (not to mention there’s a strong bias in the Academy against animation in major categories). I expect both Bridge of Spies (the only other BP nominee in the lineup) and Ex Machina (PGA nominee plus surprise VFX winner) were ahead of it.November 13, 2022 at 10:51 am #1205150049
It will most likely never happen, but I’d love to see Terrifier 2‘s bid for a makeup nod to become successful. The main hurdle would be somehow getting onto the shortlist of 10; once allowed a bakeoff presentation, branch members wouldn’t even have to watch the entirety of this extreme gorefest in order to consider it.November 6, 2022 at 12:24 pm #1205143551
I don’t particularly wish for any other nominations for the series, but Prisoner of Azkaban was robbed for original score. Finding Neverland doesn’t come close.November 3, 2022 at 1:15 pm #1205140802
Is “Love is Not Love” really not a strong contender?
It could be, particularly as it was co-written by multiple nominee Marc Shaiman; name recognition plays a big role with the music branch. The song is performed diegetically at the climax of the movie, which could also be a plus.October 31, 2022 at 1:13 am #1205137410
I might have to watch it again to see how much of the story revolves around his perspective.
I actually think the oft-cited ‘perspective’ argument concerning lead or supporting placement is faulty. You could have an undisputed, dominant lead performance without the film ever really assuming that character’s perspective as such.
In the case of Gleeson in Banshees, the premise of the film revolving around his and Farrell’s relationship, as well as him having a not negligible amount of screentime without Farrell, is enough for me to consider him what could be termed secondary lead. Shame we couldn’t have had the first pair of co-starring lead noms since Thelma and Louise as I’m fairly confident both would’ve gotten in.October 29, 2022 at 6:20 pm #1205136620
Am I the only person who prefers Gleeson’s performance to Quan’s (both are excellent though so I honestly don’t mind who wins)?
If it was up to me they wouldn’t even be competing as I would have Gleeson up for lead alongside Colin Farrell. But if pressed I would say Gleeson’s is the better of the two performances, although likewise I’d be fine with either winning.Not now