[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204611394

Interesting how the Oscar “Expert” is trying to back away from Belfast. And he chooses  Pizza to potentially upset, when TPOTD & King Richard are both regarded as better chances.

I find the pundit belief in Belfast a bit baffling, none of them have tried to explain its Gotham and BIFA snubs.
Thompson dropped Branagh from director last week, now the Expert is raising Pizza beating Belfast.

Perhaps, yes, the cracks are starting to appear.

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204611379

The Academy favourites younger actresses than actors in supporting. Kodi is well-positioned for a nod but I don’t think he wins it all.

I think you’re right Kaziz, the Netflix campaign has been strong and will only ramp up from now. Remember they haven’t even released the film yet.

They won’t miss out at a shot at their first BP.

 

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204610932

And West Side Story. Remember they loved The Post when no other group did.

Weird they would wait though. I can’t remember them doing this before and it might be bad news for the current frontrunners.

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204610912

Intrigued by the NBR postponement and what it might mean for TPOTD. I assume West Side Story & Nightmare Alley are the films they are waiting for, and I wonder why? Have they ever waited before?

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204609926

You’d almost not want your favourite to win a golden globe this year…

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204609846

Yes! The PM loves it!! TPOTD is winning best picture “darlings”

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204609648

Is George’s quietness silent strength or chronic weakness? Is he effective or ineffectual? Does not standing up to Phil make him wise or a coward?

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204608938

From the main BP thread.

We are being told that Belfast or King Richard must win BP because they are “crowd pleasers” & TPOTD presumably isn’t yet current MC user ratings

TPOTD- 8.3

King Richard- 6.8

Belfast- 6.1

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204608936

That’s the whole point, we are being told that Belfast or King Richard must win BP because they are “crowd pleasers” & TPOTD presumably isn’t yet current MC user ratings

TPOTD- 8.3

King Richard- 6.8

Belfast- 6.1

Not to mention the box office floppage.

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204608648

TPOTD MC user score 8.3 (33 ratings)

Belfast 6.1 (38 ratings)

which is the crowd pleaser one again?

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204608644

AMPAS certainly prefers flashy to understated for its acting awards- I hope they both get in but Smit-Phee’s role seems much more baity.

I love Judi Dench but let’s not forget ridiculous Oscar for 7 mins of screen time. Utterly undeserved.

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204608321

I’d say don’t spoil until the end of the season. Especially not after December 1 when many will be seeing it for the first time.

There’s a lot that’s remarkable about the film (and book) and the ending (at least) should be unspoilt!

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204608191

The FYIs are gorgeous. Netflix is serious about campaigning for its first ever BP, and the festival & theatrical run has helped it be a big screen and not just a watch at home movie.

Shy Lurker, this is the place to discuss the film. Just avoid spoilers if you can.

I can’t remember a film that had as much “I need to discuss this with someone!” about it.

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204606768

I might be an outlier but I thought August: Osage County was brilliant.

X

Reply

[OscarWatcher1971 Joined: Sep 24th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204606361

To be honest, I’ve never paid attention to them before and I won’t start now.

Meanwhile, Isabelle Huppert joined Jane Campion at the Paris Cinema Club and called the film “grande”.

X

Reply