Forum Replies Created
May 4, 2021 at 12:32 pm #1204242463
My first Supporting Actress predictions: Frontrunners Thomasin McKenzie, The Power of the Dog Jodie Comer, The Last Duel Olga Mereditz, In the Heights Next in line Nicole Kidman, The Northman Glenn Close, Swan Song On the brink Ann Dowd, Mass Elisabeth Moss, Next Goal Wins Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up Toni Collette, Nightmare Alley Isabelle Huppert, Mrs Harris Goes to Paris Anya Taylor-Joy, Last Night in Soho Strong possibilities Frances Conroy, The Power of the Dog Tiffany Haddish, The Card Counter Rooney Mara, Nightmare Alley Regina King, The Harder They Fall Possibilities Julianne Moore, Dear Evan Hansen Alicia Vikander, Blue Bayou Cate Blanchett, Don’t Look Up Dakota Johnson, Don’t Worry Darling Salma Hayek, House of Gucci Dakota Johnson, The Lost Daughter Ariana DeBose, West Side Story Ruth Negga, Passing Rita Moreno, West Side Story Less likely but possible Rebecca Ferguson, Dune Marlee Matlin, Coda Vanessa Hudgens, Tick, Tick… Boom! Jessica Chastain, The Forgiven Viola Davis, Unforgiven Mary J. Blige, Respect Olivia Colman, Mothering Sunday Ania Taylor-Joy, The Northman Judi Dench, Belfast Bjork, The Northman Diana Rigg, Last Night in Soho Cherry Jones, The Eyes of Tammy Faye Charlotte Rampling, Dune Theoretical possibilities Amy Adams, Dear Evan Hansen Tilda Swinton, The French Dispatch Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard Annette Bening, Death on the Nile Audra McDonald, Respect Alana Haim, Soggy Bottom Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter Kaitlyn Dever, Dear Evan Hansen Amandla Stenberg, Dear Evan Hansen Vera Farmiga, The Many Saints of Newark Terry Moore, Silent Life Haley Bennett, Cyrano
Is there any chance Audra McDonald could be in with a chance for Respect? I don’t know how large the role will end up being, but she is another powerhouse who is an Oscar away from the EGOT, and I’d absolutely love it if she managed it!April 28, 2021 at 1:44 am #1204232935
So so happy for Aimee Lou! An unexpected nomination, but so well deserved! Now hoping she and Ncuti can win their categories!April 27, 2021 at 12:35 pm #1204231957
To be honest, these things are so hard to predict. I never would have thought Colman would be nominated again (don’t get me wrong, she’s wonderful, but I’d seen her on television and bit parts in films for 15 years before The Favourite – it still feels so strange to think she’s an Oscar winner!!!)
<p style=”text-align: left;”>My main HOPES are that the younger crowd (Odom Jr, Ahmed, Seyfried, Mulligan, Kaluuya, Kirby, Stan field, Yeun, Day if she wants to) get vehicles which could result in further Oscar nominations</p>April 27, 2021 at 5:01 am #1204231082
First of all congratulations to Anthony and Frances, they gave really amazing and deserving performances. Secondly, reading through what most of you are posting the consensus is that black people have only ever been recognized for biopics or films about racial injustice and black pain, alot of you are saying that the solution to the lack of recognition of black performers would be to diversify their roles, one of you went as far and even said they would love to see a black woman winning for a comedy like Annie Hall. First of all as much as I agree with all these, all of you are just saying these to defend the Oscars which is still very much a racist institution. You’re saying this when we all know the academy will never recognise a black woman especially in lead acting category if they dont play the aforementioned roles. 2019 gave as a clear outlook of what the academy values when it comes to recognizing black performers. That year we had Lupita Nyong’o playing two roles in a horror movie that was a hit but was still overlooked.( you’re probably about to say, horror bias but Us wasnt that scary at all, in fact Black swan was way more terrifying, but the academy didn’t have any bias against it. If they could watch Black swan they could most definitely have watched Us) Alfre Woodard stunned in her role as a prison warden – her character doesn’t deal with racial injustice or anything to do with black pain, it’s a role that could have been played by a white woman who would have won all the awards. Notably these amazing performances were ignored and the one black actress nominated was for the slave movie. Most of you are saying the Oscar’s should be awarded on merit, and I agree with you, but that has never really been the case. Do you honestly believe that Saoirse Ronan gave a better performance than Alfre, absolutely not but she got nominated.( Again you are probably thinking ” but little woman was more widely seen” and you are right then what about Lupita whose movie was even more widely seen than LW and again do not bring the horror bias. Chadwick Boseman winning would have been a career oscar and maybe that’s why he didn’t win but how many times have white performers been handed career Oscars, last year Brad and Laura dern rode the overdue wave, Meryl Streep for Iron lady the list is endless, but when it came to Chadwick the rules changed, the academy did not want to give career Oscar’s anymore, they wanted to vote based on merit. We are not asking for all winners to be black , we are asking for the playing field to be leveled. If Renee Zellweger could win for her oscar bait performance in a movie with mixed reception then why couldn’t Andra do the same for another oscar bait performance in a movie with mixed reviews. If Frances and Nicole Kidman could win for performances with 29 and 22 minutes on screen then why couldn’t Viola do the same with her equally phenomenal performance with only 26 minutes on screen. If Natalie Portman could win for a horror movie then why couldn’t Lupita even get nominated for her stunning performance in a less terrifying horror movie. For every reason people give for not awarding POCs or for not nominating them there are tons of white actress who faced similar hurdles but still prevailed, the only issue is when it comes to black performers the rules change. Last year when Lupita was sweeping critics awards, a lot of GD users and even journalists claimed that those critic groups do not matter but this year, the tone was different, the fact that Carrey had won alot of critic awards was brought up at every point by journalists and that helped her great deal. The rules changed. This year the new excuse is international voters, a majority of whom are still white, and saying they don’t care about narratives is a lie, they gave Brad and Laura the oscar.White people dont value black talent and that’s the thing. The problem is not international voters, the problem is that most voters are white and they have unconscious bias. What I have learnt from these discussions over the course of this award season is that most white people are still indifferent towards recognizing black talent. The Oscar’s dont like handing out quick wins but this year they said they would rather award Frances her second win in 3 years than to give a black woman the award for the second time in 93 years.
In addition, let’s not forget the “But MRBB/ONIM were adapted from the stage and they’re TOO THEATRE-Y” tripe, when The Father was also adapted from the stage and was just as theatre-y, yet got the Adapted Screenplay win and Picture nom that was denied to MRBB/ONIM.April 27, 2021 at 3:59 am #1204231024
Now THIS is a thread for me – Animation is my jam!
- The Incredibles
- Inside Out
- Toy Story 3
- Spirited Away
- Spider Man: Into the Spiderverse
- Finding Nemo
- Big Hero 6
- Wallace and Gromit: Curse of the Were Rabbit
- Toy Story 4
- Happy Feet
But basically they are all amazing bar the last two!
(however, whilst I like Brave, I still believe Paranorman should have won that year (and if it had, it would be top 5 on this list! Paranorman is amazing and deserves more love!)April 25, 2021 at 1:35 pm #1204222113
Keeping everything crossed for a legendary Viola Davis win – but think (/fear) it will be a McDormand win (no offence to McDormand herself – I just don’t “gel” with Nomadland – it’s too American for me)April 24, 2021 at 8:10 pm #1204220248
I love how the Viola fan club take everything so personal. Cough cough 7-Eleven and Luca. Honey Chile we have to laugh. Take a chill pill Huns. “How dare anyone criticize the black Meryl Streep Omg!.” If Lil Tony doesn’t like her, he has the right to express his dislike for her.
Don’t @ Luca – he’s an institution on these forums for a reason. You are not. Check yourselfApril 23, 2021 at 6:22 pm #1204218257
Possibly an odd suggestion, but on reading a description of the role, and the idea that Zeller has someone in mind, the first person I thought was Asa Butterfield. He’s possibly a bit old now (24),but still looks very young – in a certain light he could easily pass as the child of Jackman and Dern, and (completely subjective, of course) he just feels like he’d be convincing in the roleApril 20, 2021 at 5:35 am #1204211029
I’m black so I can use it purrr.
I’m not sure that’s an excuse – particularly when used in a derogatory manner. It is similar to people who call my mother-in-law “oreo” or “coconut” because she married a white man.
I may disagree with that user, but there is no excuse for anybody to use racist slurs because of that disagreementApril 20, 2021 at 5:26 am #1204211023
You’re doing fine. The other user is a who admires Green Book.
Thank you for saying I’m doing fine, however if that emoji means what I think it means, I do not endorse its use. I have only ever seen that used as a racial slur and that is 100% not something which I agree with or endorseApril 20, 2021 at 5:11 am #1204211008
I think a stronger argument can be made that an actress in the category will receive the “veteran” vote. I noticed in almost every precursor there had been a veteran actress winning. At the Globes you had Foster and Pike, while not very much a veteran, beating newcomer Bakalova. Viola Davis won at SAG. BAFTA carried Hopkins and Frances etc. So assuming voters will be backing a veteran, Davis and Frances will be the main benefactors of this voting block. I do not think the old white man vote will come to play since they failed to get News of the World nominated lol. Also 9/20 POC acting nominees. The block does not seem it will be quite active this year considering the pandemic affecting the entirety of award season and not being quite as enthusiastic to rally behind their voting choices.
Just noticed this from earlier – my original post outlined that the Old White Man vote I described is not just because of race, but also because of Mulligan’s film touching upon subjects they don’t wish to engage with (see Lady Gaga’s snub for Til It Happens To You). For a large block of voters, this can essentially rule out three of the five nominees, and the veteran factor is what will result in McDormand getting votes over Kirby. But the Old White Man vote is what gets to the point where the choices are between two nominees (rather than in previous years where that might get more diluted)April 20, 2021 at 4:57 am #1204210988
I seem to fit what bill exactly? Awwwwww….you think i’m White. Poor thing. Let me introduce myself to ya: I’m the black brotha that had Green Book on top and cheered when it won (fake overblown outrage be damned). Three Billboards? That’s my type of film. You see where i’m going with this? My skin color does not define what i like and enjoy. And people (especially white critics) do not get to tell me what i should be outraged about, what racism is, and what is quality in films. In this house we don’t just support everyone black because we’re black. No sir! Ma Rainy, 12 Year A Slave and Selma? Not my cup of tea. I like my black films and my black representation sappy free, manipulative free. Oscar bait free. As always:
Not sure if I can take anybody seriously who praises Driving Miss Daisy 2.0 and insults 12 Years.
I will say, I DO agree on wanting there to be better diversity in roles rather than the only films discussing black stories discussing race and racism. Being a gay man, I feel similarly with gay characters in films/television ONLY ever focusing on the homophobia/coming out stories etc. It’s why I like Schitt’s Creek so much, because that isn’t a factor. I do 100% agree that I would like more roles for black/non-White leads that do not entirely revolve around race – there are so many more stories to tell. But that didn’t devalue stories that discuss race, because that is a huge factor historically and continues into the present day. Not telling the stories would be a disservice just as much as only telling those stories is.
(For context, I am not black myself, but my partner is. When discussing this, I try to take into account that I am not black and therefore will have different experiences. I base this on a mix of my own views and his)April 20, 2021 at 2:42 am #1204210848
<p style=”text-align: left;”>Looking at your posts you seem to fit that bill (I’m sure the fact that every other post of yours is hating on Ma Rainey is “just a coincidence”), so I’m sure you didn’t already know McDormand had the old white man vote *eye roll</p>April 20, 2021 at 2:26 am #1204210827
I do agree that this year has been amazing for representation, and if Boseman/Davis/Kaluuya/Youn pull it off, we’d have the double whammy of both an all non-White group of winners, but also the (in my opinion) best acting choices this season.
I just think, if any category is going to be most impacted by the “old white man” block, it’ll be this one. The other three acting categories have such strong stand outs that the threshold for a winning margin will be much higher. With this category split so much that the votes needed to win will be much lower, I think the old white man vote will tip the scales in McDormand’s favour (which frustrates me as I put my hands up and say that Nomadland doesn’t really resonate with me. I can see the craft of it, but the film itself doesn’t really click with me (it feels very American though, so this may be why!))