1. Lady Bird
2. Call Me By Your Name
3. Phantom Thread
4. Dunkirk
5. Get Out
6. The Shape of Water
7. The Post
8. Darkest Hour
9. Three Billboards

Something to think about:
Moonlight, Zero BAFTAs – Best Picture Oscar
Spotlight, Only one BAFTA (Screenplay) – Best Picture Oscar
Birdman, Only one BAFTA (Cinematography) – Best Picture Oscar

Whatever your favorite film is this year, if it doesn’t do well at BAFTA this weekend, don’t fret. It still has a chance at the Oscars.

The applause was the strongest for Dekalb. Then probably after that Watu Wote was second as far as the amount of people clapping. The other three were about the same as far as that factor.

I did overhear some people in the lobby talking about My Nephew Emmett and said that was the most powerful of the five. I did ask the manager what film was…[Read more]

I saw the Live Action Shorts at the Nuart Theater in LA last night. I personally was most impressed by Dekalb Elementary because of the acting. It also got the most applause out of all of them at the end credits. It’s also has the best reviews on Letterboxd. However, on IMDB currently it has a 7.4/10, which actually puts it in fourth place there.…[Read more]

I think Three Billboards will win BAFTA. However, BAFTA has not matched the Oscars for the past three years. PGA missed two years in a row but that’s better than missing three years in a row.

However, Argo swept all of the most important guilds that year: PGA, DGA, SAG, WGA and the ACE Eddie.

Driving Miss Daisy was the last film before Argo to get snubbed for Director and still win Picture. It won PGA and WGA. (SAG wasn’t around back then.)

It seems like this year’s winner will be like Braveheart one way or another. Winning WGA before the Oscars (Get Out) or winning without SAG ensemble (The Shape of Water).

This year: Ingrid Goes West and Battle of the Sexes

All time: Zodiac and Love & Mercy

BAFTA gave Best Cinematography to the original Blade Runner and to Deakins three times before. He also has three ASC Awards. I think that puts him in a strong position to win both BAFTA and ASC this year.

Even though the Critics’ Choice award for cinematography has only been around since 2009, it is promising that they gave it to Deakins this year after five previous losses. 2011 is the only year in which Critics Choice and Oscar didn’t match.

When the Annie Award winning short is nominated for the Oscar, it has won 50% of the time. Not a slum dunk stat.

I got burned with Get A Horse and World of Tomorrow so I’m not ready to pick Kobe as the winner just yet.

I think Rockwell is safe. His main hurdle was potential vote splitting with Harrelson but he overcame that at SAG.

Every time a co-star beats another from the same movie at SAG, they have gone on to win the Oscar:

Catherine Zeta-Jones – Chicago (Queen Latifah also nominated)
Javier Bardem – No Country for Old Men (Tommy Lee Jones also…[Read more]

If you or anyone else in LA hasn’t seen it yet, it is playing at the Vista: A nice sized one screen movie house with nice sound that shows 35mm film prints. The bargain matinee is $6.50 for the 2pm show.

Ok. I’ll make one 🙂 I wasn’t sure if someone had made one for this year.