Forum Replies Created
January 31, 2019 at 11:33 am #1202756767
I like your choices Brayden! I wish some of these had made it in.
Especially disappointed that there was no love for Love, Simon or American Animals or other ones not on your list: Leave No Trace or Hearts Beat Loud.
One last push, for your consideration
American Animals for Best Supporting Actor and Best Film Editing
Black Panther for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Ensemble, Best Supporting Actor, Best Supporting Actress (Danai Gurira), Best Film Editing, Best Costume Design, Best Production Design, Best Score, Best Sound and Best Original Song
Dumplin’ for Best Original Song
The Hate U Give for Best Picture, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, Best Ensemble and Best Adapted Screenplay. (Bonus for Best Breakthrough Performer)
Isle of Dogs for Best Picture, Best Animated Feature, Best Director, Best Original Screenplay, Best Score, Best Production Design, Best Sound Design.
Love, Simon for Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Ensemble and Best Original Song. (Bonus for Best Breakthrough Performer)
Paddington 2 for Best Picture, Best Supporting Actor, Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Production Design, Best Visual Effects.
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse for Best Picture, Best Animated Feature, Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Original Song and Best Sound
You Were Never Really Here for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Film Editing, Best Adapted ScreenplayJanuary 8, 2019 at 4:22 pm #1202726450
Could American Animals be added for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Cinematography, Best Supporting Actor x2 (Peters & Jenner), Best Film Editing and Original Screenplay. Please and thank you, much appreciated
Great request! I hope American Animals gets added to more categories soon including Best Score.February 26, 2018 at 10:16 am #1202501212
1. Lady Bird
2. Call Me By Your Name
3. Phantom Thread
5. Get Out
6. The Shape of Water
7. The Post
8. Darkest Hour
9. Three BillboardsFebruary 16, 2018 at 4:21 pm #1202495293
Something to think about:
Moonlight, Zero BAFTAs – Best Picture Oscar
Spotlight, Only one BAFTA (Screenplay) – Best Picture Oscar
Birdman, Only one BAFTA (Cinematography) – Best Picture Oscar
Whatever your favorite film is this year, if it doesn’t do well at BAFTA this weekend, don’t fret. It still has a chance at the Oscars.February 12, 2018 at 2:40 am #1202492280
PGA preferential can’t be compared to the Oscars since they have gone with different winners the past couple of years.
I think Three Billboards will win BAFTA. However, BAFTA has not matched the Oscars for the past three years. PGA missed two years in a row but that’s better than missing three years in a row.February 12, 2018 at 12:08 am #1202492236
The Directing snub stat isn’t that big of a deal since Argo overcame it just over a few years ago.
However, Argo swept all of the most important guilds that year: PGA, DGA, SAG, WGA and the ACE Eddie.
Driving Miss Daisy was the last film before Argo to get snubbed for Director and still win Picture. It won PGA and WGA. (SAG wasn’t around back then.)February 11, 2018 at 8:57 pm #1202492129
I also wonder if its awards at both DGA and PGA may have hurt its chances to win the big prizes there, thus obscuring how we look at its overall standing in the BP race.
problem with Get Out is all the past BP winners after Braveheart won a BP at least in one of CC/BAFTA/GG/PGA or SAG ensemble as the bare minimum. Spotlight won BP at CC. Moonlight won GG. Crash is the only one which lost everywhere for BP but won SAG ensemble.
Get Out hasn’t won any of those unless u count that special award at PGA. It’d still have to pull a Braveheart which lost all of those or weren’t nominated.
It seems like this year’s winner will be like Braveheart one way or another. Winning WGA before the Oscars (Get Out) or winning without SAG ensemble (The Shape of Water).February 8, 2018 at 7:11 pm #1202490389
This year: Ingrid Goes West and Battle of the Sexes
All time: Zodiac and Love & MercyFebruary 8, 2018 at 12:05 pm #1202490165
Close this thread. Don’t jinx this.
Deakins likely isn’t winning the Oscar with or without this thread. No need to be superstitious. I can’t buy Blade Runner winning more than 1 Oscar due to it being somewhat of a divisive film that bombed at the box office. Only if Deakins wins both ASC and Bafta will I buy that he has a realistic shot at winning. For now, Lausten is the safest bet since TSOW is also winning Director.
BAFTA gave Best Cinematography to the original Blade Runner and to Deakins three times before. He also has three ASC Awards. I think that puts him in a strong position to win both BAFTA and ASC this year.February 6, 2018 at 2:10 pm #1202488804
Even though the Critics’ Choice award for cinematography has only been around since 2009, it is promising that they gave it to Deakins this year after five previous losses. 2011 is the only year in which Critics Choice and Oscar didn’t match.February 2, 2018 at 11:34 am #1202486056
I think Rockwell is safe. His main hurdle was potential vote splitting with Harrelson but he overcame that at SAG.
Every time a co-star beats another from the same movie at SAG, they have gone on to win the Oscar:
Catherine Zeta-Jones – Chicago (Queen Latifah also nominated)
Javier Bardem – No Country for Old Men (Tommy Lee Jones also nominated)
Melissa Leo – The Fighter (Amy Adams also nominated)
Octavia Spencer – The Help (Jessica Chastain also nominated)February 1, 2018 at 10:47 pm #1202485676
Do you my experience seeing Inherent Vice? I saw Inherent Vice for free at the Egyptian in LA. It was the earliest gala screening for cast and crew. Paul was there did a mega brief introduction and the movie played with a pristine 35 mm print. You’d think all the royal details would have made the movie on first viewing more enjoyable. But the movie itself is a delicate and challenging exercise of cinema.
If the presence of cast and crew and the best possible screening conditions didn’t make me like the movie more spending 20 dollars without the extra seems too tall an order.
If you or anyone else in LA hasn’t seen it yet, it is playing at the Vista: A nice sized one screen movie house with nice sound that shows 35mm film prints. The bargain matinee is $6.50 for the 2pm show.January 30, 2018 at 8:07 pm #1202483868
Rather than start a new thread or maybe someone should, what current Oscar prediction has the highest odds and why are you picking it?
This should be a new thread
Ok. I’ll make one 🙂 I wasn’t sure if someone had made one for this year.January 30, 2018 at 8:05 pm #1202483866
Popularity is definitely a factor. However, YouTube success doesn’t always guarantee a win. “Everything is Awesome!!!” has 55 million views to Glory’s 19 million. “When I See You Again” from Furious 7 has 3.3 billion views and they didn’t even nominate it.
Songs that I usually go with fall into multiple (not just one of these) categories:
* something from Disney (not always but often)
* something from a big box office hit (Titanic, Skyfall, Spectre, Lord of the Rings: Return of the King, etc.) because it is more likely the voter will either remember the song or just pick it because they liked the movie
* something from a movie about music (La La Land, Once, Crazy Heart, Hustle & Flow, 8 Mile)
* prior winner (Globe or Critics Choice)
* something from a film that is nominated in other categories especially if it is a Best Picture contender (La La Land, Slumdog, Inconvenient Truth – not up for Picture but was the Doc frontrunner) because if they like a movie enough they will likely vote for it in more than one category
Coco checks all these boxes I look for so I’m going with that. I know Paskek & Paul won last year but Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez are former winners too for Frozen.