Skip to content

GoldDerby

Predict Hollywood Races
Get our free, urgent prediction updates and news
Sign Up
  • Log In
  • Register
  • Predictions
    • Predictions by Experts, Editors, Users
      • Oscar Predictions by Experts
      • Oscar Predictions by Editors
      • Oscar Predictions by Top 24 Users
      • Oscar Predictions by All Star Users
      • Emmy Noms Predictions by Experts
      • SAG Film Predictions by Experts
      • SAG TV Predictions by Top 24 Users
      • Producers Guild Predictions by Top 24 Users
      • Directors Guild Predictions by Editors
      • BAFTA Film Predictions by Experts
      • Grammys Predictions by Editors
      • Line Graphs & Bar Graphs
      • Lobby: Make Your Predictions
    • Odds & Rankings
      • Oscar Predictions Odds: Combined
      • Oscar Predictions Odds: Experts
      • Oscar Predictions Odds: Editors
      • Oscar Predictions Odds: Top 24 Users
      • Oscar Predictions Odds: All Star Users
      • Emmy Noms Predictions Odds: Combined
      • SAG Film Predictions Odds: Combined
      • SAG TV Predictions Odds: Combined
      • Producers Guild Predictions Odds: Combined
      • Directors Guild Predictions Odds: Combined
      • BAFTA Film Predictions Odds: Combined
      • Grammys Predictions Odds: Combined
      • Box Office Predictions Odds
    • Leaderboards: See All Past Prediction Accuracy Scores
      • Leaderboards: Best Prediction Accuracy Scores for Film, TV and Music Awards
      • Leaderboards: Best TV Show Predictions by Gold Derby Users
      • Leaderboards: Box Office Accuracy Scores
      • Best Prediction Scores: Recent
      • Leaderboards: Points scores
      • Predictions: Compare Accuracy Rates
      • Official Game & Contest Rules
      • How to Make Predictions at Gold Derby
    • Find a User or Expert / Download Gold Derby’s Free, New App
      • Find a User or Expert
      • Down free from Apple Store
      • Download free from Google Play (Android)
    • Free News Alerts & Trivia Quizzes
      • Sign Up: For Our FREE Urgent Newsletter
      • Trivia Quizzes
  • Forums
    • Popular
      • Forums
      • Movies
      • Television
      • Music
      • Theater
      • Daytime TV
      • Reality TV
      • General Discussion
    • More
      • Games! Let’s Play Games!
      • Polls!
      • Members
  • Reality TV
    • RuPaul’s Drag Race 15
      • Drag Race Predictions: Who will win?
      • Drag Race Users Leaderboard
      • Drag Race News & Recaps
      • PHOTOS: Drag Race winners list
      • All Reality TV Leaderboards
      • All Reality TV Photo Galleries
    • Survivor 44
      • Survivor Predictions: Who will win?
      • Survivor Users Leaderboard — Coming Soon!
      • Survivor News & Recaps
      • SPEAK UP: Survivor forum discussion
      • PHOTOS: Survivor winners list
    • The Voice 22
      • The Voice Predictions: Who will win?
      • The Voice Users Leaderboard
      • The Voice News & Recaps
      • Join The Voice forum discussion
      • PHOTOS: The Voice winners list
    • Big Brother 24
      • Big Brother Predictions: Who will win?
      • Big Brother Users Leaderboard
      • Big Brother News & Recaps
      • SPEAK UP: Big Brother forum discussion
      • PHOTOS: Big Brother winners list
  • Galleries
  • Videos
    • Videos: Stars, Experts & Editors
      • Exclusive Q&As: 2023 Oscar Contenders
      • Watch our video interviews with top awards contenders: directors, producers, below-the-line artisans and …
      • Watch our lively predictions slugfests with Experts and Editors
  • Make Your Predictions!
Profile picture

Heptapod

Members Since

Sep 08, 2021

Last Login

Feb 06, 2023

Game Points

357168

Quiz Points

0

Total Points

357168

  • Profile
  • Friends 4
  • Forum Activity
  • Forum Topics
  • Current predictions
  • See All predictions
  • Topics Started
  • Replies Created
  • Engagements
  • Favorites

Forum Replies Created

Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 1,009 total)
1 2 3 … 66 67 68

  • Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    February 2, 2023 at 12:37 pm #1205281225

    My current predicted winners…

    (I know it’s foolish to bet against Succession in Writing but we’re early enough that I’m gonna go for the more surprising pick. If Better Call Saul wasn’t almost guaranteed to oversubmit and have multiple episodes nominated, I’d predict it.)

    SERIES:
    Succession

    ACTOR:
    Pedro Pascal

    ACTRESS:
    Melanie Lynskey

    SUPPORTING ACTOR:
    Matthew Macfadyen

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
    jennifer Coolidge

    WRITING:
    The White Lotus

    DIRECTING:
    The Last of Us

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

    X
    Reply

    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    February 2, 2023 at 12:30 pm #1205281202

    The first PEN15 writing nomination (while very deserved) felt incredibly random on the day of.

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

    X
    Reply

    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    February 1, 2023 at 12:07 pm #1205279837

    Strange that Apple hasn’t dropped a release date yet for Masters of the Air, but the fact that it seemingly wrapped production a while ago and was front and center in their recent promotional ad makes me think it’ll be announced any day now. We’ll probably get a mid to late March release date and a trailer premiere during the Oscars so they can slap “Academy Award nominees Austin Butler, Barry Keoghan, and Steven Spielberg” on it.

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

    X
    Reply

    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    February 1, 2023 at 11:51 am #1205279805

    Emmy voters when I bribe them all into voting for Rose Byrne

    Rose Byrne

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

    X
    Reply

    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    January 31, 2023 at 8:26 pm #1205278964

    Praying that The Other Two can get Schitt’s Creek’d.

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

    X
    Reply

    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    January 21, 2023 at 6:19 pm #1205256700

    The Menu in Picture… we are starting to crack. Announce the nominations now before we all truly go insane!!!

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

    X
    Reply

    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    January 21, 2023 at 6:17 pm #1205256696

    Angela Bassett
    Hong Chau
    Kerry Condon
    Stephanie Hsu

    And no clue what’s going on in that last slot LMAO. Am I overthinking and JLC is there after all? Jessie Buckley comeback like last year? Nina Hoss? Michelle Williams pulling a Lakeith? A crazy surprise like Lashana Lynch? I change my mind every two hours…

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

    X
    Reply

    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    January 21, 2023 at 6:07 pm #1205256676
    Moviebuff22 wrote:

    Does Tobey get credited with an oscar nomination of Babylon gets into BP?

    No. To receive a nomination, you have to have received a simple “producer” credit (not “executive producer” or “co-producer” or anything like that). Tobey was an executive producer, so he’d miss out. This is also why Brad Pitt wouldn’t be a nominee if Women Talking made the lineup, as he was an executive producer through his production company Plan B Entertainment. However, Frances McDormand would! It all just comes down to who actually put in the work to getting the movie made, as a lot of those producer credits with prefixes can be vanity credits easily slapped on trailers.

    Babylon’s nominated team would just be Olivia Hamilton, Marc Platt, and Matthew Plouffe. (Fun fact that I found out doing this research: Hamilton plays the “two beats, then tear” female director of Nellie La Roy’s first film, also making her one of the SAG Ensemble nominees! Very cool!)

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

    X
    Reply

    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    January 20, 2023 at 8:55 pm #1205255745
    BurgerFriesSoda wrote:

    And then here are the Supporting Actor nominees that got nominated for BAFTA, Golden Globes, and SAG and then missed the Oscar nomination since 2000…

    He’s even getting snubbed from statistic lists…

    Chalamet

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

    X
    Reply

    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    January 20, 2023 at 8:00 pm #1205255703

    How I see nomination numbers shaking out. Italicized films are the Best Picture nominees.

    (I think The Whale will be Ma Rainey 2.0 and be win-competitive for a few categories but still miss out in Picture)

    Everything Everywhere All at Once (10)
    All Quiet on the Western Front (9)
    The Banshees of Inisherin (7)
    The Fabelmans (7)
    Babylon (6)
    Elvis (6)
    Top Gun: Maverick (6)
    Avatar: The Way of Water (5)
    Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (5)
    TÁR (4)
    The Whale (4)
    The Woman King (4)
    The Batman (3)
    Women Talking (3)
    Aftersun (2)
    Empire of Light (1)
    Glass Onion (1)
    Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (3)
    Living (1)
    Nope (1)
    RRR (1)
    She Said (1)
    Tell It Like a Woman (1)
    Thirteen Lives (1)
    Till (1)

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

    X
    Reply

    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    January 20, 2023 at 7:46 pm #1205255689

    Throwing all caution to the wind and putting The Woman King into Picture. No guts no glory, am I right?

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

    X
    Reply

    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    January 20, 2023 at 7:44 pm #1205255687

    Deluding myself into thinking she still has a chance…

    Lashana Lynch

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)


    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    January 19, 2023 at 8:14 pm #1205254620

    Am I going to enjoy it when Stephanie Hsu gets the nomination she’s had locked and loaded since SAG?

    Yes

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)


    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    January 19, 2023 at 4:43 pm #1205254413

    One thing I am VERY happy about from this season is the fact that the acting nominees will likely be an overwhelming number of first-timers! The only category that isn’t super likely to be at least 4/5 Oscar newcomers is Best Actress, which is honestly pretty awesome.

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

    X
    Reply

    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
    Topics:
    3
    Posts:
    1009
    View Predictions
    January 19, 2023 at 4:28 pm #1205254395

    Eddie Redmayne is giving me Ruth Negga vibes. He’s a well-liked familiar awards name (Globe boost) from the UK (BAFTA boost) with built-in visibility from being in a Netflix movie (SAG boost). His performance is well-liked, but he’s no one’s favorite, and no one really gives a s**t about his movie other than his performance. I hate myself for comparing meh-sterpiece The Good Nurse to masterpiece Passing, but the two performers seem similarly positioned, vulnerable to someone from a more popular film (like Pitt or Hirsch).

    This is applicable to all categories, but it feels especially relevant here: we shouldn’t let ourselves become too swayed by BAFTA snubs. They almost always get the eventual winner in there, but half the nominees are chosen by a jury (Redmayne almost certainly being one of those “saves” this year), and they didn’t get all 5 Oscar nominees in any category last year.

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

    X
    Reply
    Why are you reporting this post? (optional):
    Not now
Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 1,009 total)
1 2 3 … 66 67 68

Stay informed with our weekly Newsletter

Get our free, urgent prediction updates and news
Sign Up
Notifications
View
Settings
Close
  • About Us
  • Advertise
  • Newsletter
  • Terms of Use
  • Privacy Policy
  • California Privacy Rights
  • AdChoices
  • EU Privacy Preferences
  • Contact Us
  • Your Privacy Rights
  • Accessibility

  • Deadline
  • variety.com
  • Hollywoodlife
  • IndieWire
  • TV Line
  • BGR
  • WWD
  • Footwearnews

Gold Derby is a part of Penske Media Corporation. © 2023 Gold Derby Media, LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Deadline Media

ad