[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204740434

We’re seriously discussing the possibility of a Power of the Dog snub?

Has the season really already gotten THAT boring?

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[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204740406

I quite liked Nightmare Alley, and I would be very happy to see Blanchett get in (her nod was the only good surprise at SAG lol), but yeah, I don’t think she’s happening. Again, never say never, but this is a classic case of SAG name checking a veteran that the Oscars won’t look twice at.

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[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204739036

Kaluuya was basically a streaming winner. The movie only made $7 million, and I think you’d be hard-pressed to find anyone who didn’t watch it on HBO Max.

[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204739016

It’s still pandemic times. I don’t think anyone really cares about the streaming distinction anymore. I mean,
most are predicting TPOTD for most of the major categories. And Being the Ricardos was released in theaters, granted not super widely, but about as much as Nomadland and Judas were, both of which were basically streaming releases.

[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204738998

Kidman wouldn’t be a bad winner necessarily, but there are so many phenomenal other performances in this category that I’d be hugely disappointed if hers was the one they chose. Never mind the performances that have been getting paid dust like Comer and Thompson; Colman, Stewart, and Chastain ran laps around her. Kidman also pumps out award-worthy performances nearly every year, if they really want to give her a second Oscar I hope they just wait for the next one, because I have no doubt she’ll deliver something much more impressive very soon.

[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204738988

Significant contenders I still haven’t seen that could end up here: Benedetta, Cyrano, Flee, The Green Knight, Jockey, Mass, Nine Days, Petite Maman, Test Pattern, The Worst Person in the World

Best Picture – Drive My Car

C’mon C’mon
The French Dispatch
The Humans
Licorice Pizza
Passing
The Power of the Dog
Spencer
Titane
The Tragedy of Macbeth

Best Director – Julia Ducournau, Titane

Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Drive My Car
Pablo Larraín, Spencer
Denis Villeneuve, Dune

Best Actress – Kristen Stewart, Spencer

Jodie Comer, The Last Duel
Rebecca Hall, The Night House
Agathe Rousselle, Titane
Tessa Thompson, Passing

Best Actor – Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog

Andrew Garfield, Tick Tick Boom
Hidetoshi Nishijima, Drive My Car
Simon Rex, Red Rocket
Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth

Best Supporting Actress – Ruth Negga, Passing

Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans
Riley Keough, Zola
(Ugh, kills me to leave Kathryn Hunter and Tôko Miura out. My lineup for this will change depending on the day.)

Best Supporting Actor – Woody Norman, C’mon C’mon

Troy Kotsur, CODA
Masaki Okada, Drive My Car
Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
Jeffrey Wright, The French Dispatch

Best Original Screenplay – Licorice Pizza

C’mon C’mon
The French Dispatch
Shiva Baby
Together Together

Best Adapted Screenplay – Drive My Car

The Humans
The Lost Daughter
Passing
The Power of the Dog

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[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204738840

Stefania wrote:

Do you think “The French Dispatch” is in by the way? I didn’t particularly like that screenplay, but it seems to be doing okay with critics prizes.

I wouldn’t be shocked to see it get in just because Wes Anderson is so well-liked, and the film itself is popular enough, but I think it has enough detractors (and those dectractors’ biggest complaint is its screenplay) that the film will get nominated for its strengths, i.e. Production Design/Score/Costumes and miss out here.

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[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204738786

Now having seen Drive My Car, I can confirm that it should be winning in a landslide. Unfortunately it won’t because Janus is such a weak studio for campaigns, but I’m now confident that it’ll be nominated. Its main obstacle right now is definitely visibility, but that’s what free screeners are for, and the people who have seen it will probably be putting it at the top of their ballots. This movie deserves everything.

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[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204737259

Best Picture: George Clooney
Best Director: Chloé Zhao
Best Actor: Frances McDormand
Best Actress: Geena Davis and Susan Sarandon
Best Supporting Actor: Youn Yuh-jung
Best Supporting Actress: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Original Screenplay: Ana de Armas and Don Cheadle
Best Adapted Screenplay: Bill Murray and Aubrey Plaza
Best Animated Feature and Short: Saniyya Sidney and Demi Singleton
Best International Feature: Hugh Jackman
Best Documentary Feature and Short: Holly Hunter
Best Live Action Short: Keke Palmer and Timothée Chalamet
Best Cinematography: Sigourney Weaver
Best Costume Design: Dolly Parton
Best Film Editing: Dakota Johnson and Jake Gyllenhaal
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Keanu Reeves
Best Original Score: Emily Blunt and Sarah Paulson
Best Original Song: Alana, Danielle, and Este Haim
Best Production Design: Anne Hathaway
Best Sound: Jon Bernthal and Lupita Nyong’o
Best Visual Effects: Anya Taylor-Joy and Taron Egerton

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[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204736047

Would love to see the Haim sisters present Original Song.

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[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204734421

Donald Sutherland in Ordinary People

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[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204734262

Since it’s pretty unlikely Anthony Hopkins would attend the ceremony, I would love to see Geena Davis and Susan Sarandon present Best Actress to celebrate the 30th anniversary of Thelma & Louise.

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[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204733140

Now that we know all the ineligibilities, my WGA predix!

Original
C’mon C’mon
Don’t Look Up
The French Dispatch
Licorice Pizza
Red Rocket

Adapted
CODA
Dune
The Last Duel
Tick Tick Boom
West Side Story

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[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204733135

I think Tick Tick Boom and Being the Ricardos will hit PGA but be replaced by Macbeth and Drive My Car at the Oscars.

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[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 382 View Predictions]

#1204730772

kamila wrote:

Everyone keeps talking about what’s getting the 10th slot but I’m not sure if there’s even agreement on what has the 9th slot.

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