[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203726792

braydenfitzsimmons wrote:

Baranski is gonna be next year’s Reese, huh?

Don’t kill my hope just one day into the new Emmy season…

Formerly known as PianoMann.

Reply

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203723545

Regrets, regrets…

I had “Hunting” in first since the predictions center opened, but just recently switched to “Tears” since it seems like the far and away frontrunner. There’s no question in my mind that “Hunting” is the better directed episode, though…

Such regrets…

Formerly known as PianoMann.

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203720922

estrelas wrote:

With Cox and Strong, the scenario is quite different. There isn’t a consensus on who’s the standout of the two but I do sense a much bigger passion towards Strong. I did have Cox winning but I ended up switching to Strong. He seems to be a passion pick for many.

Agreed entirely. I’m really just belaboring the point until I inevitably switch to Strong.

Formerly known as PianoMann.

Reply

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203720832

marty wrote:

[T]he tape system didn’t erase the fact that actors from the same show were still competing for votes when they were nominated in the same category.

Voters used to fill out a ranked ballot, though, so a “Succession” fan could’ve ranked Culkin, Macfadyen, and Braun 1, 2, and 3 and therefore not “split” their vote. Now they have to make a single choice, hence the imminent threat of vote-splitting in all of the categories with 2+ nominees.

Formerly known as PianoMann.

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203720779

wolfali wrote:

I’ve got Culkin, Strong and Happy Ending.

Thanks, wolfali! I think Culkin is compelling and I’ll probably switch.

The only pause I have with Strong is that, yes, like Comer he’s the discovery of the series, but Cox gives the bigger, louder performance à la Comer. Strong feels akin to Sandra Oh last year, ironically, in that they both give more subtle, internally tortured, and nuanced turns. That didn’t pan out for Oh, so I’m not sure it will for Strong, either. I’m still mulling the switch, but I also hate to drop Cox after having him since the beginning.

I think Maisel losing DGA this year with three episodes speaks to the risk in Directing tonight. Switching to Happy Ending, but I’m so uneasy about it.

Formerly known as PianoMann.

Reply

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203720756

wolfali wrote:

Helena Bonham Carter –> Sarah Snook

marty wrote:

HBC -> Snook

William Gillquist wrote:

Carter ––> Snook

Love to see it.

Formerly known as PianoMann.

Reply

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203720601

I’m thinking about making these moves. Convince me:

Borstein ––> Murphy

Comedy or Cabbage ––> Happy Ending

Cox ––> Strong

Crudup ––> Culkin

Irons ––> Jackman

 

Formerly known as PianoMann.

Reply

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203720306

wolfali wrote:

With Directing I actually have put Hunting in second. I think Succession could either split in this category or both Hunting and This is Not For Tears are way ahead of everything else. Let’s not forget a lot of the directors probably see Hunting as “boar on the floor” and if you’ve seen the show considering how much of a big deal that was it could tip things in Andrij Parekh’s favour. I’ve also seen lots of publications predict it for the win and it could actually be our surprise winner here (hence why I have it second).

I had “Hunting” in first since the predictions center opened, but just recently switched to “Tears” since it seems like the far and away frontrunner. There’s no question in my mind that “Hunting” is the better directed episode, though…

Formerly known as PianoMann.

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203716583

wolfali wrote:

Has anyone mentioned the possibility of Harriet Walter winning G. Actress because if she wins I think that helps Strong and Culkin win as it would mean voters are voting based on both seasons.

I had Walter up until the prediction center closed, but I ultimately switched to Jones. I’d love nothing more than a Walter victory, though. I think a Cromwell wins proves your point, regardless. Plus he had better material in Season 1 than Walter did.

Formerly known as PianoMann.

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203614987

wolfali wrote:

So there is a possibility for Insecure to win.

Definitely an uphill battle, but it’s possible that it gets some Program votes from the Writing and Directing branches despite the snubs. They over-submitted on the ballot: 5 episodes in Directing, 3 in Writing. But it’s clear writers don’t love the series as much as Shadows, which got all three of its scripts nominated.

Formerly known as PianoMann.

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203614958

wolfali wrote:

Has any show won Comedy Series without getting nominations for Writing or Directing?

Yes, but it happens infrequently––5 Comedy Series wins in the last 20 years without a Writing nomination, 3 Series wins without Directing. Friends won without either nomination in 2002, but that was before voting rules changed slightly in 2015. Ditto Modern Family, which won three years in a row without a Writing nomination, but it won Directing each of those times.

I did a deep dive on this yesterday here.

Formerly known as PianoMann.

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203612360

Atypical wrote:

Those pics look so bad. If the trailer’s bad too, then sorry Ms. Paulson, it’ll be a hard pass for me.

Agreed. Why do these pictures have the glitz and sheen of a Feud or Hollywood? The full set from Vanity Fair look even more egregious. It seems so far off the mark…

Formerly known as PianoMann.

Reply

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203612241

Carlo wrote:

Brian Cox (ALT. Jeremy Strong)

Sarah Snook (ALT. Fiona Shaw)

Based on the season, Cox and Snook as Succession‘s two acting wins sounds just right. If Cox doesn’t win––because of Strong support––I think it’s more than likely Bateman.

Formerly known as PianoMann.

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203607947

justonemorething wrote:

Why are Bobby Berk and Barbara Corcoran nomiated for reality hosts? Just nominate the whole group, no?

They are all nominated. The complete list of nominees has the five for Queer Eye and the six for Shark Tank.

Formerly known as PianoMann.

Reply

[David Buchanan Joined: Nov 5th, 2010 Topics: 42 Posts: 2481 View Predictions]

#1203581427

It did receive great notices initially, but critics only had the first four episodes, i.e. just one shy of the series-upending twist. Had they received all seven for review, I expect the Metacritic score would be lower and we wouldn’t have had it as such a strong contender in our Emmy predictions out of the gate. Case in point: Vulture originally had Run in its list of top series of the year, but appended this disclaimer when they updated their picks:

An earlier version of this article included an entry for HBO’s Run, which was based on the first half of the season provided for critics. After watching the rest of the season, in particular the finale, we have opted to remove it from this list.

Formerly known as PianoMann.

Reply