Forum Replies Created
September 19, 2019 at 4:54 am #1203086208
Underestimate Lewis Capaldi at your own risk.
Once his song hits the TOP5, it’ll hit all the boxes for a typical SoTY/RoTY winner.
You have songs that are phenomenons that have spent nineteen weeks, ten weeks etcetera at number one, but you believe that a song that has not even reached number one is about to win those awards? The Grammys are not even that obtuse.September 19, 2019 at 4:51 am #1203086203
I can see Lewis Capaldi going the Ed Sheeran route when he first came out… score either a single SOTY nom or an additional one in New Artist, but lose both. Then if he proves to have another hit/album in him, they’ll give him a Grammy. But not till then.
I definitely think Tyler would get in AOTY over the likes of Meek Mill or 21 Savage (who have no chance). I just have a feeling that Tyler’s album was still not big enough to score a nom in the General Field. No hip-hop album is this year.
If you look back at the last 10 years, all of the Rap albums that have been nominated in AOTY were by mainstream artists and had huge sales. Had IGOR even broken 300,000 copies? …then again voters might just consider the album “urban contemporary” and nominate it as a critically backed album just like they did Dirty Computer last year. IGOR definitely can’t compare in popularity to Drake, Cardi B and The Black Panther in terms of hip-hop albums that scored AOTY noms last year. We’ll see I guess.
Uh, six of the albums in the top ten highest selling albums of the year are hip-hop albums, so to say that there is not a big enough hip-hop album while suggesting that people who have very little commercial success such as Lana Del Rey are going to receive nominations is perplexing.September 16, 2019 at 5:33 pm #1203081058
Billie Eilish is a one hit wonder, a hit that is nowhere near as big as Royals; she is not winning Album of the Year, Record of the Year or Song of the Year up against Old Town Road or Truth Hurts.September 11, 2019 at 2:27 pm #1203069850
As much as I’d love to see her be nominated, I don’t think Lupita’s getting in unless Universal manages to pull off a miracle campaign at the end of the year. The buzz for US is completely dead, unlike Get Out which was still red hot at this time 2 years ago. I think Awkwafina and Portman have a better chance of taking the 5th spot if Erivo doesn’t get it.
Lol, people are writing articles every week about how Us is the only non-franchise property in the box office top ten; Just because the gay internet bubble is screeching about a performance in a biopic that no one is going to see that does not mean that Us, the seventh highest grossing property of the year, has no buzz.September 8, 2019 at 4:36 am #1203063083
If the AMPAS is desperate for attention, I believe JLo won’t be the solution when they can nominate AVENGERS: ENDGAME for Best Picture, superstars like Brad Pitt, ScarJo, Leo Dicaprio, Driver or Phoenix for acting categories, JOKER and US threatening to show up in Screenplays and FORD V. FERRARI might be a multiple nominated attraction if it becomes a box-office hit… JLo is a Razzie-related personality but maybe she does some music for the movie and gets nominated for Best Song so she can perform at Dolby. I tried, but I just can’t picture Oscar voters going for her in acting. Plus, she seems to be the lead so… Golden Globe material for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical only I would say
Adam Driver and Joaquin Phoenix are nowhere near superstarsSeptember 4, 2019 at 1:16 am #1203056877
None of Taylor Swift’s songs are receiving general nominations either because none of them are big hits, so stop with the Stan bullshit.September 4, 2019 at 1:15 am #1203056873
Because she’ll already be represented. Most people right now are predicting both Billie AND Lizzo to sweep the general field, but is that realistic? I think that voters will happily nominate Lizzo for BNA, ROTY, and SOTY and won’t feel the need to put her in AOTY with an album that has so many “fun-but-not-necessarily-great” tracks. Take a look at the album on Spotify; the streams of each song go on a decline as you go further down the tracklist, with the closer only having 5 mil. Compare that to Billie/Ariana, whose albums have no songs with less than 50 mil.
I love Lizzo a lot, and I love everything she stands for and I think she’s an extremely exciting addition to the music industry. I’m so happy that “Truth Hurts” was so big and I’m excited for her to get love for it at the Grammy’s, but I don’t see voters feeling the need to SHOWER her with nominations her first official year, and if that’s the case I think the album will miss out.
You are acting as if Ariana Grande and Billie Eilish are Drake or Kendrick Lamar or something with their streaming numbers. They are not and have nowhere near as big of numbers, so bringing up Spotify numbers is ridiculous when both of those numbers resulted with those two not winning. Truth Hurts is going to have more weeks at the top of the charts than Bad Guy, and Billie Eilish is a one hit wonder and has no other songs on the rise. She is probably going have an Album of the Year nomination, but Bad Guy is going to not be nominated for either Record or Song of the Year. Oh yeah, how are you bringing up numbers but expecting one of the biggest songs ever to not receive both Record of the Year and Song of the Year nominations? Most of you make absolutely no sense and just resort to Stan bullshit and try to present that as rational to everyone else.August 27, 2019 at 3:01 am #1203042361
After the VMAs…
Jonas Brother vs. Camila/Shawn for Pop Duo or Group and I’d go with Jonas Brothers based on the energetic performance and staying power of the song.
Billie vs. Lizzo for BNA and I’d say Lizzo is in the lead even though losing here.
Taylor was always going to win here just for going, but it certainly is helping her cause now that the album is a critical and commercial success too.
Ariana’s buzz is dying, but the Best Artist award is a sign she’s still a contender.
Missy should get in Rap Performance / Song with Throw it Back now.
Rosalía is someone to watch at the Grammy’s… people LOVE her.
Lil Nas X is looking like a bit of a non-contender at the Grammy’s. He should have won more than one award here and that one felt like it was barely his.
Miley and Normani were really good, but the songs are still just OK.
Shallow not winning song shows ASIB buzz is dying.
How is Shallow supposed to beat a song that spent nineteen weeks at number one for best song? And the VMAs mean absolute shit, but Lizzo is easily winning Best New Artist if she is eligible. She plays instruments, raps, sings, writes, puts on great performances and puts out hits. She has absolutely no competition there.August 25, 2019 at 5:57 pm #1203039553
I’ve been lurking in these threads for some times. I think WTSU is going to win the Emmy but mostly because it’s more relevant to Americans and the Emmy is an American show. Which one you think is the best is entirely subjective, of course.
I personally thought compressing an epic and phenomenal nuclear disaster to a 5-part series but also making it emotionally poignant, gripping and politically relevant without being manipulative is a tremendous feat, worthy of many awards.
I have to log in, however, to reply to PleaseFeedTheTroll about both shows’ popularity because it’s just not true that WTSU is more popular in US while Chernobyl is not. I’ve been doing Google trend searches which is a reliable way of gauging popularity since my company also uses this, among other things, to compare our products in the markets. You can check for yourself. I’ve compared two shows in last 90 days in US only. If I change to global area, the disparity between Chernobyl and WTSU is even higher that you can barely see WTSU red line.
Chernobyl is a global hit as well as a US hit show. But at the end of the days, the voters are a small group of people who have watched a few hit shows which I’m sure include Chernobyl and WTSU. Popularity does very little here to sway the votes. So whoever is the winner is the one the voters really prefer, not the more popular one, which I’ve no idea what it will be.
Chernobyl averages less than a million people per an episode. It is not even within HBO’s top five most watched programs. Chernobyl is popular amongst television critics and writers in America, but it is not an outright hit with mainstream television watchers. It is absolutely not a phenomenon as many of you are trying to suggest. No, popularity is not everything for who wins, nor have I ever suggested that, but many of you have suggested that. Something being popular with your internet bubble does not equate to being popular with everyone else. Bringing up how popular it is in Europe has no importance to an American ceremony. It might be popular with the people who vote. It still is not some popular undeniable hit, though. It is probably similar to The Night Manager, where you have a small passionate base in America who raves about it.August 24, 2019 at 12:05 am #1203037168
I was just searching youtube tonight. And the Chernobyl trailer has 23 millions views and 322,000 likes? I’m not gonna bring up WTSU anymore because I don’t want to open up any more can of worms here. 23 million views. 322,000k likes. For a trailer. To a miniseries on HBO. 0 major Emmy wins on Emmy night? Does this make any sense to anyone?
When the pundits here do the miniseries predictions I am going to need MAJOR league detailed well explained analysis to justify how Chernobyl leaves the main ceremony with nothing.
You guys are bringing up trailer views now? Yes, Chernobyl is probably popular in Yugoslavia or wherever; however, it is not in America. It does not even compare to When They See Us in popularity in America. The Emmys are American, so what is popular in Europe is not pertinent. You bitter betties realize that, and that is why you are having breakdowns about When They See Us. You are aware that Chernobyl has no imprint in America. The entire thing is reminiscent of the time when people thought that The Night Manager might win against The People Versus OJ Simpson because it was big in Europe or wherever. America is not Europe.August 14, 2019 at 2:28 pm #1203024004
The film has great hype, but the trailer was a let down. Florence Pugh is definitely having one hell of a year though.
The trailer views are pretty low, so where is the supposed hype?August 14, 2019 at 2:21 pm #1203023998
Dancing With A Stranger is predicted to be in the TOP20 of YEC and will probably chart higher than TUN. So yeah let’s stop with the double standard here.
The same predictions that you guys have been stating suggest that Bad Guy will be a number one song? How about you not base things on extremely inaccurate fanboy predictions?August 14, 2019 at 2:18 pm #1203023990
No they don’t. This does look bad. I think you’re the one with the terrible taste, dear.
Yas, queen! You better go, girl!