[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203724069

ivostoyanov wrote:

Different competition. Garner acts circles around Snook, and with Aduba and Smart is a little more complicated, but to be honest, both had just one good episode.

Disagree about Snook and Garner, tbh I was much more impressed with how Snook stepped up for her bigger role than how Garner’s performance continued to shine in a smaller one. To be fair Snook had much better material in this season than her previous while Garner had the opposite situation. Both delivered, but Snook just had the better season to really show her strengths in the role.

Also, I loved Jean Smart to death but Uzo Aduba absolutely deserved that award. Mrs. America was full of amazing supporting actresses but she stood out with the best performance in the best episode of the season. “She Was Killed By Space Junk” is a great submission, but “Shirley” gave Aduba the ability to display so much raw, heartbreaking emotion that she stole the season for me right then despite how small her role wound up being.

[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203664019

I’d want Better Call Saul to take series and writing while The Crown takes directing, so between all the actors I’d say Macfadyen. Cox and Strong are both insanely good but in entirely different ways, it’s much harder for me to choose whereas Macfadyen’s performance as Tom stands out much more to me, even with his excellent costars Braun and Culkin. The accent (particularly its pitch), his brilliant delivery, and his flawless shift between a sniveling snake I despise and a sniveling snake I can’t help but feel sorry for is excellent. His performance is so thoroughly sincere that he easily sells all of Tom’s most ridiculous moments – throwing water bottles while melting down at Greg, slowly realizing that Ravenhead is totally a Nazi, his praise towards “His Majesty the Spinach”, he crushes it all.

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[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203664009

On the list, Angels In America. Outside the list, Twin Peaks.

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[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203625643

Alisa Freindlich – Stalker

Nicole Kidman – Eyes Wide Shut

Bibi Andersson – Persona

Ethan Hawke (at the end of the movie) – Before Midnight

Anthony Hopkins – The Silence of The Lambs

Laura Dern – Blue Velvet

Marlon Brando – Apocalypse Now

Daniel Day-Lewis – There Will Be Blood

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[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203625515

Predictions:

Lead Actor: Mark Ruffalo, he has the name and the performance. Also, the competition is pretty light.

Lead Actress: Regina King, she’s an awards darling who led Watchmen, which got 26 nominations and is poised as the far and away frontrunner. Blanchett is good, but her character is so unlikeable–at one point, Phyllis looks the other way to let the Klan join her cause. She’s not happening.

Supporting Actor: idk uhh I guess they’ll just name check Parsons? Tim Blake Nelson was the only Watchmen actor who I’d believe could overcome a vote split, but he’s not in the race and there’s three contenders from the show. McDermott won’t threaten Parsons, and Burgess has never won for his role and probably never will.

Supporting Actress: Uzo Aduba. Jean Smart was great, but “Shirley” was a phenomenal showcase for an Emmy darling whose standout episode could not be any more timely. She has the performance, the name, and the narrative to win.

[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203625506

I think Aniston is winning for The Morning Show. The Crown did well but missed out on so many deserving nominations (O’Connor, Lapotaire, Dance, Menzies). Maybe I’m biased bc imo Colman didn’t have the kinds of episodes that Foy did, but I don’t think her odds looked good. Ozark did much better, but the McTeer and especially Pelphrey snubs were not good. Considering they got three writing nominations but neither of them in, I’d probably bank on Aniston since The Morning Show wildly overperformed with even Duplass and Carell getting in. Aniston also won SAG, it’s clear the actors branch is very behind the show. Mbatha-Raw not getting in wasn’t great, but she was in a stacked field without the material that Pelphrey had or the screentime McTeer got. I’m not sure about the Witherspoon snub, imo she just wasn’t great and it showed but actors clearly love Aniston on the show and she’ll probably bag it.

[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203625502

Human Bartender wrote:

Nobody’s saying it’s a bad win, but almost everyone agrees she was way better in season 1, and the latter half of 2 has her pretty out of focus, so it’s not hard to imagine her season 1 loss played a role in her win for season 2. Personally, I’d say she should’ve won for 1, been nominated for 2, and been snubbed for 3.

I was at least as impressed with Newton in season two as season one. She was a cunning badass in the first season and an absolute showstopper, but in the second season she and ERW swapped roles and it went incredibly well. Wood became the calculating Machiavellian, and Newton delivered overwhelming pathos as a mother looking for her child. Plus, the technical aspects of her work were still sublime; watch her face as she controls other hosts, those expressions do much more than the sound effects to show the audience Maeve’s powers. She didn’t have as many iconic lines, but Maeve’s meetings with Dolores, Akane, William, Ford, and Akecheta all flexed Newton’s range as both a total badass and a vulnerable, rounded character who was able to crush a monologue and carry a scene without a single word.

As for season three, she should not be near the win yikes but “The Winter Line” is good enough for at least a nomination. It’s got heaps of awesome, cunning Maeve and plenty of heartbroken, despairing Maeve too. She proves why she’s a fan favorite character again, and even though she’s completely wasted afterwards until the end (which she kills too), that episode is enough. Imo same w Gugu Mbatha-Raw, who doesn’t get much for a while but completely steals the show with “Lonely At The Top”.

[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203608418

The real crime is Succession missing costuming tbh because Shiv was setting trends left and right

[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203608414

Wait did Charles Dance and Jane Lapotaire both miss for The Crown? What a mess.

[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203608340

marcus_emn wrote:

So, five acting nominations for The Morning Show but no Gugu Mbatha-Raw

PREACH. There’s room for Carell and Duplass, but not the show’s breakout performance whose showcase finally started turning me around the series. Imo she was the best on that show, it’s ridiculous the show did so well and they couldn’t get her in.

[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203608316

Comedy: Better Things and GLOW suck, both shows are doing incredible work and are continuously ignored. Also, Dickinson was a bit of a mess but had a lot of great stuff like production design and cinematography that shouldn’t have been ignored.

Drama: My Brilliant Friend, The Deuce, and Mindhunter for all categories again. Also, Evan Rachel Wood did so great on Westworld, season was also quite a mess but she was phenomenal again. Rhea Seehorn being snubbed again is just my annual dosage of pain, I’m getting used to it, but the lack of attention for newcomers like Menzies, Mbatha-Raw, O’Connor, and Pelphrey is ridiculous. Especially when Carell got in for a cardboard cut out performance.

Limited: The lack of recognition for The Plot Against America really sucked, but especially Zoe Kazan. I really thought she gave an “undeniable” performance, but then they did. Also Hahn for Mrs. Fletcher, she was great in a pretty eh show. Hong Chau for Watchmen also sucked, the show got so many nominations and she was left out. Also, I knew it’d get ignored but Devs really deserved some more recognition. Set design, directing, etc. and I thought Alison Pill was great.

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[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203608132

Drama series was so empty last year, I was so excited to see what would happen this year with so many viable contenders. And then it happened.

Not even getting to all the specifics like Seehorn’s repeated snubs or Wiley’s nomination over Dowd and Strahovski, it looks like they just watched a handful of shows and often went all in for the ones they liked whether it was right or not. Succession cleared out both directing nominations, and it got two actors in a field of six as well as three in a field of eight. Ozark got all three of its episodes in for writing, and two for directing. Another two for directing went to The Crown. It just really looks like they phoned it in this time around.

[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203580909

Seehorn, she was great in every season but from “Wexler v Goodman” on she was my favorite by far.

Second would probably be Helena Bonham Carter, who didn’t get the material she deserved tbh but was so completely in control of the character that she absolutely killed “Margaretology” and “Cri de Coeur” anyway.

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[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203531827

The dramas this year were good, it’s just a lot of them aren’t in contention, like My Brilliant Friend and The Deuce.

[Potatohead Joined: Apr 6th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 336 View Predictions]

#1203524824

Rotten Tomatoes is sometimes useful, but in those sorts of cases it’s pretty much worthless imo. That’s like suggesting the first two seasons of Riverdale w 88% were comparable to, or better than, True Detective season one and its 87%.