roger88
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June 23, 2022 at 6:59 pm #1204994691
. After the Theron snub for mad max I’m hesitant for movies like this to get the nod in acting. Only reason
But you have Holy Spider higher, who’s not only has a tiny distributor but also the film is bleaker and had a more polarized response per audience.
Dropping a film which, beyond being action/sci-fi, has been praised for the acting versatily of the main cast and the adaptation of key values like family and intercultural adaptation per Asian communities over another which caused uproad for the “gratuitous violence” on the death scenes and the voyeuristic treatment of the story, and having people exiting of the screening at midway and will likely be rejected by US audiences.
There’s no simply scenario which Ebrahimi is higher at Yeoh, with or without Cannes win. Ironically, Holy Spider is closer of that bias for horror than EEAAO than other sci-fi films.
ReplyJune 22, 2022 at 5:38 pm #1204993387Interesting. I wonder if Plan B doesn’t have high awards expectations for She Said, or alternatively, if the film’s producers are trying to play down Pitt’s involvement with the movie because he had worked with Weinstein even after learning that Paltrow and Jolie had been harassed by him.
I mentioned months ago, She Said had some really mixed word of mouth and can be in detriment of their Oscar chances. I heard that from trustful inside people.
ReplyJune 19, 2022 at 10:22 am #1204989906I know the release date is working against her favor but Emma Thompson should definitely be awarded for her brave and daring performance in Good Luck to You, Leo Grande. I’m sure many actresses would be scared to play this role but she nailed it with such realness and originality.
Going per the recent rules, Emma Thompson is an Emmy contender most likely.
ReplyJune 18, 2022 at 10:50 am #1204989071So…
Michelle Yeoh wins the Comedy Globe and Ana de Armas wins the Drama Globe?
Yeah, Ana de Armas will win the GG like Kristen Stewart won… Oh wait
Margot Robbie, Naomi Ackie or even another award to Cate Blanchett (if the buzz around that film and performance is 100% correct) are most likely if being honests.
ReplyJune 17, 2022 at 1:44 am #1204987696The critics were waiting with bated breath to award Kristen Stewart because of her indie/arthouse appeal. I don’t get that same energy with Ana. However, she will most likely be nominated during the season.
No if the movie really alineate them like it will do with audience.
Blonde as a book is not precisely a pleasant experience to read (At least not in a mainstream way). If the leaks are true and the film is completely loyal to the book, there will be a huge line of detractors.
ReplyJune 17, 2022 at 1:39 am #1204987691It seems people didn’t learn the lesson with Spencer and Kristen Stewart. Blonde will alineate audiences and the NC-17 rating won’t help. Before proclaiming Oscar winner Ana de Armas, please read the original novel. It’s the full antithesis of Oscar bait biopic (Rape mentions, baby head talking, menstrual blood references and that’s just the peak of the iceberg). It’s full meta universe about the conception of Marilyn and the real persona of Norma Jean. Pure psychological terror.
If somehow Netflix does the magic again, the nom is the reward and we know how Stewart barely made it.
ReplyMay 31, 2022 at 3:19 pm #1204968773I admit to not being a fan of Tang Wei’s film choices. That includes Lust/Caution which I was thrilled to watch Tony Leung. It was also gorgeous to look at. But that’s it. I rarely say this but that film was RACIST and sickening.
Her subsequent film choices are as bad or worse.
But I don’t hold that against her. I WANT to change my mind.Well considering Tang Wei faced blacklist in China and her career was blocked by the Chinese government for 10 years post Lust Caution, it’s kind of miracle her comeback (in part thanks to the Korean cinema who saved her).
ReplyMay 31, 2022 at 3:14 pm #1204968761Soo is Michelle Williams a contender or not?
From Cannes, these ladies got raves:
Emily Watson – God’s Creature
Vicky Krieps – Corsage
Tang Wei – Decision to Leave
Zar Amir-Ebrahimi – Holy Spider
Michelle Williams – Showing Up???Who is going to get stronger coming these into the Award Season later this year?
Being honests, this is more likely no one of these became potential contenders, beyond random noms here and there.
Watson and Williams had tiny films and A24 has Yeoh in a bigger and more successful film.
Reply
Amir-Enrahimi’s film may have a more polarized reception in USA
Wei is facing genre bias and Yeoh’s buzz (Unfair but this is AMPAS)
And Krieps has IFC FilmsMay 29, 2022 at 11:56 pm #1204967151As I watch more and more of The Staircase: WHY IS TONI COLLETTE BEING SUBMIT LEAD.
Name recognition
Weak competition with many names in flops or contenders as fillers
Maximize the acting nomsMay 29, 2022 at 3:00 pm #1204966920Apparently anglophone critics were cold on “Triangle of Sadness”, but the public loved it.
I’m surprised that “Boy from Heaven”, “The Eight Mountains” and “Stars at Noon” got some prizes.
It’s sad that Egypt will not choose “Boy from Heaven” for the Academy awards because the film director has been banned from the country (he was born in Sweden but they are obviously choosing the Ostlund to represent them). Same story for “Holy Spider” and Iran. Belgium will have to choose between Lukas Dhont and the Dardennes, Italy between “The Eight Mountains”, “Nostalgia” and the new Crialese movie that will likely be at Venice. France will choose the wrong movie like always.
Edit: Sweden cannot choose Ostlund because the movie is in English I think…
Ostlund’s film is majority in English this time. People mentioned 85% to 90% of the dialogue is in English
Edit: I didn’t see the edit oops
ReplyMay 26, 2022 at 6:17 pm #1204964805Eo is the one which can call really positive. But in a year with no clear favourite, go with the most tender or the one with the overwhelming impact. So, unless Showing Up or Mother and Son surprises, Lukas Dhont’s Close is my pick of the Palme d’Or right now.
Among other films which can win awards (at this moment):
-Eo (So Grand Prix if not Palme d’Or).
Reply
-Leila’s Brothers
-Holy Spider
-R.M.N.
-Nostalgia (Only for favino’s Best Actor award)
-Les Amandiers (This one can surprise. I see more positive reactions per audience. Also Garrel or Tereszkiewicz can spoil in acting)
-Pacification
-Tori and LokitaMay 24, 2022 at 1:41 pm #1204962496Well, FWIW, for Oscar prediction purposes, it may be useful to keep in mind that critics aren’t AMPAS members, and while AMPAS membership has significantly expanded in the last decade, there are still FAR more members from the “anglosphere” than members from “non-anglosphere” countries.
And still even with the “anglosphere” bubble, there are still some question related to the film’s broader appeal considering there were words used like “slow burn”.
For a foreign film like this, it’s essential/key to have those non anglosphere voters on favour.
ReplyMay 24, 2022 at 12:33 pm #1204962436This is exactly what I mentioned prior. The reception of Decision to Leave outside anglosphere has been actually mixed. Some of the really harsh reviews came from French and German critics and also the Chinese grid has it as the lowest reviewed film.
This is like Desplechin with French raving the film but overseas…
ReplyMay 24, 2022 at 2:51 am #1204961896Never predicts a film won’t leave empty handed at festival route. There’s always a scenario for that happening. A random room with 9 people discussing for few hours can deal different outcomes, especially depending the Jury members’ preferences and statements and the personality of the President. Remember Toni Erdmann in 2016? Or Two Days One Night in 2014?
I wouldn’t say the reactions to Decision to Leave are divisive at all actually? Even the ones who didn’t entirely care for the film as much as most people seem to (namely in regards to the screenwriting), it seems like they still have very good things to say about the film; looks as though a good majority of people really enjoyed it.
Decision to Leave is not divisive at all.
Actually the reception among international aka no US critics is quite mixed. The French and German press aren’t loving the film (For example: L’Obs panned it for example and on ICS only Guy Lodge liked it).
ReplyMay 24, 2022 at 2:49 am #1204961894Also, I think Yeoh will be overshadowed by other early release nominees like Daisy Edgar Jones in Where the Crawdads Sing and Dakota Johnson in Persuasion.
LOL.
Persuasion is at best 5th priority on Netflix, and considering their recent crisis, they will prioritize other films. Also, “Persuasion” is the least liked novel of Jane Austin in general.
And Crawdads? Srly? Not only the film is almost sacked of the original studio. But considering you’re a Swift stan…
It’s grossed $57.4 million on a $20 million budget, so hardly a massive success.
If you want to consider her a legend that’s fine, but most people in the anglosphere don’t even know her name. And even a lot of the people hyping her up in this thread probably weren’t thinking about her much until her latest movie happened.
Considering we’re in pandemic times and $20 millions indie production it’s actually great, unless you’re living in delusion.
Also, speak for you and your terrible taste, but I know Yeoh since her days of Police Story 3 (And i’m from Latin America). If your taste only envolves Swift and random Hollywood wannabes, that explained all.
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