[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205271958

I have some wishes

Best Picture: Julie Christie
Best Director: Chloe Zhao
Best Actress: Judi Dench & Maggie Smith
Best Original Screenplay: Daniel Kaluuya & Steven Yeun
Best Adapted Screenplay: Emma Thompson
Best Animated Film: Jack Black
Best International Feature: Mads Mikkelsen
Best Costume Design: Tilda Swinton
Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Charlize Theron
Best Sound: Timothee Chalamet & Zendeya
Best Production Design: Adrien Brody, Owen Wilson, & Jeff Goldblum

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[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205267904

https://www.instagram.com/p/CnzZiWrNhHz/?utm_source=ig_web_button_share_sheet

I’m so happy I was wrong (didn’t predict him)

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[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205267887

Little did we know, this was taken few hours before Yeoh making her way to accept the Oscar

[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205265449

TVFan365 wrote:

I’m so glad the Academy voters listened to me.

lol, I swear, the spell is on this tweet wording 🤣

Next year contenders better be copy-pasting that tweet.

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[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205262878

Manav wrote:

Think of the large number of indie gems and hidden performances by WOC that could have been nominated.

https://platform.twitter.com/embed/Tweet.html?dnt=true&embedId=twitter-widget-0&features=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&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1617886645914857479&lang=en&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.goldderby.com%2Fforum%2Fmovies%2F2023-oscars-best-actress-part-24%2F&sessionId=1c629d133a028724d1e79bbf579afe35b24cfd16&siteScreenName=GoldDerby&theme=light&widgetsVersion=2b959255e8896%3A1673658205745&width=550px

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

THIS!!

As we have witnessed, it actually requieres little to no efforts for these actors to tweet, make a video, or make a lil virtual convo on their socials. They could’ve made the efforts many times for BIPOC actors/actresses, but they didn’t. IT’S A CHOICE and it’s a very telling one.

[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205261442

jez89 wrote:

Watched EEAAO. Quan is clearly the male lead and appears in most of the film. How has the supporting placement been accepted without question throughout this awards season?

Umm, he’s not? He is the male actor with the most screen time, but he’s not a lead. He didn’t even have a “character journey” to be a lead; he was there as an anti-thesis to Joy’s thesis which led to Evelyn’s synthesis.

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[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205260875

MESCALLL

[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205260812

No Decision To Leave?? shii

[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205260109

CMIIW since statistics is not my forte.

But considering the increased rate of voters turnout this year, I am not expecting that many surprises and am expecting a more consensus choice that more or less reflect precursor awards and big studios’ interests.

[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205260075

crabbie wrote:

Foreign performances (such as Yuh-Jung Youn) need to hit precursors or have high visibility (Yalitza getting shoutouts from Cuaron during his speeches, also in a BP frontrunner). Mescal’s film is a latebreaker and although it did underperform at BAFTA, Aftersun had enough visibility to be in the Best Picture longlist.

These are good points. But this year’s voter turnout rate and All Quiet being distributed by Netflix are biases I still cannot get over.

jez89 wrote:

I’m a bit worried about Nighy missing.

He is safe, I think. SAG is his hurdle and they nominate him after all

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[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205260041

Final Prediction:
-Austin Butler
-Colin Farrell
-Brendan Fraser
-Felix Kammerer
-Bill Nighy

I posted a few days ago about my worries that the passion behind Mescal don’t seem to be loud enough to garner him enough critics win or a BAFTA nom this year. The passion seem to be directed towards Charlotte Wells alone or to Aftersun as a whole.

Why Kammerer? I did ask a few pages back about the precedent for Kammerer (a late breaker young actor in an international production about WW) and there seem to be none. However, with the biggest voter turnout this year, I am thinking about the possibility that there will be more ballots that reflect the interests of bigger studios, and we all know how good Netflix can be with acting nominations.

Why not Cruise? Well, there are loads of opportunities for people to nominate him considering how well TGM has been doing, but so far, no nomination for Cruise in precursor awards.

That being said, I’d be elated if Mescal got in instead of Kammerer.

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[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205255856

MichelleReign wrote:

Choosing Kammerer for this reason. I don’t see Cruise happening simply because he didn’t make in at SAG, despite Top Gun being a populist American film. And I don’t see the acting branch putting him at No.1, No.2. But if people truly love ‘All Quiet’, then Kammerer can be the surprise nomination.

This is a good argument.

I wonder if there is a precedent for Kammerer? Like, a late breaker from an international feature about war

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[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205255844

Also, my another impossible wish this year is to see Decision To Leave being nominated for Editing lol. I’m a simp for Chan-wook’s editing work.

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[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205255840

I hope McDonagh doesn’t get snubbed. He directed 4 soon-to-be-Oscar-nominated performances, while keeping a consistent tone, mood, and tempo throughout the film. His camera work and mise-en-scene may not be outstanding, but the overall result that is The Banshees of Inisherin is so good that those aspects feel negligible to me.

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[Rynd_Rawikara Joined: Aug 28th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 309 View Predictions]

#1205255794

BurgerFriesSoda wrote:

It’s honestly pretty exciting how unexpected that 5th slot is this year.

It is!

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