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October 15, 2020 at 9:16 am #1203780533
They really did “The Lightning Thief” dirty. Ryan Knowles gave one of the best performances of the year and absolutely deserved a nomination.October 15, 2020 at 9:06 am #1203780499
Well I guess we know that a play is winning Score this year…October 13, 2020 at 8:18 am #1203775640
Final 2020 Tony predictions
Felt like being brave and listing my FINAL predictions here since all the changes and lack of advance warning for dates sort of killed the prediction center. Lead Actor in a Play remains the most difficult to predict (SO many incredible performances) as does Lead Actor in a Musical (will there even BE a category?). What are your predictions?
1. Moulin Rouge!
2. Jagged Little Pill
3. Tina: The Tina Turner Musical
1. The Inheritance
2. Slave Play
3. The Sound Inside
4. Grand Horizons
5. Linda Vista
*5th slot is tricky, and I have a feeling A Christmas Carol or The Height of the Storm could bump Linda Vista.
1. A Soldier’s Play
3. Frankie and Johnny in the Claire de Lune
Lead Actress – Musical
1. Adrienne Warren, Tina
2. Elizabeth Stanley, Jagged Little Pill
3. Karen Olivo, Moulin Rouge!
Lead Actor – Musical
1. Aaron Tveit, Moulin Rouge!
2. Chris McCarrell, The Lightning Thief
*In the most brutal year for Broadway ever, it seems unspeakably cruel to cut the category. So I’m predicting it’s kept in.
Featured Actress – Musical
1. Lauren Patten, Jagged Little Pill
2. Kathryn Gallagher, Jagged Little Pill
3. Robyn Hurder, Moulin Rouge!
4. Celia Rose Gooding, Jagged Little Pill
Featured Actor – Musical
1. Danny Burstein, Moulin Rouge!
2. Sahr Ngaujah, Moulin Rouge!
3. Ryan Knowles, The Lightning Thief
4. Daniel J. Watts, Tina
5. Sean Allan Krill, Jagged Little Pill
Lead Actress – Play
1. Mary-Louise Parker, The Sound Inside
2. Laura Linney, My Name is Lucy Barton
3. Joaquina Kalukango, Slave Play
4. Audra McDonald, Frankie and Johnny
Lead Actor – Play
1. Andrew Burnap, The Inheritance
2. Tom Hiddleston, Betrayal
3. Kyle Soller, The Inheritance
4. Ian Barford, Linda Vista
5. Jake Gyllenhaal, Sea Wall/A Life
*feeling a bit more confident than before about the top 4 slots…but it feels wrong to omit Jonathan Pryce (and Samuel Levine and Michael Shannon and Charlie Cox and…). But all these many months later I still distinctly recall how impressive and heartbreaking and joyous Gyllenhaal was, so I think he surprises
Featured Actress – Play
1. Lois Smith, The Inheritance
2. Jane Alexander, Grand Horizons
3. Cora Vander Broek, Linda Vista
4. Annie McNamara, Slave Play
5. Ashley Park, Grand Horizons
Featured Actor – Play
1. Paul Hilton, The Inheritance
2. David Alan Grier, A Soldier’s Play
3. Paul Alexander Nolan, Slave Play
4. Ato Blankson-Wood, Slave Play
5. John Benjamin Hickey, The Inheritance
Director – Musical
1. Alex Timbers, Moulin Rouge!
2. Diane Paulus, Jagged Little Pill
3. Phyllida Lloyd, Tina
*I think the same three musicals will be nominated for Book of a Musical and all four design categories. Choreography will likely also follow suit, though I think A Christmas Carol has a slight chance at knocking out Jagged Little Pill there.
Director – Play
1. Stephen Daldry, The Inheritance
2. Matthew Warchus, A Christmas Carol
3. Robert O’Hara, Slave Play
4. Kenny Leon, A Soldier’s Play
5. David Cromer, The Sound Inside
*I might be crazy for omitting Jamie Lloyd (Betrayal), but will his minimalist approach hurt him here in favor of “bigger” productions?
1. The Inheritance
2. The Lightning Thief
3. The Rose Tattoo
4. The Sound Inside
*I made a last minute switch and I think Slave Play gets eliminated here. I’ll probably regret that. But honestly this category is so up in the air due to the lack of musicals competing that ANY of these contenders could be snubbed.
1. Moulin Rouge!
2. Jagged Little Pill
3. A Christmas CarolOctober 12, 2020 at 8:10 am #1203772783
Some stray thoughts on the race:
“A Christmas Carol” just announced a tour and a return to Broadway in 2021. Obviously it’s no coincidence that they are announcing this right before nominators go vote. Does it make the cut for Best Play? Even if it doesn’t I suspect it will be one of the most nominated plays of the ceremony (I’m thinking director, orchestrations, and the 4 design categories).
Andrew Burnap (Toby in “The Inheritance”) just came out as queer on instagram on National Coming Out Day. I had to listen to a lot of uncomfortable and aggravating discussions around The Inheritance, many of which involved listening to people complain that the cast was not filled with out queer men (besides John Benjamin Hickey and members of the ensemble). This convo always rubbed me the wrong way because 1. everyone is on their own journey in terms of coming out and no one should feel obligated to do so before they are ready, 2. Most of the actors in the play do not live in “the public eye” and its quite intrusive to start speculation and demands of the sexuality of actors getting their first big break.
The one thing that made me hesitant to predict Burnap winning Lead Actor is the continued discussion of representation and folks voicing concerns about assumed straight actors playing gay. Well now that whole argument is gone. With that out of the way, is the race now shaping up to be Burnap vs. Hiddleston? Of course, both men have co-stars that could be nominated in the same category which could lead to vote splitting, so too early to tell. But that would be one hell of a showdown.
And @anton spivak, I think The Lightning Thief has 3 very achievable nominations: Score, Lead Actor (McCarrell), and Featured Actor (Ryan Knowles). It may not be a huge player at the Tonys, but I dont expect it to get completely snubbed.August 28, 2020 at 10:18 am #1203672089
Re: the list above, Daniel J Watts was not moved to Lead. So he is Featured based on his billing. That leaves only 2 contenders for Lead.
Lead Actor in a Musical is curious. Will they go the route of eliminating the category due to lack of contenders? Will they combine it with Lead Actress for a non-gendered Lead Performance category (I vote this)? Will they just hand Tveit a Tony?
The biggest surprise of the final determinations is that Jane Alexander and James Cromwell will be in featured with the rest of the Grand Horizons cast.August 21, 2020 at 3:27 pm #1203659407
There are more than enough quality shows to compete as normal on the Play side of the ceremony. But not many musicals opened in the first half of the season before the pandemic hit.
So, I would suggest lumping the gendered performance categories for actor and actress together on the Musical side. This would result in just Lead Performance in a Musical and Featured Performance in a Musical. Otherwise some categories (the men) won’t be able to fill out all the nomination slots. Especially if the bit in the NY Times article is true that Girl from the North Country and West Side Story will not be eligible this season.May 11, 2020 at 2:30 pm #1203476745
Surprised that Jake Gyllenhaal wasn’t nominated for A Life, especially with the reduced season. It looks like Sea Wall/A Life was snubbed entirely.
Surprised to not see Andrew Burnap and Kyle Soller (The Inheritance)…though since they have Samuel H. Levine in featured they clearly didn’t have the same category delineations as the Tonys. Makes me wonder if they threw the whole cast into featured?
I was also expecting to see Conrad Ricamora (Soft Power), Sahr Ngaujah (Moulin Rouge!), Jane Alexander & Ashley Park (Grand Horizons). They were all fantastic. Also bizarre that none of the actors from Heroes of the Fourth Turning made the cut, and The Thin Place continues a bafflingly terrible awards run as its entirely skunked.March 26, 2020 at 5:42 pm #1203396060
I doubt a two year eligibility period is enticing to them.
On its surface, yes this would mean it eats into the 20-21 season. BUT it is going to take a loooong time for the theatre industry to recover from this pandemic. Its dire out here. There will be plenty of theater organizations that do not survive this. And when the dust settles and life goes back to “normal” people will 1.) have lost money during this period and not have as much disposable income for theater. and 2.) still be hesitant/scared to be in crowded places for some time.
SO Broadway is going to need a serious advertising boost. And the Tonys are exactly that. Yes, awards will be given out, but it will also be a celebration of Broadway and the persistence of these artists. We have already seen postponements of summer shows like MJ and Once Upon a One More Time, so the fall may be thinner than you think after producers access the financial damage of this period. The Tonys might end up looking different, but they will def do everything in their power to have these in the fall, to celebrate Broadway and hopefully drive people to the box office.March 26, 2020 at 7:18 am #1203394998
I have to wonder if they will keep the same season cutoff or push it back. If for instance, Broadway opens back up in late June and postponed shows from the spring start opening in summer or September. Might the Tonys extend the 2019-2020 season and say the cutoff is now the beginning of September? Some shows like “Flying Over Sunset” might still end up in this season after all.
All just conjecture at this point of course, as news and information changes by the hour with this outbreak. So don’t expect announcements like that anytime soon. But if shows are to start opening around September, they could certainly use the advertising push of the Tonys, since the theatre industry is taking a massive financial hit, like so many industries. It may make sense to move the eligibility date back once they have a better picture of where this health crisis is headed.March 9, 2020 at 1:24 pm #1203376046
Sharon D. Clarke’s co-star Samantha Williams could show up here as well.
I suspect other strong contenders will be Andrew Burnap and Paul Hilton (‘The Inheritance’), Mark Addy and Gabby French (‘Hangmen’), Andrea Macaset, Brittney Mack, and Samantha Pauly (‘SIX’), Ben McKenzie (‘Grand Horizons’), Chantal Thuy (‘Linda Vista’), and Dharon E. Jones (‘West Side Story’).
I believe they have slightly bent the rules before to allow someone to receive this award if their only other credit was an understudy or replacement (since they didn’t debut the character), as the rules now read “for their significant debut performance”. If they go that route then Lauren Patten (‘Jagged Little Pill’) could be a good choice (her one previous bway credit is an understudy/replacement for ‘Fun Home’).March 6, 2020 at 12:42 pm #1203373426
Jeffrey, it is absolutely a strong possibility that Roundabout will petition David Alan Grier for Featured Actor. However, not only is he billed above the title, he has first billing ahead of Blair Underwood. So it was decided to keep him in Lead for now, according to his billing (it’s a sizable role and you could make an argument for either category). Should he be moved to Featured in the next round of eligibility rulings, then his place in the prediction center will change too!January 31, 2020 at 7:37 am #1203321510
I know Simon Russell Beale, Adam Godley, and Ben Miles were all given a joint nomination at the Olivier Awards last year. I doubt that’s gonna happen at the Tonys this year.
There is now an official Tony rule that prohibits multiple actors from receiving a joint nomination. So, definitely not gonna happen. Predicting Lead Actor in a Play will be absolutely insane this year. Blame Billy Elliot.October 24, 2019 at 2:49 pm #1203151231
No real surprises in this round of rulings.
I know a few people had wondered if Sea Wall/A Life would be considered separately as two different plays. But since they didn’t say anything about that show, it appears not.
Everything else follows billing and precedence.September 27, 2019 at 1:46 pm #1203108732
And on the topic of Judy: Isabel Keating was also Tony nominated for playing Judy Garland in “The Boy From Oz.”September 27, 2019 at 1:42 pm #1203108713
My first instinct was “Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?”…but the National Theatre Live broadcast (featuring Imelda Staunton and Conleth Hill) did not earn any Emmy nominations.
Still the play has an impressive awards history.
Martha earned an Oscar for Elizabeth Taylor and a Tony for Uta Hagen. Additional Tony nominations were earned by Amy Morton, Kathleen Turner, and Colleen Dewhurst.
George earned Tracy Letts and Arthur Hill Tonys. Additional Tony noms were earned by Ben Gazzara and Bill Iwrin. Richard Burton was Oscar nominated.
Honey earned Sandy Dennis an Oscar. Tony nominations were earned by Carrie Coon, Mireille Enos, and Melinda Dillon.
Nick earned a Tony nom for David Harbour and Oscar nom for George Segal.
This season’s Broadway revival could increase this tally with Laurie Metcalf, Rupert Everett, Patsy Ferran, and Russell Tovey.
Now someone make a TV movie and get that Emmy!