[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1204051533

Why does Tom think Kirby will miss?

[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1204044008

Jennifer Hudson used to be heralded as the worst winner ever in this category- I’m a big musical fan but I always felt that was overboard.

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[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1204036827

Kim Basinger, Jennifer Connelly, Renee Zellweger, Melissa Leo, Vanessa Redgrave, Ruth Gordon, Shelley Winters(A Patch of Blue), Miyoshi Umeki, Jo Van Fleet.

I have not seen as many winners in this category as much as Best Actress but the ones I have seen aren’t as good as the Best Actress winners. Some of that might just be screen time but for me a supporting performance still needs to have a certain amount of depth and impact for me to like it.

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[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1204025652

I don’t know if the Academy will honor McDormand with a 3rd Oscar so soon. Davis seems to be favored as it’s her honeymoon period from her last win and is giving the type of performance Oscar rewards over and over again. But Mulligan and Kirby could also win under the right circumstances.

[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1203918704

Luca wrote:

I always found the labeling of Hillbilly Elegy as merely a “Trump movie” to be so incredibly disrespectful. It’s a family drama; it’s about how life in some of those rural areas in the U.S. is. I found that entire world to be quite fascinating to dive into, even though it’s debatable whether or not it was actually executed well. And I say this as a hardcore Democrat who voted for Biden.

It’s not a Trump movie at all lol although Trumpism most certainly haunts me when I watched it. I think the movie has it’s merits but it should NOT have been structured the way it was with it’s flashbacks, it ruins what could have been a great movie. And movie J.D. Vance is an asshole lol. It’s hilarious that conservative media have tried to paint the critics who didn’t care for it as Hollywood liberal elites when Vance is pretty elitist in the film. I get that toxic family life is something you need to walk away from for yourself but Vance SPOILER ALERT leaving his mom to go to the interview really pissed me off. It was a family emergency, he could have rescheduled it if he had told them that explicitly.

[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1203876389

Didn’t care for the music at all.

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[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1203874819

https://www.vanityfair.com/hollywood/2020/11/what-hillbilly-elegy-actually-gets-right-about-growing-up-in-appalachia You should read this here to get some more insight into other takes on the film.

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[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1203874351

RobertPius wrote:

Some people think the reviews have been so savage because the author of the book is a conservative in real life so the reviews have a political bias.

(Don’t know if this is true, haven’t seen the movie, read the book and I don’t know much about the author. Somebody told me he was on Tucker Carlson’s show yesterday discussing that the reviews may have been inspired more as personal attacks on him than the film.)

The reviews I have read don’t appear to be politically motivated, the film does not touch on Trump although he is a constant elephant in my mind watching it as I am a political junkie.

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[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1203874329

This movie really should have gone from A to Z- it’s an important subject matter that has some resonance and good acting from Close but it doesn’t really explore the root causes of Bev’s addiction. It goes through the motions without explaining things. Adams was miscast too as she still looks too young and chirpy for the character. I don’t know why people think Close was hammy, I don’t think she ever went over the top. Her character is underdeveloped, the whole script is.

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[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1203762845

Hoster1 wrote:

Colman was not ‘lazy’, she was filming The Crown iirc.

Her father got sick too- I also think the category fraud stuff bothered her as she said in her BAFTA speech that year so she probably wasn’t that keen to do a bunch of campaigning for the studio. Neither she nor Weisz was at the Critics Choice awards and Weisz missed the British Independent Film Awards too and Stone missed BAFTA. Obviously there could be legitimate reasons with all three of them but when reading between the lines I think they maybe all disliked the studio diverting their roles for award consideration when the film is really about the three women’s journeys as screenwriter Deborah Davis has stated.

[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1203760423

Nobody thinks Vanessa Kirby or Kate Winslet can win?

[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1203759705

Close, Adams, and Williams seem to be the favorites to win their first Oscars.

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[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1203758061

1. The Favourite winning Best Original Screenplay at the BAFTAs along with Best British Film, Best Supporting Actress for Weisz, Best Production Design, and Best Costume Design.
2. Viola Davis winning the SAG for The Help.
3. Emanuelle Riva winning the Best Actress BAFTA for Amour.

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[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1203758054

Looks like Davis is the favorite right now. This category is shaping up to be way more interesting than last year but don’t count your chickens as the Oscars can disappoint all the time(Best Actress 2017, last year’s acting races, etc). I’d like to see Winslet win a second though as it has been a long time since she’s won and her career has been a bit bumpy since.

[Joe Burns Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 115 Posts: 1403 View Predictions]

#1203603363

Bumping this because I’m still encountering the same issue.

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