[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#1202064448

Okja, Suspiria, Nuri Bilge Ceylan are not going, 100% confirmed.

LOCKS: Michael Haneke, Sofia Coppola, Claire’s Camèra.

The big doubt is Downsizing.

20 hours to know!

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[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#1202064436

APRIL 12, 2017

BEST PICTURE
The Darkest Hour
Detroit
Downsizing
Dunkirk
The Greatest Showman
Lean on Pete
mother!
The Phantom Thread
The Post
Wonderstruck

BEST DIRECTOR
Alexander Payne, Downsizing
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Darren Aronofsky, mother!
Paul Thomas Anderson, The Phantom Thread
Todd Haynes, Wonderstruck

BEST ACTOR
Matt Damon, Downsizing
Daniel Day-Lewis, The Phantom Thread
Tom Hanks, The Post
Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman
Gary Oldman, The Darkest Hour

BEST ACTRESS
Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game
Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul
Jennifer Lawrence, mother!
Meryl Streep, The Post
Kate Winslet, Wonder Wheel

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Steve Buscemi, Lean on Pete
Woody Harrelson, The Glass Castle
Anthony Mackie, Detroit
Michael Shannon, The Current War
Michael Stuhlbarg, Call me by your name

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Julianne Moore, Wonderstruck
Michelle Pfeiffer, mother!
Kristin Scott-Thomas, The Darkest Hour
Naomi Watts, The Glass Castle

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Downsizing
Dunkirk
mother!
The Phantom Thread
The Post

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Call me by your name
Lean on Pete
Molly’s Game
Mudbound
Wonderstruck

[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#1202064435

Academy Award Nominee John Boyega?

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[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#1201994302

How do I check how I did with my Oscar predictions?

I’m confused, I don’t find the option in the fórums or the page!

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[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#600092

“Coattail” doesn’t mean “bad”. It just means that a strong lead performance help a not-so-great (But nice, I guess) supporting one to get the nomination. Sometimes it’s so obvious that it only happens at the Oscars (Tom Hardy and Maggie Gyllenhaal, I’m looking at you). It’s not the same as a filler nomination (Alan Arkin in Argo, Helen Mirren in The Last Station or Susan Sarandon in The Client, for instance). It’s true that some GREAT leading performances have helped supporting ones get recognised, like Cate Blanchett did with Sally Hawkins in Blue Jasmine, but I wouldn’t call that a coattail nomination…

2015
Tom Hardy, The Revenant

2014
Laura Dern, Wild

2013
Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street

2012
Jackie Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook

2011
Jonah Hill, Moneyball

2009
Maggie Gyllenhaal, Crazy Heart

2005
Frances McDormand, North Country

2004
Alan Alda, The Aviator

2001
Jon Voight, Ali

2000
Albert Finney, Erin Brockovich

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[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#600089

I think I’m going to name this, officially, my first prediction of the year.

BEST PICTURE
01. The Birth of a Nation
02. Silence
03. Loving
04. La La Land
05. Story of your life
06. Howard Hughes 
07. Lion
08. Sully
09. Manchester by the sea
10. Fences

BEST DIRECTOR
01. Martin Scorsese, Silence
02. Nate Parker, The Birth of a Nation
03. Jeff Nichols, Loving
04. Damien Chazelle, La La Land
05. Warren Beatty, Howard Hughes

Alternative: Garth Davis, Lion / Denis Villeneuve, Story of your life

BEST ACTOR
01. Casey Affleck, Manchester by the sea
02. Denzel Washington, Fences
03. Joel Edgerton, Loving
04. Nate Parker, The Birth of a Nation
05. Ryan Gosling, La La Land

Alternative: Michael Keaton, The Founder

BEST ACTRESS
01. Viola Davis, Fences
02. Ruth Negga, Loving
03. Emily Blunt, The Girl on the Train
04. Amy Adams, Story of your life
05. Emma Stone, La La Land

Alternative: Michelle Pfeiffer, Beat-up little seagull

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
01. Liam Neeson, Silence
02. Armie Hammer, The Birth of a Nation
03. Adam Driver, Silence
04. Aaron Eckhart, Sully
05. J.K. Simmons, La La Land

Alternative: Edgar Ramirez, Gold

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
01. Michelle Williams, Manchester by the sea
02. Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
03. Kristen Stewart, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
04. Rachel Weisz, The Light Between Oceans
05. Saoirse Ronan, The Seagull

Alternative: Nicole Kidman, Lion

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
01. La La Land
02. Loving
03. Hail, Caesar!
04. The Birth of a Nation
05. Manchester by the sea

Alternative: Moonlight

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
01. Silence
02. Fences
03. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
04. Sully
05. Julieta

Alternative: Lion

[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#599323

I don’t understand why no one answers. Is a young filmmaker asking for opinion and help. It’s not so difficult to do, I mean.

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[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#220830

Good job. I liked the atmosphere and the themes. Great performance. I gave it 5 stars. I recommend it.

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[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#220829

Poor thing, not even an answer?

I’ll watch it right now and post my comment here later.

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[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#218668

Paramount is going to put Story of your life in September.

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[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#218494

Well, any guess on who’ll play Jim Bono and Lyons Maxson? Both roles could emerge.

My prediction is Jake McGee and Michael B. Jordan.

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[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#218528

I guess we should put out Felicity Jones, although she’s a previous Oscar nominee and Bayona got Watts in 2012 (Although that was a weak year).

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[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#218647

March 12, 2016

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the sea
Joel Edgerton, Loving
Michael Keaton, The Founder
Nate Parker, The Birth of a Nation
Denzel Washington, Fences

Waiting for some word on Andrew Garfield but role looks baity and Scorsese always delivers.

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[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#218680

Silence footage coming soon (Cannes). I guess it’s not ready or they want to wait until New York Film Festival but they’re showing apparently something there (scorsese goes with Bleed for This).

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[seabelParticipant Joined: Nov 21st, 2012 Topics: 66 Posts: 2203 View Predictions]

#218581

Well, with shooting starting in April, Viola Davis is now declared the frontrunner. Ruth Negga second.

March 12, 2016

Amy Adams, Story of your life
Emily Blunt, The Girl on the Train
Viola Davis, Fences
Ruth Negga, Loving
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Still waiting for some word on Beat-up little seagull and Pfeiffer.

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