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Oscars 2021

Predictions

Best Picture

  • Nomadland 4/1
  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 6/1
  • Minari 6/1

Best International Film

  • Another Round 31/10
  • Quo Vadis, Aida? 4/1
  • Collective 4/1

Oscars Nominations 2021

Predictions

Best Director

  • Chloe Zhao 16/5
  • David Fincher 9/2
  • Lee Isaac Chung 5/1

Best Actress

  • Carey Mulligan 69/20
  • Viola Davis 4/1
  • Frances McDormand 4/1

Best Actor

  • Chadwick Boseman 16/5
  • Anthony Hopkins 4/1
  • Riz Ahmed 9/2

Best Supporting Actress

  • Yuh-Jung Youn 19/5
  • Olivia Colman 39/10
  • Maria Bakalova 5/1

Best Supporting Actor

  • Daniel Kaluuya 10/3
  • Sacha Baron Cohen 4/1
  • Leslie Odom, Jr. 4/1

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Nomadland 10/3
  • One Night in Miami 4/1
  • The Father 9/2

Best Original Screenplay

  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 69/20
  • Promising Young Woman 39/10
  • Minari 9/2
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seabel

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Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 2,208 total)
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    seabel
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    September 26, 2019 at 8:14 am #1203104497
    Dan Backslide wrote:

    You can talk about behind the scenes business all you want, doesn’t take away the fact that Hanks was chosen. And he’s a good choice. The man’s a legend who deserves this accolade. But if you want to get all pissed off, that’s your right. Enjoy being the only person in the world who hates Tom Hanks.

    Also, a word of advice. Don’t say “darling”. It just makes you sound like a Thatcher wannabe.

    I’m not the only person in the world who hates Tom Hanks but if I were, I wouldn’t be mad at him. Man can he get a little less typecast.

    I was talking about the advantage that means to go on stage to receive an Honorary Award the same year you have a role with chances of being nominated in a competitive list. I said the same thing when Meryl won in 2016 and I will say the same thing every time this happens because there’s some evidence in it and I’m going to defend it even if I’m not a journalist with name writing for IndieWire, Deadline, Variety, The Hollywood Reporter or whatever.

    Diane Ladd would understand me.

    Reply
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    seabel
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    September 26, 2019 at 8:10 am #1203104482

    Brad Pitt has THE MOMENTUM, THE MOVIE OF THE YEAR and THE RESPECT.

    John Lithgow has THE ROLE. Let’s see if he delivers and if it’s enough to beat Pitt.

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    seabel
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    September 25, 2019 at 2:33 pm #1203102868
    Dan Backslide wrote:

    It’s not Hank’s fault that they chose him for the award. And he deserves it. Tom Hanks is one of the greatest, most beloved, and kindest stars to ever grace Hollywood. He’s earned this

    Chose?

    Darling, are you Two years old?

    Studios, agents… They pay and influence this things, specially The tributes and The honorary awards.

    Reply
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    seabel
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    September 25, 2019 at 2:26 pm #1203102845

    Jennifer López can win The Hollywood Film Award, The National Board of Review and The Golden Globe.

    Laura Dern can win some crítics, The SAG and The Oscar.

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    seabel
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    September 25, 2019 at 2:20 pm #1203102825
    Dana_S_ wrote:

    Now that Joker dropped to 77% on RT, what are Phoenix’s chances?

    Best Actor winners must have 79%, according to Academy rules, to win.

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    seabel
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    September 24, 2019 at 3:18 pm #1203100649

    Only possible answer: No.

    Reply
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    seabel
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    September 24, 2019 at 3:17 pm #1203100647
    Dan Backslide wrote:

    Tom Hanks is a wonderful pick. Also, receiving the award while he’s currently in contention for another Oscar nod will likely give him a good boost.

    Many of you see this as a good boost, many of others (Including myself) see this as a pure strategy of promotion and greed. When you’re contending for a competitive award, you shouldn’t get an honorary award. As simple as that.

    We already had to suffer that when Meryl Streep won this same award in 2016 while she was nominated for Florence Foster Jenkins. I can imagine Kevin Huvane and her publicist telling her to go for the Cecil B. DeMille award because she had to give a speech somehow that night to get the nomination and convince voters. Emma Stone was a lock.

    The same goes for Hanks. The thing is, Hanks is less beloved than Streep. Let’s see how this plays out but, as far as I’m concerned, he can go to hell for doing this awful strategy. I’m sorry, the awards season is getting more and more annoying every year, specially when category fraud (Not Hanks’ case) and greed (Hanks case) happen.

    Reply
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    seabel
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    September 10, 2019 at 9:15 am #1203067638

    01. Brad Pitt, Once upon a time in Hollywood
    02. John Lithgow, Bombshell
    03. Al Pacino, The Irishman
    04. Joe Pesci, The Irishman
    05. Tom Hanks, A beautiful day in the neighborhood

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    seabel
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    September 10, 2019 at 5:05 am #1203067152

    01. Renée Zellweger, Judy (Comeback, real person, deglam, triple threat, narrative, acclaim)
    02. Cynthia Erivo, Harriet (Diversity, real person, subject matter)
    03. Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story (Acclaim, due)
    04. Awkwafina, The Farewell (Diversity, acclaim)
    05. Charlize Theron, Bombshell (Real person, deglam, subject matter)

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    seabel
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    April 12, 2017 at 9:19 am #1202064448

    Okja, Suspiria, Nuri Bilge Ceylan are not going, 100% confirmed.

    LOCKS: Michael Haneke, Sofia Coppola, Claire’s Camèra.

    The big doubt is Downsizing.

    20 hours to know!

    Reply
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    seabel
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    April 12, 2017 at 9:16 am #1202064436

    APRIL 12, 2017

    BEST PICTURE
    The Darkest Hour
    Detroit
    Downsizing
    Dunkirk
    The Greatest Showman
    Lean on Pete
    mother!
    The Phantom Thread
    The Post
    Wonderstruck

    BEST DIRECTOR
    Alexander Payne, Downsizing
    Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
    Darren Aronofsky, mother!
    Paul Thomas Anderson, The Phantom Thread
    Todd Haynes, Wonderstruck

    BEST ACTOR
    Matt Damon, Downsizing
    Daniel Day-Lewis, The Phantom Thread
    Tom Hanks, The Post
    Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman
    Gary Oldman, The Darkest Hour

    BEST ACTRESS
    Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game
    Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul
    Jennifer Lawrence, mother!
    Meryl Streep, The Post
    Kate Winslet, Wonder Wheel

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    Steve Buscemi, Lean on Pete
    Woody Harrelson, The Glass Castle
    Anthony Mackie, Detroit
    Michael Shannon, The Current War
    Michael Stuhlbarg, Call me by your name

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
    Julianne Moore, Wonderstruck
    Michelle Pfeiffer, mother!
    Kristin Scott-Thomas, The Darkest Hour
    Naomi Watts, The Glass Castle

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    Downsizing
    Dunkirk
    mother!
    The Phantom Thread
    The Post

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    Call me by your name
    Lean on Pete
    Molly’s Game
    Mudbound
    Wonderstruck

    Profile picture
    seabel
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    April 12, 2017 at 9:14 am #1202064435

    Academy Award Nominee John Boyega?

    Reply
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    seabel
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    January 24, 2017 at 11:48 am #1201994302

    How do I check how I did with my Oscar predictions?

    I’m confused, I don’t find the option in the fórums or the page!

    Reply
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    seabel
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    March 20, 2016 at 6:01 am #600092

    “Coattail” doesn’t mean “bad”. It just means that a strong lead performance help a not-so-great (But nice, I guess) supporting one to get the nomination. Sometimes it’s so obvious that it only happens at the Oscars (Tom Hardy and Maggie Gyllenhaal, I’m looking at you). It’s not the same as a filler nomination (Alan Arkin in Argo, Helen Mirren in The Last Station or Susan Sarandon in The Client, for instance). It’s true that some GREAT leading performances have helped supporting ones get recognised, like Cate Blanchett did with Sally Hawkins in Blue Jasmine, but I wouldn’t call that a coattail nomination…

    2015
    Tom Hardy, The Revenant

    2014
    Laura Dern, Wild

    2013
    Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street

    2012
    Jackie Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook

    2011
    Jonah Hill, Moneyball

    2009
    Maggie Gyllenhaal, Crazy Heart

    2005
    Frances McDormand, North Country

    2004
    Alan Alda, The Aviator

    2001
    Jon Voight, Ali

    2000
    Albert Finney, Erin Brockovich

    Reply
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    seabel
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    March 20, 2016 at 5:44 am #600089

    I think I’m going to name this, officially, my first prediction of the year.

    BEST PICTURE
    01. The Birth of a Nation
    02. Silence
    03. Loving
    04. La La Land
    05. Story of your life
    06. Howard Hughes 
    07. Lion
    08. Sully
    09. Manchester by the sea
    10. Fences

    BEST DIRECTOR
    01. Martin Scorsese, Silence
    02. Nate Parker, The Birth of a Nation
    03. Jeff Nichols, Loving
    04. Damien Chazelle, La La Land
    05. Warren Beatty, Howard Hughes

    Alternative: Garth Davis, Lion / Denis Villeneuve, Story of your life

    BEST ACTOR
    01. Casey Affleck, Manchester by the sea
    02. Denzel Washington, Fences
    03. Joel Edgerton, Loving
    04. Nate Parker, The Birth of a Nation
    05. Ryan Gosling, La La Land

    Alternative: Michael Keaton, The Founder

    BEST ACTRESS
    01. Viola Davis, Fences
    02. Ruth Negga, Loving
    03. Emily Blunt, The Girl on the Train
    04. Amy Adams, Story of your life
    05. Emma Stone, La La Land

    Alternative: Michelle Pfeiffer, Beat-up little seagull

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    01. Liam Neeson, Silence
    02. Armie Hammer, The Birth of a Nation
    03. Adam Driver, Silence
    04. Aaron Eckhart, Sully
    05. J.K. Simmons, La La Land

    Alternative: Edgar Ramirez, Gold

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    01. Michelle Williams, Manchester by the sea
    02. Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
    03. Kristen Stewart, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
    04. Rachel Weisz, The Light Between Oceans
    05. Saoirse Ronan, The Seagull

    Alternative: Nicole Kidman, Lion

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    01. La La Land
    02. Loving
    03. Hail, Caesar!
    04. The Birth of a Nation
    05. Manchester by the sea

    Alternative: Moonlight

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    01. Silence
    02. Fences
    03. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
    04. Sully
    05. Julieta

    Alternative: Lion

Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 2,208 total)
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