[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205353668

FilmRoyalty wrote:

Let’s keep the Bond girls tradition for women of color going. Halle and Michelle (Bond girls) have won. I guess Lashana Lynch is next for Best Actress. I wouldn’t be mad either. She is AMAZING.

I guess on account of Skyfall Naomie Harris may also qualify?

 

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205321320

I think the messiness of Marvel’s Phase 4 is going to hurt Bassett. The RT for Quantumania is not helping.

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205311827

Assuming either Blanchett or Yeoh win (let’s be real, the other 3 have no real chance):

1. Charlize Theron – a BA winner who starred in The School for Good and Evil alongside Blanchett and Yeoh. The movie was a hot mess but by virtue of it Theron has a connection to both contenders
2. Viola Davis (this would have similar energy to Crawford presenting Director after being snubbed for WHTBJ, although Davis actually seems way less bothered by her snub than pretty much anyone else, let alone Crawford)
3. Kenneth Branagh (he’s directing Yeoh in A Haunting in Venice, and Blanchett in Cinderella. While not an Oscar winning actor himself, he has won for his screenplay for Belfast and he has got quite a few nominations)

X

Reply

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205311809

K Olivia wrote:

Michelle could still win SAG. But Blanchett will win the Oscar regardless. It’s an undeniable performance, however, we know voters love keeping the lead actress category White. So it’s either Cate or maybe Andrea for sh!ts & giggles.

If Yeoh wins SAG, I think that’s a significant gain for her at Blanchett’s expense.

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205311792

Babylonian wrote:

Of course it’s great that she got nominated, but lbr here. Blanchett will probably be a frontrunner in BA or BSA within the next five years. Will Yeoh star in another Best Picture frontrunner anytime soon? It took Angela Bassett thirty years to get back in the Oscar race after WLGTDWI.

I do think that EEAAO is a turning point in Yeoh’s career though. I don’t think it’s impossible for her to garner another lead nomination.

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205311775

One (not the only one) major reason that Bassett is winning the Oscar is due to her loss for What’s Love Got To Do With It. While Hunter’s win isn’t unpopular per say, the idea that Bassett should’ve won that year is a popular one. But Bassett wasn’t even nominated for a BAFTA for playing Tina Turner, so it’s not like BAFTA considered her robbed for that performance in the way that many American voters would.

 

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205301536

eddienow wrote:

If the Daniels were going for a martial arts movie icon as their lead, they don’t have much choice outside of Yeoh or Donnie Yen. Just any Asian actor wouldn’t allow them to play with the rich meta stuff.

I mean, when Evelyn was originally written as a man the actor they apparently had in mind was Jackie Chan.

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205299758

I know that there is a…risk, in taking a risk like Gerwig did in embarking upon this project. However her record with breathing new life into Little Women on its fourth Hollywood adaptation suggests that she can extract a lot of quality from this IP.

X

Reply

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205299746

YeohBestActress wrote:

Well we know who Viola is not voting for

https://platform.twitter.com/embed/Tweet.html?dnt=true&embedId=twitter-widget-0&features=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&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1624089581023899658&lang=en&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.goldderby.com%2Fforum%2Fmovies%2F2023-oscars-best-actress-part-27%2F&sessionId=ae66c5ced822cf8ad8066dbabfb42f5af420dc85&siteScreenName=GoldDerby&theme=light&widgetsVersion=aaf4084522e3a%3A1674595607486&width=550px

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js I don’t know what would have been the better way to express an opinion about this without offending anyone. She gave a diplomatic, simple answer that touches upon the systematic issues and also stated a fact reinstated by the Academy that Andrea’s nomination was not a case of cheating. Anyways asking a nominee from the same category about this is pretty shitty. I hope people read the whole article before jumping to conclusions.

I highly doubt that Davis would not vote for Yeoh because of this. She’s taking her snub very graciously and rejoicing in being an EGOT. If she wasn’t to vote for Yeoh, it would be because she prefers another performance.

 

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205299100

midnights wrote:

My biggest objection to a third Blanchett win is that it will tie her with Meryl, and I just don’t think she’s reached that level yet. I don’t even believe Frances McDormand was deserving.

I think Streep and McDormand winning third oscars for roles that were certainly not at the height of their greatness as actresses has made Blanchett a contender this season, because her work in Tár is arguably the pinnacle of her career. The thinking is, if Streep and McDormand won for relatively “mid” performances (relative to their overall bodies of work), then surely Blanchett is a contender when her third Oscar could be for arguably her greatest performance?

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205282969

jjjmoss wrote:

well it’s been 20+ years since halle and she still has a total of one nom, unfortunately.

I think racism had a part to play in that, as it probably impeded her from getting more prestige projects, but Berry doing stuff like Catwoman severely reduced her standing with the academy.

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205281999

I think Yeoh has a better shot at bafta than people think. She has a prior nomination here for CTHD while Blanchett has 3 baftas already (she beat Paltrow here for Elizabeth). Is Bafta ready to reward Blanchett for a fourth time?

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205279244

lorelei_lor wrote:

If Tyree Henry lost the nomination by a few votes people here would never think he was 6th with no precursors. You just never know. People are so convinced it was Deadwyler or Davis but this could veer into myopia.

I think BTH got more standout notices than JLaw though, had something of an “overdue for a nomination” narrative (sort of like Jessie Buckley last year), and is in a weaker category, which could’ve helped him get over the line even if JLaw didn’t crack the top 6.

 

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205274387

wrote:

This Chastain comparison is getting boring. She had no competition (Kidman did absolutely nothing, Stewart only had a Globe nod and was happy to be Oscar nominated, Colman was contending for a Netflix movie and Cruz for a foreign language performance). Fraser has to beat two BP nominated performances. Even if he takes SAG, Farrell is still winning BAFTA and Oscar.

Had Close won in 2019 and the new Bafta rules been in place last year, I feel like Colman would’ve won over Chastain to be honest.

[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1205274378

Mladen wrote:

Let’s also not forget that this season, Blanchett did “Actors on Actors” with Yeoh, giving us such fresh and beautiful perspective on her work, she presented Viola with her award at Palm Springs, giving an epic speech about Viola’s work and “The Woman King” and was the only one this season mentioning Tang Wei. So, people need to think twice before they throw her with the likes of Frances Fisher.

also as someone who’s competing this year I hardy think she was going to be part of a campaign to get another woman a leading actress nomination.