[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202693821

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_New_York_Film_Critics_Circle_Awards

Interesting runner-ups. Steven Yeun and Olivia Colman were runners-up for the Supporting award while Brady Jandreau for The Rider came in second for Best Actor.

It’s clear the critics are ga ga over Gaga. It’s like all the love Jennifer Lawrence received for Silver Linings Playbook and we saw how that worked out. I can see Academy members falling in love with her character and that film. I think it’s going to be the film to beat and will require a sizable protest vote in support of one other nominee in Best Actress and another one in Best Picture to take it down.

For the NYFCC, I wonder if some of the critics who DID NOT want Gaga to win saw the writing on the wall in the early rounds of voting and got together and decided to back Regina Hall. It’s like how Cameron Diaz won Best Actress for There’s Something About Mary. I know one of my favorite posters ever on this forum believes Diaz deserved it, and she possibly did, but the NYC critics that year were making a statement with that pick as they didn’t want the person who was on her way to win to win and decided to just “naughtily” throw their vote towards Diaz.

ETA: There’s no external link to show who the runner-ups are. I’m assuming a member of the NYFCC edited that wikipedia page because otherwise, that whole thing could be made up.

• This reply was modified 2 days, 6 hours ago by  SHT L.

[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202693400

I just wish the producers would actually show case the films nominated and truly showcased what those other categories are rewarding and the craft behind them. Highlighting the films should be the show…but not to the point where Jon Stewart hosted once and we had nothing but endless montages.

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[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202693317

I count on LAFCA and NSFC to go out-of-the-box because we’ll get enough mainstream and the same old winners once the Globes and BFCA announce their winners on TV.

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[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202693298

I get Glenn Close’s performance and movie isn’t for everyone, but to say it’s not full, rich, and varied is sort of amazing to me. I saw it twice with months long separation and I found it incredible. Before I watched it the first time, the trailer and people’s opinion on here made me believe it was a totally quiet maybe one-note performance that just burst at the end. However, it was far from it. I admit that it took me about 40 minutes in the first time because I was just wondering when the shoe would fall on the other foot, but once she had that drinking scene with Christian Slater, Close mesmerized me from that moment on. So much was going on with that performance. The second time I watched it, I knew where the movie was heading so I was able to pay attention and understand why her character was acting the way she was in the beginning. It was even better the second time around. There’s a lot of maturity and depth to that performance and only an actress with her skill and caliber can pull that off. It’s not simply given to her. I do think the issue with her performance is that it’s in a movie that doesn’t seem “important” or “weighty” which I think is sort of a bias issue even though the film has had great reviews backing it up. She’s not transforming or anything either. Some times mistake energy with acting craft. Plus, it’s not a performance or role that will be “loved” and we know Oscar picks Best Actresses for performances where they either “fall in love” with the female character or are entertained and “surprised” by the character. Close’s role doesn’t really have that opportunity to entertain us or shower us with tricks that make us want to reward it. This is not the type of role that usually wins these types of awards. Lady Gaga’s role is as the role was written as if it used a recipe to get awards and check off certain boxes. If Close somehow wins the Oscar, I think it’d be a rare exercise in good taste by the Academy.

[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202693202

M: The Original wrote:

Very disappointed in their lineup. They gave Bates her first critic’s win for Misery and nominated her for damn near everything which explains the inclusion of McCarthy. Fat and Irish is their thing.

Whoa! Now that’s a hot take.

[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202691590

MarinaBelo2 wrote:

I think that’s because everyone thinks Gaga is a lock for the win at the Globes and that the other precursors(CC, SAG and BAFTA) will award her as well, or the other Globe winner.

I totally get that and I don’t think she’s a shoe-in for a win at all, but some people were actually thinking Close would have a hard time getting nominated for the Globes and SAG. I mean the SAG snub could still happen and even with those two nominations, she could still get an Oscar snub, but people are acting like those groups never heard of Close before and never awarded/nominated her before. To me, her not getting in would be more of a surprise than her being left out (which again I say can still happen). It’ll be like an Ethan Hawke getting snubbed for First Reform type of situation than Close being, for example, Kathryn Hahned out of a nomination.

[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202691563

I don’t know why some people are underestimating Close for these televised awards nominations. Sure she can get snubbed, but so could a lot of people (look at Ethan Hawke at the Globes). They’re acting like she had no chance in hell with some of these groups. The Globes may be star fuckers, but guess what? Like it or not, Close is considered a movie star. She’s a 12-time Globe nominee (2-time winner), 7-time SAG nominee (1-time winner). Hell, the last time Close got nominated for a Globe for a film (outside today) was for Best Actress in a Drama and Best Original Song for a song she penned for Albert Nobbs coincidentally the same kind of nominations Lady Gaga received today. I get thinking she may be vulnerable or that a nomination isn’t a sure thing, but the way some people speak, it’s as if Close was a nobody who was just an old woman who got one role this year that is getting awards attention. She is just an Oscar away from EGOTing.

[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202691557

A Star is Born got the same number of nominations at 5 as the 1976 version in almost the same categories (just change Musical/Comedy to Drama) except 2018 was nominated for Best Director as opposed to Best Score. The 1954 version won Best Actor and Actress in a Musical/Comedy. There were no nominees back then apparently.

[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202691533

Lil Tony wrote:

when is SAG nominations coming up?

Wednesday, December 12, 2018.

[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202691519

Whoever said Kidman and Pike have the best trailers showcasing their talent and performance was not kidding. A Private War‘s trailer is a brilliant showcase for Pike. I’d add Julia Roberts for Ben is Back, surprisingly, to that list.

[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202691432

Marcus.H wrote:

So….. How about LAFCA? I still think Aparicio is gonna take that home.

I’m going to go out on a limb and say Joanna Kulig or maybe something even more left field and say Helena Howard.

[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202691338

Jazzy wrote:

Will any of these women get all 4 precursor nominations? I’m not sure.

• For some reason I’m not sure about Close getting a SAG nod. It seems like they’ll choose someone from a more popular film instead.

Maybe, but Close is a 7-time SAG nominee with five of the times happening in the past 14 years (though the last time was seven years ago). I mean it can still happen, just like her being snubbed at the Globes could have happened, but looking at the track record, I think like HFPA, SAG knows who Close is and hadn’t been hesitant to nominate her numerous times before and will more likely than not nominate her. Of course, with how competitive this category is, a snub can happen as well.

[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202691281

I don’t think Aparcio will get nominated for SAG (is she even eligible?) or the BFCA awards. I still would hold on to the POSSIBILITY that she might get a shock nomination. One of those really unexpected ones depending on how deeply the Actor’s Branch feels about Roma and how compelled enough members feel about the need to recognize her individually for the success of that film and how they don’t feel as compelled to nominate her numerous competitors. Ever since 2012 with the surprise Beasts of the Southern Wild nominations (showing some rare good taste even though it’d been better if Dwight Henry was nominated as well), I think a lot of things are possible even with lack of precursors. Also, with the fact that trends have been breaking in the past few years regarding Oscar.

[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202691270

Vicennn wrote:

Imagine voting for Crazy Rich Asians among all more deserving films

Why not? There have been worse movies that have WON Best Picture at the Oscars.

[SHT LParticipant Joined: Feb 7th, 2017 Topics: 10 Posts: 718 View Predictions]

#1202691256

kobi wrote:

Me too. What a joke, two critally acclaimed movies lost their spot to this movie that received mixed reviews and been slammed for historical inaccuracies.

Is this your first time seeing the GG nominations? They have a mix of critically-acclaimed films and movies that people simply LOVE. Bohemian Rhapsody may not have had the critics, but it certainly had the box office AND the audience. It’s one of those movies that definitely appeals to the HFPA. The Globes don’t always go for high art, so in retrospect, though I was expecting Hawke and First Reformed to get in, I was not surprised it did not. HFPA are always on the more populist side of the awards pool. I don’t really respect them at all, but with that being said, I still feel that for the past few years or so, they’ve somehow made better choices for the actual winners than the Oscars.