[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1204001758

John Berchmans wrote:

I actually have Sam Levinson as the surprise 5th Director nominee we sometimes get. Malcolm and Marie has acclaimed direction and seems likely to overperform with the Globes. I’m not sure it gets into Picture but I do see it getting into here.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1204001744

Ashton_Reeves wrote:

Andra Sophia Loren or Zendaya these are the ladies who will be closing in these 5th spot noms or maybe 4th if Kirby misses shes a little weak

I’m glad You sounds different now finally. You went from repeatedly “Zendaya will definitely get in or even win Y’all not ready” to now “Zendaya, Loren, Day are competing for the 5th spot.”

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1204001688

I want to see the faces of those who firmly claimed “Day is not happening on GG” if she DOES get nominated.

I didn’t finish Billie Holiday trailer, but Andra Day looks much better than I expected. As a Gaga fan, I think Day looks better than Ga in trailers.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1204001680

Congrats on Soul, Judas, and Sound of Metal for their AFI top 10. So happy for these films I root for!

1. PYW isn’t in, as some here and I expected. PYW is truly one the most overhyped films this year. Yeah this is just AFI and there’s always at least 1 Oscars BP film left out on their list, but judging from its buzz (the strongest), this does not look that promising.

2. Judas is what most people here didn’t predict to be in AFI today. I’ve also been worrying about its release time and lack of buzz on film twitter or here, but now I’m very glad it’s stronger than people expected.

3. At least 1 film from AFI top 10 each year can’t make it into Oscars BP, I feel this year is Da 5 Bloods or Sound of Metal.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1204001662

estrelas wrote:

I was just doing a bit of research and National Board Review track record for BP at the Oscars is… well, it’s not the best. Since 2010 this is how many movies from their Top10 went on to flop (snub for BP) at the Oscars : 2010 – 4 (Another Year, Hereafter, Shutter Island, The Town) 2011 – 5 (Drive, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2, The Ides of March, J. Edgar) 2012 – 3 (Looper, The Perks of Being a Wallflower, Promised Land) 2013 – 6 (Fruitvale Station, Inside Llewyn Davis, Lone Survivor, Prisoners, Saving Mr. Banks, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty) 2014 – 7 (A Most Violent Year – WON, Fury, Gone Girl, Inherent Vice, The Lego Movie, Nightcrawler, Unbroken) 2015 – 5 (Creed, The Hateful Eight, Inside Out, Sicario, Straight Outta Compton) 2016 – 4 (Hail, Caesar!, Patriots Day, Silence, Sully) 2017 – 5 (Baby Driver, The Disaster Artist, Downsizing, The Florida Project, Logan) 2018 – 7 (The Ballad of Buster Scruggs, Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Eighth Grade, First Reformed, If Beale Street Could Talk, Mary Poppins Returns, A Quiet Place) 2019 – 5 (Dolemite Is My Name, Knives Out, Richard Jewell, Uncut Gems, Waves) 

I think we all  know NBR is just for fun. It’ll be cool to see some fresh choices tho.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1203999769

prevnext wrote:

This sounds like something the dad from Get Out would say tbh….

Then how should he say to not offend you? God it’s so tough for people to talk things now. Everyone is too sensitive to mind some real business.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1203998529

You guys need to move on for these past Oscars winners or nominees. Lol basically every successful young white actress would be targets in your mind. Margot in I,Tonya /Jennifer in Playbook/ Emma in LLL….all are actually impressive and deserve their noms.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1203998458

KAZ-2.5 wrote:

Soul is fine but a pretty weak effort from Pixar. I don’t get the people who say that it deserves anything more than a best animated film nomination.

Score deserves recognition. And weak effort? People can really use a simple word to deny somebody’s work of years. If Soul is Pixar’s weak effort, there’re not many great ones left. I don’t think it would get in BP, but it’s no doubt that Soul is among Pixar’s best(and most mature) in these years.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1203997450

God GG is coming and I’m still not quite sure about the noms…… last year’s prediction is much easier.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1203997357

leslieit wrote:

The girls are so miserable. Wow.

Ugh…you are actually among those who are responsible for all these unnecessary trolls/stan wars here.

Sorry if I’m wrong but aren’t you the biggest Andra Day hater here and the one who named Day supporters “Day trolls?” I remember you once had 8/10 continuous comments attacking her as a person before the infamous Part22 when the reviews were actually out.

So yeah, new girls are miserable if above behaviors keep happening.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1203997340

I wish that Judas and the Black Messiah song by H.E.R. can pull a win.

Never underestimate H.E.R.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1203997288

Jazzy wrote:

While watching the movie, I kept waiting for some “undeniable” moment to happen. A moment that would make me go “Wow what a performance”. But that moment never came. The movie was mediocre and Carey’s performance was just ok. PYW and Ma Rainey are easily the two most overrated movies of the year.

I have to echo this. I was waiting for what’s so good about Mulligan and PYW, and then I finished the film with nothing really amazing me. PYW really is the most overhyped film in award season these years. Parasite deserves the hype,but this? I don’t get it.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1203992661

Toy Story 4 is the weakest Disney winner in recent years.

1. From Industry: It lost every Annie Award category it got nominated and that’s not what critic scores can tell you. People’s real reactions matter more.

2. From Audience: its 7.8 IMDB rating is the lowest in the franchise and among the recent Oscars winner (Inside Out:8.1 /Zootopia:8 /Coco:8.4 /SpiderMan: 8.4)

Btw, though both Wolfwalkers and Soul got 8.1 on IMDB rn, the former only has 9,000+ votes while Soul is 130,000+.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1203992645

John Berchmans wrote:

Toy Story 4 was just as acclaimed as Soul, and it still lost, That’s why I’m skeptical.

Are you talking about critic scores? Because

RT: ToyStory4 -97% Coco -97% 
MTC: ToyStory4 -84 Coco -81

but we all know which one is acclaimed more and what their qualities are.

When I said “most acclaimed” about Spider Man, I’m not referring to critic scores but the direct reactions from audience and industry people.  TS4 is the weakest Disney contender in these years and the least-favorite in its franchise if you have watched it. So when Disney came up with a weak one, it’s not a big deal when some major awards went to other contenders. Why do you guys care the RT/MTC scores so much?  99% on RT doesn’t mean it’s a better film than one with 89%; Winning 20 critic awards doesn’t mean it’s better than winning 15.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 1066 View Predictions]

#1203992505

I hope nobody sweeps and Carey Mulligan wins Oscars. (though I prefer Mcdormand, she has won before so I’m fine with her loss)

Coen-Lynch-Fellini