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Oscars Nominations 2021

Predictions

Best Picture

  • Nomadland 13/2
  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 15/2
  • Minari 17/2

Best Director

  • Chloe Zhao 82/25
  • David Fincher 9/2
  • Aaron Sorkin 11/2

Best Actress

  • Carey Mulligan 37/10
  • Viola Davis 4/1
  • Frances McDormand 4/1

Best Actor

  • Chadwick Boseman 10/3
  • Anthony Hopkins 4/1
  • Riz Ahmed 9/2

Best Supporting Actress

  • Olivia Colman 4/1
  • Yuh-Jung Youn 9/2
  • Glenn Close 5/1

Best Supporting Actor

  • Daniel Kaluuya 37/10
  • Sacha Baron Cohen 4/1
  • Leslie Odom, Jr. 4/1

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Nomadland 69/20
  • One Night in Miami 4/1
  • The Father 9/2

Best Original Screenplay

  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 71/20
  • Promising Young Woman 9/2
  • Minari 9/2

Grammy Nominations 2021

Predictions

Record of the Year

  • Blinding Lights 4/1
  • Don't Start Now 13/2
  • Circles 15/2
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Stardust

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    Stardust
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    July 5, 2017 at 8:39 pm #1202142982

    Is there a reason why Blair Brown, who played a comedic character, is listed but other Orange actresses aren’t a voting option? None of Selenis Leyva, Elizabeth Rodriguez, Jessica Pimentel, Laura Prepon, Natasha Lyonne, Yael Stone, Taryn Manning, among others.

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    Stardust
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    July 5, 2017 at 8:26 pm #1202142974

    Has this been posted?
    The Story Behind Orange Is the New Black’s Torture Scene and the Deleted Moment That Alters Piscatella’s Story
    http://www.vulture.com/2017/06/orange-is-the-new-black-torture-piscatella-deleted-scene.html

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    Stardust
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    February 28, 2016 at 7:41 pm #219038

    I am so happy to have gotten that prediction wrong (switched today to the safe choice) . So happy for Rylance! The academy showed integrity.

     
    2/3 short categories right so far. 

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    Stardust
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    February 28, 2016 at 5:36 pm #213865

    The Revenant and Mad Max tied in the sound editing guild.

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    Stardust
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    February 28, 2016 at 3:59 pm #213863

    I’m curious why those predicting a split in the sound categories are predicting Revenant in Mixing and Mad Max in Editing. The inverse makes more sense to me.

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    Stardust
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    February 26, 2016 at 11:14 am #217241

    I’m most unsure about doc short: Lanzmann:Shoa, A Girl in the River, or Chau. Body Team 12 and A Girl in the River would compete for the same audience, and I believe the latter is more emotional and invokes more sympathy. Chau is very “baity” and inspiring; disbaled Asian child who dreams to be an artist. And Shoa would theoretically appeal to most Academy members who decide to vote in the category. 

    If one also takes into account members who’d vote without watching the shorts and likely vote per the title that appeals most, those three still have the most advantange, with Shoa and A Girl in the River benefiting most.

    I think any short but Ave Maria can win live action, but Shok, Stutterer and Day One have the strongest chance. Shok feels like the most exhaustive or “substantial” perhaps, but Stutterer is likely the baitiest. 

    Animation is between Bear Story, WoT, and Sanjay, but I wouldn’t discount Cosmos. Sanjay wouldn’t be considered the best by the vast majority of voters, but it ticks the race/minority box. Bear and Cosmos appeal to the emotions, and Bear has arguably the best animation. World of Tomorrow has the prestige and it’s the most amibitous or forward-thinking, maybe “arty”, and because of that I don’t think it would win with a popular vote. It would win if it impresses most voters and they prefer it over the affecting stories. Think of it as the Mad Max or the Carol (per the general perception) of shorts. 

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    Stardust
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    January 17, 2016 at 3:37 pm #210765

    Well just know mine would’ve scored 100%. GD’s loss.

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    Stardust
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    January 17, 2016 at 3:03 pm #201162

    Fair enough. 
    I too don’t think he’s a shoo-in. We’ll see if the tide turns.

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    Stardust
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    January 17, 2016 at 2:37 pm #210761

    Why are predictions closed if the awards don’t start for another 2.5 hours {#emotions_dlg.fing}

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    Stardust
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    January 17, 2016 at 10:39 am #210063

    The only Oscar-worthy directorial achievement (out of the 3 directorial achievements nominated) for me is Miller’s. Such an effing shame Haynes isn’t there.
    Inarritu, Miller, McCarthy are currently frontrunners. We’ll see after the guilds.

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    Stardust
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    January 17, 2016 at 10:24 am #210288

    I would laugh so much and squeal if the winner was Carol – which I find the most deserving here actually. 
    This is obviosuly between Seale and Lubezki (with Hateful Eight as a spoiler). I’m not enamoured with Lubezki’s work here, so I’m not rooting for him. I think Mad Max is deserving, but I really don’t mind any of the nominees winning (i’d rank Sicario 5th).

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    Stardust
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    January 17, 2016 at 10:08 am #201154

    God I hope Stallone doesn’t get this ridiculous sympathy/nostalgia/name-recognition/congrats-on-coming-back-full-circle-after-some-shitty-40-years win over Rylance. How anyone can seriosuly say his is the best supporting male perfomrance of the year..

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    Stardust
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    January 17, 2016 at 9:58 am #210225

    Between Cinderella and Danish Girl. Cinderella’s is a great costume design achievement. Cinderella’s sumptuous costumes/visuals are the film, and the film was a big, female-led BO success, so i’d be shocked if it doesn’t win. 

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    Stardust
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    January 17, 2016 at 9:21 am #209269

    ^ You mean the directors branch. 

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    Stardust
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    January 17, 2016 at 9:11 am #208949

    Who are the Weinstein’s pushing more, Mara or Leigh?

    That will be a big factor. 

    He’ll be pushing Mara of course.  

    Reply
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