[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204066151

wrote:

You actually have to watch all of them, then determine who got buzz, percursor noms, good narrative, campaigning and if the performance is something AMPAS would go for based on previous nominees. You can’t based predictions on what you like or want to see happen, more like what actually makes sense.

I mean…it’s actually not really my own personal opinion. I don’t even have that much of an opinion one way or another if Pike gets in or doesn’t. I just felt like going for it in terms of a NGNG prediction. If I were going to play it safe, I would honestly just choose Andra Day.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204066053

I have trying to choose my fifth slot for a while and I’ve gone from Loren to Flanagan to Day to Han but none of them have felt like the right choice.

I just have this very weird feeling that perhaps Rosamund Pike could somehow pull it off and get the slot.

And if she pulls off the win for the Globe today, I will definitely stick with it (even if it didn’t help Awkwafina).

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204066024

She did what she needed to do and did solid work but there was no reason to even nominate her for this performance let alone WIN for it.

I did vote Loathe because I certainly can’t say that I loved her in it.

Julianne Moore should’ve won with Joan Cusack as the runner up.

Other people who were snubbed: Debbi Morgan, EVE’S BAYOU; Sigourney Weaver, THE ICE STORM

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204065581

Come to think of it, the only moment I even really remember from SBC in CHICAGO 7 was when he mockingly yelled “Father, no!” to Frank Langela.

The fact that I only took away THAT from his role…then yeah, you’re right…it would be worse than Dern.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204065545

I am most definitely on the Carey Mulligan train.

Not only is she richly deserving for it but:

-She was robbed for AN EDUCATION (though she ranked second to Kim Hye-ha on my personal list)
-She was robbed for SHAME
-She was robbed of a nom for WILDLIFE

PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN is easily a career best performance for her so I fully support the win for both the performance itself and as a makeup win.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204065528

In terms of the Globes, this is a nail-biter of a category.

I honestly could see a scenario where they try to push Close out of the gate again.

However, Seyfried seems like a Globes kind of selection (for some reason I keep thinking back to when Portman won for CLOSER over Blanchett and Madsen…not to mention Portman got snubbed at SAG).

Then you have Colman, a Globes favorite in a film that was loved by the HFPA (same as MANK). I don’t want to rule her out.

Frankly, the only one I would completely rule out is Zengel. For some reason, I even had a weird feeling about Foster somehow sneaking in but I really don’t foresee it in the end.

I do think it’s odd to have Seyfried be the only win for MANK but I’m going to predict her to win the Globe.

In terms of who will win the Oscar? I am praying that Youn will pull it off but if she doesn’t…then fuck it, just give it to Close and call it a day.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204065518

Honestly this should be no contest.

Kaluuya deserves this. The only person I would even consider in his place would be Paul Raci for a completely different kind of performance (not to mention one that is truly supporting).

If Sacha Baron Cohen somehow pulls this off, it would be a travesty of a win. It would essentially be on par with Laura Dern winning for MARRIAGE STORY in my book.

Although, come to think of it, I suppose I wouldn’t be upset by a Leslie Odom Jr win.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204065511

Boseman winning wouldn’t be the worst Best Actor win by any means…but I am still firmly on the Riz Ahmed train.

Keep in mind, I haven’t seen THE FATHER yet but should hopefully be doing so this coming week.

However, I do suspect that if Boseman loses the Globe that the backlash given will be severe. I would be surprised if it is not.

I am tentatively predicting Hopkins to win the Globe but I still think Boseman will win the Oscar.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204057683

wolfali wrote:

So umm. Give. Riz. The. Oscar.

That’s quite the delectable cup of tea you gave us.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204054340

I’m certainly not adding anything new here but yeah it’s no contest.

PARASITE easily.

#1-Parasite
#2-Moonlight

Those are the only two I would’ve voted for.

#3-12 Years a Slave (Strong film but I would’ve voted for HER)
#4-The Shape of Water (I liked it but I still preferred like 4 of the nominees ahead of it)
#5-Birdman (liked it but still preferred like 4 other movies)
#6-Argo
#7-Spotlight
#8-The King’s Speech
#9-The Artist
#10-Green Book

Also, PARASITE and MOONLIGHT are my two favorite BP winners of not just the last decade but the best winners since THE SILENCE OF THE LAMBS…and frankly I think they are among the 10-15 greatest BP winners ever.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204049196

jvcruzeiro wrote:

When was the last time a movie swept Film, Actor and Actress at the Globes ?

Assuming Borat will take Film and Actor, I believe Rosamund Pike or even Anya Taylor Joy (If they go with the Queen’s Gambit hype) could be potential surprises.

Unless I’m forgetting another example. I do recall CHICAGO sweeping Film, Actor, and Actress. I think that was considered a first at the time and I don’t recall it happening again.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204045262

kaziz wrote:

I remember when Hillbilly Elegy came out, even all us Glenn Close stans didn’t want her to win for it.

But with the state of the field, I think that unless the Academy is prepared to do the right thing and give the Oscar to Youn, they may as well give it to Close. Close was actually good, she did her best. Haley Bennett was better, but who cares. For the first time in maybe a long time, Close has middling competition (again, apart from Youn). So…yeah, OK.

Honestly this is how I am feeling.

I really want Youn Yuh-Jung to win this but if that isn’t the route they go, then yeah, screw it, just give it to Close and call it a day.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204040954

I did vote Lead but frankly she should’ve been in Lead for FENCES and a supporting nod would’ve made more sense here.

Nevertheless, I still think Lead (but barely)

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204040052

Butz wrote:

And who in PYW is that egregious? Carey Mulligan is 5 years older than her role and Bo Burnham is exactly the right age.

There have been some people claiming that Mulligan doesn’t come across as looking youthful or believable enough to be 30.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1151 View Predictions]

#1204040048

JUDAS could still make a comeback at PGA/DGA/WGA…but I also say that as someone who feels like it would be ridiculous if they keep snubbing it.

I thought it was really great and I think Shaka King deserves to get Director/Screenplay noms.

I would even go as far to say it has my personal vote for Best Picture at this point.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”