[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203334226

And not to mention, Parasite has accomplished much more than ROMA last year in terms of guilds awards:

Parasite: WGA, SAG, Editing Guild and Production Design Guild (nominated at PGA and DGA)

ROMA: DGA (nominated at PGA, WGA, Editing Guild, Production Design Guild; snubbed at SAG)

Despite what the anonymous ballots indicated, it’s fair to say ROMA lost last year for a lack of support from various guilds to overcome its foreign language obstacle (Green book also only won PGA but the race is always between ROMA and Green book regardless, which it had the edge because it was a feel good English language film).

And it’s fair it say Parasite is in a better position to win BP than ROMA based on its having swept a fair share amount of Guilds Awards, AND those anonymous ballots.

That being said, I will still predict 1917 for BP!

• This reply was modified 1 month, 3 weeks ago by  TheDreamingHead.
• This reply was modified 1 month, 3 weeks ago by  TheDreamingHead.

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203275326

Rarely do I ever post on this forum anymore nowadays, but I just wanna say that the editing of the “framing the old housemaid with tuberculosis” sequence of Parasite outshines the whole Irishman movie’s editing!

• This reply was modified 2 months, 3 weeks ago by  TheDreamingHead.
• This reply was modified 2 months, 3 weeks ago by  TheDreamingHead.

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[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203235842

Bee wrote:

BOSTON ONLINE CRITICS TOP 10 FILMS OF 2019 1. PARASITE 2. UNCUT GEMS 3. THE IRISHMAN 4. ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD 5. MARRIAGE STORY 6. LITTLE WOMEN 7. PORTRAIT OF A LADY ON FIRE 8. FORD V FERRARI 9. THE FAREWELL 10. US Director: Bong Joon-ho, PARASITE Parasite Actor: Adam Sandler, Uncut Gems Actress: Lupita Nyong’o, Us Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Supporting Actress: Florence Pugh, Little Women BEST SCREENPLAY Quentin Tarantino, ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD BEST ENSEMBLE LITTLE WOMEN BEST SCORE Daniel Lopatin, UNCUT GEMS BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Robert Richardson, ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD BEST EDITING Thelma Schoonmaker, THE IRISHMAN BEST DOCUMENTARY APOLLO 11 BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM PARASITE BEST ANIMATED FILM TOY STORY 4

really spot on winners, except for Trashdam Trashler

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[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203235445

I will stand corrected that Close may be lead in both movies until I see at least one credible source saying otherwise. Four good days is the one I’m more confused though since both Mila and Glenn would have aprox the same screentime. Hillbilly Elegy, I’m more than convinced that they will milk the heck out of Close’s ability to portray an extremely complex character (the partiarch, smart, conscious but trashy, drug addicts) and her character seems to be more assossiated with the main character (whereas Amy only appears in the first act according to the book).

 

But her best bet right out is supporting since the best actress next year is already so crowded now!

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203235423

Bee wrote:

Online Association of Female Film Critics Nominations. Best Film Jojo Rabbit Marriage Story Once Upon A Time in Hollywood Parasite The Farewell Best Director Alma Har’el Honey Boy Bong Joon-Ho Parasite Martin Scorsese The Irishman Quentin Tarantino Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Lulu Wang The Farewell Best Male Lead Leonardo DiCaprio Once Upon A Time In Hollywood Adam Driver Marriage Story Taron Egerton Rocketman Joaquin Phoenix Joker Adam Sandler Uncut Gems Best Female Lead Awkwafina The Farewell Jessie Buckley Wild Rose Scarlett Johansson Marriage Story Lupita Nyong’o Us Renée Zellweger Judy Best Supporting Male Sterling K. Brown Waves Willem Dafoe The Lighthouse Shia LaBeouf Honey Boy Joe Pesci The Irishman Brad Pitt Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Best Supporting Female Ana De Armas Knives Out Laura Dern Marriage Story Jennifer Lopez Hustlers Margot Robbie Bombshell Zhao Shuzhen The Farewell Best Acting Ensemble Knives Out Little Women Once Upon A Time In Hollywood Parasite The Irishman Best Original Screenplay Noah Baumbach Marriage Story Rian Johnson Knives Out Bong Joon-ho, Han Jin-won Parasite Quentin Tarantino Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Lulu Wang The Farewell Best Adapted Screenplay Greta Gerwig Little Women Anthony McCarten The Two Popes Lorene Scafaria Hustlers Taika Waititi Jojo Rabbit Steven Zaillian The Irishman Best Documentary American Factory Apollo 11 Hail Satan Maiden One Child Nation Best Animated Feature Frozen II How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World I Lost My Body Missing Link Toy Story 4 Best Cinematography Jarin Blaschke The Lighthouse Roger Deakins 1917 Claire Mathon Portrait of a Lady on Fire Robert Richardson Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Hoyte Van Hoytema Ad Astra Breakthrough Filmmaker Alma Har’el Honey Boy Melina Matsoukas Queen & Slim Joe Talbot The Last Black Man in San Francisco Lulu Wang The Farewell Olivia Wilde Booksmart Breakthrough Performance Roman Griffin Davis Jojo Rabbit Zack Gottsagen The Peanut Butter Falcon Kelvin Harrison Jr. Waves Noah Jupe Honey Boy Florence Pugh Midsommar The Rosie This OAFFC-specific award “celebrates the film that best promotes women, their voices, and the female experience through cinema.” Booksmart Hustlers Little Women Portrait of a Lady on Fire The Nightingale

Female critics assossiation embraced Lulu Wang’s film in every category but not Greta Gerwig’s? More bad signs for Little Women!

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[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203234791

Jays wrote:

No she’s not. I’ve read the article the movie is based on and Kunis is definitely the lead. Close is the supporting mother who’s daughter has been addicted to drugs most of her adult life.

I think Close can be considered a lead in both movies. Four good days looks like a two women show and the film can be adapted differently from the article and Close can campaign in lead a la Mary Tyler Moore. As in Hillbilly Elegy, she plays the second main character and the baitiest role in the movie yet. Also they can campaign her in lead to avoid splitting with Amy.

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203234425

Critics are literally pushing super hard for Lana’s album in their year end’s lists. She has already made the top one of various lists, ranked the first place in the score yard of both Metacritic and Albumoftheyear.org and is far and ahead the second place on both lists.
But at the same time, Billie’s album also has unexpectedly risen up significantly too, showing a way stronger critics’ support than its average Metascore may indicate. I think she is the winner this year!

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203233534

The thing is we ABSOLUTELY have no idea how Oscar voters will perceive Little Women. It still has a very high critical reception, and it has already caused fuels for being snubbed at other awards so I think Oscar voters can very well embrace it and Saoirse coatails along the way too. Erivo can be a lock if she scores a BAFTA nod, or she may get Amy Adam’ed, IDK!

These types of confusion truly scare me and if these turn out to be true, we can get a handful of interesting contenders like Lupita and Awkwafina being left off for basic typical Oscar bait performances!

• This reply was modified 3 months, 3 weeks ago by  TheDreamingHead.
• This reply was modified 3 months, 3 weeks ago by  TheDreamingHead.

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203232891

I’m surprised noone has mentioned the sexual assault allegation against him back in October. I think that is indeed the main reason Hollywood is starting to turn their back on him like James Franco.

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[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203231232

Jays wrote:

Let’s not compare DDL to Ronan lol. Bombshell sent out SAG screeners later than Little Women and it got into Ensemble, Actress, and 2x Supporting Actress. Ronan is drowning right now.

The thing is, we know zero thing about how the Academy will perceive Little Women. It still has a very high critical reception, and all this snubs can even cause more fuels to make it visible to voters’ eyes! Ronan sadly remains very alive in the race!

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203231169

Ronan should be out. But Little Women can be saved by the Oscar and Ronan can Daniel Day Lewis her way into a nom if the Academy likes the movie very much. The same way Phantom Thread got shut out at SAG but overperformed at the Oscar!

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203230840

Also the late release definitely hurts Little Women in SAG, but I feel like it only happens in SAG and Oscar will resurrect it soon!

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203230813

Lupita is back bitches!! But honestly that Cynthia nom is disgusting as fuck! I have a feeling she will score a BAFTA nod too even if she got none outside of the 4 televised awards and I’m seriously scared of the fact that she may become a nom lock… I think we should name this award the best campaign!

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203230750

Honestly De Niro shouldn’t even attend the SAG ceremony nor accept the prize. It’s embarrassing as hell at this point! Just to show how a sexual harrassment accusation in Hollywood can hurt you even in the slightest!

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 642 View Predictions]

#1203226379

Seven wrote:

The race is over. Zellweger will pull a boring sweep and that’s on that

Yep, Johansson, or Theron, or Ronan has won nothing so far! I feel like she won’t gain enough traction or narrative to beat Zellweger. The only alternative that I truly felt confident to overthrow Zellweger is Lupita. But now the Globe messed her up (I believe they never expected her to become this big critics’ favorite but still fuck them!), we are back to square one! The only way the HFPA can resurrect themselves is Johanssion pulling an upset!

• This reply was modified 3 months, 3 weeks ago by  TheDreamingHead.
• This reply was modified 3 months, 3 weeks ago by  TheDreamingHead.