[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203172975

TheDreamingHead wrote:

I think the ultimate bonus for Renee is (sadly) there is no Olivia Colman this time, who in hindsight actually had every advantage going for her (showy performance, widely-nominated best picture, British – European bloc block, her film’s representative as well as only winning aspect, British historical figure which the Academy often go nuts about). Chalize could threaten, but she doesn’t check some of Olivia Colman’s boxes, and I’m actually less confident in her, which is sad…

Oops I forgot Ronan can be that but her film’s late release will deffo hurt her chance.

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[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203172971

babypook wrote:

I’m becoming more and more convinced that Renee is going to take this. There are some minuses but more pluses in her favor. Bombshell is largely unknown atm so I’m leaving room for Charlize. But right now I think Renee is going to win.

 

I think the ultimate bonus for Renee is (sadly) there is no Olivia Colman this time, who in hindsight actually had every advantage going for her (showy performance, widely-nominated best picture, British – European bloc block, her film’s representative as well as only winning aspect, British historical figure which the Academy often go nuts about). Chalize could threaten, but she doesn’t check some of Olivia Colman’s boxes, and I’m actually less confident in her, which is sad…

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[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203169616

Aileen Wuornos wrote:

My cupcakes, what we are NOT going to do is to pretend Olivia Colman was THAT strong, despite her being strong! Gaga was the frontrunner even after we learnt that Colman was going lead. It has always been Gaga, Close and then Colman. After Gaga was shamelessly snubbed at the GG (which I knew would happen btw), Glenn was number 1 and Gaga 2nd, Colman has never been a big deal. Arriving at the BAFTAs, we perfectly knew Colman was always taking this, so it wasn’t a surprise, but unfortunately/fortunately it helped her building her momentum as the voting started after the BAFTAs. Say what you want to say, but Olivia Colman’s win was an upset as 85% of ppl thought Glenn was taking this.

 

Why are we still talking about this?

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[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203169601

Yep Billie sweeping would be a waste (especially AOTY). I totally agree with the above poster that she is too manufactured to be taken as a serious “popular but weird, unique and experimental” artist. Even Pure Heroin would be a worthier AOTY winner in my book. Unless Billie makes such a masterpiece as Melodrama, I will consider her no more of a mainstream pop girl.

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203155382

kellis wrote:

Some of the Best Actress contenders at the Governor’s Awards tonight (I’ll also do the other categories in their respective threads too because…equality?):

I saw one of Erivo but I can’t find it anymore, oh well. Also, peep Dakota whose coming for a Globe nod:

Is that Constance Wu or Awkwafina on the second pic?

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203154503

I guess more people have trended with Driver in this thread so my opinion can be trashed a lot but I wanna make two points:

First, Phoenix is definitely overdue for an Oscar and dare I say, underrated. Of all his three losses, he was just as great as Benicio Del Toro and Daniel Day-Lewis in their respective winning roles, especially his potrayal of the despicable arrogant ignorant spoiled little brat Commodus as one of the most iconic villians of all time. The only loss I wouldn’t touch is to Philip Seymore Hoffman, whose win I consider the best in that category last decade, but Phoenix also did a really good job capturing the charisma of Johny Cash. Not to mention he also delivered some truly great roles in I’m still here (unironically), Her, You were never really here, and now Joker. He has one of the most consistent filmographies, and his own choices in and dedication to playing some most complex and difficult characters also fascinates me! Even if he’s undernominated, he still truly earned it and not Mr. Coatail like some people with more noms. So yes, regarding if he is truly Oscar overdue, he IS and with no doubts!

Second, Phoenix also deserves to win the Oscar this year! (Key word: deserves NOT will). Yes I will enjoy Driver’s performance as much based on the words of mouths here, but let’s not pretend Phoenix would make a pathetic winner. In fact, either he or Driver can make some of the best, most original and interesting winner this decade which is full of dull real people transformation winning best actor. Noone should be discounted, as I have already seen people dissing or making concrete claims against these two here. Remember, it’s just October and anything can happen!

I will leave that for debate and probably won’t pay much attention to you guys since my first new job has been keeping me extremely preoccupied since last week. And I think that should be enough said about this race until another contender suddenly breaks through!

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203154490

ayanami wrote:

Margot Robbie is an overrated actress.

Rachel Weisz deserved to win over Regina King for BSA last year.

Jennifer Lawrence deserved her Oscar win.

Neither of these is unpopular regarding the general audience (GD always tend to twist shit so it shouldn’t count).

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[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203153598

In a nutshell, Joker’s technical aspects were done so perfectly including its beautiful cinematography, its great soundtrack combined with the iconic classic selection of songs that fit the scenes so well, and an excellent dedicated performance from Joaquin pulled a blind curtain to the audience from its many flaws, including an extremely problematic screenplay. Case closed!

• This reply was modified 2 weeks, 4 days ago by  TheDreamingHead.
• This reply was modified 2 weeks, 4 days ago by  TheDreamingHead.

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[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203153318

I feel like Lawrence’s win just didn’t come at the right time… Other than the “being the second youngest best actress winner” narrative, her role seems so minimalistic, too subtle and overall nothing special.

First, it is not really constant shouting, crying, acting crazy, being over the top, mentally unstable, being heart broken (I mean she had all these but still not very noticeable), having disabilities, having diseases, being put under difficult situation like grief or abduction, portraying other people, combining other talents like singing or dancing or sports in her roles, and transforming her physical appearance to a hellish extent. And all of these criteria are what people rally behind an Oscar baity performance. It seems like she’s playing … she, which is also evidently found in American Hustle and Joy. We hardly see anyone but Jennifer Lawrence on the screen…

Second, she didn’t appear too much on the screen and Bradley Cooper definitely had more screentime than her. Therefore, her performance doesn’t leave us with too much impression, as it is not a one-woman show.

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203151691

Babygirl wrote:

The Awkwafina underestimation (for a nomination)

I know this is unpopular but I still would pick Lupita over Awkwafina if they are fighting for the last spot. Of course I hope they both will be nominated, especially if Ronan flops.

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203151636

Salsa Club wrote:

Y’all realize Us was eligible at the Gothams, right? I know they aren’t a top tier precursor, but I don’t understand the frequency of Lupita GIFs on this thread. She isn’t happening. No hate against her, but her vehicle was a mess and it’s 60% RT audience rating/B Cinemascore is telling. Critics have moved on and audiences aren’t fussing about it either

Because US feels off to be called “indie” with such box office and overhyped popularity with audiences. And for the millionth time, although I agree US is definitely polarizing, Lupita still gave a masterful performance better than some of the nomination-locked performances and totally deserving of a nom! Noone forbids ‘wishful’ (in your opinion) thinking in this thread, especially when this race just starts to heat up. Also why don’t you think Renee, who is called a lock to win by many people, not appearing in the list is odd? I doubt Judy’s budget even crossed $10 million and it is rightfully an indie movie!

Anyway, the one who is the most vulnerable regarding being snubbed by Gotham is definitely still Johansson, whose movie is nominated across various boards.

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203149063

I would gladly take both Alfre Woodard/Awkwafina and Lupita Nyong’o being nominated at the cost of Saoirse Ronan, who is edging out three former contenders at this point. I know, rooting against Saoirse is not welcomed since people in this forum worship her, but I have been pretty straightforward about it and won’t change my opinion until I see the movie. And we all know the 3 sealed spots so no need to waste my time talking about them.

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203147491

Winslet deserved to win that year even though I think she’s overrated in general and she was caterory frauding. That year best actress was so dull and Winslet won by default since noone else was strong enough.

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[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203147439

Saoirse, who was the front-runner alongside Cynthia right from begining, is now either in the risk’s list, or falls out of some people’s predictions. Talk about two consecutive Oscar epic fails…

[TheDreamingHeadParticipant Joined: Jan 8th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 558 View Predictions]

#1203144602

Boz wrote:

Y’all are confusion being good with being excellent. 21 is a good album, but again, there’s nothing interesting about it. Critics like albums that challenge their ears or that represent artistic evolution from an artist.

I was specifying the users’ list only.

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