Forum Replies Created
April 20, 2020 at 10:46 am #1203437071
I think Ashley McBryde is a lock for a BNA nom. I’d really love to see “Sparrow” break in to the SOTY lineup, too.
What are the rules regarding resubmissions? Can Taylor try getting “Soon You’ll Get Better” nominated again, or would that only be possible if she submitted a live recording?January 7, 2020 at 2:44 pm #1203269391
I’m so glad that the home field advantage worked to Jessie Buckley’s advantage. She deserves to be in the Oscar competition far more than most of the actual contenders for her category.January 7, 2020 at 2:41 pm #1203269382
I think Hanks could be snubbed for Song or Dafoe.
Not only does Hanks have a track record of being snubbed, but he’s also a likely lone nominee for his film… which is not very common in supporting categories. Song could coattail on Parasite’s strength, or (less likely) Dafoe could pop up since they like him so much.
Theron being snubbed would be a dream, but seems highly unlikely.December 9, 2019 at 12:34 pm #1203227606
I think Taylor or Elton will win the Globe.
They haven’t awarded a Disney song since 1999 (You’ll Be In My Heart!), so Into the Unknown is probably safely out of the running… and perhaps Spirit too, unless the Beyonce factor counters the Disney factor.
Every winner this decade has either been from a musical (Burlesque, La La Land, Greatest Showman, A Star Is Born) or else had a “star” writer / performer (Adele, U2, Madonna, Sam Smith, Common + John Legend).
Given those trends, Erivo is probably least likely to win.
They might go with Elton as a way to reward his film, since it’ll likely lose Comedy Film and Comedy Actor.November 25, 2019 at 11:45 am #1203202648
It was a MISTAKE to close the nominations period before Watchmen aired.September 18, 2019 at 7:09 pm #1203085665
Really hope that Whishaw and Porter repeat these wins on Sunday!September 13, 2019 at 3:51 pm #1203073579
Top 3 Oscar Winners
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Marion Cotillard, la vie en rose
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Top 3 Oscar Losers
Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Julianne Moore, Far From Heaven
Top 3 Unnominated
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Audrey Tautou, Amelie
Adele Exarchopoulos, Blue is the Warmest ColourSeptember 9, 2019 at 2:44 pm #1203066204
Especially in the last 3 years there have been such awful nominees just because the list can go from 7 to 10. It should be 5 as it used to be.
It’s not like cutting down to 5 would increase the quality of the lineup. Honestly, I think it’d have the opposite effect.
Films that are commonly cited as “bad” nominees (ie: Green Book, Bohemian Rhapsody, Darkest Hour, The Theory of Everything) would definitely have made a 5 film lineup over some of the more acclaimed films that were nominated in their respective years.
I’d almost prefer it if they were required to nominate 10 films each year. It seems that there are always a few good films that are in the top 10 but lack the passion to make the BP lineup (ie: Carol, Cold War).September 8, 2019 at 11:56 am #1203063695
When will JLo be added to the prediction center?August 27, 2019 at 5:00 pm #1203043493
Feels very much like Swift vs Eilish for Pop Album now. Could end up with Eilish winning Pop Solo, and Swift winning Pop Album (similar to Lorde winning with her hit and losing with her album). That’s certainly what I hope happens, anyways.
Taylor feels like a relatively safe bet for SOTY now, especially if she submits “Lover.” Not just because it has that classic feel and is shaping up to be a big hit, but also because I’ve seen lots of artists (read: Grammy voters) praising it.
Still not sure about Lover in AOTY. I can definitely picture the panel rigging it out of the nominations, just to give someone else a chance. And I don’t think there’s room for Taylor, Ariana, and Gaga in the lineup… but perhaps the fact that her album is more recent and her campaign is far more active will benefit her?
Although, if Gaga is launching her next album during voting, she’ll end up doing lots of media appearances that will surely involve more discussion about ASIB… which would help bring the soundtrack to the spotlight at just the right time.July 8, 2019 at 1:51 pm #1202966506
I don’t think “Never Really Over” is happening. The momentum is not there. After Billie, Ariana, and Gaga, the category will likely be rounded out by Shawn Mendes, Taylor Swift, or Lewis Capaldi if “Someone You Loved” becomes bigger in the next few months, or Kelly Clarkson or P!nk will get another name-check nom.
This sounds about right, unless Lizzo or Khalid submit something to the category.
Sam Smith will have his lead single out in time for submission, too. If it performs like Dancing With A Stranger, he’s a strong contender for a slot.June 23, 2019 at 12:49 pm #1202948840
What are the rap songs / albums most likely to show up in the general field?
I’m totally clueless on what’s popular, what’s acclaimed, and who the industry will actually support in a year sans Kendrick and Drake. LmaoJune 13, 2019 at 6:42 pm #1202936765
Yeah, I’m not really expecting Taylor to win over Ariana and Billie this year. I’d still like her to get some noms, though.
I’m guessing she’ll probably have a third single out around the release date, too. “You Need to Calm Down” could be her Pop Solo submission, but the song’s under 3 minutes and I don’t think the Grammys really recognize such short material too often? Having a hit single during the submission and voting phases could work out well for her.
I think an advantage of Taylor’s release schedule is that once we hear the entire album, fans can try to encourage her to release the best song(s) as singles during the next eligibility cycle to try to land some song nods / wins.June 13, 2019 at 2:47 pm #1202936519
Lizzo and Khalid will need to be careful with their genre placements. We don’t want a repeat of A Seat At the Table, Dirty Computer, and Black Panther not getting nominated because they went to the wrong place.