Forum Replies Created
September 18, 2019 at 7:09 pm #1203085665
Really hope that Whishaw and Porter repeat these wins on Sunday!September 13, 2019 at 3:51 pm #1203073579
Top 3 Oscar Winners
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Marion Cotillard, la vie en rose
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Top 3 Oscar Losers
Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Julianne Moore, Far From Heaven
Top 3 Unnominated
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Audrey Tautou, Amelie
Adele Exarchopoulos, Blue is the Warmest ColourSeptember 9, 2019 at 2:44 pm #1203066204
Especially in the last 3 years there have been such awful nominees just because the list can go from 7 to 10. It should be 5 as it used to be.
It’s not like cutting down to 5 would increase the quality of the lineup. Honestly, I think it’d have the opposite effect.
Films that are commonly cited as “bad” nominees (ie: Green Book, Bohemian Rhapsody, Darkest Hour, The Theory of Everything) would definitely have made a 5 film lineup over some of the more acclaimed films that were nominated in their respective years.
I’d almost prefer it if they were required to nominate 10 films each year. It seems that there are always a few good films that are in the top 10 but lack the passion to make the BP lineup (ie: Carol, Cold War).September 8, 2019 at 11:56 am #1203063695
When will JLo be added to the prediction center?August 27, 2019 at 5:00 pm #1203043493
Feels very much like Swift vs Eilish for Pop Album now. Could end up with Eilish winning Pop Solo, and Swift winning Pop Album (similar to Lorde winning with her hit and losing with her album). That’s certainly what I hope happens, anyways.
Taylor feels like a relatively safe bet for SOTY now, especially if she submits “Lover.” Not just because it has that classic feel and is shaping up to be a big hit, but also because I’ve seen lots of artists (read: Grammy voters) praising it.
Still not sure about Lover in AOTY. I can definitely picture the panel rigging it out of the nominations, just to give someone else a chance. And I don’t think there’s room for Taylor, Ariana, and Gaga in the lineup… but perhaps the fact that her album is more recent and her campaign is far more active will benefit her?
Although, if Gaga is launching her next album during voting, she’ll end up doing lots of media appearances that will surely involve more discussion about ASIB… which would help bring the soundtrack to the spotlight at just the right time.July 8, 2019 at 1:51 pm #1202966506
I don’t think “Never Really Over” is happening. The momentum is not there. After Billie, Ariana, and Gaga, the category will likely be rounded out by Shawn Mendes, Taylor Swift, or Lewis Capaldi if “Someone You Loved” becomes bigger in the next few months, or Kelly Clarkson or P!nk will get another name-check nom.
This sounds about right, unless Lizzo or Khalid submit something to the category.
Sam Smith will have his lead single out in time for submission, too. If it performs like Dancing With A Stranger, he’s a strong contender for a slot.June 23, 2019 at 12:49 pm #1202948840
What are the rap songs / albums most likely to show up in the general field?
I’m totally clueless on what’s popular, what’s acclaimed, and who the industry will actually support in a year sans Kendrick and Drake. LmaoJune 13, 2019 at 6:42 pm #1202936765
Yeah, I’m not really expecting Taylor to win over Ariana and Billie this year. I’d still like her to get some noms, though.
I’m guessing she’ll probably have a third single out around the release date, too. “You Need to Calm Down” could be her Pop Solo submission, but the song’s under 3 minutes and I don’t think the Grammys really recognize such short material too often? Having a hit single during the submission and voting phases could work out well for her.
I think an advantage of Taylor’s release schedule is that once we hear the entire album, fans can try to encourage her to release the best song(s) as singles during the next eligibility cycle to try to land some song nods / wins.June 13, 2019 at 2:47 pm #1202936519
Lizzo and Khalid will need to be careful with their genre placements. We don’t want a repeat of A Seat At the Table, Dirty Computer, and Black Panther not getting nominated because they went to the wrong place.June 13, 2019 at 7:26 am #1202935895
I know this comment will get hate but I think she needs to do a Rihanna/lady Gaga move and leave music alone to focus on other projects. She has cats the movie coming up so that’s a start. Reputation and Me! didn’t do great at all when we consider who Taylor is and her standards. And I think if she chooses to dominate other fields it’ll stop the flop narrative Vs putting out an album that does even less than reputation which isn’t good at all.
I disagree emphatically. Her only real issue is the struggle to fully adapt to the streaming era, which is by and large a result of (1) her pulling her catalog from streaming services during her peak era and (2) the fact that her style of pop music isn’t really “in” right now. (There’s also some quality control issues with her recent singles selections, excluding Delicate).
I agree with Skies that focusing on her music, experimenting with her craft, and eschewing trends and chart-chasing to make truly great (pop) music would do a lot more good for her than some stupid cash-grab celebrity branding shit. It would probably also benefit her to write more for other artists. “Better Man” and “This Is What You Came For” were both huge hits that people really liked. Letting more artists record songs penned by her would do infinitely more for her career than a clothing line would. She doesn’t even necessarily have to put much effort into it; she could just email Selena Gomez a 1989 leftover and watch it get 600 million spotify streams.
I don’t even really think “dominate other fields” is much of a possibility for her. I’m afraid she’d more likely flop like Katy’s shoes than smash like Rihanna’s makeup. And trying to seriously pursue acting would likely just result in more panning.
And Blanche is correct, too. Taylor’s touring numbers blow just about everyone else out of the water, and it would be an absolute waste for her to give that up. And most of the people who go to those sold out stadium shows want to hear the new music being performed, not half a setlist of catalog material.June 13, 2019 at 5:00 am #1202935633
As of now, there are only 10 artists that goldderby has at better than 100/1 odds for an AOTY nom, and most of them are hella unrecognized by the Grammys.
Billie Eilish: 0 nods
Lizzo: 0 nods
Tyler the Creator: 0/2
Vampire Weekend: 1/2
Anderson Paak: 1/3
Ariana Grande: 1/6
+ darlings Gaga and Beyoncé
It feels weird to predict so many acts with little Grammy history contending for AOTY… but I guess it’s not too different from the most recent lineup, which featured 4 acts who had 0-2 nods prior to that ceremony.
Country is the second most prevalent genre among AOTY nominees in the 2010s, but I guess we could have a lineup without a country/Americana album if there isn’t a definitive choice. I’d say Maren Morris just because she’s gotten a lot of noms in very few years, but I don’t think GIRL really fits the mold.June 13, 2019 at 4:35 am #1202935579
I expected the “British balladeer” thing to pan out for Calum Scott last year, and it didn’t so I wouldn’t be too confident in Capaldi at this point.June 11, 2019 at 11:29 am #1202933036
I couldn’t find the log-in button on my iphone. I managed to locate it when using my ipad, but it’s not in the same place on my phone.
Also noticed that a bunch of the coding used to embed links is messed up in the articles on the main page.June 10, 2019 at 5:04 pm #1202932033
It’s entirely possible the Jonas Brothers make the AOTY shortlist, but I think most voters will think that nominating Sucker for Song / Record is enough, unless they score another hit to keep up the momentum.