My Top 5 predictions (in order of winning):

Apollo 11

American Factory

The Biggest Little Farm

One Child Nation

Maiden / Linda Ronstadt: The Sound of My Voice

Sumbuddy is jelly.

I have a few favorites so far (Jojo Rabbit leads the pack), but like @john_berchmans above me, I’m waiting for the end of the year before I decide on my Top 10. There’s still so many more I need to see – Ford v Ferrari, 1917, A Hidden Life, etc.

No I haven’t seen it. I’ll check it out, thanks! And yes, I wouldn’t be surprised if it ends up being snubbed in favor of something less mainstream (exhibit A: Won’t You Be My Neighbor?) It’s a very strong lineup this year, and I’m excited to see which way the Academy goes…

Just a reminder to everyone, the Critic’s Choice Documentary Awards are tomorrow. Here are all the nominees for Best Documentary Feature:

• American Factory (Netflix)
• Apollo 11 (Neon)
• The Biggest Little Farm (Neon)
• The Cave (National Geographic)
• Honeyland (Neon)
• The Kingmaker (Showtime)
• Knock Down the House (Netflix)
• Leaving…

[Read more]

I also think Dark Waters could be a major BP player for the same reasons you listed. I’m waiting for the audience reception before I put it in my nominations, though.

I’m also not counting out The Report. As far as I know, Amazon doesn’t have another major player this year, and it could sneak into the lineup.

Depending on its quality, Richard…[Read more]

So, the new trailer for The Two Popes looks amazing. Despite the controversial subject matter, it seems like clear Best Picture material, especially with the pedigree of talent behind it.

I have a really hard time seeing three Netflix films in the BP lineup, though. Does anything think that this could happen, and that The Two Popes could squeeze…[Read more]

Jerry Seinfeld.

I respect your opinion, but I think that Green Book was much more critically divisive than Jojo Rabbit. The former had to weather a barrage of scandals – including some against the screenwriter and subject matter – and it still won Screenplay and Picture. Jojo Rabbit, even though it might not be universally critically adored, for the most part…[Read more]

Personally, I have to side with Cruz. I think Jojo Rabbit will win Adapted, with The Irishman coming in second.

So, a lot of people seem to think that 1917 will underperform and not be as heavy an awards player as expected, a la Dunkirk.

Am I the only one that thinks it will actually overperform and become a critic and audience hit? I mean, the pedigree behind the film is palpable and hard to deny, and that combined with its adventurous filming style makes…[Read more]

I posted this on the Oscar Predictions thread, but thought I should post it here as well:

I saw Jojo Rabbit last night. I was blown away at how amazing the film was. I didn’t know at all what to expect going in, but it’s seriously one of the best films I’ve seen in a long time. It takes you through a range of emotions. The writing, direc…[Read more]

I saw Jojo Rabbit last night. I was blown away at how amazing the film was. I didn’t know at all what to expect going in, but it’s seriously one of the best films I’ve seen in a long time. It takes you through a range of emotions. The writing, directing, set design, and acting were all phenomenal (Roman Griffin Davis deserves a Best Actor nomin…[Read more]

Breaking News

‘Oscars: All Academy Members Can Now Vote For International Film Nominees In Another Major Break From Tradition’

Article link: https://deadline.com/2019/10/oscars-major-change-voting-rules-1202774058/amp/

Everything else

Gemini Man

It’s a toss-up, but my guess is OUATIH, if only for the fact that she plays a Hollywood icon. Whereas in Bombshell, she plays a fictional character in a story about real characters.

But, it could easily go either way….

‘Ballad of the Lonesome Cowboy’ from Toy Story 4.

My 7 – 10s are:
7: Little Women
8: ABDITN
9: Parasite
10: Bombshell

As much as the hype is for it, I’m still having a struggle seeing Parasite garner a BP nom. It’s a Korean foreign film and I don’t get the comparisons with Roma. That was a film by one of the most respected modern directors in Hollywood, plus Netflix hired one of the top Oscar…[Read more]

Just got back from seeing The Current War: Director’s Cut. Does anyone know why this isn’t in the Oscars conversation? Is it even eligible considering its 2017 TIFF premiere?

The film itself is not the greatest – for example, the story is very choppy and all over the place at times, which isn’t helped by a frenetic editing style. You sort of fe…[Read more]