So they likely finished first and second in Lead Actor and Directing, there is an excess of Succession support.

The clue was Tim Blake Nelson, they weren’t going to reward the white actors for this particular story.

She wouldn’t have had my vote but Uzo is damn likeable.

Since we’ve moved to the popular vote system shows winning for the first time have come very close to winning all the categories they’ve been eligible for. It was a matter of time before there was a sweep like this.

My predictions are 9/9; it gets trickier from here.

BEST ANIMATED PROGRAM
BoJack Horseman

BEST CHILDREN’S PROGRAM
We Are the Dream: The Kids of the Oakland MLK Oratorical Fest

BEST COMMERCIAL
“Back-to-School Essentials” – Sandy Hook Promise

BEST DOCUMENTARY OR NONFICTION SERIES
The Last Dance

EXCEPTIONAL MERIT IN DOCUMENTARY FILMMAKING
The Cave

BEST TELEVISION MOVIE
Bad Education

BEST U…[Read more]

BEST DERIVATIVE INTERACTIVE PROGRAM
Doctor Who: The Runaway

BEST ORIGINAL INTERACTIVE PROGRAM
The Messy Truth VR Experience

BEST SHORT FORM ANIMATED PROGRAM
Robot Chicken

BEST SHORT FORM COMEDY OR DRAMA SERIES
The Good Place Presents: The Selection

BEST ACTOR IN A SHORT FORM COMEDY OR DRAMA SERIES
Laurence Fishburne – #FreeRayshawn

BEST…[Read more]

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY FOR A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Watchmen – “This Extraordinary Being”

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY FOR A MULTI-CAMERA SERIES
The Ranch – “It Ain’t My Fault”

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY FOR A SINGLE-CAMERA SERIES (HALF-HOUR)
The Mandalorian – “Chapter 7: The Reckoning”

BEST CONTEMPORARY HAIRSTYLING
black-ish

BEST FANTASY/SCI-FI COSTUMES
The…[Read more]

I’ve gambled on ‘special events’, Oscars, Emmys, Grammys, other awards Reality TV, Eurovision and politics for quite a few years now. (one of my first big wins was Ang Lee winning Best Director for Life of Pi) Now I’ve become a victim of my own success so on most major sites I’m limited to tiny stakes. (Being in the UK still does give me a range…[Read more]

BEST SHORT FORM VARIETY SERIES
Carpool Karaoke: The Series

BEST VARIETY SKETCH SERIES
A Black Lady Sketch Show

BEST VARIETY SPECIAL (LIVE)
Live in Front of a Studio Audience: ‘All in the Family’ and ‘Good Times’

BEST CONTEMPORARY HAIRSTYLING FOR A VARIETY, NONFICTION, OR REALITY PROGRAM
RuPaul’s Drag Race

BEST CONTEMPORARY MAKEUP FOR A…[Read more]

I think it’s probably the opposite, they loved watching but didn’t respect it. Fast food TV, palatable to everyone but no nutritional value and definitely not winning culinary awards.

What does second place even mean with the preferential ballot? Second in number one votes? The other film to make the final two? The film that would have won if Parasite hadn’t existed?

These three options could well have been three different films.

December Films get a boost when they first come out. In past years this has effected Oscar nominations. The Revenant, La La Land, The Shape of Water and Roma basically got every nomination they could.

The condensed season meant more awards fell in this period. After Globes, PGA came very quickly, DGA is very correlated to this. Only Oscar voters…[Read more]

The question is what margin did Crash win by? And would the voters of Capote, Good Night, and Good Luck and Munich have preferred Brokeback Mountain over Crash by enough of a margin to overturn the result.

Gut feeling, it was very close and those voters probably would have gone more to Brokeback Mountain than Crash. So I think there is a decent…[Read more]

Ranked Predictions:
Live Action:
1. Nefta Football Club
2. The Neighbors’ Window
3. Saria
4. Brotherhood
5. A Sister

Would be a little surprised if the winner isn’t out of the first two. A Sister is something those of us who watch to shorts have seen before, it isn’t the most effective version of it and they usually lose. Brotherhood is fine, I…[Read more]

By voting preferences that’s what we mean voting the film you most want to win first and the film you least want to win last. If the front runner is the film you least want to see win, it’s the rational choice to put it last. (So you’re achieving both aims of helping your favourite and never helping your least favourite.)

What factors go into…[Read more]

This part is correct.

A voter would only want to do this if they preferred front runner A over front runner B, which isn’t tactical voting it’s simply voting in preference order.

No this is actually the advantage of the preferential voting system you can vote for your favourite knowing that if/when it’s a eliminated your vote will move to…[Read more]

It was also a SAG ensemble winner and editing nominee.

This is true.

But say ‘Voter 1’ is a Ford V Ferrari voter and 1917 is the front runner. They like 1917 better than Parasite. Under your method they vote 1917 last. Then Ford is eliminated so Voter 1’s vote moves to Parasite (even through they prefer 1917). By following your method of tactically voting they helped a film they liked less…[Read more]

There’s no way to negatively vote, all you can do is boast your favourite film by putting it in your first position.

The frontrunner wouldn’t be eliminated unless it has the least number one votes. (If it does have the least number 1 votes it would be eliminated first without using your ‘tactics’ too)

If your 2nd-9th preferences are being…[Read more]

Why everyone going for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood for Casting? Remembering that this is a jury award it’s perfect place to predict an upset. Film popularity isn’t going to be the first thing on their minds. I’m going for David Copperfield, it’s a deep cast of many recognizable British names. In a year of #BaftaSoWhite they might want to reward…[Read more]