Forum Replies Created
June 15, 2016 at 5:33 pm #1201851608
Toni Erdmann is a safe bet unless The Academy’s tastes align with Miller’s… In a perfect world Aquarius would also be nominated. It is time Kleber Mendonça Filho gets some due recognition for his work as a director.
I wouldn’t be so confident for Erdmann. I’m not even sure it’ll be Germany’s submission. When was the last time a contemporary comedy running nearly two and a half hours got nominated in this category?
My skepticism for Aquarius is that they simply don’t like Brazilian movies much.
When was the last time a German family comedy gained this much critical reverence and respect with raves for its actors, its screenplay and its direction? With any other Jury it would win the Palm D’Or rather easily (I can’t attest to that but I want to believe it would). History rewrites itself on a daily basis. I don’t give that much of a credit to past Oscar history. If so I would never predict things like Marion Cotillard (2D1N), Charlotte Rampling and Birdman for BP (among many other examples) because according to the statistics there were many things against them.June 13, 2016 at 10:07 am #1201850356
Isabelle Huppert, the one and only. Sonia Braga, Kirsten Dunst, everything Silence related, Moonlight (specially Barry Jenkins and Naomie Harris) and Casey Affleck.June 13, 2016 at 10:03 am #1201850355
Toni Erdmann is a safe bet unless The Academy’s tastes align with Miller’s… In a perfect world Aquarius would also be nominated. It is time Kleber Mendonça Filho gets some due recognition for his work as a director.June 13, 2016 at 9:59 am #1201850350
The Beguiled will be Sofia Coppola’s most AMPAS-friendly film since Lost In Translation. Everything else she has ever done would never come close to Oscar territory although she was quite terrific in Marie Antoinette and absolutely awards-worthy. Plus she was horribly snubbed for Melancholia, a film that holds her very best performance to date and one that should have reigned over Streep’s in my opinion.January 10, 2016 at 12:21 pm #186847
Best film of 2015 in my opinion. Everything from the impeccably profound screenplay to the mouthwatering cinematography and art design, everything is flawlessly detailed for such a small and confined film. Vikander and Isaac are my personal winners in their respectivr categories, they went places with their characters that few actors could go. I’m actually hoping that Vikander makes it since Isaac won’t but I think AMPAS will play it safe and nominate her for TDG instead.January 10, 2016 at 12:18 pm #191712
This will be the project they’ll reward Terrence Malick either as a writer or a director. Most probably Cate Blanchett, Natalie Portman, Michael Fassbender and Christian Bale will get nominations in acting categories. I want to believe Rooney Mara, Ryan Gosling, Benicio del Toro and Holly Hunter’s chances but that is reaching at its best, I don’t think 5 or more actors can be nominated from the same movie.
Actually, Gosling and Fassbender have the biggest parts. Apparently Christian Bale was only on set from three to four days. But you’ll never know with Malick.December 13, 2015 at 4:18 pm #199913
San Flopcisco’s hard on for Love & Mercy was absolutely ridiculous.December 13, 2015 at 1:44 am #202665
Hurrah! TomHardys is back with us!!
Let’s see for how long! Thank you! 🙂December 12, 2015 at 9:56 am #181594
The review of The Danish Girl from the San Francisco Chronicle.
Fortunately, the presence of Redmayne offsets some of these deficiencies. Coming off his Oscar-winning turn as Stephen Hawking in “The Theory of Everything,” the androgynous actor proves once again his fearlessness and his dedication to craft. His Lili is a technical marvel, an impressive assortment of gestures and expressions that are skillfully calibrated to show the Danish painter’s transition from Einar Wegener to Lili Elbe. On occasion, he overdoes the shy smile and downward glance, but this is still formidable work; we just wish that the script had given him a chance to explore Lili (and Einar, for that matter) in more depth.
This is my problem with Eddie Redmayne. No emotion, just a bunch of effective technicalities.December 12, 2015 at 9:48 am #457838
I didn’t know this thread existed but I’m glad it does. I wasn’t sure if I warranted the right to create one myself but this one exists (by Vincelette’s merit, of all people!) I’ll shove in my two cents even though I’m a month late.
I never oficially left GoldDerby. Not even when it became dead and forgotten and specially not even in the climax of my arguments with babypook/melobruceiam and company. This place has been a safe space and a refuge for the past two years and I don’t think it’s possible for me to completely let it go. It has become, one way or another, for good or for bad reasons, a part of my life. To be completely honest I’ve never lurked the website while I was (purposedly) gone. I received much more direct messages than I thought I would receive (or deserve) from the most various users (one of them being the lovely OnTheAisle, whom I thank and salute) but not even that made me come back. I needed some time away from all of this, the bitching, the catfighting, the sense of unease I had everytime I posted something, divisive or not. Everything that corrupted and tainted what I truly liked about this community. And suddenly when I came to my senses I realized I didn’t miss being here as I thought I would. A proof of this is the fact that even weeks (or perhaps even months) after I silently decided to leave and you create this thread, some users still refer to me or mention me in a provocative negative way.
I’ve decided to change my profile pic and signature this morning and come back without any fireworks or Cookie Lyon bitchy gimmicks. I’ll post what I want when I feel like it without feeling the need to commit myself to this website to the point of creating virtual award shows or attemting to create multiple threads to propel us to Awards Watch levels of notority and visibility. I’m simply going to be me and post here when I feel like I can offer a valuable contribution to the conversation(s). I don’t know if this is a permanent decision: in fact I can leave again tomorrow and only come back when Leonardo DiCaprio receives his overdue Oscar (aka next February). For the time being I’m just gonna wing it and expect to look at GoldDerby the way I did before without fueling old fires. I’m still the rather divisive, take-no-prisoners bitch though. I’ve just grown up to be a wiser kind of bitch, that’s all.
I honestly think GD needs a new design, a new publicity stunt in order to attract old and new members and a revolutionary way to predict the awards in which every single contender, from mainstream to foreign, is thrown out and we get to create momentum. GoldDerby needs to become a certified awards predictor and propeller but those are just my two cents.
And Vincelette, let’s hope you can put that whole “TomHardys hate me!” theory to rest. Thank you for this thread though. It made me smile.December 12, 2015 at 9:34 am #165967
Actually, I think Aniston was 7th. Amy Adams was 6th – the BAFTA support in her case was a huge deal. Two more weeks and she’s a nominee over probably Rosamund Pike (I don’t really think that Cotillard came last, just no. Not with the passion votes).
I don’t think Rosamund Pike came in last. Hear me out.
Rosamund Pike had to have the same number/amount of passion votes as Marion Cotillard to get nominated, if not more. Her movie was a tough sell for the Academy (despite the fact that it was a box office smash) for being pro-female and anti-male. Considering the fact that the demographics of the AMPAS membership speak for themselves (70% of the voters are male, 30% are female) you have a tough cookie to bake and sell in Gone Girl. It’s artistically and morally divisive in every aspect of it and you either love or hate it. Rosamund Pike had a considerable large block of voters loudly expressing their support for her and everything her performance and character stands for and that is, for me, more than enough for her to be a solid third/fourth. She wasn’t snubbed by a single major precursor (got nominations for GG/SAG/BAFTA/BFCA) and got critical support (albeit from minor guilds and associations). She was safe for a nod the whole time. Same thing applies to Marion Cotillard that despite being in a little known indie French film managed to squeaze in (and in my opinion) became an instant threat the minute she was nominated.December 12, 2015 at 8:53 am #202663
To answer this thread’s question: no, I don’t think so. This is another clear-cut Still Alice situation but with the following benefits and factors going on for it:
1. The Revenant is a much better movie than Still Alice and will likely score a bunch of other nominations (and possible wins) for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Supporting Actor (less likely but not impossible) and the Techs. It will likely win Best Cinematography. So unlike Still Alice it has a lot more going on for it as a whole than just a Leonardo DiCaprio vehicle with nothing else standing out other than his performance.
2. The reviews are passionate. You either love the movie or you get discomfort by watching it. I don’t think anyone really HATES it to the bone. You end up recognizing some of its merit even if you seem to actively dislike it. So I think this is a movie voters will both love and admire. It’s described as a masterpiece by most.
3. The narrative is much stronger than Julianne Moore’s. I’m not comparing their careers and I’m not talking about their talent as actors either. I’m talking about what “being/feeling overdue” really is and how important it is these days. Julianne Moore was mostly perceived as overdue by the industry. The mainstream masses and even the media didn’t realize she was really overdue for an Oscar win until she became last year’s frontrunner in her category. In Leo’s case, he’s perceived as an overdue Oscarless actor by pretty much everybody. Facebook, Tumblr, Twitter, 9gag… Everyone has seen a meme making fun of Leo for not having an Oscar (the most recent one is about Adele’s Hello). Everybody knows he doesn’t have one and everybody also knows that his time has come. This project may be it for him.
4. The residual love for Birdman (which won Best Picture, Best Original Screenplay, Best Director and Best Cinematography in the same year) and for Iñárritu himself will surely make the voters look at The Revenant as one of their priorities to watch. As a voter I can imagine myself picking The Revenant/Spotlight/Carol/Room’s DVD/screeners to watch first than movies like Trumbo, The Danish Girl, etc.
5. Fox is handling the movie’s campaign like nobody else. The promos, the TV spots, the posters, the art designs, the interviews, the Q&A’s, the screenings. It’s probably the wisest, more effective campaign by a studio this year (tied with A24 for Room).December 12, 2015 at 8:30 am #200352
exactly what’s wrong about this whole flock mentality when it comes to the Jane Fonda train extravaganza everyone seem to be so high about. I’m all for real
supporting performances and/or cameos to be nominated in the category they
belong (and rightfully so) instead of co-leading or blatantly leading
performances that are downgraded to supporting as a matter of convenience for
studios and distributors. Screw that. I’m actually rooting for Rooney Mara to be
nominated in Lead and if she loses there then be it – it won’t be any worse
than an easy supporting win that won’t do a thing for her career. She’s a
leading lady and should be awarded and recognized likewise.
With all due respect Miss Fonda’s performance was like she was shouting
“look at me enjoying the shit out of this 5-minutes long opportunity! It’s
me, Jane Fonda, screaming and cursing like I’m on a HBO show!”. No depth,
no nuance, no layers underneath it. It’s a shallow performance and it irritates
me to the bone to see people advocating for Jane Fonda just because yes, she’s
Jane Fonda and it’s oh-so-fun to see her “aggressively” campaign like
her life depends on it. But that’s about it. There’s nothing beneath the surface of her performance.
I mean, predict and
root for Jane Fonda all you want. She’s a legitimate Oscar contender, that’s a fact. However, let’s not pretend people are doing it because they think she
has a good narrative or because she earns it. People are doing it because they think it’s fun to see her unquenchable thirst steamrolling its way throughout the red carpets of the awards season while being perfectly aware that if that ends up happening it’ll
be for all the wrong nauseating reasons (instead of the reasons the awards shows and ceremonies were ACTUALLY created for) and at the expense of better actors, better movies and better narratives.December 12, 2015 at 8:14 am #165965
Marion Cotillard was the biggest critical darling last year (acting-wise that is). Combine that with her previous Oscar win, her impeccable transition from an arthouse French babe to a respected actor within the States and the fact that there were other actors campaigning for her (such as Jane Fonda, of all people) and you could see her nomination coming from a milestone. Aniston was a close sixth and good for her for elevating the mediocre material she was given. I guess the industry also agreed with the me, hence her GG/SAG/BFCA nods.