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Oscars Nominations 2020

Predictions

Best Picture

  • The Irishman 7/1
  • Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 15/2 -
  • Marriage Story 8/1

Best Actress

  • Renee Zellweger 69/20
  • Scarlett Johansson 4/1
  • Charlize Theron 9/2

Best Actor

  • Joaquin Phoenix 18/5
  • Adam Driver 19/5
  • Antonio Banderas 6/1

Best Supporting Actress

  • Laura Dern 71/20
  • Jennifer Lopez 9/2
  • Margot Robbie 5/1

Best Supporting Actor

  • Brad Pitt 17/5
  • Al Pacino 4/1
  • Tom Hanks 5/1

Best Director

  • Martin Scorsese 18/5
  • Quentin Tarantino 4/1
  • Bong Joon Ho 9/2

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • The Irishman 69/20
  • Jojo Rabbit 4/1
  • Little Women 9/2

Best Original Screenplay

  • Marriage Story 18/5
  • Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 19/5 -
  • Parasite 9/2

Best Picture

  • The Irishman 7/1
  • Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 15/2 -
  • Marriage Story 8/1

Tom O'Neil

Tom O'Neil is Gold Derby's Editor, President and Founder. He's the author of "Movie Awards," "The Emmys" and "The Grammys" (Penguin Books) and has written for the Los Angeles Times (on staff from 2005 to 2011), Variety, New York Times, TV Guide and other top media. In 2000, he launched Gold Derby after recruiting a team of other Experts to predict the matchup between "Gladiator" and "Traffic" at the Oscars and Golden Globes, then added predictions for Grammys, Tony Awards and more. In 2011, Gold Derby was relaunched so Users could make their own predictions – for both awards and reality TV shows, too -- and it was acquired by Penske Media Corp. in 2015.

Members Since

May 13, 2011

Last Login

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Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 682 total)
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  • Tom O'Neil
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    November 4, 2019 at 9:22 am #1203165570

    I finally put bullets through saket fedex and brittanymiles yesterday. sorry it took so long. Some of their nuclear drama was, admit it, actually hilarious, but enuf is enuf

    Reply
    Tom O'Neil
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    November 4, 2019 at 8:42 am #1203165443

    i just checked a bunch of my own notifications and they seem fine. I have a hunch that the problem you’re encountering has to do with the trolls in our forums. When they respond to your posts you get a notification, but then it goes to a dead zone when you click it because we’ve zapped the troll’s user account. Do you think that could be the problem?

     

    Reply
    Tom O'Neil
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    November 1, 2019 at 6:03 pm #1203162367

    I think there’s a fascinating awards parallel between the few nasty critics’ reviews of Morning Show and the cruel critics’ attacks against Green Book and Bohemian Rhapsody, both of which were marvelous films (oh, don’t get me started with your ridiculous protests – you’re wrong and that’s that) and proved to be bullet-proof at the Oscars, of course. In the end, Morning Show will be duly awarded at the Globes and SAG because it’s fantastic TV and deserves to shine. Regular TV viewers will adore Morning Show (because it’s great) just like movie audiences cheered Green Book and Bohemian Rhapsody (which got A Cinemascores). So why are some critics so vicious?

    Answer: Because Morning Show, Green Book and BH had the NERVE to be crafted in mainstream tradition. Populist. They’re not “cool.” They don’t have overlong scenes of dog crap getting flushed down a drain. They don’t juggle their timelines.

    As award analysts, all of us Derbyites need to pay attention to this REALLY INTERESTING culture war we see playing out at top award shows of late. We’ve never seen anything like this in recent years – not on this scale. It’s a nuclear battle between the tyranny of snooty critics who demand that we take them seriously and awards voters who don’t give a damn about their pretentious egotism. Haaaaa. Personally, I side with the award voters and I think too many of you are too eager to follow the bully critics because you don’t have the GUTS to call shenanigans on their carnival. Sure, it’s perfectly fine for “Roma” to win the critics’ awards, but it’s also great that Green Book triumphed at the Oscars.

    You’re at Gold Derby right now, an awards haven, not some snooty cineaste’s forums. It’s OK to cheer populist fare, for chrissake.  We won’t kill you for it. Right now the Hollywood awards are telling us something – sending a message that might actually be RIGHT. If you’re a serious awardsologist, you need to consider this POV.

    Keep an open mind. Chill. Then sit back and watch “Morning Show” this weekend and let yourself love it. Because it’s sooooo damn good.

    Reply
    Tom O'Neil
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    October 13, 2019 at 11:59 pm #1203135374

    Bombshell reminds me of the time I appeared simultaneously on Fox and Fox News with Megyn Kelly covering Michael Jackson’s funeral live. I had appeared on her regular Fox News shows a few times previously – but this time she asked me to join her during the daytime to cover this live news event for lots of Fox channels. I said yeah, sure, assuming it would be for 5 or 10 minutes max, but Megyn kept me on air for a few hours as she and I (and one other guest journo) just riffed on the funeral service and the cemetery scenes as they occurred. During commercial breaks, Megyn kept saying, “Hey, can you guys stick around for another segment or two? This is really interesting …” I got the sense something was wrong behind the scenes – the producers didn’t seem to have other guests booked and they needed us to fill in, but that was fine and it was all so dramatic, being Jacko’s funeral and all. Megyn was very chill and kind to me throughout the day. Afterward, lots of people told me they’d even seen the show on the big screens in Times Square and outside the Apollo Theater.

    Tom O'Neil
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    October 13, 2019 at 11:34 pm #1203135337
    Luca wrote:

    How’s Lithgow as Ailes? Will he be a factor in supporting actor or can I comfortably rule him out? That category is getting so crowded, hot damn.

    Lithgow is marvelously vile. Ewww. His Roger is soooo creepy and disgusting. The prosthetic makeup transformation turns him into a monster. So it’s a big (and wonderful) performance, but not really awards bait, I don’t think

    Tom O'Neil
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    October 13, 2019 at 11:24 pm #1203135324
    CateNicole wrote:

    Can be tough to look as beautiful as Barbie in a work environment like that…

    Yeah. And she looks impeccably Barbie-perfect on screen at all times — enough so that Roger Ailes preys on her throughout the last half of the film. She plays a fictional character who represents lots of the young lovelies he typically preyed on in the workplace. Margot has lots of wonderfully sensitive scenes that she nails beautifully and she gets tons of screen time. But it’s not a pretentious role – like academy voters usually prefer. However, this can be one of those frequent exceptions. Margot can very well be nominated for Bombshell.

    Tom O'Neil
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    October 13, 2019 at 11:08 pm #1203135300
    Seven wrote:

    Margot doesn’t have a single meaty scene in OUATIH, how are people still hyping it ? Idgi She’s a symbol. The performance itself is nothing

     

    You’re overblowing your point, but, yeah, you’re kinda right, of course. By contrast, Margot gives a real PERFORMANCE in Bombshell. She even gets an overlooooooong crying scene near the end, but she plays a barbie doll character, that’s the prob

    Tom O'Neil
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    October 13, 2019 at 10:29 pm #1203135264

    I just saw Bombshell at the big LA Q&A. Terrific film. Yeah, Charlize looks and sounds sooo EXACTLY like Megyn Kelly on screen that it’s creepy. But more than that she gives the role real depth and heart. I just moved her up to second place in my predix behind Renee. Charlize is a real player in this race. I had a great chat with Sasha Stone afterwards and she agrees. Forget Nicole. She’s very good, but the movie belongs to Charlize and Margot. As for Margot, well, she’s great, but two industry folks I spoke with after seeing Bombshell said they think “Hollywood” is her better kudos shot in that supporting race. Personally, I don’t know …

    Tom O'Neil
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    October 4, 2019 at 5:45 am #1203120734
    kellis wrote:

    I mean, Kord did threaten to beat me so bad that no one could recognize me because he got banned again, so I don’t know how about this. I’m down for facial reconstruction surgery so I can look like Jake Gyllenhaal but… He’s also made several threats against others on here so he deserves any judgement handed his way.

    What are Kord’s latest IDs here?

    Tom O'Neil
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    October 4, 2019 at 5:43 am #1203120730
    Stranger Among Us wrote:

    Helen Mirren refuses to play the queen in Seasons 5 and 6 https://metro.co.uk/2019/10/03/helen-mirren-refuses-to-replace-olivia-colman-on-the-crown-i-dont-think-so-10852976/

    No doubt she’ll still be recovering from starring in “Catherine the Great,” which I’ve just seen. Hmmm … let’s just say that we shouldn’t expect the mini to be an Emmy killer

    Tom O'Neil
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    August 26, 2019 at 11:50 am #1203040717

    Thatcher, Prime Minister of GD: I’ve had enough of your vulgar, childish, haughty posts that attack other Derbyites and aren’t even funny (that’s your worst crime – Why can’t you be truly amusing? You’re like a bad borscht belt comic who can only insult people).

    I am suspending your forum access for the next week, then I will lift it. However, if I find you posting under another ID or if you go off the rails again when I permit you to return, I will ban you for good riddance. BEHAVE.

    • This reply was modified 3 months, 2 weeks ago by  Tom O'Neil.
    • This reply was modified 3 months, 2 weeks ago by  Tom O'Neil.
    Tom O'Neil
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    August 9, 2019 at 8:19 pm #1203018001

    Whenever you spot a post by a troll in our forums, please click the button for REPORT SPAM immediately. I get those notices pronto and I can zap their user account and all forum posts fast and simple. We need to work together to resolve this issue once and for all.

    NEVER hit the “Quote” button and quote their stupid posts. You’re just giving them the attention they crave and that then means we need to comb through the forums and delete your quoted posts, too, because they include the troll’s BS. Just click REPORT SPAM and move along with your business. I’ll toss out our garbage a.s.a.p. Tx!

    Reply
    Tom O'Neil
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    August 9, 2019 at 12:51 pm #1203017716

    Will you all please STOP quoting the posts by these trolls? Just click “Report Spam” and we’ll toss out the garbage. First off, you’re encouraging them with attention and, secondly, we must then go back and delete YOUR posts, too, because they include posts by the trolls. Just click REPORT SPAM and go on about your business, pls.

    Riley and Luca can zap individual posts, but only I can zap the troll’s user account and all posts made by it. I can do that immediately after I get your spam notice — I get those alerts pronto. Let’s all work together and we can fix this fast and simple.

    • This reply was modified 4 months ago by  Tom O'Neil.
    • This reply was modified 4 months ago by  Tom O'Neil.
    • This reply was modified 4 months ago by  Tom O'Neil.
    Tom O'Neil
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    July 27, 2019 at 7:19 pm #1202999113
    Pulp wrote:

    Why can’t I crop my profile picture?

    Please be patient with these kinds of fixes. Our tech team is extremely busy now working on the new Gold Derby app that will forever change your life. When first stage of development is done in about a month, I’m going to ask for volunteers among you veteran Derbyites to help us test it. We may not launch it for a few months, however. As soon as we finish the app, we’re overhauling the rest of our desktop and mobile sites to synch up with the app. Target date to launch the whole, new, amazing, dazzling Gold Derby is Nov. 1, but we might have it all done sooner. Stay tuned.

    Reply
    Tom O'Neil
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    June 20, 2019 at 1:07 pm #1202945873

    OMG, I can’t believe I didn’t have Chernobyl listed! Fixed, plus I made a few other tweaks.
    Thanks for all of your input. Even though Y’ALL ARE SOOO MEAN! 😉

    • This reply was modified 5 months, 3 weeks ago by  Tom O'Neil.
    • This reply was modified 5 months, 3 weeks ago by  Tom O'Neil.
    Reply
Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 682 total)
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