Forum Replies Created
February 13, 2020 at 6:37 pm #1203346258
No Time to Die is fine, nothing we haven’t heard from a Bond song before. I’m sure it’ll be nominated, but I doubt it’ll win when In The Heights is coming out and who knows what else Disney will have coming.January 13, 2020 at 7:36 pm #1203282931
Lady Bird was my favorite movie that year and she was amazing in it, but Brooklyn was what made me a Ronan fan. She took what would have been a dry movie and carried it on her back. I hardly ever cry in movies and I teared up at the scene with her mom.
Tbh I think Hollywood should be bending over backwards to give her more roles where she can use her natural accent. That’s when her performance will be at its best, I feel, even though she’s still great when she’s keeping up a fake accent.January 8, 2020 at 3:35 am #1203270156
I don’t think Star Wars will affect Driver at all. Actors understand that actors often end up in less-than-stellar movies, RoS was at least watchable for most people, and Driver’s performance in that movie was at least fine. If Eddie Redmayne can be nominated for The Danish Girl the same year he wins a Razzie for Jupiter Ascending I don’t think Star Wars is going to matter.January 7, 2020 at 3:22 pm #1203269439
Todd Phillips was nominated for Director at GG and BAFTAs, wouldn’t be out of nowhere for him to get an Oscar nom.January 7, 2020 at 1:18 pm #1203269263
Chalamet may be the big name in Supporting Actor (no one saw/liked his movie anyway so it wasn’t that big of a surprise) but Amy Adams getting snubbed for Arrival stands out as a praised performance that hit all the precursors in an acclaimed film and she still lost the nomination.
If it’s just supporting actor, it’ll be Hanks. The Academy has shown recently that they’re not just willing to name-check him for a solid performance the way they are for someone like Meryl Streep. However, his recent string of surprising snubs has built up a little bit of “hey, we haven’t nominated Hanks in a while” momentum so I think he’s relatively safe.
If someone’s in danger of hitting GG/CC/SAG/BAFTA but missing Oscar this year, I’d say it’s ScarJo in Best Actress for Marriage Story. The passion for the film, minus Dern’s performance, seems to have died down, and Driver has more support, so voters might feel comfortable leaving her off the ballot if they want to include two of Erivo/Nyong’o/Awkwafina while still keeping Zellweger/Theron/Ronan. The only other person I think may even be in a little danger of this is DiCaprio, but he’s relatively safe imo (ScarJo is probably mostly safe too, just most likely to me, especially if they feel okay with just nominating her in Supporting for Jojo Rabbit).January 7, 2020 at 12:33 pm #1203269148
Think there might be somewhat less at stake when voting for who wins a fun little trophy and voting for who becomes President. I don’t think Academy/SAG voters feel too bad about throwing their votes away towards someone they think doesn’t really have a shot to win.
For example, do you think too many of the people who voted for Olivia Colman (or any of the other nominees) really thought she’d beat Glenn Close? I doubt it, but I don’t think many of them would change their votes in retrospect.January 7, 2020 at 10:30 am #1203268781
I think there’s a chance Adam Sandler gets a surprise Best Actor nom. Not exactly out of nowhere since he did get nominated at CC, but he’s been missing everywhere else so it would be a surprise.
If a previously completely unrecognized (by major precursors) performance gets in, it’ll be someone from Parasite.January 7, 2020 at 9:34 am #1203268537
After the BAFTA noms, here is my list of predictions (picture, director, acting). I think everybody’s pretty confident about the Supporting Actor lineup, but most of the other categories have a lot of wiggle room. Particularly wasn’t sure about the last slot for director, and the last two slots for Actor and Actress. Made a risky bet with director and played it safe for the other two. Also wasn’t sure about how many best picture nominees there will be, went with 8 and had Little Women in and Ford v. Ferrari out.
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Ford v. Ferrari
The Two Popes
Bong Joon Ho
Best Supporting Actress:
Best Supporting Actor:
I feel like there will be a lot of weird surprises on nomination morning, so I’m sure there are things I’ve missed. But, for better or for worse, these are my predictions. Probably final, since I’m too lazy to change them every day.January 6, 2020 at 5:47 pm #1203267028
I’m new to commenting here but not new to the awards seasons, and I think it’s ridiculously presumptuous of anyone to talk in absolutes with these things. It doesn’t really further any kind of discussion, and the past is becoming increasingly irrelevant given that the voting members recently increased by the thousands. Nothing is concrete until nominations are announced and names are called out on the oscars stage. No ones won an Oscar without [X], yeah, until someone does.
Unfortunately this is just the atmosphere around here in general. People pick their favorites and declare that anyone else has zero chance and insult anyone who doesn’t like their favorite. Other just seem to hate the entire process in general and just want to post their negativity any chance they get. You could make a decent compilation post every year of all the people smugly saying what’s going to happen and what’s not going to happen, only to be completely wrong, and they’ll go right ahead and do the same thing the next year. It’s pretty toxic tbh, shuts down any kind of decent discussion. I find the ignore button pretty useful and use it frequently.January 6, 2020 at 12:39 pm #1203266534
Love people proclaiming done deals about 10 months after we just watched Glenn Close lose Best Actress.January 5, 2020 at 7:40 pm #1203264020
No recent Best Actress Comedy/Musical winners have missed an Oscar nom afaik.January 5, 2020 at 7:38 pm #1203263980
Only recent Musical/Comedy Actor winner to miss an Oscar nod was James Franco, who had… extenuating circumstances.January 5, 2020 at 7:15 pm #1203263580
I don’t meen snub as in not nomination, I mean actually winning. Bong deserves it, but something tells me he’ll just be snubbed because like the globes – not English enough.
Yes but if they’re willing to nominate the director of a practically unknown foreign-language film, and also GIVE THE WIN TO CUARON for Roma (also foreign-language) then there’s no reason to think they’ll snub Bong just because he’s directed a foreign language film. If Bong loses, it’s just because they liked someone else better.