UnionCityMood
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February 2, 2023 at 11:37 am #1205281113
I simply said it wasn’t going to be popular with Trump supporters which make up practically 50% of the US population.
I don’t know why Trump Supporters keep being brought up in your argument. Trump supporters don’t decide what’s popular and what’s not because most of them have never been the target audience of Hollywood. They are hardly the central part of deciding what’s popular and what’s not.
If you value their opinions so much, then none of the BP films except Top Gun will be on their radars anyway. Like seriously, Trumpists disliking EEAAO but somehow rallying for films like Tar, Women Talking, The Fablemans? Come on.
ReplyFebruary 2, 2023 at 8:15 am #1205280746Given how popular Trump is in America, most of his supporters would likely not even consider watching EEAO or any film with Asian characters.
You know those people aren’t exactly the type of people that care about Oscar and Hollywood in general right? In fact, it’s interesting that you mention how EEAAO garners mostly young and liberal audience, who are much more likely to be audience for the Oscar in the end. It’s simply unfair to conclude that people don’t care about EEAAO and Yeoh based on these flimsy claims.
ReplyFebruary 1, 2023 at 3:44 pm #1205280123I’ll prefer Rihanna to win over Naatu Naatu. But I am not firm about the Super Bowl=winning theory…First, Super Bowl is a very American thing and the Academy contains many non-Americans. Also Super Bowl isn’t exactly on the same trajectory as Hollywood since SB is one of the most conservative events of all time.
I suspect the ones that care about the SB are gonna be mostly striaght white men. And they will definitely be more interested in talking about football than half time performance. However, I would place Rihanna second to Naatu Naatu due to the fact that she would certainly have more exposure than Gaga, Mitski, or Warren.
ReplyJanuary 29, 2023 at 6:17 pm #1205274038Andrea is not winning. She may win over the actors branch, which successfully land her a nomination. But to win the eventual trophy requires votes from the whole organization. It’s questionable that the publicity and passion could spread over every other branch. The person that wins the most precursors will still have the ultimate advantage.
ReplyJanuary 28, 2023 at 4:48 pm #1205272941To land a Best Actress nomination, any POC actor will first need to get through nomination round which is decided by the actors branch. The actors branch is 88% white.
To win Best Actress, any POC actor will need to garner the most votes out of all branches, which is 81% white.
January 27, 2023 at 12:12 pm #1205270834Since there is a 1,000 plus members in the Actor’s branch, maybe they should have each voter vote for their favorite performance. One vote for each voter. The top 5 vote ‘getters’ are your nominees. Isn’t that how SAG does it? Having voters rank their preferences doesn’t seem like the best way to get a top 5. And it’s ripe for folks downgrading some performances because they want to make sure their #1 gets nominated.
Maybe they want to make sure there will always be 5 nominees selected. In very extreme situation, though unlikely, 999 of voters pick one universally favored performance and there won’t be 5 nominees selected.
January 27, 2023 at 8:57 am #1205270504I don’t think it’s a good decision to rescind anyone’s nomination as well because it will set a horrible precedent for the future Weinsteins to take advantages of. However I assume they would amend the current rules and make it clearer and stricter for campaign policies.
January 26, 2023 at 12:10 pm #1205269222America is a majority white country, but the white actors who are English speaking from the “ally” “Five Eyes” countries (USA, UK, Australia, New Zealand, Canada) plus any other white fluent English speakers like Charlize Theron from South Africa or Irish actors will always be treated better in the voting process at the Oscars/BAFTAs than any American POC or non-English speaking POC.
I totally agree. Even for non-English speaking actors, the white actors from Europe will always get better treatment. Actors like Isabelle Huppert, Marion Cotillard, Penelope Cruz, Michael Fassbender have much larger chance to have their names recognized during award season once they are attached to an Academy contending project. Whereas actors like Jone Lone, Zhang Ziyi, the parasite cast all got attached to top BP contender but couldn’t land an acting nomination.
January 26, 2023 at 5:54 am #1205268285Michelle cannot afford to lose Bafta to Cate. If she cannot win Bafta, she also needs someone other than Cate to win or the race is settle.
LFCC tends to have a great record on Bafta BA. LFCC will announce their winners on Feb 5, 2023. Meanwhile, Bafta voting period closes on Feb 14. So whoever wins LFCC could carry a strong momentum into the final round of voting.
January 25, 2023 at 6:00 pm #1205267796Michelle needs to win SAG, or she’s done for I fear.
She’s done if Blanchett is the one that wins SAG. If they both don’t win SAG but Yeoh wins Bafta, she could still be in the competition.
January 25, 2023 at 5:55 pm #1205267790Personal prediction
1 Blanchett takes both SAG and Bafta, Blanchett wins.
2 Yeoh wins both SAG and Bafta, Yeoh wins.
3 Blanchett wins SAG, Yeoh wins Bafta, Blanchett = Yeoh > others.
4 Blanchett wins Bafta, Yeoh wins SAG, Blanchett > Yeoh > others.
5 Neither win SAG, whoever wins Bafta > others.
6 Neither win Bafta, Blanchett wins SAG, Blanchett >> others.
7 Neither win Bafta, Yeoh wins SAG, Yeoh >= Blanchett >> others.
8 Neither wins SAG or Bafta, Blanchett > Yeoh > Riseborough > others.
January 25, 2023 at 5:42 pm #1205267778Blanchett: Volpi + NYFCC + LAFCA + NSFC + Golden Globe Drama + Critics Choice + Toronto
Yeoh: NBR + Golden Globe Comedy + Saturn
Pending: Bafta, SAG, AACTA, LFCC, Satellite
January 25, 2023 at 5:26 pm #1205267745The Music Branch is really simple and bland. They love nominating songs attached to Oscar contenders or songs by respected industry veterans
I agree. If they were so worried about viewership they won’t just keep Gaga and Rihanna in and left Taylor and Selena out. They could totally create a nomination list of 4 big pop stars if that’s the purpose. The fact that the Mitski song got in despite being overlooked the whole season tells the importance of being attached to a strong movie.
ReplyJanuary 25, 2023 at 3:43 pm #1205267575Having connections or a residence in the UK is not the same as being developed/a product of the British system FWIW. There is no specific evidence that Australians are given any preferential treatment in the UK.
You’re absolutely right. But I also think white actors from English speaking countries (US,UK,IRE,AUS,NZ) are generally given more preferential treatment at their own award system anyway. Like it’s hard to compare the advantage of someone like Nicole Kidman in the UK to someone like Salma Hayek, although they’re both non-British. Just an opinion.
January 25, 2023 at 3:38 pm #1205267558At this moment, Cate Blanchett has won:
Volpi + GG Drama + CC+ all Trifectas. Historically spoken, she is very ahead in this race.
While I’m rooting for Yeoh, she will likely need to pull a SAG+Bafta win to combat Blanchett’s current momentum.
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