[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203032724

Damiansport1 wrote:

Johansson may very well win the Oscar. Huge year for her. To people who say she doesn’t do much in teasers: i have heard she has 5 minute long, one take with camera on her face court-room monologue scene. It’s very baity role and emotional role. I’m not saying she is lock for the win or anything but the film is playing all festivals, it’s gonna get like 90 on metacritic (advanced buzz on the movie is great) and Netflix will push this hard like they did with Roma. It’s basically this year Manchester by the Sea. but there isnt Moonlight or LLL in race this time.

The role looks basic. She might be win but it won’t be for that court room scene. It’ll be for the same reasons Sandra Bullock won.

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203031579

This looks like something I’ve seen many times before… I agree that Driver looks better than Johansson.

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203027848

Predictions:

BEST PICTURE
1. Once Upon A time in Hollywood (SONY)
2. The Irishman (Netflix)
3. Marriage Story (Netflix)
4. The Farewell (A24)
5. JOKER (Warner Bros)
6. Fair and Balanced (Lionsgate)
7. PARASITE (Sony Pictures)
8. 1917 (Universal)
9. JOJO RABBIT (Fox Searchlight)

BEST DIRECTOR
1. Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
2. Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)
3. Sam Mendes (1917)
4. Lulu Wang (The Farewell)
5. Bong Jon Hoo (Parasite)

BEST ACTRESS
1. Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)
2. Charlize Theron (Fair and Balanced)
3. Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)
4. Awkwafina (The Farewell)
5. Cynthia Erivo (Harriet)

BEST ACTOR
1. Joaquin Phoenix (JOKER)
2. Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory)
3. Leonardo DiCaprio ( Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
4. Robert DeNiro (The Irishman)
5. Adam Driver (Marriage Story)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Margo Robbie (Fair and Balanced)
2. Meryl Streep (The Laundromat)
3. Laura Dern (Marriage Story)
4. Shuzhen Zhou (The Farewell)
5. Janelle Monae (Harriet)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Brad Pitt (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)
2. Al Pacino (The Irishman)
3. John Lithgow (Fair and Balanced)
4. Taika Waititi (JOJO RABBIT)
5. Joe Pesci (The Irishman)

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203023511

Jays wrote:

I lol every time someone has Lupita in their predictions but not Johansson. It’s just so objectively wrong lol.

I took Lupita out of
My predictions. It’s kind of a wishful
Thinking. She’s been forgotten.

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203023509

thatnerdgreg wrote:

After Lady Bird, Gerwig and Ronan have a lot of hype going towards them. A lot of people loved their work, and would love to see them win Oscars. Hell, in a different year the two of them likely would’ve won. Unfortunately for Ronan, Frances McDormand was unstoppable that year(and Sally Hawkins was likely the runner up), and for Gerwig, original screenplay was filled with some extremely strong contenders. I personally believe Ronan has a real shot to win this year. I believe the prediction center is correct, and it’ll likely be a showdown between her and Cynthia Erivo. Gerwig, however will likely only be nominated. This is a story that’s been told many, many times, so that makes her screenplay unlikely to win anything. This is also just not the kind of film that wins best director. However, what’s important is that the film looks like it’ll be great. It’s based on a beloved story, has a top notch director/writer, and features some hugely talented individuals (and Emma Watson) in front of the camera

You’re measuring Ronan chances based on a one hit film Gerwig had. If you think she’ll win for little woman you’ll be very dissapointed. As for Erivo I won’t say anything until that film premieres but judging from that trailer, I’m not expecting anything good from it.

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203022979

1. Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story- Netflix) ** Box Office star, movie seems to have a lot of hype/BP contender. I’m still not sure this film will be flashy enough for a Best Actress win.
2. Charlize Theron (Fair and Balanced- Lionsgate) I’ve heard she’s really good in this and her transformation is spot on. The movie could be divisive, but I see this doing well with the actors branch.
3. Saoirse Ronan (Little Women- Sony)– Acting and below the line contender. I see Ronan steady getting nominated for everything but losing every single awards show.
4. Natalie Portman (Lucy in the Sky- Fox Searchlight)– October release date + TIFF premiere might be a good sign for this.
5. AWKWAFINA (The Farewell- A24) Diversity push + Box office indie hit + Critical darling.
———————————————————————
6. Meryl Streep (The Laundromat- Netflix) Lead or supporting? I don’t know. But She’ll get in whereever she’s placed.
7. Felicity Jones (The Aeronauts- Amazon)– I don’t see more than one streaming contender happening. Scarjo, Streep and Jones…I don’t think so.
8. Cynthia Erivo (Harriet- Focus Features)- The movie looks like a big baity mess.
9. Renee ZellWeger (Judy- Roadside Attractions)– This doesn’t have much box office potential + I don’t think critics will be kind to it outside Renee of course.

• This reply was modified 1 week ago by  Victor Cruz.
• This reply was modified 1 week ago by  Victor Cruz.
• This reply was modified 1 week ago by  Victor Cruz.

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203022943

Luca wrote:

If the trailer for Little Women is any indication, I will be rooting for Ronan to finally win her Oscar.

I really doubt Saoirse will win for Little Women. It looks very Saoirse Ronan.

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203020607

Mickmack wrote:

People assume anything with Chalamet and Gerwig is a winner.

So many directors have critical hits and then make terrible movies afterwards or non existen films. I could see Greta being a Jason Reitman. And in regards to Chalamet, wasn’t beautiful boy a flop?

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203020591

Downtown Abbey will be a contender for Hair and Makeup, Costumes and Production Design. that’s about it.

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203020578

Pundits are so high on this little women film. If the other one was barely popular with the Academy, what makes people think this one will.

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203020569

Alfre Woodard in Clemency is Annette Bening in Film Stars Don’t die in Liverpool 2.0. Premiere at festivals then comes out late in December and it’s completely forgotten.

• This reply was modified 1 week, 1 day ago by  Victor Cruz.
• This reply was modified 1 week, 1 day ago by  Victor Cruz.

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203019308

kellis wrote:

It’s not flopping; it’s an indie film having a limited release at 5 theaters lol.

A 26k average at 5 theaters is a flop. It’s barely made 200k in 10 days. How is it going to break out with these numbers?

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203019299

EsOS wrote:

I saw this :

and realized you’re probably just drunk posting on GoldDerby.

1) FYI: Fair and Balanced has had test screenings and Robbie and Theron have been getting raves.

2) last time I checked Luce was not doing well on limited release.

3) Zellwegers film looks like one of those flop biopics. I don’t see it making much money. It’ll probably get mixed reception and Roadside Attractions is a non factor at the Oscars.

• This reply was modified 1 week, 2 days ago by  Victor Cruz.
• This reply was modified 1 week, 2 days ago by  Victor Cruz.

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203018944

EsOS wrote:

Winner predictions:

Actor: Adam Driver – Marriage Story

Actress: Renee Zellweger – Judy

Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood OR Willem Dafoe – The Last Thing âge Wanted (if 2019)

Supporting Actress: Laura Dern – Marriage Story OR Octavia Spencer – Luce (if well campaigned)

Renee is more likely to win the razzie than the Oscar for Judy.

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[Victor CruzParticipant Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 138 View Predictions]

#1203018939

linecelts wrote:

I agree that supporting actress is a mess right now. WHERE THE HELL are Shuzhen Zhao (The Farewell) and Octavia Spencer (Luce)? I’m surprised to see that Octavia is not a contender.

I wouldn’t count out Lupita Nyong’o (Us) for Best Actress and Will Smith (Gemini Man) for Best Actor.

Meryl Streep will get in some kind of way. I definitely would love to see Taron Edgerton get nominated for Lead Actor.

Luce is flopping at the Box Office so I doubt Octavia will be a thing.

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