[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203698952

Actress:

1. Frances McDormand (Safest bet for a nomination) 0 chances of winning.
2. Viola Davis
3. Andra Day
4. Michelle Pfeiffer
5. Kate Winslet- No chance of winning.

Actor

1. Hopkins (by a mile) his to lose.

2. Lindo
3. Oldman
4. Kaluuya
5. Damon

[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203565556

letting Hamilton compete for Oscars would cheapen the Oscars. Now Beyonce and her film that’s coming out July 10th would also have to eligible.

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[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203565215

BetteDavis wrote:

I think there’s definitely a narrative for Viola to win lead. Only one black woman has ever won Best Actress and it was nearly 20 years ago. She’s also playing a real life person, with singing, and a role that will show her range.

If the film even somewhat delivers, I think she could easily pull a Renee Zellweger and win.

Renee Zellweger was actually owed a best actress Oscar for her contribution to film in the 2000s. She was at some point one of the big ones. Viola is just hype. No track record. And she knows it that’s why she asks for it every time she acts. It doesn’t even come out genuine. It’s like “look at me yelling and doing my theatrics.” “Give me the award.”

[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203565211

braydenfitzsimmons wrote:

Probably because 50 year old dark skinned black women don’t get the chance be the lead of a film as often as they should. How many films has been in as the lead period, 5? (Help, Lila & Eve, Custody, Fences, Widows)

Viola is still a Triple Crown winner (fun-fact: she’s the only TCA winner to start their awards run in the 21st century) and is absolute bait-fest of a role with Oscar-clip after Oscar-clip.

Taraji p Henson is leading and opening films while doing a hit tv show, Octavia led and opened a film with Ma, Halle Berry is still opening some stuff. Where as Viola is Just doing her tv thing.

[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203565205

I hope not. This needs to stay at the Tonys. Let real films compete for Oscars.

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[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203564173

Human Bartender wrote:

You can’t say someone is a lock for a win when literally nobody’s seen her movie.

It’s Viola Davis. Everyone is obsessed with the idea of her getting a Best Actress Oscar. But she doesn’t have the track record in film to win. She’s made 1 successful film as a lead. She’s a theater Turn tv actress.

The only way she wins number 2 if her film gets a bunch of noms including BP.

[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203558420

Bassett wrote:

That’s what I’m saying. JHud will successfully fight for the nod the same way Erivo fought for that 5th spot by riding that campaign trail, but in the end she won’t come close to a win. Especially as a previous winner. She’ll get the nom based on character recognition just like Erivo

Not to mention that her performance will most likely be similar to what she did in Dreamgirls. Mostly based on big musical moments that will overshadow the fact that she’s not that great of an actress. I don’t see them rushing to give her a 2nd

I still think she’ll end up like Felicity Jones. Also, Isn’t Viola Davis also playing a singer? I doubt they both make it in.

[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203556999

That Aretha biopic looks terrible. Jhud doesn’t looks or sound like her.

[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203556977

Jhud is this year Felicity Jones.

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[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203555050

This year Best Actress will be a first time winner.

Jessica Chastain
Michelle Pfeiffer
Amy Adams or Glenn Close

Or one of the others potential first time winners out there.

[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203545229

OneAndOnly wrote:

Best Picture :

1. The French Dispatch (Searchlight)
2. Mank (Netflix)
3. Tenet (Warner Bros.)
4. On the Rocks (Apple TV+/A24)
5. News of the World (Universal)
6. Dune (Warner. Bros)
7. Hillbilly Elegy (Netflix)
8. West Side Story (20th Century)
9. The Father (Sony Pictures Classics)

This is a good list except Hillbilly Elegy. I don’t think thats getting nominated.

[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203542349

BetteDavis wrote:

He’ll fight for a nomination and won’t win in lead. Netflix will put him in supporting.

He’s also definitely not lead. The movie is a pretty solid ensemble film without a true lead. If Brad Pitt and Mahershala Ali’s LEAD performances were considered supporting, Lindo is *BEYOND* supporting.

This literally isn’t true.

He has more screen time than 66 of the past lead actor winners. It’s probably more than 60% lol.

[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203542277

Lindo has more screen time than 60% of the lead actor winners. And will be the longest supporting actor winner if he wins.

[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203542090

Screen time data for Da 5 Bloods (2020)

1/3

– Delroy Lindo – 1:21:45 (52.45%)
– Clarke Peters – 1:08:53 (44.20%)
– Isiah Whitlock Jr. – 58:12 (37.34%)
– Jonathan Majors – 52:44 (33.84%)
– Norm Lewis – 41:57 (26.92%)

DelRoy Lindo cannot ve submitted supporting. It’ll be the worst category fraud in History.

Netflix has to submit Lindo and Peters Lead. Everyone else supporting.

[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1277 View Predictions]

#1203540439

Stewart needs great voicework like Portman in Jackie, Theron in Bombshell etc to make people think she is Diana. She doesn’t have that. She lacks that kind of talent.

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