[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203143114

Bee wrote:

Sis, you don’t remember? If people weren’t blaming Meryl, they damn sure were being racist as fuck towards Ruth Negga. Before IMDB shut down the message boards, the Amy Adams stans over there called her all types of n-words and saying she only got in to fill a quota. It was a mess.

IMDb shutting down the message boards was the best thing that ever happened to online film discourse.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203143107

wattsgold wrote:

If Razzies nominate Meryl for this shit, I’ll buy everyone a round!
I know Razzies are lame, but I don’t think she’s ever made it.
The time has come.

I just watched it and I’ve actually come back round to the idea that Meryl could get her 22nd Oscar nomination for it. The non-PC second role she plays won’t be any more of an issue for her than The Laundromat being low priority for Netflix’s awards campaigns.

If anyone’s getting a Razzie nom for this it’s Gary Oldman. He’d probably take it in good humour.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203142698

In chronological order:

La Règle du Jeu (1939)
The Magnificent Ambersons (1942)
Les Enfants du Paradis (1945)
All About Eve (1950)
A Streetcar Named Desire (1951)
Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf? (1966)
Cries and Whispers (1972)
The Godfather I & II (1972/4)
Fanny and Alexander (1982-3)
The Master (2012)

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203142679

What’s the point of predicting predictions? Which, for the most part, is what these are. Much more fun is attempting to predict the real critics awards – NYFCC, LAFCA, NSFC etc.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203142674

John Berchmans wrote:

Actually it was Woody Allen, which only makes a third win for Tarantino seem more likely. The academy will want to scrub Woody Allen’s name off the record books as soon as possible.

Oh come on, no one votes like that.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203142659

John Berchmans wrote:

I just found out that my local theater is screening The Lighthouse starting next Thursday. I’ll try to see it next Sunday and then tell you guys my thoughts on it, and maybe add it to my list of stans if I like it. After spending so much time on these forums, I’m expecting nothing but perfection from Robert Pattinson and Willem Dafoe.

Well I don’t know if I would exactly describe Pattinson’s performance as ‘perfection’ as it’s less clean than Dafoe’s – not sure how else to describe it – and I’m not entirely sure which accent he was going for. But honestly this wasn’t a problem for me, as his relative inexperience compared to Dafoe actually heightens the drama and relationship of the characters, and Pattinson’s physicality and gusto he brings to his later, more dialogue-heavy scenes is staggering. On its own merits it’s a nomination-worthy performance for sure.

Dafoe, on the other hand, is sheer perfection, if such a thing exists in acting.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203142651

^ Maggie Smith should have been in lead too. The play Otello has three lead roles: Otello, Iago and Desdemona.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203141784

I’ll stick with my least favourite films that were recognised in some capacity during awards season:

Les Misérables – A crass, ugly film with nauseating camerawork and choppy editing, and directed like an Oscar-shopping spree for its actors, who as a result mostly appear strenuous and self-conscious. The recent BBC series was much better.

The Danish Girl – Boy, I’m really laying into Tom Hooper aren’t I? (And we haven’t even seen Cats yet.) This is more watchable than the above but, playing Einar/Lili, Eddie Redmayne’s conception of femininity appears to be ‘wet and weepy’, and it is widely speculated that the wife, Gerda, was bisexual, which would’ve made for a much more interesting relationship dynamic than the rather predictable one portrayed onscreen.

Hacksaw Ridge – For a film about a conscientious objector, Mel Gibson certainly revels in the battle violence – not quite to the pornographic levels of the repugnant The Passion of the Christ but with similar indescretion. Like that earlier film, a sickly religiosity permeates the film (compare this to to compelling trials of faith depicted in Silence, also starring Andrew Garfield, from the same year). Hacksaw is also frequently cheesy and even has moments of unintentional camp.

Loving Vincent – I’m normally a sucker for “arty” animation but here thousands of hours of painstaking work by talented oil painters were spent on a banal narrative that plays, aside from its visuals, like one of those amateur educational reenactment videos shown in museums on a school trip. There’s also an argument that the work and style of Van Gogh shouldn’t be kitsched up in this way, regardless of the respectful attention to detail.

Bohemian Rhapsody – This one’s become an easy target but I couldn’t resist. Playing loose with the facts is not in itself a bad thing but when the truth was undoubtedly more interesting than what’s on screen you wonder what the point was. Not only is there an odd finger-wagging quality to its depiction of Freddie’s flamboyant lifestyle, the other three members of Queen come off as dreadful bores and Paul Prenter inadvertently seems like the most sympathetic character in the film. Possibly the worst movie in history to win four Oscars.

• This reply was modified 1 day, 15 hours ago by  Eddy Q.
• This reply was modified 1 day, 14 hours ago by  Eddy Q.
• This reply was modified 1 day, 14 hours ago by  Eddy Q.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203141677

Bee wrote:

Lopez probably wins here easily. These are the type of critics that want her to happen, especially if it’s a star.

It could definitely happen.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203140747

Salsa Club wrote:

Dafoe is being campaigned in supporting so I don’t know why there’d be any confusion on NYFCC’s end.

Because they’re critics so they’re less likely to fall for the campaigning tactics. Not that they never do, mind, and all critics groups have awarded category fraud at one time or another, but we have to consider the possibility that some members might not buy the supporting placements of Dafoe or Pitt, for example. Just a few years ago the LA Critics awarded Patricia Arquette their lead actress prize for Boyhood. Rooney Mara won no major supporting awards for Carol despite giving arguably the most acclaimed performance being campaigned as supporting. It’s pretty easy to see why.

• This reply was modified 2 days, 3 hours ago by  Eddy Q.
• This reply was modified 2 days, 3 hours ago by  Eddy Q.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203140697

Baby Clyde wrote:

After last years shocking display looks like the fraud is going to be just as rampant this year.

Brad Pit
Jennifer Lopez
Meryl Streep
Mindy Kaling
Matt Damon
Tom Hanks
Anthony Hopkins
Christian Bale

All various degrees of fraudulent or at least questionable placement and that’s just the A list stars.

Also Willem Dafoe.

Is Hanks not truly supporting in A Beautiful Day then? I read that his character is less central than the ads would suggest.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203139941

For now:

Frozen II
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
I Lost My Body
Toy Story 4
Weathering with You

Alt: Buñuel in the Labyrinth of the Turtles

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203139914

Brayden Fitzsimmons wrote:

This is kinda why I’m expecting them to go with Nyong’o for Actress

That seems like more of an LA pick to me. Just a hunch.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203139850

Early predictions:

Film: Parasite
Director: Bong Joon-ho – Parasite
Actor: Antonio Banderas – Pain and Glory
Actress: Lupita Nyong’o – Us
Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe – The Lighthouse (though they might consider him lead)
Supporting Actress: Shuzhen Zhao – The Farewell
Screenplay: Noah Baumbach – Marriage Story

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 19 Posts: 3340 View Predictions]

#1203139682

Film: Marriage Story (I’ll save Parasite for my LAFCA & NSFC predix)
Director: Bong Joon-ho – Parasite
Actor: Adam Driver – Marriage Story
Actress: Awkwafina – The Farewell
Supporting Actor: Al Pacino – The Irishman
Supporting Actress: Margot Robbie – Bombshell & Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Screenplay: Noah Baumbach – Marriage Story

I want to predict Dafoe but he could fall victim to category confusion like Philip Seymour Hoffman for The Master and Viola Davis for Fences, neither of whom won any major critics prizes despite giving hugely acclaimed performances. I suspect a number of critics considered them leads, as they will Dafoe.

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