[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203347262

wolfali wrote:

1. Taika Waitit would have gotten for Best Director.
2. J-Lo would still be snubbed.
3. Either Zellweger or Phoenix (or both) could have succumbed to an Olivia Colman.
4. I think neither Parasite or 1917 would have won. There is always a sense of the favourite or joint favourites peaking early and then being campaigned against. Best Picture would have gone to either Once Upon a Time in Hollywood or JoJo Rabbit.

I don’t agree with any of these except no. 2. And why would Taika Waititi get into Director? He was able to get in at DGA and the Academy directors’ branch came to a different conclusion, as they always do. More time wouldn’t have helped Taika.

Honestly I think the entire season would’ve been the same except mayyybe Song Kang-ho could’ve gotten into Supporting Actor with an extra week or two before the stage 1 voting period.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203346551

Hammad Asif wrote:

That’s the first thing,I say.
I always say first thing that Oscars are World Film Awards.

He then argue back by saying that why weren’t Foreign Films recognized in categories other than Best FLF for so long.

They were. Point out to him some foreign screenplay, art direction and costume design nominees from the 40s and 50s. They’re all on Wikipedia.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203346539

Hammad Asif wrote:

I have a American friend who’s a fellow Cinephile and he loved Parasite and considers it Top5 film he has seen in 10s.

Though,he don’t agree on Foreign Language Films getting nominated and winning at Oscars other than Best Foreign Film category.

He believe that Oscars are Hollywood Film Awards and he don’t see Hollywood films getting nominated at Cesars or Bodil awards whereas Hollywood films release everywhere.

I am having alot of disagreement and chat fight with him recently about this topic.

Have you told him that the Oscars have never been exclusively for Hollywood films for almost their entire history?

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203346532

Gabriel Guarin wrote:

Do you think the Directors branch might be automatically biased against actor-directed movies starring the directors because they see them as ego trips, hence why Ben Affleck and Bradley Cooper got snubbed, but Greta Gerwig, Jordan Peele, and Mel Gibson, none of whom starred in their own movies, were able to get nominations?

Mel Gibson actually starred in Braveheart and won Best Director (I’m assuming you were referring to his nom for Hacksaw Ridge). Same with Kevin Costner and Dances with Wolves. It’s only more recently that the directors’ branch have demonstrated a possible bias against directors starring in their own movies, although those earlier films were sweeping historical epics that would’ve had an easier time being nominated anyway.

Edit: I just accidentally liked my own comment lol

• This reply was modified 3 days, 22 hours ago by  Eddy Q.
• This reply was modified 3 days, 22 hours ago by  Eddy Q.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203345804

Gabriel Guarin wrote:

I find this bogus. Why CAN’T the director have a trophy of his own for winning the International Feature Film Oscar?

The director does get to keep the trophy (I think even his or her name is engraved on it) but does not personally become an Oscar-winner on official records. But I agree, it’s completely bogus and condescending towards international filmmakers – as if the entire nation had anything to do with the making of one film!

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203345795

phenix714 wrote:

I’m sure movie nerds tend to prefer Return of the King, but La La Land is more critically acclaimed, and is more likely to make the Sight & Sound list in 2022 than the LOTR movies.

Lol, none of them will.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203345792

CateNicole wrote:

Why exactly was the ceremony so early this year??? Did Laura Dern plan it so that the Oscars would be just before her bday so that everyone would remember it’s her bday when they voted? Lmao. Regardless she was the best in her category.

Didn’t work for Joe Pesci lol. Though it seems he had better ways to celebrate his 77th than going to the Oscars.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203345786

happysad wrote:

The production design [of The French Dispatch] will definitely be a contender, based alone from the trailer.

Some real pedigree in the art department. Production designer Adam Stockhausen (Oscar-winner for The Grand Budapest Hotel, nominee for 12 Years a Slave and Bridge of Spies) and set decorators Rena DeAngelo (nominee for Bridge of Spies) and Hélène Dubreuil (nominee for Midnight in Paris).

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203344849

John Berchmans wrote:

There’s a difference between controversial/morally wrong political beliefs and supporting a bad person (cough ScarJo cough) and actually inflicting harm on someone. Roman Polanski should have never been allowed to participate in awards season again. He’s a rapist, a criminal, and a fugitive. I’m repulsed that Europe still doesn’t seem to care.

Same thing goes for Woody Allen, Harvey Weinstein, Kevin Spacey: all of them. If any of them ever come back to the Oscars I will never watch the ceremony again. The good news is that in the MeToo era that won’t happen anymore. The academy is being held to a higher standard now, and thank God for that!

There are two sides to the Woody Allen story, each deserving of attention. I recommend reading Moses Farrow’s account of events.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203342940

RobertPius wrote:

They needed to pick one person and push them for the award (like Mahershala Ali in Moonlight.)

I heard that Neon was pushing Song Kang-ho, though not enough clearly. Neon isn’t Netflix who could afford big campaigns to remind voters who Yalitza Aparicio and Marina de Tavira were.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203342783

1917‘s unperformance has caused me to rethink the assumption of Ford v Ferrari being in last place. Both movies potentially appeal to similar demographics and it’s quite possible the latter was popular and entertaining enough to siphon off first place votes from the former.

Hell, I’m gonna vote Marriage Story. Little Women seemed more beloved, and Baumbach’s film is not the obvious favourite of either the ‘steak-eaters’ or the younger, more diverse fraction of the Academy, with its LA/NY-centrism and whiteness; a superficial assessment I know, but those are usually the most useful when sizing up the race.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203342737

I never bought the oft-repeated mantra that Parasite had to win editing to upset in Best Picture. Editing nominations are still necessary except in special circumstances, but actually winning editing is not so crucial these days; even a Best Picture winner with outstanding editing can lose to a flasher competitor in that category. Even back in the early nineties, The Silence of the Lambs lost editing despite virtuoso parallel editing in the police-raid sequence.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203342199

Gabriel Guarin wrote:

I think Moulin Rouge! in 2001

The first four Costume Guild awards all snubbed the eventual Oscar-winner, starting with Shakespeare in Love. It was so bizarre.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203342172

BamaEd wrote:

I didn’t like Billie Eilish’s performance at all. It was way too staid and pitched WAY too low for her.

This. Did the music team ever hear of transposition? It’s allowed lol.

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[Eddy QParticipant Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 3776 View Predictions]

#1203342166

John Berchmans wrote:

I’m really surprised tbh. The film’s this year were more beloved and more uniformly successful, and they still had a huge blockbuster in contention with Joker. I thought the ratings would have gone up, not way down. Chalk that up to all of the shitty jokes and lack of structure the ceremony had this year: they were trying to kill time and instead wasted everyone’s time. Parasite saved the day, but I’m convinced they need a host again next year.

Joker didn’t win anything until late in the ceremony so maybe fans got fed up and tuned out before then. Even 1917 didn’t win anything until well over a hour in. Whereas last year both Black Panther and Bohemian Rhapsody won multiple awards relatively early on, keeping viewers’ interest.

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