Forum Replies Created
October 19, 2019 at 11:39 pm #1203144331
Finally saw Rocketman. Definitely being slept on. Costumes could and should win, with other noms coming in actor, sound-mixing, make-up, and picture.March 10, 2019 at 10:20 pm #1202811791
2000: Jennifer Connelly, Requiem for a Dream – One of the best films of the new millennium, Connelly perfectly captures the desperation of an addict.
2001: Marisa Tomei, In The Bedroom – Such a depressing movie (my favorite kind) with great performances from everyone. Marisa has tons of big scenes and she nails them all.
2002: Maribel Verdú, Y Tu Mamá También – Embodies the sexiness and the tragedy so perfectly well.
2003: Holly Hunter, Thirteen – Honestly one of the weaker years for supporting actress, but she’s stilly really good nonetheless.
2004: Cate Blanchett, The Aviator – Best Actress still working today, hands down. This role just shows us why.
2005: Amy Adams, Junebug – She’s given so many great performances over the years, but her first Oscar nominated role is the one she should have won for.
2006: Adriana Barraza, Babel – In a film filled with memorable performances and movie stars, she’s the one that I remember long after the film ended.
2007: Saiorse Ronan, Atonement – Pretty incredible how she gave this performance at the age of 13. Really glad she’s further reenforced her acting abilities over the years.
2008: Penélope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona – Actually just saw this film for the first time a couple of weeks ago. She stole every scene she was in.
2009: Mo’Nique, Precious – There’s a reason why she’s often cited as one of the best winners in the category.
2010: Mila Kunis, Black Swan – Really surprised at her snub by the academy. She was the glue that made Black Swan work.
2011: Carey Mulligan, Shame – Mulligan is so underrated. Her New York, New York relayed so much character history through sheer performance.
2012: Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables – I don’t get the Hathaway hate. Yeah she was thirsty for that Oscar, but she also deserved it. She was in the film for like 15 minutes in the beginning and she still managed to be the most talked about aspect of the film.
2013: Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave – Such a raw performance, especially for her first feature film role.
2014: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood – For her final scene, Patricia channelled the spirit of every Mother (including my own) who was heartbroken to see their kid off to college.
2015: Cynthia Nixon, James White – A bit baity of a role (mom with cancer) but she was heartbreaking so…
2016: Naomi Harris, Moonlight – The film had tremendous performances all around. Naomi really nailed her arc in a believable way.
2017: Tiffany Haddish, Girl’s Trip – Also really liked Metcalf, but I honestly can’t remember the last time Ive laughed as hard as when I saw the Grapefruit scene for the first time.
2018: Rachel McAdams, Disobedience – The movie can be a bit slow, but McAdams (and Alessandro Nivolo) blew me away. I could feel every complicated emotion she was feeling.February 24, 2019 at 6:49 pm #1202790135
Getting slaughtered on the shorts.February 24, 2019 at 5:53 pm #1202789308
I think these are the most standing ovations we have seen so early ever? Like they stood up for Regina, Free Solo, and both Black Panther wins.
I am still shocked by the massive respond Black Panther is getting with its wins. Can it possibly win best picture?
Going 5/6 right now. Would have never predicted BP to win Production Design because it was literally CGI for 70%. That win is not deserved.
Avatar was like 98% CGI and it won.February 24, 2019 at 5:39 pm #1202789027
My biggest fear of the night was RBG winning Doc, so now I can be at least relatively happy for the rest of the ceremony.February 9, 2019 at 10:30 am #1202766249
I was ready to lock Malek in for the win, but then I saw that Bale hasn’t won a BAFTA yet, having lost for his role in The Fighter to Geoffrey Rush in The King’s Speech. If VICE wasn’t such an America centric film, I’d put him as a sure thing. I’ll probably keep Malek because Freddie Mercury is a British Icon, but Bale can still upset.
As far as Glenn goes, she’s not exactly overdue with the BAFTAs considering her nominations with the group. The Wife is only her second nom. If she loses anywhere this year, it will be here. And the comparison with Julianne Moore doesn’t work for me. Moore was on her fourth nomination with BAFTA. Plus, her competition was relatively weak, with only Felicity Jones as a potential spoiler. Olivia Colman is a much stronger competitor, with her film dominating nominations and having already won a Golden Globe.January 26, 2019 at 1:59 pm #1202749548
I wonder if Bradley Cooper can be this year’s Adrien Brody. Get nominated everywhere but doesn’t win anything until Oscar night. Speaking of Brody, can anyone explain why the Oscars didn’t go with Daniel Day-Lewis (SAG, BAFTA, Critics Choice) or Jack Nicholson (Golden Globe, Critics Choice)? You’d think they would have gone with Day-Lewis since SAG and BAFTA members overlap with the Academy members.
He won mainly because all of the other nominees that year had won an Oscar before. The Pianist was also more loved by the Academy than the other films in Best Actor, having also won Director the same night.January 22, 2019 at 6:10 pm #1202745072
I have seen Bohemian Rhapsody and while its editing is one of the best aspects of the film (which isn’t saying much) it’s nowhere near First Man‘s level imo.
I think the rationale behind the nomination is that the editor was able to salvage a film that was essentially filmed by three different directors and turn it into a hit. I honestly wouldn’t be surprised at a Bohemian win here if that narrative starts to pick up steam.January 22, 2019 at 6:37 am #1202743705
Holy shit! Placed 16! I’ve really been slumping in predictions last couple of years, so glad I can finally make it into the top 20. Will definitely be banging my head against the wall over some of my misses now that I know I was within the range of the top (aka not sticking with my gut on Timothee snub).January 22, 2019 at 6:31 am #1202743671
-Should’ve stuck with my gut and predicted the Timothee snub. Only reason I didn’t was I didn’t think Vice would do as well as it did and I thought Sam would be an easy miss.
-Went 5/5 in Actress/Original Screenplay/Animated. The 8 BP noms were the first 8 in my lineup, so I’ll include that as a perfect too.
-Went 4/5 in Editing! I predicted the misses for Roma and A Star is Born. I knew Bohemian was going to make it, but didn’t know what else would miss. Apparently First Man, the only one I thought would be a sure thing.
-Speaking of First Man, the fact it missed Best Score is actually disgusting.
-Roma, Green Book, The Favourite, and Blackkklansman are the only ones I can see winning at this point. The only one with a SAG ensemble is Blackkklansman, so I feel like that stat is going to be broken again this year.
-I feel comfortable saying that this is the most foreign language nominations ever at the Oscars, and probably by a long shot. Between the 10 from Roma, the 2 for Cold War, and the ones for Never Look Away and Border. If Roma does win, it would be fitting as this is clearly the year of the foreign film.
-The Big Hits nominated for Best Picture all missed out on directing nominations.
-RBG is a mediocre movie and has no place making it instead of Won’t You Be My Neighbor.
-I’m glad BP made picture, it did make a huge cultural impact this year and was critically acclaimed, but I’m even more glad that it didn’t overtake The Dark Knight’s record for most nominations by a comic book movie.
-Worst category by far was Short Documentary. Went 1/5 only getting Period. End of Sentence, but semi-made up for it in Live Action Short, where I went 4/5.
-Films that got acting, editing, screenplay, and directing (what used to be the recipe for a BP winner): The Favourite, Blackkklansman, ViceJanuary 21, 2019 at 9:07 pm #1202742735
Best Film Editing.
That category is going to be a clusterfuck tomorrow.
So many possibe snubs that could happen. A Star is Born, which was already snubbed at BAFTA. And ROMA, the film with the least editing of the bunch.
Bohemian Rhapsody has so much editing, and coupled with that BAFTA nomination, it is probably in.
And then you have notorious GREEN BOOK. After the PGA win, it’s probably getting in here as well, since all PGA winners show up here (for the past 15 years at least?). Unless you are Birdman. Which brings me back to ROMA.
I’m having the same difficulty and thoughts. I can see 10 different films winding up here. Currently have Green Book making it and Roma missing.
I would not be surprised if I went 1/5 in the category. Ironically, the only film I’m sure of is also the least likely to show up in Best Picture: First Man.January 17, 2019 at 9:47 pm #1202738211
Bohemian Rhapsody is one of the films that will not break the threshold of needing 6 nominations to be a contender for Best Picture. The Departed is the only movie to win BP without 6, having received 5 nominations in decades. This is why I don’t think BlacKkKlansman or Green Book will win this year, as they are both poised to get 5 each.
Roma, A Star is Born, Black Panther (but that one won’t get a Best Director nomination), First Man (if it gets a BP nomination, but again it’s unlikely to get a Director nomination), The Favourite (esp. if it gets a Director nomination) maybe Vice (hope not) will be the films to get more than 6 nominations this year in the BP race.
Blackkklansman has a solid chance of 6 noms. Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Screenplay are all strong possibilities (if it missed any of these, it wouldn’t have a shot of winning anyway). Then it only needs one of either Editing, Score, or Costumes. I’m betting on editing.
I agree that Green Book is unlikely to reach 6, particularly after the recent controversies.January 16, 2019 at 10:53 am #1202736480
The Death of Stalin and First Reformed are the two that I keep on thinking about putting into my predictions but not certain about them at all. I haven’t seen the former and I have seen the latter. (Also Cold War, which I will be seeing this weekend). is anybody predicting The Death of Stalin?
I keep switching Death of Stalin in and out with Leave No Trace. I’m leaning towards Stalin because it’s more of a writing movie (with its witty banter and all) than Leave No Trace, which I view more as an acting showcase. Also, the writer has been nominated before and he created the beloved show Veep, so he has some clout in the industry.
First Reformed is more firmly in my predictions as there will be motivation to finally nominate Paul Schrader. Plus the competition for the fifth original screenplay spot is weaker than adapted. Having finally seen Eighth Grade, I just don’t see the screenplay making it. The film was difficult to sit through as it is one of the cringiest films ever made. Which leaves A Quiet Place as the main competition in my eyes. Genre doesn’t hurt a film as much in screenplay, but still, when they nominate horror its usually for undeniable films. In the last 20 years, they’ve nominated Get Out, Pans Labyrinth, The Sixth Sense, and The Silence of the Lambs. A Quiet Place just does not seem to fit into this group in my eyes, but maybe the changing academy could help it out.January 12, 2019 at 2:05 am #1202730587
Only way I see Cooper entering back into the Best Actor conversation is if he is snubbed for Best Director. In that case, I can see an Argo scenario occurring, except with driving a Best Actor win instead of a Best Picture win.