[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203287338

SAG used to love Renee, but her Globe speech was so weirdly arrogant (pretty much like her self-congratulatory SAG speech for Chicago) that she might be losing plenty of votes. BUT (and it’s a huge one) there is no clear alternative. Unfortunately, there isn’t. Charlize might be in second place due to her film’s ensemble nod, but her performance is so mediocre, I prefer Renee. Scarlett is wonderful and is having such a year, but would she be the go-to nominee in case somebody is voting against Renee? Erivo is in that awful film, and to be honest, she is okay in the film, but I can’t think of a single aspect of her performance that I love, like or even respect. And then there is Lupita. She’s not winning but even she were an Emily Blunt kind of winner, this would only help Renee for the Oscars. In the end, it will be close but Renee will prevail.

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[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203280289

sofan wrote:

There wasn’t one inspiring nomination to make-up for all the dull choices the Academy made.

And with all those horrible song nominations, I’m with the “cut the song performances” people this year.

These are the most uninspired nods this century. The Academy is trying to make the season shorter, which causes a lot of dull choices. I bet 95% of voters have not even watched the films that got their votes… But well, the management at the Academy is really doing everything in its power to make the Oscars irrelevant.

[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203280041

1. Actors, c’mon, watch movies. Stop copy-pasting the Globe nods, alright?
2. Academy, to you, people of color means black people, right? Educate yourselves. Watch some Asian movies. They’re much better than 99% of anything Americans are doing.
3. Best Picture nominees are so predictable.
4. And finally, Leo DiCaprio is a mediocre actor. End of rant.

5. I love it how the documentary filmmakers approach contenders: Oh, you’re the front-runer, yeah… Feeling smug? Bye bye, mein Herr.

6. Have the Globes ever gone 5/5 in directing before? I doubt it. Well, I know the deadlines were tight but you could have done some thinking, Academy.

7. Is Honeyland the very first double nominee – international and documentary? If so, yay!

8. Saoirse Ronan was outacted by nearly everybody on screen in Little Women. Her Jo was not only the least interesting character on screen. It was also the most annoying one. But hey, voters don’t care. The Globes told the Academy she was worth it and they followed…

9. Of course, Lupita might sweep critics and get into SAG, and she still would not be nominated because Erivo was in a Lifetime movie about an important figure. I deserve an Oscar for sitting through that film.

10. Have I praised the editors enough? They deserve repeat.

11. So, THE IRISHMAN, JOKER, PARASITE have directing, writing, editing.

12. Let’s hope winners will be more imaginative.

• This reply was modified 4 days, 6 hours ago by  Zooey the Dreamer.
• This reply was modified 4 days, 6 hours ago by  Zooey the Dreamer.

[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203279753

1. Thank you, editors, for acknowledging the naked emperor, creepy Quentin.
2. Thank you, editors and production designers, for honoring Parasite.
3. Thank you, Academy, for giving everybody the middle finger, including myself, and saying: We don’t care, we love Joker.
4. Thank you, Academy, for denying Beyonce an Oscar nomination.
5. Thank you, Academy, for laughing at the Irishman backlash rumors.

6. Actors, c’mon, watch movies. Stop copy-pasting the Globe nods, alright?
7. Academy, to you, people of color means black people, right? Educate yourselves. Watch some Asian movies. They’re much better than 99% of anything Americans are doing.
8. Best Picture nominees are so predictable.
9. And finally, Leo DiCaprio is a mediocre actor. End of rant.

[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203279288

These feel like the Critics’ Choice nods. Okay, Oscar voters, I realize you need the HFPA to tell you what to do, but actors, are you that clueless?!

[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203279133

I already feel the disappointment of these nominations. But whatever…

methaddiction wrote:

She already has 3 Emmys for the role winning an Oscar too would be ridiculous.

Theron does absolutely nothing in Bombshell. Except for looking like a character in The Skin I Live In.

[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203271622

Atypical wrote:

Yeo-jeong Jo, “Parasite” in supporting actress

This is my huge dream for Oscar nominations morning, and I am predicting her to make it. I can’t imagine a voter watching the film and not being impressed with her.

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[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203268551

It’s not surprising that the industry is ignoring Uncut Gems but it’s a surprise that it doesn’t have traction in any category. So far in the 84 years of the NYFCC, only four best director winners failed to get any Oscar nominations.

The Gay Desperado (1936)
The Lady Vanishes (1938)
Moby Dick (1956)
A World Apart (1988)

Is Uncut Gems the fifth?

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[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203266524

mariogomez wrote:

Yes, of course. A foreign language film is very unlikely to win Best Picture , so at this point it seems 1917 will win PGA (I don’t discount a Joker victory), and under preferential system technical branches will vote por 1917 in first.

Yes, the exact same thing happened with Avatar!

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[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203265982

Nearly every year (except for 2009, 2010 and 2017 – the years of The Hurt Locker, The King’s Speech, and The Shape of Water), there are three locks and one iffier contender. I think Zellweger might be the iffy one. She already has an Oscar (for a truly mediocre performance) and her film is not a contender in any other category (except for make-up & hairstyling, and that’s a maybe). Her speeches are somehow both a snoozefest and a truly weird/entitled experience. But if not her, who will win? There are no alternatives. I doubt Scarlett can muster enough goodwill to win SAG in the end.

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[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203265520

TVFan365 wrote:

Does anyone know if Parasite is eligible for WGA?

It is eligible.

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[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203265514

OMG, I’m second!!! This has never happened to me. First, I was a bit furious I gave up on my Missing Link prediction, but whatever…

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[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203253129

Charlize Theron isn’t getting snubbed, not this time. She arrived way too far at this point to get snubbed.
Nyong’o, Ronan and Erivo are the ones on a shaky ground as 1 of them will miss. I would even take Ronan off because if voters watch her film, she’s in.

Way too far? As far as Jake Gyllenhaal in Nightcrawler, Tilda Swinton in We Need to Talk About Kevin? What really hurts Theron (or this might have been my experience of her performance alone) is that both the performance and the film are strangely weak. I expected a lot more from everybody in the cast (with the exception of Kidman, who delivered). I wasn’t underwhelmed, I was kind of appalled by what a mess of a film (what a regular performance) we’re talking about as a major threat to win an Oscar.

[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203250656

Since BAFTA’s move to a pre-Oscars date, the combo of Golden Globe and BAFTA has been unbeatable, but only in Best Actress.

2002 Kidman (GG+BAFTA) defeats Zellweger (GG+SAG)
2007 Cotillard (GG+BAFTA+LAFCA) defeats Christie (GG+SAG+CC+NYFCC+NSFC+NBR)
2011 Streep (GG+BAFTA+NYFCC) defeats Viola Davis (SAG+CC)
2017 Colman (GG+BAFTA+LAFCA+NSFC) defeats Close (GG+SAG+CC)

Two of the four losers had the really strong combo of GG+SAG+CC. Of the four, only Davis had failed to win a Globe in addition to her SAG victory.

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[Zooey the DreamerParticipant Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 8 Posts: 1234 View Predictions]

#1203245037

Lil Tony wrote:

you meant just “named”????

Anyway, I agree. In a few years to come, Octavia will likely become a two time winner.

Nyong’o will need to be in a big critical and box office hit with herself being a critical darling before she can get in (case with Us). It’s a lot easier for Octavia and Viola. Octavia only needs a best picture contender

Every time I think of Spencer and her Oscar nods, I’m a bit appalled by her success. I like her, she appears to be a lovely person, she’s a capable actress, but she doesn’t deserve her win (both Chastain, an actress I dislike, and McTeer outacted her by far) and she certainly wasn’t even close to deserving her subsequent two nods.

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