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Oscars 2021

Predictions

Best Picture

  • Nomadland 4/1
  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 6/1
  • Minari 6/1

Best International Film

  • Another Round 31/10
  • Quo Vadis, Aida? 4/1 -
  • Collective 4/1

Oscars Nominations 2021

Predictions

Best Director

  • Chloe Zhao 16/5
  • David Fincher 9/2
  • Lee Isaac Chung 5/1

Best Actress

  • Carey Mulligan 69/20
  • Viola Davis 4/1
  • Frances McDormand 4/1

Best Actor

  • Chadwick Boseman 16/5
  • Anthony Hopkins 4/1
  • Riz Ahmed 9/2

Best Supporting Actress

  • Yuh-Jung Youn 19/5
  • Olivia Colman 39/10
  • Maria Bakalova 5/1

Best Supporting Actor

  • Daniel Kaluuya 10/3
  • Sacha Baron Cohen 4/1
  • Leslie Odom, Jr. 4/1

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Nomadland 10/3
  • One Night in Miami 4/1
  • The Father 9/2

Best Original Screenplay

  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 69/20
  • Promising Young Woman 39/10
  • Minari 9/2
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Zooey the Dreamer

studying theatre directing and obsessed with creative writing, theatre and performance, moviemaking, Fellini, Truffaut, photography, Jung, traveling, Meryl Streep, philosophy, art history and New York.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    April 4, 2021 at 9:52 am #1204175043
    Oscirus_Jones wrote:

    Mulligan would have to win the oscars with just a critics choice awards if she lost the sags. Is there even a precedent for such a thing happening?

    Mulligan also has LAFCA and the NBR.

    Denzel Washington and Adrien Brody won with LAFCA (Denzel) and NSFC (Brody) only.

    Crowe won for Gladiator with Critics’ Choice only.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    April 4, 2021 at 8:48 am #1204174849

    Davis simply does not deserve this win. She was overshadowed by her co-stars. Mulligan delivered a knockout performance. This will be so unfair.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    April 3, 2021 at 2:35 pm #1204173917
    gabspss wrote:

    I don’t understand the hate for the juries, even tho they snubbed some people, they redeemed themselves by nominating a bunch of underdogs.

    It’s great that BAFTA is returning to its roots and going in a different direction than the Oscars. Why want all awards to be the same? I think that’s pretty boring.

    The hate for the juries is mostly because the juries were obviously preoccupied with one thing — not to choose the worthiest nominees but to choose the most PC nominees.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    April 3, 2021 at 4:03 am #1204173190
    Rachel615 wrote:

    WTF. On April 1st, Variety’s Clayton Davis published his final SAG Best Actress predictions and had (1) Mulligan, (2) McDormand (3) Kirby and (4) Davis. See https://variety.com/feature/2021-sag-awards-best-actress-predictions-1234884940/. On April 3rd at 3:28 a.m., after having Mulligan as (1) in his Oscar BA predictions for literally months, he updated his Gold Derby Oscar Best Actress predictions and now has (1) Day, (2) Mulligan, (3) Davis, and (4) McDormand.

    Even though I can’t be certain, that’s why I believe the leak is probably real.

    Variety’s Clayton Davis is the last person I would trust. He usually gets things very very wrong and has the tendency to move things around in unexpected ways. By the way, in 2012, my first year of following seriously, he had Meryl Streep fourth after BAFTA. Fourth! He thought Glenn Close had a better shot at the Oscar.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    April 3, 2021 at 1:14 am #1204173093

    Okay, why does everybody pretend that the winners were leaked? Only somebody associated with the SAG-AFTRA leadership or the broadcast knows all the winners by now. Not just anybody. And the person certainly signed an NDA. Why would this person risk legal actions and the end of his/her career in showbiz just to leak four names?! Do you really believe this is real?!

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    February 28, 2021 at 6:21 pm #1204068927

    Please use social media to ask the HFPA why it spends so much time on actors and their speeches and uses prerecorded speeches for categories they obviously consider less important. This is so hypocritical and disrespectful.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    December 18, 2020 at 11:04 pm #1203931823
    Hayden wrote:

    Gave it a watch. Liked it enough, it’s a decent stage-to-screen version of the play. Boseman and Davis were solid (may have even liked Boseman more than Davis here). Appreciated how they beefed up his role a little. Surprised they kept Ma Rainey in more of a supporting role like she is in the play… figured she’d have a slightly bigger presence (fine that she didn’t though).

    The thing getting me is the budget. I have no idea where at least half of that $20-30M budget went. Production design’s decent and the costumes are great, but… I guess it went into actor salaries? Feels like a film made for a fifth that. Odd technical errors here and there too. Sound’s a little weird, sometimes effects are cheap/off (that punch… jeez), and the lipsync is silly. Also about the 4th or 5th major film this year that looks like it was made for TV (possibly because it doesn’t even feel like it’s meant to be a movie… it’s pretty much directed like a play). Score’s okay. Direction’s… well, yeah. Pacing is… well, as good as the direction. There’s also a bizarre zoom-in on the trumpet bell at the beginning…?

    I’d say the film’s leaning towards the good side of okay. It’s a decent watch. Can’t say it’s a favourite though. I think it just should’ve been a little better. Even with the same cast, there’s crazy potential here.

    Honestly, if Viola campaigned supporting, she’d win. I don’t particularly think it would be fraud either. But after an initial viewing, I think McDormand could still pull this off. It would have been so much better without the lipsyncing…

    I don’t think McDormand will pull it off. Even the critics, who adore her film and will give it plenty of awards, are avoiding her. She’s won twice and she’s an actor who works in a niche. I mean, she’s superb but she does variations of the same character time and again. Maybe if some time had passed since her last win, she could muster enough support, but I think it’s too soon and she doesn’t have the clout to win a third. Day-Lewis won soon after his second win but he portrayed Lincoln, which made it a different story. Whoever did that role, had the Oscar locked if the film didn’t bomb. With McDormand, it’s a different story. I think the Oscar will most likely go to Mulligan, with Kirby a fresh alternative that I prefer.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    December 18, 2020 at 3:49 pm #1203931050

    I loved that shadow element in the film, the comparison between Ma and Leeve that Wolfe tried to emphasize. Both are dominated by their hunger – for beauty, for flesh, for respect, for having it their way, but also by their humanity, by their sense of loss, by their rage.

    I saw this in Boseman’s performance. It was a beautiful, painful performance. I think it needed a little bit of (cinematic) exposition to be even more powerful, but it’s honest and raw and poetic as it is. I’m conflicted about Viola’s performance. She nailed the character’s sensuality, I loved that. I loved her quieter moments, her vulnerability behind the loud, crass facade, and her humanity, I loved her aggressiveness, but to me, and I think this is a major weakness in the performance, Viola couldn’t get the rage. I don’t know, but it felt forced, it felt minor, I didn’t see it the way I wanted to see it. The way I felt it would have been truthful and would have made sense.

    In terms of the film’s cinematic qualities, the script didn’t really do the play justice, and much could have been done to make it work as a film. Wolfe’s direction was unremarkable. Nothing personal, nothing truly fascinating. To me, he doesn’t understand the camera and most of his scenes are a bit all over the place. I liked the costumes, though.

    I can see wins for Boseman and the costumes. Viola might emerge the winner, but I don’t think she deserves it, not with Mulligan and Kirby in the category.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    October 16, 2020 at 3:18 pm #1203783224

    Redmayne was the weak link for me. He just felt off.

    In my view, Sacha Baron Cohen is the standout. I can’t see a Langella nod at this point. The character is so vile that I can’t bring myself to vote for him.

    Rylance is fine but feels too shallow as a character and there’s nothing personal there. Strong is fun. Yahya is terrific in his brief monologue but he’s a little bit more than a cameo.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    October 16, 2020 at 11:18 am #1203782603

    I don’t think Langella has a shot. The character is so vile. I love Langella, yet I would not vote for him. I just don’t like the thought of voting for that character.

    Actually, I think Sasha Baron Cohen is the MVP. I loved that performance. He truly surprised me. Yahya has so little screen time and even his monologue is very brief.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    October 15, 2020 at 10:04 am #1203780628

    I guess this will be the first in Tony history that a play wins score. Cool.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    October 15, 2020 at 10:03 am #1203780624

    Actually in order of likelihood:
    1. Streep
    2. DiCaprio
    3. Lawrence

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    September 26, 2020 at 12:17 am #1203735930
    wolfali wrote:

    Yeah but The Good Place got dropped at WGA in a competitive year where incumbent WGA champions Veep and Maisel , the acclaimed second season of Barry, two time Writing nominee in one year Russian Doll and breakout Spring writing hit Pen15 were all eligible.

    Yes The Good Place got dropped at WGA last year but it’s very clear that it has an easier path to a nomination now Veep, Maisel, Barry and Russian Doll will be ineligible next year and that Schitt’s Creek is ineligible anyway because it’s Canadian. No one said it was above Pen15 (which at the moment I think is the frontrunner at WGA) and I think three time nominee this year What We Do in the Shadows is ahead of it and so is The Great but I highly doubt it’s behind Curb Your Enthusiasm (which despite being on HBO in a weaker field got dropped from the actors branch and failed to get into writing or directing) or Dead to Me (which despite high viewership and airing at the perfect time with a well received season failed to follow up its New Series WGA nom with an Emmy nom for Writing).

    I mean saying The Good Place can’t get in at WGA or SAG this year because it got snubbed previously or dropped is like saying despite it getting its Emmy winning supporting player shut out from SAG in a weak field in favour of Sandra Oh that Westworld is ahead of Killing Eve in ensemble or that there is no way This is Us can get into ensemble again this year over Lovecraft Country, Perry Mason, Ratched, Utopia or We Are Who We Are because it missed last year in an ultra-competitive field.

    If The Favourite was not eligible for WGA, why would The Great be?

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    September 24, 2020 at 4:06 am #1203731437

    Here they are. I’ve actually seen three of these, with Delhi Crime the one I haven’t seen.

    Drama Series
    Charité 2- Season 2
    UFA FICTION GmbH
    Germany

    Criminal UK
    Idiotlamp Productions / Netflix
    United Kingdom

    Delhi Crime
    Ivanhoe Pictures / Golden Karavan / Poor Man’s Productions / Netflix
    India

    El Jardín de Bronce (The Bronze Garden) – Season 2
    HBO Latin America Originals / Pol-ka
    Argentina

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    September 21, 2020 at 12:04 pm #1203725927

    I’m still mad because of that Olivia de Havilland snub. This was ugly. The woman was one of Hollywood’s biggest stars ever. And it isn’t as if she wasn’t somebody who had done plenty of TV. According to IMDB, she was in three big miniseries (one of which brought her an Emmy nomination), she was in five TV movies, and she had guest appearances on several TV shows. Add to that her stature in the film community and the snub is really ridiculous. The Academy really disappointed with this one. This is a huge injustice.

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