GoldDerby

Predicted Winners

Oscars Nominations 2023

HUB

Best Picture

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

The Fabelmans

2366

1001

15/2
2

Babylon

2396

574

17/2
3

Everything Everywhere All at Once

2304

608

9/1
4

The Son

2159

17

21/2
5

Bardo

1996

31

23/2
6

Women Talking

1999

38

13/1
7

Top Gun: Maverick

1632

33

18/1
8

Empire of Light

1410

20

18/1
9

She Said

1405

22

25/1
10

Triangle of Sadness

721

9

30/1
11

The Whale

771

9

33/1
12

White Noise

638

4

33/1
13

Avatar: The Way of Water

915

14

42/1
14

Elvis

447

30

44/1
15

TAR

308

2

46/1
16

The Woman King

184

3

72/1
17

The Banshees of Inisherin

241

2

72/1
18

Amsterdam

308

13

75/1
19

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

245

11

87/1
20

Nope

141

2

100/1
21

Living

15

2

100/1
22

Decision to Leave

164

2

100/1
23

Armageddon Time

62

3

100/1
24

Till

216

2

100/1
25

Cha Cha Real Smooth

67

1

100/1
26

The Batman

67

5

100/1
27

Don't Worry Darling

88

1

100/1
28

Poor Things

163

0

100/1
29

Three Thousand Years of Longing

15

0

100/1
30

The Greatest Beer Run Ever

73

2

100/1
31

Shirley

12

0

100/1
32

Glass Onion

41

0

100/1
33

Thirteen Lives

89

4

100/1
34

All Quiet on the Western Front

20

1

100/1
35

Bones and All

22

3

100/1
36

The Menu

5

0

100/1
37

Blonde

88

3

100/1
38

Broker

27

2

100/1
39

The Wonder

9

0

100/1
40

Disappointment Blvd.

18

1

100/1
41

The Good Nurse

11

2

100/1
42

Crimes of the Future

14

0

100/1
43

Close

12

0

100/1
44

Pinocchio

16

2

100/1
45

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

14

0

100/1
46

My Policeman

12

0

100/1
47

Happening

10

0

100/1
48

The Lost King

9

0

100/1
49

Showing Up

5

2

100/1
50

Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies

4

0

100/1
51

Chevalier

1

0

100/1
52

The Burial

3

0

100/1
53

The Swimmers

1

0

100/1
54

Raymond and Ray

0

0

100/1
55

Golda

3

1

100/1
56

Hustle

5

0

100/1
57

Causeway

1

0

100/1
58

Good Luck to You, Leo Grande

3

0

100/1
59

Carmen

0

0

100/1
60

Ticket to Paradise

5

2

100/1
61

The Pale Blue Eye

5

0

100/1
62

Foe

1

0

100/1
63

Lady Chatterley's Lover

5

0

100/1

Best Director

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Steven Spielberg

The Fabelmans

2162

981

9/2
2

Damien Chazelle

Babylon

2155

556

5/1
3

Alejandro G. Inarritu

Bardo

1528

100

7/1
4

Sarah Polley

Women Talking

1723

75

7/1
5

Daniels

Everything Everywhere All at Once

1553

256

19/2
6

Ruben Ostlund

Triangle of Sadness

340

12

18/1
7

Park Chan-wook

Decision to Leave

315

12

30/1
8

Sam Mendes

Empire of Light

280

15

33/1
9

Florian Zeller

The Son

464

17

37/1
10

Todd Field

TAR

74

2

52/1
11

James Cameron

Avatar: The Way of Water

280

21

54/1
12

Maria Schrader

She Said

122

8

62/1
13

Gina Prince-Bythewood

The Woman King

21

0

78/1
14

Oliver Hermanus

Living

3

2

85/1
15

Baz Luhrmann

Elvis

78

13

97/1
16

Olivia Wilde

Don't Worry Darling

46

2

100/1
17

Jordan Peele

Nope

45

3

100/1
18

David O. Russell

Amsterdam

46

5

100/1
19

Chinonye Chukwu

Till

45

5

100/1
20

Darren Aronofsky

The Whale

68

4

100/1
21

Luca Guadagnino

Bones and All

10

1

100/1
22

Lila Neugebauer

Causeway

1

0

100/1
23

Noah Baumbach

White Noise

42

2

100/1
24

Joseph Kosinski

Top Gun: Maverick

42

7

100/1
25

Matt Reeves

The Batman

19

3

100/1
26

Andrew Dominik

Blonde

15

1

100/1
27

Hirozaku Kore-eda

Broker

11

1

100/1
28

Ryan Coogler

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

15

5

100/1
29

Yorgos Lanthimos

Poor Things

9

1

100/1
30

Kelly Reichardt

Showing Up

4

1

100/1
31

Audrey Diwan

Happening

4

0

100/1
32

James Gray

Armageddon Time

6

1

100/1
33

Martin McDonagh

The Banshees of Inisherin

8

1

100/1
34

Ari Aster

Disappointment Blvd.

4

0

100/1
35

Cooper Raiff

Cha Cha Real Smooth

5

0

100/1
36

David Cronenberg

Crimes of the Future

6

2

100/1
37

George Miller

Three Thousand Years of Longing

6

1

100/1
38

Ron Howard

Thirteen Lives

7

1

100/1
39

Guillermo Del Toro

Pinocchio

4

2

100/1
40

Edward Berger

All Quiet on the Western Front

1

0

100/1
41

Benjamin Millepied

Carmen

0

0

100/1
42

Rian Johnson

Glass Onion

3

1

100/1
43

Sebastian Lelio

The Wonder

1

0

100/1
44

Ol Parker

Ticket to Paradise

2

0

100/1
45

Sally El Hosaini

The Swimmers

1

1

100/1
46

Tobias Lindholm

The Good Nurse

1

1

100/1
47

Guy Nattiv

Golda

0

0

100/1
48

Garth Davis

Foe

0

0

100/1
49

Lukas Dhont

Close

2

0

100/1
50

Stephen Williams

Chevalier

0

0

100/1
51

Peter Farrelly

The Greatest Beer Run Ever

0

0

100/1
52

Michael Showalter

Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies

1

0

100/1
53

John Ridley

Shirley

3

0

100/1
54

Rodrigo Garcia

Raymond and Ray

0

0

100/1
55

Scott Cooper

The Pale Blue Eye

1

0

100/1
56

Michael Grandage

My Policeman

0

0

100/1
57

Mark Mylod

The Menu

0

0

100/1
58

Stephen Frears

The Lost King

2

0

100/1
59

Laure de Clermont-Tonnerre

Lady Chatterley's Lover

0

0

100/1
60

Kasi Lemmons

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

2

1

100/1
61

Maggie Betts

The Burial

0

0

100/1

Best Actress

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Michelle Yeoh

Everything Everywhere All at Once

2284

1016

9/2
2

Margot Robbie

Babylon

2235

1066

9/2
3

Cate Blanchett

TAR

1833

139

11/2
4

Olivia Colman

Empire of Light

1484

72

15/2
5

Danielle Deadwyler

Till

962

54

21/2
6

Naomi Ackie

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

646

34

16/1
7

Viola Davis

The Woman King

603

25

22/1
8

Regina King

Shirley

627

18

22/1
9

Ana de Armas

Blonde

681

64

40/1
10

Carey Mulligan

She Said

418

16

42/1
11

Frances McDormand

Women Talking

155

9

66/1
12

Florence Pugh

Don't Worry Darling

142

12

80/1
13

Tang Wei

Decision to Leave

32

3

92/1
14

Keke Palmer

Nope

57

7

95/1
15

Tilda Swinton

Three Thousand Years of Longing

12

2

100/1
16

Dakota Johnson

Cha Cha Real Smooth

23

1

100/1
17

Helen Mirren

Golda

51

5

100/1
18

Jennifer Lawrence

Causeway

69

1

100/1
19

Emma Stone

Poor Things

35

2

100/1
20

Zoe Kazan

She Said

33

0

100/1
21

Emma Thompson

Good Luck to You, Leo Grande

35

1

100/1
22

Greta Gerwig

White Noise

24

1

100/1
23

Margot Robbie

Amsterdam

13

1

100/1
24

Taylor Russell

Bones and All

11

2

100/1
25

Jessica Chastain

The Good Nurse

14

2

100/1
26

Florence Pugh

The Wonder

12

3

100/1
27

Saoirse Ronan

Foe

11

0

100/1
28

Lea Seydoux

Crimes of the Future

8

1

100/1
29

Zoe Saldana

Avatar: The Way of Water

9

3

100/1
30

Anamaria Vartolomei

Happening

8

0

100/1
31

Julia Roberts

Ticket to Paradise

9

3

100/1
32

Anya Taylor-Joy

The Menu

7

1

100/1
33

Sally Hawkins

The Lost King

11

0

100/1
34

Michelle Williams

Showing Up

6

0

100/1
35

Emma Corrin

Lady Chatterley's Lover

2

0

100/1
36

Melissa Barrera

Carmen

0

0

100/1
37

Charlbi Dean

Triangle of Sadness

0

0

100/1
38

Aimee Lou Wood

Living

1

0

100/1
39

Emma Corrin

My Policeman

3

0

100/1

Best Actor

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Hugh Jackman

The Son

2291

1316

4/1
2

Brendan Fraser

The Whale

2135

464

9/2
3

Austin Butler

Elvis

2128

444

5/1
4

Daniel Gimenez Cacho

Bardo

1212

26

9/1
5

Bill Nighy

Living

372

10

16/1
6

Adam Driver

White Noise

744

25

18/1
7

Song Kang-ho

Broker

299

8

25/1
8

Colin Farrell

The Banshees of Inisherin

464

4

28/1
9

Brad Pitt

Babylon

367

7

40/1
10

Christian Bale

The Pale Blue Eye

92

3

66/1
11

Daniel Kaluuya

Nope

71

4

78/1
12

Harry Styles

My Policeman

34

0

100/1
13

Park Hae-il

Decision to Leave

18

1

100/1
14

Adam Sandler

Hustle

15

1

100/1
15

Christian Bale

Amsterdam

193

11

100/1
16

Kelvin Harrison, Jr.

Chevalier

47

2

100/1
17

Eddie Redmayne

The Good Nurse

29

3

100/1
18

Harris Dickinson

Triangle of Sadness

9

1

100/1
19

Brendan Gleeson

The Banshees of Inisherin

22

0

100/1
20

Tom Cruise

Top Gun: Maverick

103

12

100/1
21

Colin Firth

Empire of Light

70

3

100/1
22

Timothee Chalamet

Bones and All

43

4

100/1
23

Joaquin Phoenix

Disappointment Blvd.

37

2

100/1
24

Gabriel LaBelle

The Fabelmans

21

2

100/1
25

Cooper Raiff

Cha Cha Real Smooth

21

1

100/1
26

Robert Pattinson

The Batman

18

6

100/1
27

Zac Efron

The Greatest Beer Run Ever

14

0

100/1
28

Viggo Mortensen

Crimes of the Future

11

4

100/1
29

Jalil Hall

Till

13

2

100/1
30

Ethan Hawke

Raymond and Ray

6

1

100/1
31

Jim Parsons

Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies

8

0

100/1
32

Idris Elba

Three Thousand Years of Longing

10

0

100/1
33

Daniel Craig

Glass Onion

4

0

100/1
34

Sam Worthington

Avatar: The Way of Water

3

1

100/1
35

Jamie Foxx

The Burial

2

0

100/1
36

Paul Mescal

Foe

2

0

100/1
37

Banks Repeta

Armageddon Time

1

0

100/1
38

Jack O'Connell

Lady Chatterley's Lover

2

0

100/1
39

Nicholas Hoult

The Menu

1

0

100/1
40

Ewan McGregor

Raymond and Ray

0

0

100/1
41

George Clooney

Ticket to Paradise

2

0

100/1
42

Paul Mescal

Carmen

1

0

100/1

Best Supporting Actress

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Michelle Williams

The Fabelmans

2294

1928

71/20
2

Vanessa Kirby

The Son

1872

103

11/2
3

Jessie Buckley

Women Talking

1716

74

6/1
4

Stephanie Hsu

Everything Everywhere All at Once

1369

130

15/2
5

Sadie Sink

The Whale

1095

46

13/1
6

Samantha Morton

She Said

219

4

25/1
7

Laura Dern

The Son

748

21

30/1
8

Jamie Lee Curtis

Everything Everywhere All at Once

199

14

33/1
9

Jean Smart

Babylon

579

24

33/1
10

Thuso Mbedu

The Woman King

31

1

52/1
11

Griselda Sicillani

Bardo

140

1

52/1
12

Dolly De Leon

Triangle of Sadness

15

2

75/1
13

Anne Hathaway

Armageddon Time

53

2

97/1
14

Kristen Stewart

Crimes of the Future

15

2

100/1
15

Zoe Kravitz

The Batman

19

4

100/1
16

Janelle Monae

Glass Onion

106

0

100/1
17

Whoopi Goldberg

Till

200

15

100/1
18

Claire Foy

Women Talking

105

6

100/1
19

Hong Chau

The Whale

118

7

100/1
20

Nina Hoss

TAR

48

1

100/1
21

Rooney Mara

Women Talking

104

6

100/1
22

Anya Taylor-Joy

Amsterdam

39

2

100/1
23

Kerry Condon

The Banshees of Inisherin

15

1

100/1
24

Sally Field

Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies

9

0

100/1
25

Patricia Clarkson

She Said

45

1

100/1
26

Julianne Nicholson

Blonde

19

1

100/1
27

Judith Ivey

Women Talking

12

1

100/1
28

Sigourney Weaver

Avatar: The Way of Water

10

1

100/1
29

Kate Winslet

Avatar: The Way of Water

8

2

100/1
30

Olivia Wilde

Babylon

7

0

100/1
31

Patti LuPone

Disappointment Blvd.

6

0

100/1
32

Jessica Chastain

Armageddon Time

10

0

100/1
33

Olivia DeJonge

Elvis

10

3

100/1
34

Margaret Qualley

Poor Things

5

0

100/1
35

Gillian Anderson

The Pale Blue Eye

3

2

100/1
36

Kaitlyn Dever

Ticket to Paradise

3

1

100/1
37

Samantha Morton

The Whale

5

1

100/1
38

Lashana Lynch

The Woman King

10

3

100/1
39

Samara Weaving

Chevalier

1

1

100/1
40

Parker Posey

Disappointment Blvd.

1

0

100/1
41

Amy Ryan

Disappointment Blvd.

1

0

100/1
42

Gemma Chan

Don't Worry Darling

3

0

100/1
43

Camille Cottin

Golda

0

0

100/1
44

Tamara Tunie

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

0

0

100/1
45

Ella Hunt

Lady Chatterley's Lover

0

0

100/1
46

Joely Richardson

Lady Chatterley's Lover

0

0

100/1
47

Hong Chau

The Menu

0

0

100/1
48

Janet McTeer

The Menu

1

0

100/1
49

Lucy Boynton

The Pale Blue Eye

0

0

100/1
50

Sophie Okonedo

Raymond and Ray

0

0

100/1
51

Hong Chau

Showing Up

3

0

100/1
52

Minnie Driver

Chevalier

1

0

100/1
53

Lucy Boynton

Chevalier

0

0

100/1
54

Jurnee Smollett

The Burial

0

0

100/1
55

Zoe Saldana

Amsterdam

3

0

100/1
56

Michelle Yeoh

Avatar: The Way of Water

2

1

100/1
57

Chloe Sevigny

Bones and All

1

0

100/1
58

Kathryn Hahn

Glass Onion

2

0

100/1
59

Kate Hudson

Glass Onion

2

0

100/1
60

Samira Wiley

Causeway

3

0

100/1

Best Supporting Actor

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Paul Dano

The Fabelmans

2199

1275

4/1
2

Ke Huy Quan

Everything Everywhere All at Once

2028

756

5/1
3

Ben Whishaw

Women Talking

1318

49

7/1
4

Micheal Ward

Empire of Light

857

14

19/2
5

Woody Harrelson

Triangle of Sadness

698

21

12/1
6

Zen McGrath

The Son

195

14

22/1
7

Don Cheadle

White Noise

244

8

25/1
8

Barry Keoghan

The Banshees of Inisherin

155

0

28/1
9

Russell Crowe

The Greatest Beer Run Ever

174

3

52/1
10

Ralph Fiennes

The Menu

266

16

52/1
11

Seth Rogen

The Fabelmans

463

17

54/1
12

Anthony Hopkins

Armageddon Time

185

8

68/1
13

Tom Hanks

Elvis

253

27

78/1
14

Jeremy Strong

Armageddon Time

38

3

100/1
15

Paul Dano

The Batman

21

5

100/1
16

Tobey Maguire

Babylon

201

12

100/1
17

John David Washington

Amsterdam

88

6

100/1
18

Willem Dafoe

Poor Things

178

13

100/1
19

Ashton Sanders

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

46

4

100/1
20

Colin Farrell

Thirteen Lives

64

3

100/1
21

Daniel Bruhl

All Quiet on the Western Front

33

1

100/1
22

Brian Tyree Henry

Causeway

30

0

100/1
23

Frankie Faison

Till

44

2

100/1
24

David Lynch

The Fabelmans

36

5

100/1
25

John Boyega

The Woman King

26

2

100/1
26

Viggo Mortensen

Thirteen Lives

27

2

100/1
27

Colin Farrell

The Batman

19

4

100/1
28

Harry Styles

Don't Worry Darling

21

3

100/1
29

Mark Rylance

Bones and All

11

0

100/1
30

Adrien Brody

Blonde

13

2

100/1
31

Steven Yeun

Nope

18

0

100/1
32

Mark Strong

TAR

15

1

100/1
33

Miles Teller

Top Gun: Maverick

13

2

100/1
34

Andre Braugher

She Said

18

1

100/1
35

Stanley Tucci

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

10

0

100/1
36

Chris Pine

Don't Worry Darling

7

0

100/1
37

Robert De Niro

Amsterdam

10

2

100/1
38

Harry Melling

The Pale Blue Eye

7

0

100/1
39

Mark Ruffalo

Poor Things

6

0

100/1
40

Lucas Hedges

Shirley

5

1

100/1
41

Andre Holland

Shirley

10

1

100/1
42

Michael Stuhlbarg

Bones and All

4

0

100/1
43

Joel Edgerton

Thirteen Lives

8

0

100/1
44

Bobby Cannavale

Blonde

6

0

100/1
45

Bill Murray

The Greatest Beer Run Ever

5

1

100/1
46

John Turturro

The Batman

6

0

100/1
47

Leslie Odom, Jr.

Glass Onion

3

0

100/1
48

Edward Norton

Glass Onion

3

0

100/1
49

Dave Bautista

Glass Onion

0

0

100/1
50

Toby Jones

Empire of Light

1

1

100/1
51

Stephen McKinley Henderson

Causeway

0

0

100/1
52

Ciaran Hinds

The Wonder

1

0

100/1
53

Aaron Pierre

Foe

1

0

100/1
54

Clarke Peters

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

1

0

100/1
55

Steve Coogan

The Lost King

2

0

100/1
56

Harry Lloyd

The Lost King

0

0

100/1
57

John Leguizamo

The Menu

0

0

100/1
58

Robert Duvall

The Pale Blue Eye

2

0

100/1
59

Terrence Howard

Shirley

1

0

100/1
60

Lance Reddick

Shirley

1

0

100/1
61

Ben Aldridge

Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies

2

0

100/1
62

John Glover

TAR

0

0

100/1
63

Nathan Lane

Disappointment Blvd.

1

0

100/1
64

Tommy Lee Jones

The Burial

3

0

100/1
65

Rami Malek

Amsterdam

1

0

100/1
66

Matthias Schoenaerts

Amsterdam

1

0

100/1
67

Bill Camp

The Burial

1

0

100/1

Best Adapted Screenplay

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

The Son

2204

1051

19/5
2

Women Talking

2140

482

9/2
3

She Said

1769

91

13/2
4

The Whale

1482

51

15/2
5

White Noise

1520

43

8/1
6

Glass Onion

540

7

15/1
7

Till

323

10

33/1
8

The Woman King

44

3

42/1
9

Top Gun: Maverick

97

9

62/1
10

Elvis

66

12

80/1
11

Happening

28

2

82/1
12

Living

39

5

89/1
13

The Batman

38

10

92/1
14

The Greatest Beer Run Ever

125

9

100/1
15

Avatar: The Way of Water

34

4

100/1
16

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

31

0

100/1
17

Blonde

66

9

100/1
18

Bones and All

37

1

100/1
19

Close

31

0

100/1
20

The Good Nurse

15

1

100/1
21

The Lost King

16

0

100/1
22

Thirteen Lives

69

11

100/1
23

Poor Things

63

9

100/1
24

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

27

6

100/1
25

My Policeman

12

0

100/1
26

Pinocchio

13

3

100/1
27

All Quiet on the Western Front

10

1

100/1
28

The Wonder

9

1

100/1
29

Lady Chatterley's Lover

3

1

100/1
30

Three Thousand Years of Longing

10

1

100/1
31

Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies

7

1

100/1
32

Carmen

0

0

100/1
33

Golda

2

1

100/1
34

Foe

3

0

100/1
35

The Pale Blue Eye

1

0

100/1
36

The Burial

0

0

100/1

Best Original Screenplay

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Everything Everywhere All at Once

2179

1204

4/1
2

The Fabelmans

2168

862

4/1
3

Babylon

2119

168

5/1
4

Triangle of Sadness

1239

37

8/1
5

Empire of Light

845

14

9/1
6

Bardo

1379

24

9/1
7

TAR

264

6

37/1
8

Nope

395

11

44/1
9

Decision to Leave

168

5

54/1
10

The Banshees of Inisherin

318

13

72/1
11

Armageddon Time

55

3

72/1
12

Cha Cha Real Smooth

163

9

100/1
13

Don't Worry Darling

94

4

100/1
14

Broker

29

3

100/1
15

The Menu

29

1

100/1
16

Amsterdam

103

4

100/1
17

Shirley

18

1

100/1
18

Disappointment Blvd.

22

3

100/1
19

Crimes of the Future

11

2

100/1
20

Showing Up

6

4

100/1
21

Ticket to Paradise

6

1

100/1
22

Hustle

9

2

100/1
23

Causeway

4

1

100/1
24

Good Luck to You, Leo Grande

7

1

100/1
25

Chevalier

4

2

100/1
26

Raymond and Ray

0

0

100/1
27

The Swimmers

2

0

100/1

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