GoldDerby

Predicted Winners

Tony Awards Nominations 2023

HUB

Best Musical

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Kimberly Akimbo

814

637

11/2
2

Some Like it Hot

811

103

13/2
3

& Juliet

789

43

7/1
4

New York, New York

755

27

7/1
5

Shucked

590

20

19/2
6

Bad Cinderella

91

7

58/1
7

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

154

12

75/1
8

Almost Famous

65

6

100/1
9

KPOP

31

3

100/1

Best Play

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Leopoldstadt

771

639

11/2
2

Fat Ham

711

53

13/2
3

Life of Pi

725

69

7/1
4

Between Riverside and Crazy

602

7

17/2
5

Ain't No Mo'

481

7

23/2
6

Cost of Living

177

5

35/1
7

Prima Facie

152

8

52/1
8

The Collaboration

65

2

100/1
9

The Thanksgiving Play

49

2

100/1
10

Good Night, Oscar

35

3

100/1
11

Summer, 1976

21

4

100/1
12

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

17

2

100/1
13

The Kite Runner

44

7

100/1
14

Pictures From Home

15

0

100/1
15

A Christmas Carol

10

2

100/1
16

Walking With Ghosts

6

1

100/1
17

Mike Birbiglia: The Old Man & The Pool

4

1

100/1

Best Musical Revival

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Sweeney Todd

792

549

9/2
2

Into the Woods

783

186

5/1
3

Parade

758

62

11/2
4

Camelot

701

16

13/2
5

1776

92

4

82/1
6

Dancin'

43

3

100/1

Best Play Revival

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

The Piano Lesson

752

564

11/4
2

Death of a Salesman

735

132

4/1
3

A Doll's House

680

83

11/2
4

Topdog/Underdog

137

20

25/1
5

Ohio State Murders

53

11

100/1

Best Actress (Musical)

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Victoria Clark

Kimberly Akimbo

760

550

11/2
2

Annaleigh Ashford

Sweeney Todd

763

164

13/2
3

Micaela Diamond

Parade

640

17

8/1
4

Sara Bareilles

Into the Woods

679

50

9/1
5

Patina Miller

Into the Woods

467

9

13/1
6

Phillipa Soo

Camelot

261

9

28/1
7

Lorna Courtney

& Juliet

87

3

56/1
8

Adrianna Hicks

Some Like it Hot

148

6

62/1
9

Anna Uzele

New York, New York

86

6

89/1
10

Linedy Genao

Bad Cinderella

11

2

100/1
11

Luna

KPOP

10

0

100/1
12

Crystal Lucas-Perry

1776

5

1

100/1

Best Actor (Musical)

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Josh Groban

Sweeney Todd

773

532

6/1
2

J. Harrison Ghee

Some Like it Hot

756

166

6/1
3

Ben Platt

Parade

731

70

7/1
4

Christian Borle

Some Like it Hot

646

12

17/2
5

Brian d'Arcy James

Into the Woods

571

14

11/1
6

Will Swenson

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

212

7

35/1
7

Colton Ryan

New York, New York

102

1

48/1
8

Andrew Burnap

Camelot

98

7

50/1
9

Casey Likes

Almost Famous

15

1

100/1

Best Actress (Play)

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Jodie Comer

Prima Facie

773

503

9/2
2

Jessica Chastain

A Doll's House

787

254

5/1
3

Audra McDonald

Ohio State Murders

756

34

11/2
4

Laura Linney

Summer, 1976

480

19

15/2
5

Jessica Hecht

Summer, 1976

40

2

72/1
6

Zoe Wanamaker

Pictures From Home

34

2

100/1

Best Actor (Play)

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Wendell Pierce

Death of a Salesman

743

615

11/2
2

Marcel Spears

Fat Ham

655

36

15/2
3

John David Washington

The Piano Lesson

650

49

8/1
4

Jefferson Mays

A Christmas Carol

483

6

10/1
5

Sean Hayes

Good Night, Oscar

433

24

13/1
6

Stephen McKinley Henderson

Between Riverside and Crazy

203

14

18/1
7

Yahya Abdul-Mateen II

Topdog/Underdog

258

13

44/1
8

Hiran Abeysekera

Life of Pi

100

19

52/1
9

Jeremy Pope

The Collaboration

131

8

80/1
10

Corey Hawkins

Topdog/Underdog

60

3

100/1
11

Nathan Lane

Pictures From Home

50

3

100/1
12

Paul Bettany

The Collaboration

36

4

100/1
13

Amir Arison

The Kite Runner

13

1

100/1
14

Danny Burstein

Pictures From Home

12

1

100/1
15

Gabriel Byrne

Walking With Ghosts

9

3

100/1
16

Mike Birbiglia

Mike Birbiglia: The Old Man & The Pool

5

1

100/1

Best Featured Actress (Musical)

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Bonnie Milligan

Kimberly Akimbo

729

606

11/2
2

Betsy Wolfe

& Juliet

681

67

13/2
3

NaTasha Yvette Williams

Some Like it Hot

663

34

15/2
4

Alli Mauzey

Kimberly Akimbo

485

4

13/1
5

Phillipa Soo

Into the Woods

385

29

14/1
6

Robyn Hurder

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

314

10

25/1
7

Ruthie Ann Miles

Sweeney Todd

195

5

33/1
8

Carolee Carmello

Bad Cinderella

87

9

44/1
9

Melanie La Barrie

& Juliet

17

5

100/1
10

Eryn Lecroy

1776

5

1

100/1
11

Carolee Carmello

1776

6

0

100/1
12

Julia Lester

Into the Woods

50

4

100/1
13

Emily Skinner

New York, New York

11

0

100/1
14

Ashley D. Kelley

Shucked

15

1

100/1
15

Solea Pfeiffer

Almost Famous

14

0

100/1
16

Anika Larsen

Almost Famous

13

0

100/1
17

Courtnee Carter

Parade

11

2

100/1
18

Janet Dacal

New York, New York

7

3

100/1
19

Caroline Innerbichler

Shucked

6

2

100/1
20

Grace McLean

Bad Cinderella

6

0

100/1
21

Sara Porkalob

1776

6

0

100/1
22

Maria Bilbao

Sweeney Todd

7

0

100/1
23

Elizabeth A. Davis

1776

5

0

100/1
24

Marilee Talkington

Camelot

5

0

100/1

Best Featured Actor (Musical)

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Justin Cooley

Kimberly Akimbo

699

551

6/1
2

Gavin Creel

Into the Woods

673

102

7/1
3

Jordan Donica

Camelot

569

21

8/1
4

Kevin Del Aguila

Some Like it Hot

546

15

10/1
5

Steven Boyer

Kimberly Akimbo

429

5

14/1
6

Alex Newell

Shucked

291

22

20/1
7

Gaten Matarazzo

Sweeney Todd

128

13

52/1
8

Paulo Szot

& Juliet

36

5

54/1
9

Joshua Henry

Into the Woods

82

6

64/1
10

Kevin Cahoon

Shucked

18

3

100/1
11

Jordan Fisher

Sweeney Todd

53

5

100/1
12

Alex Joseph Grayson

Parade

40

8

100/1
13

Taylor Trensch

Camelot

6

1

100/1
14

Stark Sands

& Juliet

17

1

100/1
15

Mark Jacoby

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

39

7

100/1
16

Jamie Jackson

Sweeney Todd

2

0

100/1
17

Clyde Alves

New York, New York

9

3

100/1
18

Kennedy Kanagawa

Into the Woods

10

1

100/1
19

Paul Alexander Nolan

Parade

8

0

100/1
20

John Clay III

New York, New York

7

0

100/1
21

Grey Henson

Shucked

6

0

100/1
22

Andrew Durand

Shucked

4

0

100/1
23

John Behlmann

Shucked

4

1

100/1
24

Dakin Matthews

Camelot

4

0

100/1
25

Drew Gehling

Almost Famous

4

0

100/1
26

Jordan Dobson

Bad Cinderella

4

0

100/1
27

Howard McGillin

Parade

2

1

100/1
28

Sean Allan Krill

Parade

2

0

100/1

Best Featured Actress (Play)

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Sharon D Clarke

Death of a Salesman

709

504

11/2
2

Danielle Brooks

The Piano Lesson

702

190

13/2
3

Crystal Lucas-Perry

Ain't No Mo'

615

15

15/2
4

Katy Sullivan

Cost of Living

492

9

19/2
5

Faye Castelow

Leopoldstadt

558

9

10/1
6

Liza Colon-Zayas

Between Riverside and Crazy

138

5

40/1
7

Katie Finneran

The Thanksgiving Play

37

2

62/1
8

D'Arcy Carden

The Thanksgiving Play

84

7

64/1
9

Nikki Crawford

Fat Ham

28

1

100/1
10

Caissie Levy

Leopoldstadt

40

1

100/1
11

Kara Young

Cost of Living

17

1

100/1
12

Krysta Rodriguez

The Collaboration

12

2

100/1
13

Fedna Jacquet

Ain't No Mo'

12

0

100/1
14

Adrianna Mitchell

Fat Ham

7

2

100/1
15

Elizabeth Canavan

Between Riverside and Crazy

9

1

100/1
16

Emily Bergl

Good Night, Oscar

8

0

100/1
17

Nancy Zamit

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

2

0

100/1
18

Benja Kay Thomas

Fat Ham

2

0

100/1
19

Ellie Morris

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

2

1

100/1
20

Ebony Marshall-Oliver

Ain't No Mo'

2

0

100/1
21

Rosal Colon

Between Riverside and Crazy

2

0

100/1

Best Featured Actor (Play)

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Samuel L. Jackson

The Piano Lesson

714

611

11/2
2

Brandon Uranowitz

Leopoldstadt

677

90

13/2
3

David Krumholtz

Leopoldstadt

609

14

17/2
4

Arian Moayed

A Doll's House

580

8

9/1
5

Ray Fisher

The Piano Lesson

420

7

13/1
6

André De Shields

Death of a Salesman

299

6

25/1
7

Jordan E. Cooper

Ain't No Mo'

99

4

54/1
8

Gregg Mozgala

Cost of Living

47

1

85/1
9

Scott Foley

The Thanksgiving Play

27

1

99/1
10

Chris Herbie Holland

Fat Ham

12

0

100/1
11

Victor Almazar

Between Riverside and Crazy

8

2

100/1
12

Common

Between Riverside and Crazy

20

3

100/1
13

Michael Potts

The Piano Lesson

12

0

100/1
14

Okieriete Onaodowan

A Doll's House

8

1

100/1
15

Chris Sullivan

The Thanksgiving Play

9

0

100/1
16

Billy Eugene Jones

Fat Ham

10

0

100/1
17

McKinley Belcher III

Death of a Salesman

8

3

100/1
18

Marchant Davis

Ain't No Mo'

9

0

100/1
19

David Zayas

Cost of Living

7

0

100/1
20

Khris Davis

Death of a Salesman

7

0

100/1
21

Ben Rappaport

Good Night, Oscar

5

2

100/1
22

Erik Jensen

The Collaboration

4

0

100/1
23

Michael Rispoli

Between Riverside and Crazy

2

0

100/1
24

Henry Shields

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

1

0

100/1
25

Calvin Leon Smith

Fat Ham

3

0

100/1
26

Faran Tahir

The Kite Runner

3

0

100/1
27

Seth Numrich

Leopoldstadt

1

1

100/1
28

Henry Lewis

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

1

0

100/1
29

Arty Froushan

Leopoldstadt

2

0

100/1
30

Jonathan Sayer

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

0

0

100/1

Best Director (Musical)

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Sweeney Todd

647

480

6/1
2

Kimberly Akimbo

652

127

13/2
3

Some Like it Hot

608

28

17/2
4

Camelot

435

4

11/1
5

New York, New York

457

11

11/1
6

Into the Woods

310

26

16/1
7

Parade

173

19

33/1
8

& Juliet

47

4

100/1
9

Shucked

31

4

100/1
10

1776

12

1

100/1
11

Almost Famous

15

1

100/1
12

Dancin'

8

1

100/1
13

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

8

3

100/1
14

Bad Cinderella

8

2

100/1
15

KPOP

2

0

100/1

Best Director (Play)

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Leopoldstadt

659

524

11/2
2

Life of Pi

643

105

13/2
3

The Piano Lesson

602

21

15/2
4

Fat Ham

549

10

17/2
5

A Christmas Carol

312

12

14/1
6

A Doll's House

272

11

18/1
7

Death of a Salesman

130

2

48/1
8

Topdog/Underdog

40

1

100/1
9

Prima Facie

17

1

100/1
10

Between Riverside and Crazy

16

1

100/1
11

Good Night, Oscar

11

2

100/1
12

Ohio State Murders

10

0

100/1
13

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

9

2

100/1
14

The Kite Runner

8

2

100/1
15

Cost of Living

8

1

100/1
16

The Thanksgiving Play

7

0

100/1
17

Pictures From Home

5

0

100/1
18

Walking With Ghosts

4

0

100/1
19

The Collaboration

4

1

100/1
20

Ain't No Mo'

4

2

100/1
21

Summer, 1976

4

1

100/1

Best Original Score

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Kimberly Akimbo

662

584

11/2
2

Some Like it Hot

643

61

6/1
3

Shucked

612

20

15/2
4

Bad Cinderella

470

7

9/1
5

Life of Pi

357

1

21/2
6

Almost Famous

146

8

37/1
7

KPOP

88

5

68/1
8

Leopoldstadt

31

0

100/1
9

The Piano Lesson

35

2

100/1
10

Prima Facie

9

1

100/1
11

The Kite Runner

9

0

100/1
12

Death of a Salesman

6

0

100/1
13

Cost of Living

2

1

100/1

Best Musical Book

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Kimberly Akimbo

643

577

11/2
2

Some Like it Hot

632

33

13/2
3

New York, New York

597

17

8/1
4

& Juliet

559

24

8/1
5

Shucked

547

16

9/1
6

Camelot

145

4

37/1
7

Bad Cinderella

30

1

72/1
8

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

67

6

95/1
9

Almost Famous

40

6

100/1
10

KPOP

17

3

100/1

Best Choreography

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Some Like it Hot

644

553

11/2
2

New York, New York

629

62

13/2
3

& Juliet

615

27

7/1
4

KPOP

566

14

8/1
5

Shucked

464

7

10/1
6

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

108

3

42/1
7

Camelot

53

1

100/1
8

Sweeney Todd

22

1

100/1
9

Almost Famous

27

3

100/1
10

Bad Cinderella

23

2

100/1
11

Into the Woods

27

3

100/1
12

Kimberly Akimbo

18

1

100/1
13

1776

2

2

100/1

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