GoldDerby

Editors' Predicted Winners

Tony Awards Nominations 2023 (Overall Accuracy: 76.67%)

HUB

Best Musical

(more info)

Accuracy: 100%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Kimberly Akimbo

12

11

16/5
2

Some Like it Hot

12

0

39/10
3

& Juliet

12

1

4/1
4

Shucked

10

0

11/2
5

New York, New York

10

0

11/2
6

Bad Cinderella

1

0

64/1
7

Almost Famous

1

0

66/1
8

KPOP

1

0

66/1
9

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

1

0

66/1

Best Play

(more info)

Accuracy: 80%

Nominee

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Predict Win

Odds

1

Leopoldstadt

12

11

16/5
2

Fat Ham

12

0

4/1
3

Life of Pi

12

1

4/1
4

Between Riverside and Crazy

11

0

5/1
5

Ain't No Mo'

6

0

10/1
6

Cost of Living

3

0

20/1
7

Good Night, Oscar

2

0

33/1
8

Prima Facie

2

0

33/1
9

Mike Birbiglia: The Old Man & The Pool

0

0

100/1
10

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

0

0

100/1
11

The Collaboration

0

0

100/1
12

The Kite Runner

0

0

100/1
13

A Christmas Carol

0

0

100/1
14

Walking With Ghosts

0

0

100/1
15

The Thanksgiving Play

0

0

100/1
16

Summer, 1976

0

0

100/1
17

Pictures From Home

0

0

100/1

Best Musical Revival

(more info)

Accuracy: 100%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Sweeney Todd

12

11

12/5
2

Into the Woods

12

1

31/10
3

Parade

12

0

16/5
4

Camelot

8

0

6/1
5

Dancin'

2

0

25/1
6

1776

2

0

25/1

Best Play Revival

(more info)

Accuracy: 75%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

The Piano Lesson

12

9

47/20
2

Death of a Salesman

12

2

14/5
3

A Doll's House

11

0

71/20
4

Topdog/Underdog

10

1

4/1
5

The Sign in Sidney Brustein's Window

1

0

46/1
6

Ohio State Murders

0

0

100/1

Best Actress (Musical)

(more info)

Accuracy: 80%

Nominee

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Predict Win

Odds

1

Victoria Clark

Kimberly Akimbo

12

10

82/25
2

Annaleigh Ashford

Sweeney Todd

12

2

37/10
3

Micaela Diamond

Parade

12

0

9/2
4

Sara Bareilles

Into the Woods

12

0

9/2
5

Patina Miller

Into the Woods

6

0

10/1
6

Lorna Courtney

& Juliet

2

0

33/1
7

Phillipa Soo

Camelot

2

0

33/1
8

Anna Uzele

New York, New York

1

0

66/1
9

Adrianna Hicks

Some Like it Hot

1

0

66/1
10

Luna

KPOP

0

0

100/1
11

Crystal Lucas-Perry

1776

0

0

100/1
12

Caroline Innerbichler

Shucked

0

0

100/1
13

Linedy Genao

Bad Cinderella

0

0

100/1

Best Actor (Musical)

(more info)

Accuracy: 83.33%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

J. Harrison Ghee

Some Like it Hot

12

7

69/20
2

Josh Groban

Sweeney Todd

12

5

18/5
3

Ben Platt

Parade

12

0

9/2
4

Brian d'Arcy James

Into the Woods

11

0

5/1
5

Christian Borle

Some Like it Hot

9

0

6/1
6

Will Swenson

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

3

0

22/1
7

Colton Ryan

New York, New York

1

0

66/1
8

Andrew Burnap

Camelot

0

0

100/1
9

Casey Likes

Almost Famous

0

0

100/1

Best Actress (Play)

(more info)

Accuracy: 75%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Jodie Comer

Prima Facie

12

9

5/2
2

Jessica Chastain

A Doll's House

11

3

16/5
3

Audra McDonald

Ohio State Murders

12

0

82/25
4

Laura Linney

Summer, 1976

9

0

5/1
5

Rachel Brosnahan

The Sign in Sidney Brustein's Window

3

0

18/1
6

Jessica Hecht

Summer, 1976

1

0

54/1
7

Zoe Wanamaker

Pictures From Home

0

0

100/1

Best Actor (Play)

(more info)

Accuracy: 60%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Wendell Pierce

Death of a Salesman

12

9

10/3
2

Sean Hayes

Good Night, Oscar

12

3

19/5
3

Marcel Spears

Fat Ham

11

0

9/2
4

Stephen McKinley Henderson

Between Riverside and Crazy

10

0

11/2
5

John David Washington

The Piano Lesson

9

0

6/1
6

Jefferson Mays

A Christmas Carol

2

0

30/1
7

Hiran Abeysekera

Life of Pi

2

0

33/1
8

Corey Hawkins

Topdog/Underdog

2

0

33/1
9

Amir Arison

The Kite Runner

0

0

100/1
10

Danny Burstein

Pictures From Home

0

0

100/1
11

Gabriel Byrne

Walking With Ghosts

0

0

100/1
12

Oscar Isaac

The Sign in Sidney Brustein's Window

0

0

100/1
13

Mike Birbiglia

Mike Birbiglia: The Old Man & The Pool

0

0

100/1
14

Jeremy Pope

The Collaboration

0

0

100/1
15

Paul Bettany

The Collaboration

0

0

100/1
16

Yahya Abdul-Mateen II

Topdog/Underdog

0

0

100/1
17

Nathan Lane

Pictures From Home

0

0

100/1

Best Featured Actress (Musical)

(more info)

Accuracy: 100%

Nominee

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Predict Win

Odds

1

Bonnie Milligan

Kimberly Akimbo

12

10

82/25
2

Betsy Wolfe

& Juliet

12

1

39/10
3

NaTasha Yvette Williams

Some Like it Hot

12

1

4/1
4

Ruthie Ann Miles

Sweeney Todd

7

0

17/2
5

Julia Lester

Into the Woods

5

0

12/1
6

Robyn Hurder

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

5

0

12/1
7

Alli Mauzey

Kimberly Akimbo

3

0

20/1
8

Phillipa Soo

Into the Woods

2

0

33/1
9

Melanie La Barrie

& Juliet

1

0

62/1
10

Eryn Lecroy

1776

1

0

64/1
11

Maria Bilbao

Sweeney Todd

0

0

100/1
12

Carolee Carmello

1776

0

0

100/1
13

Carolee Carmello

Bad Cinderella

0

0

100/1
14

Courtnee Carter

Parade

0

0

100/1
15

Janet Dacal

New York, New York

0

0

100/1
16

Elizabeth A. Davis

1776

0

0

100/1
17

Ashley D. Kelley

Shucked

0

0

100/1
18

Anika Larsen

Almost Famous

0

0

100/1
19

Grace McLean

Bad Cinderella

0

0

100/1
20

Solea Pfeiffer

Almost Famous

0

0

100/1
21

Sara Porkalob

1776

0

0

100/1
22

Emily Skinner

New York, New York

0

0

100/1
23

Marilee Talkington

Camelot

0

0

100/1

Best Featured Actor (Musical)

(more info)

Accuracy: 80%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Justin Cooley

Kimberly Akimbo

12

9

10/3
2

Gavin Creel

Into the Woods

12

1

4/1
3

Alex Newell

Shucked

10

2

5/1
4

Kevin Del Aguila

Some Like it Hot

10

0

11/2
5

Jordan Donica

Camelot

9

0

6/1
6

Alex Joseph Grayson

Parade

3

0

22/1
7

Gaten Matarazzo

Sweeney Todd

2

0

33/1
8

Paulo Szot

& Juliet

1

0

58/1
9

Steven Boyer

Kimberly Akimbo

1

0

66/1
10

Drew Gehling

Almost Famous

0

0

100/1
11

Joshua Henry

Into the Woods

0

0

100/1
12

Grey Henson

Shucked

0

0

100/1
13

Mark Jacoby

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

0

0

100/1
14

Jamie Jackson

Sweeney Todd

0

0

100/1
15

Kennedy Kanagawa

Into the Woods

0

0

100/1
16

Sean Allan Krill

Parade

0

0

100/1
17

Dakin Matthews

Camelot

0

0

100/1
18

Howard McGillin

Parade

0

0

100/1
19

Paul Alexander Nolan

Parade

0

0

100/1
20

Stark Sands

& Juliet

0

0

100/1
21

Taylor Trensch

Camelot

0

0

100/1
22

Kolton Krouse

Dancin'

0

0

100/1
23

Jordan Fisher

Sweeney Todd

0

0

100/1
24

Andrew Durand

Shucked

0

0

100/1
25

Clyde Alves

New York, New York

0

0

100/1
26

John Behlmann

Shucked

0

0

100/1
27

Kevin Cahoon

Shucked

0

0

100/1
28

John Clay III

New York, New York

0

0

100/1
29

Jordan Dobson

Bad Cinderella

0

0

100/1

Best Featured Actress (Play)

(more info)

Accuracy: 40%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Sharon D Clarke

Death of a Salesman

12

10

82/25
2

Danielle Brooks

The Piano Lesson

12

1

39/10
3

Crystal Lucas-Perry

Ain't No Mo'

10

1

5/1
4

Katy Sullivan

Cost of Living

10

0

11/2
5

Faye Castelow

Leopoldstadt

10

0

11/2
6

D'Arcy Carden

The Thanksgiving Play

3

0

20/1
7

Liza Colon-Zayas

Between Riverside and Crazy

1

0

58/1
8

Caissie Levy

Leopoldstadt

1

0

62/1
9

Miriam Silverman

The Sign in Sidney Brustein's Window

1

0

66/1
10

Emily Bergl

Good Night, Oscar

0

0

100/1
11

Elizabeth Canavan

Between Riverside and Crazy

0

0

100/1
12

Rosal Colon

Between Riverside and Crazy

0

0

100/1
13

Nikki Crawford

Fat Ham

0

0

100/1
14

Katie Finneran

The Thanksgiving Play

0

0

100/1
15

Fedna Jacquet

Ain't No Mo'

0

0

100/1
16

Ebony Marshall-Oliver

Ain't No Mo'

0

0

100/1
17

Adrianna Mitchell

Fat Ham

0

0

100/1
18

Ellie Morris

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

0

0

100/1
19

Krysta Rodriguez

The Collaboration

0

0

100/1
20

Benja Kay Thomas

Fat Ham

0

0

100/1
21

Kara Young

Cost of Living

0

0

100/1
22

Nancy Zamit

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

0

0

100/1

Best Featured Actor (Play)

(more info)

Accuracy: 60%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Brandon Uranowitz

Leopoldstadt

12

6

7/2
2

Samuel L. Jackson

The Piano Lesson

12

6

71/20
3

David Krumholtz

Leopoldstadt

10

0

11/2
4

Arian Moayed

A Doll's House

10

0

11/2
5

André De Shields

Death of a Salesman

6

0

17/2
6

Jordan E. Cooper

Ain't No Mo'

5

0

15/1
7

Ray Fisher

The Piano Lesson

2

0

33/1
8

Chris Herbie Holland

Fat Ham

2

0

33/1
9

Scott Foley

The Thanksgiving Play

1

0

64/1
10

Erik Jensen

The Collaboration

0

0

100/1
11

Billy Eugene Jones

Fat Ham

0

0

100/1
12

Andy Grotelueschen

The Sign in Sidney Brustein's Window

0

0

100/1
13

Henry Lewis

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

0

0

100/1
14

Gregg Mozgala

Cost of Living

0

0

100/1
15

Seth Numrich

Leopoldstadt

0

0

100/1
16

Okieriete Onaodowan

A Doll's House

0

0

100/1
17

Michael Potts

The Piano Lesson

0

0

100/1
18

Ben Rappaport

Good Night, Oscar

0

0

100/1
19

Michael Rispoli

Between Riverside and Crazy

0

0

100/1
20

Jonathan Sayer

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

0

0

100/1
21

Henry Shields

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

0

0

100/1
22

Calvin Leon Smith

Fat Ham

0

0

100/1
23

Chris Sullivan

The Thanksgiving Play

0

0

100/1
24

Faran Tahir

The Kite Runner

0

0

100/1
25

Arty Froushan

Leopoldstadt

0

0

100/1
26

Marchant Davis

Ain't No Mo'

0

0

100/1
27

Victor Almazar

Between Riverside and Crazy

0

0

100/1
28

McKinley Belcher III

Death of a Salesman

0

0

100/1
29

Common

Between Riverside and Crazy

0

0

100/1
30

Khris Davis

Death of a Salesman

0

0

100/1
31

David Zayas

Cost of Living

0

0

100/1

Best Director (Musical)

(more info)

Accuracy: 80%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Sweeney Todd

12

6

7/2
2

Kimberly Akimbo

12

6

7/2
3

Some Like it Hot

11

0

5/1
4

Into the Woods

9

0

13/2
5

Parade

8

0

7/1
6

& Juliet

2

0

33/1
7

Shucked

2

0

33/1
8

New York, New York

2

0

33/1
9

Camelot

1

0

64/1
10

1776

1

0

66/1
11

KPOP

0

0

100/1
12

Dancin'

0

0

100/1
13

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

0

0

100/1
14

Bad Cinderella

0

0

100/1
15

Almost Famous

0

0

100/1

Best Director (Play)

(more info)

Accuracy: 50%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Leopoldstadt

12

9

10/3
2

Life of Pi

12

3

37/10
3

The Piano Lesson

12

0

9/2
4

Fat Ham

11

0

5/1
5

Topdog/Underdog

6

0

10/1
6

Death of a Salesman

3

0

22/1
7

A Doll's House

2

0

33/1
8

A Christmas Carol

2

0

33/1
9

The Sign in Sidney Brustein's Window

0

0

100/1
10

Good Night, Oscar

0

0

100/1
11

Ain't No Mo'

0

0

100/1
12

Walking With Ghosts

0

0

100/1
13

Prima Facie

0

0

100/1
14

Between Riverside and Crazy

0

0

100/1
15

The Thanksgiving Play

0

0

100/1
16

Pictures From Home

0

0

100/1
17

Cost of Living

0

0

100/1
18

Summer, 1976

0

0

100/1
19

Peter Pan Goes Wrong

0

0

100/1
20

The Kite Runner

0

0

100/1
21

The Collaboration

0

0

100/1
22

Ohio State Murders

0

0

100/1

Best Original Score

(more info)

Accuracy: 60%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Kimberly Akimbo

12

11

16/5
2

Some Like it Hot

12

1

19/5
3

Life of Pi

12

0

9/2
4

Shucked

11

0

9/2
5

Bad Cinderella

9

0

13/2
6

Leopoldstadt

2

0

33/1
7

KPOP

2

0

33/1
8

Almost Famous

0

0

100/1
9

Cost of Living

0

0

100/1
10

Death of a Salesman

0

0

100/1
11

The Kite Runner

0

0

100/1
12

The Piano Lesson

0

0

100/1
13

Prima Facie

0

0

100/1

Best Musical Book

(more info)

Accuracy: 100%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Kimberly Akimbo

12

10

82/25
2

Some Like it Hot

12

0

4/1
3

& Juliet

12

1

4/1
4

Shucked

10

1

11/2
5

New York, New York

8

0

13/2
6

Camelot

4

0

22/1
7

Bad Cinderella

2

0

33/1
8

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

0

0

100/1
9

Almost Famous

0

0

100/1
10

KPOP

0

0

100/1

Best Choreography

(more info)

Accuracy: 80%

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Some Like it Hot

12

9

10/3
2

New York, New York

12

2

19/5
3

& Juliet

11

1

9/2
4

KPOP

11

0

5/1
5

Shucked

8

0

7/1
6

A Beautiful Noise: The Neil Diamond Musical

4

0

16/1
7

Kimberly Akimbo

2

0

33/1
8

Bad Cinderella

0

0

100/1
9

Camelot

0

0

100/1
10

Into the Woods

0

0

100/1
11

1776

0

0

100/1
12

Almost Famous

0

0

100/1
13

Sweeney Todd

0

0

100/1

Emmy Awards Nominations 2023

Predictions

Comedy Actress

Comedy Actor

Drama Actress

Drama Actor

Movie/Limited Actress

Movie/Limited Actor

Comedy Series

Drama Series

Limited Series

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