GoldDerby

Experts' Predicted Winners

Oscars Nominations 2023

HUB

Best Picture

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

The Fabelmans

6

4

8/1
2

Babylon

5

1

21/2
3

Everything Everywhere All at Once

6

0

23/2
4

The Son

5

0

14/1
5

Bardo

4

0

15/1
6

Women Talking

4

0

16/1
7

White Noise

4

0

18/1
8

Top Gun: Maverick

4

0

18/1
9

Triangle of Sadness

4

0

18/1
10

Empire of Light

3

0

22/1
11

TAR

3

0

25/1
12

Elvis

3

0

25/1
13

The Woman King

2

0

33/1
14

The Whale

2

0

35/1
15

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

2

0

42/1
16

The Banshees of Inisherin

2

0

42/1
17

Amsterdam

2

0

44/1
18

Living

1

1

48/1
19

She Said

1

1

48/1
20

Avatar: The Way of Water

1

0

62/1
21

Nope

1

0

66/1
22

Armageddon Time

1

0

68/1
23

Don't Worry Darling

1

0

78/1
24

The Batman

1

0

82/1
25

Cha Cha Real Smooth

1

0

99/1
26

Three Thousand Years of Longing

1

0

100/1
27

The Lost King

0

0

100/1
28

Lady Chatterley's Lover

0

0

100/1
29

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

0

0

100/1
30

Happening

0

0

100/1
31

The Greatest Beer Run Ever

0

0

100/1
32

The Good Nurse

0

0

100/1
33

Golda

0

0

100/1
34

Foe

0

0

100/1
35

Disappointment Blvd.

0

0

100/1
36

Decision to Leave

0

0

100/1
37

Crimes of the Future

0

0

100/1
38

Close

0

0

100/1
39

Chevalier

0

0

100/1
40

The Burial

0

0

100/1
41

Broker

0

0

100/1
42

Bones and All

0

0

100/1
43

Blonde

0

0

100/1
44

The Menu

0

0

100/1
45

My Policeman

0

0

100/1
46

The Pale Blue Eye

0

0

100/1
47

Carmen

0

0

100/1
48

Good Luck to You, Leo Grande

0

0

100/1
49

Causeway

0

0

100/1
50

Pinocchio

0

0

100/1
51

Hustle

0

0

100/1
52

Glass Onion

0

0

100/1
53

The Wonder

0

0

100/1
54

Till

0

0

100/1
55

Thirteen Lives

0

0

100/1
56

Ticket to Paradise

0

0

100/1
57

The Swimmers

0

0

100/1
58

Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies

0

0

100/1
59

Showing Up

0

0

100/1
60

Shirley

0

0

100/1
61

Raymond and Ray

0

0

100/1
62

Poor Things

0

0

100/1
63

All Quiet on the Western Front

0

0

100/1

Best Director

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Steven Spielberg

The Fabelmans

6

4

4/1
2

Damien Chazelle

Babylon

4

1

15/2
3

Alejandro G. Inarritu

Bardo

4

0

8/1
4

Sarah Polley

Women Talking

4

0

17/2
5

Ruben Ostlund

Triangle of Sadness

3

0

23/2
6

Todd Field

TAR

2

0

18/1
7

Park Chan-wook

Decision to Leave

2

0

18/1
8

Oliver Hermanus

Living

1

1

28/1
9

Maria Schrader

She Said

1

1

28/1
10

Gina Prince-Bythewood

The Woman King

1

0

33/1
11

Florian Zeller

The Son

1

0

35/1
12

Baz Luhrmann

Elvis

1

0

35/1
13

Olivia Wilde

Don't Worry Darling

1

0

37/1
14

David O. Russell

Amsterdam

1

0

37/1
15

Sam Mendes

Empire of Light

1

0

37/1
16

Daniels

Everything Everywhere All at Once

1

0

37/1
17

Jordan Peele

Nope

1

0

37/1
18

Guillermo Del Toro

Pinocchio

0

0

100/1
19

Kasi Lemmons

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

0

0

100/1
20

Audrey Diwan

Happening

0

0

100/1
21

Peter Farrelly

The Greatest Beer Run Ever

0

0

100/1
22

Tobias Lindholm

The Good Nurse

0

0

100/1
23

Guy Nattiv

Golda

0

0

100/1
24

Garth Davis

Foe

0

0

100/1
25

Ari Aster

Disappointment Blvd.

0

0

100/1
26

David Cronenberg

Crimes of the Future

0

0

100/1
27

Lukas Dhont

Close

0

0

100/1
28

Stephen Williams

Chevalier

0

0

100/1
29

Cooper Raiff

Cha Cha Real Smooth

0

0

100/1
30

Maggie Betts

The Burial

0

0

100/1
31

Hirozaku Kore-eda

Broker

0

0

100/1
32

Andrew Dominik

Blonde

0

0

100/1
33

Luca Guadagnino

Bones and All

0

0

100/1
34

Ryan Coogler

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

0

0

100/1
35

Matt Reeves

The Batman

0

0

100/1
36

Laure de Clermont-Tonnerre

Lady Chatterley's Lover

0

0

100/1
37

Stephen Frears

The Lost King

0

0

100/1
38

Mark Mylod

The Menu

0

0

100/1
39

Rian Johnson

Glass Onion

0

0

100/1
40

Sebastian Lelio

The Wonder

0

0

100/1
41

Noah Baumbach

White Noise

0

0

100/1
42

Darren Aronofsky

The Whale

0

0

100/1
43

Joseph Kosinski

Top Gun: Maverick

0

0

100/1
44

Chinonye Chukwu

Till

0

0

100/1
45

George Miller

Three Thousand Years of Longing

0

0

100/1
46

Ron Howard

Thirteen Lives

0

0

100/1
47

Ol Parker

Ticket to Paradise

0

0

100/1
48

Sally El Hosaini

The Swimmers

0

0

100/1
49

Michael Showalter

Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies

0

0

100/1
50

Kelly Reichardt

Showing Up

0

0

100/1
51

John Ridley

Shirley

0

0

100/1
52

Rodrigo Garcia

Raymond and Ray

0

0

100/1
53

Yorgos Lanthimos

Poor Things

0

0

100/1
54

Scott Cooper

The Pale Blue Eye

0

0

100/1
55

Michael Grandage

My Policeman

0

0

100/1
56

Martin McDonagh

The Banshees of Inisherin

0

0

100/1
57

James Cameron

Avatar: The Way of Water

0

0

100/1
58

James Gray

Armageddon Time

0

0

100/1
59

Edward Berger

All Quiet on the Western Front

0

0

100/1
60

Benjamin Millepied

Carmen

0

0

100/1
61

Lila Neugebauer

Causeway

0

0

100/1

Best Actress

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Michelle Yeoh

Everything Everywhere All at Once

6

2

9/2
2

Cate Blanchett

TAR

6

2

9/2
3

Margot Robbie

Babylon

4

1

15/2
4

Danielle Deadwyler

Till

4

0

17/2
5

Olivia Colman

Empire of Light

3

1

21/2
6

Viola Davis

The Woman King

2

1

15/1
7

Naomi Ackie

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

2

0

18/1
8

Keke Palmer

Nope

1

0

33/1
9

Tang Wei

Decision to Leave

1

0

35/1
10

Carey Mulligan

She Said

1

0

35/1
11

Regina King

Shirley

1

0

37/1
12

Tilda Swinton

Three Thousand Years of Longing

1

0

37/1
13

Florence Pugh

Don't Worry Darling

1

0

37/1
14

Dakota Johnson

Cha Cha Real Smooth

1

0

37/1
15

Frances McDormand

Women Talking

1

0

37/1
16

Michelle Williams

Showing Up

0

0

100/1
17

Julia Roberts

Ticket to Paradise

0

0

100/1
18

Zoe Kazan

She Said

0

0

100/1
19

Emma Stone

Poor Things

0

0

100/1
20

Emma Corrin

Lady Chatterley's Lover

0

0

100/1
21

Anya Taylor-Joy

The Menu

0

0

100/1
22

Sally Hawkins

The Lost King

0

0

100/1
23

Aimee Lou Wood

Living

0

0

100/1
24

Emma Corrin

My Policeman

0

0

100/1
25

Jessica Chastain

The Good Nurse

0

0

100/1
26

Helen Mirren

Golda

0

0

100/1
27

Saoirse Ronan

Foe

0

0

100/1
28

Lea Seydoux

Crimes of the Future

0

0

100/1
29

Taylor Russell

Bones and All

0

0

100/1
30

Ana de Armas

Blonde

0

0

100/1
31

Zoe Saldana

Avatar: The Way of Water

0

0

100/1
32

Margot Robbie

Amsterdam

0

0

100/1
33

Charlbi Dean

Triangle of Sadness

0

0

100/1
34

Greta Gerwig

White Noise

0

0

100/1
35

Florence Pugh

The Wonder

0

0

100/1
36

Melissa Barrera

Carmen

0

0

100/1
37

Emma Thompson

Good Luck to You, Leo Grande

0

0

100/1
38

Jennifer Lawrence

Causeway

0

0

100/1
39

Anamaria Vartolomei

Happening

0

0

100/1

Best Actor

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Austin Butler

Elvis

6

1

9/2
2

Brendan Fraser

The Whale

6

1

9/2
3

Hugh Jackman

The Son

5

4

5/1
4

Bill Nighy

Living

4

1

8/1
5

Adam Driver

White Noise

3

0

23/2
6

Daniel Gimenez Cacho

Bardo

3

0

23/2
7

Song Kang-ho

Broker

2

0

18/1
8

Harry Styles

My Policeman

1

0

35/1
9

Daniel Kaluuya

Nope

1

0

35/1
10

Park Hae-il

Decision to Leave

1

0

37/1
11

Christian Bale

The Pale Blue Eye

1

0

37/1
12

Adam Sandler

Hustle

1

0

37/1
13

Brad Pitt

Babylon

1

0

37/1
14

Paul Mescal

Carmen

0

0

100/1
15

Daniel Craig

Glass Onion

0

0

100/1
16

Colin Firth

Empire of Light

0

0

100/1
17

Harris Dickinson

Triangle of Sadness

0

0

100/1
18

Tom Cruise

Top Gun: Maverick

0

0

100/1
19

Jalil Hall

Till

0

0

100/1
20

Idris Elba

Three Thousand Years of Longing

0

0

100/1
21

George Clooney

Ticket to Paradise

0

0

100/1
22

Jim Parsons

Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies

0

0

100/1
23

Ewan McGregor

Raymond and Ray

0

0

100/1
24

Ethan Hawke

Raymond and Ray

0

0

100/1
25

Nicholas Hoult

The Menu

0

0

100/1
26

Jack O'Connell

Lady Chatterley's Lover

0

0

100/1
27

Zac Efron

The Greatest Beer Run Ever

0

0

100/1
28

Eddie Redmayne

The Good Nurse

0

0

100/1
29

Joaquin Phoenix

Disappointment Blvd.

0

0

100/1
30

Viggo Mortensen

Crimes of the Future

0

0

100/1
31

Kelvin Harrison, Jr.

Chevalier

0

0

100/1
32

Cooper Raiff

Cha Cha Real Smooth

0

0

100/1
33

Paul Mescal

Foe

0

0

100/1
34

Jamie Foxx

The Burial

0

0

100/1
35

Timothee Chalamet

Bones and All

0

0

100/1
36

Robert Pattinson

The Batman

0

0

100/1
37

Brendan Gleeson

The Banshees of Inisherin

0

0

100/1
38

Colin Farrell

The Banshees of Inisherin

0

0

100/1
39

Sam Worthington

Avatar: The Way of Water

0

0

100/1
40

Banks Repeta

Armageddon Time

0

0

100/1
41

Christian Bale

Amsterdam

0

0

100/1
42

Gabriel LaBelle

The Fabelmans

0

0

100/1

Best Supporting Actress

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Michelle Williams

The Fabelmans

6

5

37/10
2

Vanessa Kirby

The Son

5

0

11/2
3

Jessie Buckley

Women Talking

4

0

15/2
4

Stephanie Hsu

Everything Everywhere All at Once

3

0

21/2
5

Samantha Morton

She Said

3

0

11/1
6

Sadie Sink

The Whale

3

0

11/1
7

Jamie Lee Curtis

Everything Everywhere All at Once

2

2

13/1
8

Thuso Mbedu

The Woman King

2

0

16/1
9

Anne Hathaway

Armageddon Time

1

0

33/1
10

Kristen Stewart

Crimes of the Future

1

0

35/1
11

Jean Smart

Babylon

1

0

35/1
12

Zoe Kravitz

The Batman

1

0

35/1
13

Dolly De Leon

Triangle of Sadness

1

0

35/1
14

Sally Field

Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies

0

0

100/1
15

Nina Hoss

TAR

0

0

100/1
16

Kaitlyn Dever

Ticket to Paradise

0

0

100/1
17

Whoopi Goldberg

Till

0

0

100/1
18

Laura Dern

The Son

0

0

100/1
19

Janet McTeer

The Menu

0

0

100/1
20

Gillian Anderson

The Pale Blue Eye

0

0

100/1
21

Lucy Boynton

The Pale Blue Eye

0

0

100/1
22

Margaret Qualley

Poor Things

0

0

100/1
23

Sophie Okonedo

Raymond and Ray

0

0

100/1
24

Patricia Clarkson

She Said

0

0

100/1
25

Hong Chau

Showing Up

0

0

100/1
26

Janelle Monae

Glass Onion

0

0

100/1
27

Samira Wiley

Causeway

0

0

100/1
28

Kate Hudson

Glass Onion

0

0

100/1
29

Kathryn Hahn

Glass Onion

0

0

100/1
30

Hong Chau

The Whale

0

0

100/1
31

Samantha Morton

The Whale

0

0

100/1
32

Lashana Lynch

The Woman King

0

0

100/1
33

Claire Foy

Women Talking

0

0

100/1
34

Judith Ivey

Women Talking

0

0

100/1
35

Rooney Mara

Women Talking

0

0

100/1
36

Hong Chau

The Menu

0

0

100/1
37

Sigourney Weaver

Avatar: The Way of Water

0

0

100/1
38

Jessica Chastain

Armageddon Time

0

0

100/1
39

Anya Taylor-Joy

Amsterdam

0

0

100/1
40

Zoe Saldana

Amsterdam

0

0

100/1
41

Kate Winslet

Avatar: The Way of Water

0

0

100/1
42

Michelle Yeoh

Avatar: The Way of Water

0

0

100/1
43

Olivia Wilde

Babylon

0

0

100/1
44

Joely Richardson

Lady Chatterley's Lover

0

0

100/1
45

Ella Hunt

Lady Chatterley's Lover

0

0

100/1
46

Tamara Tunie

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

0

0

100/1
47

Camille Cottin

Golda

0

0

100/1
48

Olivia DeJonge

Elvis

0

0

100/1
49

Gemma Chan

Don't Worry Darling

0

0

100/1
50

Amy Ryan

Disappointment Blvd.

0

0

100/1
51

Parker Posey

Disappointment Blvd.

0

0

100/1
52

Patti LuPone

Disappointment Blvd.

0

0

100/1
53

Samara Weaving

Chevalier

0

0

100/1
54

Minnie Driver

Chevalier

0

0

100/1
55

Lucy Boynton

Chevalier

0

0

100/1
56

Jurnee Smollett

The Burial

0

0

100/1
57

Chloe Sevigny

Bones and All

0

0

100/1
58

Julianne Nicholson

Blonde

0

0

100/1
59

Griselda Sicillani

Bardo

0

0

100/1
60

Kerry Condon

The Banshees of Inisherin

0

0

100/1

Best Supporting Actor

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

Paul Dano

The Fabelmans

6

3

4/1
2

Ke Huy Quan

Everything Everywhere All at Once

5

1

6/1
3

Woody Harrelson

Triangle of Sadness

4

1

15/2
4

Micheal Ward

Empire of Light

4

1

15/2
5

Ben Whishaw

Women Talking

4

1

15/2
6

Don Cheadle

White Noise

3

0

11/1
7

Zen McGrath

The Son

2

0

16/1
8

Barry Keoghan

The Banshees of Inisherin

2

0

18/1
9

Anthony Hopkins

Armageddon Time

1

0

35/1
10

Jeremy Strong

Armageddon Time

1

0

35/1
11

Paul Dano

The Batman

1

0

37/1
12

Ralph Fiennes

The Menu

1

0

37/1
13

Harry Styles

Don't Worry Darling

0

0

100/1
14

David Lynch

The Fabelmans

0

0

100/1
15

Chris Pine

Don't Worry Darling

0

0

100/1
16

Nathan Lane

Disappointment Blvd.

0

0

100/1
17

Tom Hanks

Elvis

0

0

100/1
18

Robert De Niro

Amsterdam

0

0

100/1
19

Tommy Lee Jones

The Burial

0

0

100/1
20

Bill Camp

The Burial

0

0

100/1
21

John Turturro

The Batman

0

0

100/1
22

Colin Farrell

The Batman

0

0

100/1
23

Seth Rogen

The Fabelmans

0

0

100/1
24

Daniel Bruhl

All Quiet on the Western Front

0

0

100/1
25

Rami Malek

Amsterdam

0

0

100/1
26

Matthias Schoenaerts

Amsterdam

0

0

100/1
27

John David Washington

Amsterdam

0

0

100/1
28

Adrien Brody

Blonde

0

0

100/1
29

Michael Stuhlbarg

Bones and All

0

0

100/1
30

Mark Rylance

Bones and All

0

0

100/1
31

Bobby Cannavale

Blonde

0

0

100/1
32

Tobey Maguire

Babylon

0

0

100/1
33

Aaron Pierre

Foe

0

0

100/1
34

Stanley Tucci

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

0

0

100/1
35

Terrence Howard

Shirley

0

0

100/1
36

Andre Holland

Shirley

0

0

100/1
37

Lucas Hedges

Shirley

0

0

100/1
38

Andre Braugher

She Said

0

0

100/1
39

Mark Ruffalo

Poor Things

0

0

100/1
40

Willem Dafoe

Poor Things

0

0

100/1
41

Harry Melling

The Pale Blue Eye

0

0

100/1
42

Robert Duvall

The Pale Blue Eye

0

0

100/1
43

Steven Yeun

Nope

0

0

100/1
44

John Leguizamo

The Menu

0

0

100/1
45

Harry Lloyd

The Lost King

0

0

100/1
46

Steve Coogan

The Lost King

0

0

100/1
47

Ashton Sanders

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

0

0

100/1
48

Clarke Peters

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

0

0

100/1
49

Bill Murray

The Greatest Beer Run Ever

0

0

100/1
50

Lance Reddick

Shirley

0

0

100/1
51

Ben Aldridge

Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies

0

0

100/1
52

John Glover

TAR

0

0

100/1
53

Brian Tyree Henry

Causeway

0

0

100/1
54

Stephen McKinley Henderson

Causeway

0

0

100/1
55

Leslie Odom, Jr.

Glass Onion

0

0

100/1
56

Edward Norton

Glass Onion

0

0

100/1
57

Dave Bautista

Glass Onion

0

0

100/1
58

Toby Jones

Empire of Light

0

0

100/1
59

Ciaran Hinds

The Wonder

0

0

100/1
60

John Boyega

The Woman King

0

0

100/1
61

Miles Teller

Top Gun: Maverick

0

0

100/1
62

Frankie Faison

Till

0

0

100/1
63

Viggo Mortensen

Thirteen Lives

0

0

100/1
64

Colin Farrell

Thirteen Lives

0

0

100/1
65

Joel Edgerton

Thirteen Lives

0

0

100/1
66

Mark Strong

TAR

0

0

100/1
67

Russell Crowe

The Greatest Beer Run Ever

0

0

100/1

Best Adapted Screenplay

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

The Son

5

4

9/2
2

Women Talking

5

0

5/1
3

White Noise

4

0

13/2
4

She Said

3

1

9/1
5

The Whale

3

0

19/2
6

Glass Onion

2

0

15/1
7

The Woman King

2

0

16/1
8

Top Gun: Maverick

1

1

25/1
9

Elvis

1

0

28/1
10

Living

1

0

30/1
11

Till

1

0

33/1
12

The Batman

1

0

33/1
13

Happening

1

0

33/1
14

Carmen

0

0

100/1
15

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

0

0

100/1
16

Avatar: The Way of Water

0

0

100/1
17

All Quiet on the Western Front

0

0

100/1
18

Blonde

0

0

100/1
19

Bones and All

0

0

100/1
20

The Burial

0

0

100/1
21

Pinocchio

0

0

100/1
22

The Wonder

0

0

100/1
23

Three Thousand Years of Longing

0

0

100/1
24

Thirteen Lives

0

0

100/1
25

Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies

0

0

100/1
26

Poor Things

0

0

100/1
27

The Pale Blue Eye

0

0

100/1
28

My Policeman

0

0

100/1
29

The Lost King

0

0

100/1
30

Lady Chatterley's Lover

0

0

100/1
31

I Wanna Dance with Somebody

0

0

100/1
32

The Greatest Beer Run Ever

0

0

100/1
33

The Good Nurse

0

0

100/1
34

Golda

0

0

100/1
35

Foe

0

0

100/1
36

Close

0

0

100/1

Best Original Screenplay

(more info)

Nominee

Predict Nomination

Predict Win

Odds

1

The Fabelmans

5

3

9/2
2

Everything Everywhere All at Once

5

2

9/2
3

Babylon

5

0

11/2
4

Empire of Light

5

0

11/2
5

Triangle of Sadness

4

1

13/2
6

Bardo

2

0

15/1
7

Nope

1

0

30/1
8

Decision to Leave

1

0

33/1
9

Armageddon Time

1

0

33/1
10

TAR

1

0

33/1
11

Good Luck to You, Leo Grande

0

0

100/1
12

Causeway

0

0

100/1
13

Hustle

0

0

100/1
14

Ticket to Paradise

0

0

100/1
15

The Swimmers

0

0

100/1
16

Showing Up

0

0

100/1
17

Shirley

0

0

100/1
18

Raymond and Ray

0

0

100/1
19

The Menu

0

0

100/1
20

Don't Worry Darling

0

0

100/1
21

Disappointment Blvd.

0

0

100/1
22

Crimes of the Future

0

0

100/1
23

Chevalier

0

0

100/1
24

Broker

0

0

100/1
25

Cha Cha Real Smooth

0

0

100/1
26

The Banshees of Inisherin

0

0

100/1
27

Amsterdam

0

0

100/1

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