All-Star Top 24 Users' Predicted Winners
Independent Spirit Awards 2023 (Overall Accuracy: 90.91%)
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Current predictions by our Users who had the best scores over the past two years. If a user in our Top 24 has not yet returned to make new picks, this list populates with the next user who has the next score. See leaderboard. See leaderboard

Best Picture
(more info)
Accuracy: 100%
Nominee
Top Choice
Odds
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once
    1

    Everything Everywhere All at Once

    12
    11/4
  • TAR
    2

    TAR

    1
    4/1
  • Women Talking
    3

    Women Talking

    0
    9/2
  • Bones and All
    4

    Bones and All

    0
    9/2
  • Our Father, The Devil
    5

    Our Father, The Devil

    0
    5/1
Best Director
(more info)
Accuracy: 100%
Nominee
Top Choice
Odds
  • Daniel Scheinert and Daniel Kwan
    1

    Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert

    Everything Everywhere All at Once

    11
    12/5
  • Todd Field
    2

    Todd Field

    TAR

    0
    19/5
  • Sarah Polley
    3

    Sarah Polley

    Women Talking

    0
    5/1
  • Kogonada
    4

    Kogonada

    After Yang

    0
    5/1
  • Halina Reijn
    5

    Halina Reijn

    Bodies Bodies Bodies

    0
    5/1
Best Lead Performance
(more info)
Accuracy: 100%
Nominee
Top Choice
Odds
  • Michelle Yeoh
    1

    Michelle Yeoh

    Everything Everywhere All at Once

    11
    11/2
  • Cate Blanchett
    2

    Cate Blanchett

    TAR

    5
    6/1
  • Paul Mescal
    3

    Paul Mescal

    Aftersun

    0
    8/1
  • Mia Goth
    4

    Mia Goth

    Pearl

    0
    17/2
  • Andrea Riseborough
    5

    Andrea Riseborough

    To Leslie

    0
    9/1
  • Taylor Russell
    6

    Taylor Russell

    Bones and All

    0
    19/2
  • Jeremy Pope
    7

    Jeremy Pope

    The Inspection

    0
    10/1
  • Aubrey Plaza
    8

    Aubrey Plaza

    Emily the Criminal

    0
    23/2
  • Dale Dickey
    9

    Dale Dickey

    A Love Song

    0
    14/1
  • Regina Hall
    10

    Regina Hall

    Honk for Jesus. Save Your Soul.

    0
    16/1
Best Supporting Performance
(more info)
Accuracy: 100%
Nominee
Top Choice
Odds
  • Ke Huy Quan
    1

    Ke Huy Quan

    Everything Everywhere All at Once

    14
    5/1
  • Brian Tyree Henry
    2

    Brian Tyree Henry

    Causeway

    0
    15/2
  • Jamie Lee Curtis
    3

    Jamie Lee Curtis

    Everything Everywhere All at Once

    0
    15/2
  • Nina Hoss
    4

    Nina Hoss

    TAR

    0
    9/1
  • Gabrielle Union
    5

    Gabrielle Union

    The Inspection

    0
    9/1
  • Mark Rylance
    6

    Mark Rylance

    Bones and All

    0
    19/2
  • Theo Rossi
    7

    Theo Rossi

    Emily the Criminal

    0
    23/2
  • Brian d'Arcy James
    8

    Brian d'Arcy James

    The Cathedral

    0
    23/2
  • Trevante Rhodes
    9

    Trevante Rhodes

    Bruiser

    0
    14/1
  • Jonathan Tucker
    10

    Jonathan Tucker

    Palm Trees and Power Lines

    0
    15/1
Best Breakthrough Performance
(more info)
Accuracy: 100%
Nominee
Top Choice
Odds
  • Stephanie Hsu
    1

    Stephanie Hsu

    Everything Everywhere All at Once

    10
    11/4
  • Frankie Corio
    2

    Frankie Corio

    Aftersun

    2
    4/1
  • gracija filipovic sq pmc
    3

    Gracija Filipovic

    Murina

    0
    9/2
  • Lily McInerny
    4

    Lily McInerny

    Palm Trees and Power Lines

    0
    9/2
  • Daniel Zolghadri
    5

    Daniel Zolghadri

    Funny Pages

    0
    5/1
Best Screenplay
(more info)
Accuracy: 100%
Nominee
Top Choice
Odds
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once
    1

    Everything Everywhere All at Once

    11
    59/20
  • Women Talking
    2

    Women Talking

    3
    7/2
  • TAR
    3

    TAR

    0
    4/1
  • Catherine Called Birdy
    4

    Catherine Called Birdy

    0
    5/1
  • after yang sq pmc
    5

    After Yang

    0
    5/1
Best First Feature
(more info)
Accuracy: 100%
Nominee
Top Choice
Odds
  • Aftersun
    1

    Aftersun

    10
    12/5
  • The Inspection
    2

    The Inspection

    0
    4/1
  • emily the criminal 200
    3

    Emily the Criminal

    0
    9/2
  • murina sq
    4

    Murina

    0
    11/2
  • Palm Trees and Power Lines
    5

    Palm Trees and Power Lines

    0
    11/2
Best Documentary
(more info)
Accuracy: 100%
Nominee
Top Choice
Odds
  • all the beauty and the bloodshed
    1

    All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

    9
    14/5
  • all that breathes sq
    2

    All That Breathes

    2
    4/1
  • A House Made of Splinters
    3

    A House Made of Splinters

    1
    9/2
  • Riotsville USA
    4

    Riotsville, USA

    0
    9/2
  • Midwives
    5

    Midwives

    0
    5/1
Best International Film
(more info)
Accuracy: 0%
Nominee
Top Choice
Odds
  • saint omer sq pmc
    1

    Saint Omer

    10
    57/20
  • Corsage
    2

    Corsage

    2
    4/1
  • Return to Seoul
    3

    Return to Seoul

    1
    9/2
  • Joyland
    4

    Joyland

    0
    9/2
  • Leonor Will Never Die
    5

    Leonor Will Never Die

    0
    5/1
Best Cinematography
(more info)
Accuracy: 100%
Nominee
Top Choice
Odds
  • TAR
    1

    TAR

    12
    29/10
  • Aftersun
    2

    Aftersun

    0
    4/1
  • Pearl
    3

    Pearl

    0
    9/2
  • murina sq
    4

    Murina

    0
    9/2
  • Neptune Frost
    5

    Neptune Frost

    0
    9/2
Best Editing
(more info)
Accuracy: 100%
Nominee
Top Choice
Odds
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once
    1

    Everything Everywhere All at Once

    11
    11/4
  • TAR
    2

    TAR

    0
    39/10
  • Marcell the Shell with Shoes On
    3

    Marcel the Shell with Shoes On

    0
    9/2
  • Aftersun
    4

    Aftersun

    0
    5/1
  • the cathedral mubi
    5

    The Cathedral

    0
    5/1