Users' Odds
Oscars Nominations 2019
HUB
BY

Odds are based upon Oscar predictions by all Gold Derby Users. Compare these odds to those by our Experts, EditorsTop 24 UsersTop 24 All Stars and our combined, official odds. Click on "More Info" link at top of each category below to see comparative data and charts. Odds update automatically once per hour.

TIME MACHINE
Best Picture
Nominee
Predict Nomination
Predict Win
  • First Man
    1

    First Man

    1710
    367
  • Roma
    2

    Roma

    1603
    487
  • A Star Is Born
    3

    A Star Is Born

    1638
    346
  • BlacKKKlansman
    4

    BlacKkKlansman

    1569
    231
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
    5

    If Beale Street Could Talk

    1575
    92
  • The Favourite
    6

    The Favourite

    1494
    70
  • Adam McKay
    7

    Vice

    1191
    14
  • Black Panther
    8

    Black Panther

    1105
    49
  • Widows
    9

    Widows

    1147
    14
  • Beautiful Boy
    10

    Beautiful Boy

    677
    13
  • Boy Erased
    11

    Boy Erased

    628
    19
  • Green Book
    12

    Green Book

    656
    15
  • Mary Queen of Scots
    13

    Mary Queen of Scots

    351
    10
  • Can You Ever Forgive Me
    14

    Can You Ever Forgive Me?

    383
    1
  • Eighth Grade
    15

    Eighth Grade

    237
    14
  • A Quiet Place
    16

    A Quiet Place

    190
    8
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
    17

    Bohemian Rhapsody

    167
    6
  • Crazy Rich Asians
    18

    Crazy Rich Asians

    175
    6
  • The Front Runner
    19

    The Front Runner

    114
    2
  • Hereditary
    20

    Hereditary

    80
    2
  • The Old Man and the Gun
    21

    The Old Man and the Gun

    87
    2
  • Mary Poppins Returns
    22

    Mary Poppins Returns

    58
    3
  • First Reformed
    23

    First Reformed

    62
    1
  • Suspiria
    24

    Suspiria

    47
    5
  • On the Basis of Sex
    25

    On the Basis of Sex

    53
    1
  • Love, Simon
    26

    Love, Simon

    44
    6
  • Leave No Trace
    27

    Leave No Trace

    59
    2
  • The Wife
    28

    The Wife

    50
    3
  • Welcome to Marwen
    29

    Welcome to Marwen

    48
    3
  • At Eternity's Gate
    30

    At Eternity's Gate

    55
    1
  • Ballad of Buster Scruggs
    31

    Ballad of Buster Scruggs

    56
    1
  • Isle of Dogs
    32

    Isle of Dogs

    40
    2
  • Incredibles 2
    33

    Incredibles 2

    39
    3
  • James Gray
    34

    Ad Astra

    42
    2
  • Destroyer
    35

    Destroyer

    39
    1
  • The Sisters Brothers
    36

    The Sisters Brothers

    44
    0
  • The Rider
    37

    The Rider

    32
    3
  • Wildlife
    38

    Wildlife

    37
    1
  • Tully
    39

    Tully

    23
    4
  • Peterloo
    40

    Peterloo

    28
    0
  • The Hate U Give
    41

    The Hate U Give

    25
    2
  • Annihilation
    42

    Annihilation

    22
    2
  • White Boy Rick
    43

    White Boy Rick

    13
    1
  • Disobedience
    44

    Disobedience

    13
    1
  • Monsters and Men
    45

    Monsters and Men

    13
    0
  • Sorry to Bother You
    46

    Sorry to Bother You

    12
    1
  • Everybody Knows
    47

    Everybody Knows

    9
    1
  • 22 July
    48

    22 July

    14
    0
  • Under the Silver Lake
    49

    Under the Silver Lake

    8
    0
  • Mid90s
    50

    Mid90s

    11
    0
  • Colette
    51

    Colette

    8
    0
  • The Happy Prince
    52

    The Happy Prince

    7
    0
  • Ben Is Back
    53

    Ben Is Back

    5
    1
  • What They Had
    54

    What They Had

    4
    0
  • Capernaum
    55

    Capernaum

    3
    0
  • Susanne Bier
    56

    Bird Box

    4
    0
  • Puzzle
    57

    Puzzle

    4
    0
  • Vox Lux
    58

    Vox Lux

    0
    0
  • Stan and Ollie
    59

    Stan and Ollie

    0
    0
Best Director
Nominee
Predict Nomination
Predict Win
  • Alfonso Cuaron
    1

    Alfonso Cuaron

    1600
    916
  • Damien Chazelle
    2

    Damien Chazelle

    1543
    194
  • Spike Lee
    3

    Spike Lee

    1379
    326
  • Bradley Cooper
    4

    Bradley Cooper

    1128
    98
  • Barry Jenkins
    5

    Barry Jenkins

    1080
    83
  • Yorgos Lanthimos
    6

    Yorgos Lanthimos

    900
    45
  • Steve McQueen
    7

    Steve McQueen

    280
    14
  • Adam McKay
    8

    Adam McKay

    230
    8
  • Ryan Coogler
    9

    Ryan Coogler

    183
    26
  • Joel Edgerton
    10

    Joel Edgerton

    62
    7
  • John Krasinski
    11

    John Krasinski

    66
    5
  • Josie Rourke
    12

    Josie Rourke

    63
    4
  • Bo Burnham
    13

    Bo Burnham

    37
    8
  • Peter Farrelly
    14

    Peter Farrelly

    60
    2
  • Felix van Groeningen
    15

    Felix van Groeningen

    33
    4
  • Luca Guadagnino
    16

    Luca Guadagnino

    35
    3
  • Marielle Heller
    17

    Marielle Heller

    44
    2
  • Debra Granik
    18

    Debra Granik

    33
    2
  • Jon M. Chu
    19

    Jon M. Chu

    25
    2
  • Karyn Kusama
    20

    Karyn Kusama

    27
    2
  • Wes Anderson
    21

    Wes Anderson

    21
    2
  • Chloe Zhao
    22

    Chloe Zhao

    20
    3
  • Joel and Ethan Coen
    23

    Joel and Ethan Coen

    20
    2
  • Jason Reitman
    24

    Jason Reitman

    17
    2
  • Julian Schnabel
    25

    Julian Schnabel

    16
    1
  • Robert Zemeckis
    26

    Robert Zemeckis

    13
    2
  • Rob Marshall
    27

    Rob Marshall

    12
    2
  • Mike Leigh
    28

    Mike Leigh

    12
    0
  • Alex Garland
    29

    Alex Garland

    7
    2
  • david lowery
    30

    David Lowery

    8
    2
  • James Gray
    31

    James Gray

    8
    1
  • Mimi Leder
    32

    Mimi Leder

    10
    0
  • Susanne Bier
    33

    Susanne Bier

    5
    1
  • Rupert Everett
    34

    Rupert Everett

    6
    1
  • Jonah Hill
    35

    Jonah Hill

    10
    0
  • Jason Reitman
    36

    Jason Reitman

    5
    0
  • Paul Dano
    37

    Paul Dano

    6
    0
  • Paul Greengrass
    38

    Paul Greengrass

    8
    0
  • Nadine Ladaki
    39

    Nadine Ladaki

    3
    1
  • Asghar Farhadi
    40

    Asghar Farhadi

    6
    0
  • Jacques Audiard
    41

    Jacques Audiard

    3
    1
  • Yann Demange
    42

    Yann Demange

    3
    1
  • Boots Riley
    43

    Boots Riley

    6
    0
  • Elizabeth Chomko
    44

    Elizabeth Chomko

    5
    0
  • Bjorn Runge
    45

    Bjorn Runge

    3
    1
  • Reinaldo Marcus Green
    46

    Reinaldo Marcus Green

    2
    0
  • Wash Westmoreland
    47

    Wash Westmoreland

    1
    0
  • Sebastian Lelio
    48

    Sebastian Lelio

    2
    0
  • David Robert Mitchell
    49

    David Robert Mitchell

    2
    0
  • Brady Corbet
    50

    Brady Corbet

    0
    0
  • Jon S. Baird
    51

    Jon S. Baird

    0
    0
Best Actress
Nominee
Predict Nomination
Predict Win
  • Glenn Close
    1

    Glenn Close

    1480
    842
  • Lady Gaga
    2

    Lady Gaga

    1522
    414
  • Olivia Colman
    3

    Olivia Colman

    1346
    185
  • Viola Davis
    4

    Viola Davis

    1280
    74
  • Melissa McCarthy
    5

    Melissa McCarthy

    995
    46
  • Saoirse Ronan
    6

    Saoirse Ronan

    644
    91
  • Nicole Kidman
    7

    Nicole Kidman

    432
    32
  • Toni Collette
    8

    Toni Collette

    374
    43
  • Yalitza Aparicio
    9

    Yalitza Aparicio

    267
    11
  • Kiki Layne
    10

    Kiki Layne

    149
    6
  • Felicity Jones
    11

    Felicity Jones

    96
    9
  • Elsie Fisher
    12

    Elsie Fisher

    85
    9
  • Carey Mulligan
    13

    Carey Mulligan

    80
    12
  • Amy Adams
    14

    Amy Adams

    83
    8
  • Charlize Theron
    15

    Charlize Theron

    68
    6
  • Constance Wu
    16

    Constance Wu

    41
    4
  • Emily Blunt
    17

    Emily Blunt

    51
    2
  • Rachel Weisz
    18

    Rachel Weisz

    26
    4
  • Dakota Johnson
    19

    Dakota Johnson

    22
    3
  • Sandra Bullock
    20

    Sandra Bullock

    16
    3
  • Natalie Portman
    21

    Natalie Portman

    21
    1
  • Julia Roberts
    22

    Julia Roberts

    27
    2
  • Keira Knightley
    23

    Keira Knightley

    22
    1
  • Penelope Cruz
    24

    Penelope Cruz

    11
    0
  • Hilary Swank
    25

    Hilary Swank

    11
    0
  • Maggie Gyllenhaal
    26

    Maggie Gyllenhaal

    11
    0
  • Kathryn Hahn
    27

    Kathryn Hahn

    6
    1
  • Amandla Stenberg
    28

    Amandla Stenberg

    7
    1
  • Riley Keough
    29

    Riley Keough

    4
    0
  • Kelly Macdonald
    30

    Kelly Macdonald

    2
    0
Best Actor
Nominee
Predict Nomination
Predict Win
  • Bradley Cooper
    1

    Bradley Cooper

    1453
    539
  • Ryan Gosling
    2

    Ryan Gosling

    1587
    315
  • Christian Bale
    3

    Christian Bale

    1388
    479
  • Robert Redford
    4

    Robert Redford

    931
    89
  • Willem Dafoe
    5

    Willem Dafoe

    686
    112
  • Rami Malek
    6

    Rami Malek

    729
    64
  • Steve Carell
    7

    Steve Carell

    486
    47
  • Lucas Hedges
    8

    Lucas Hedges

    452
    33
  • Viggo Mortensen
    9

    Viggo Mortensen

    400
    23
  • John David Washington
    10

    John David Washington

    244
    19
  • Ethan Hawke
    11

    Ethan Hawke

    238
    22
  • Hugh Jackman
    12

    Hugh Jackman

    107
    5
  • Chadwick Boseman
    13

    Chadwick Boseman

    50
    13
  • Steve Carell
    14

    Steve Carell

    38
    3
  • John Krasinski
    15

    John Krasinski

    30
    5
  • Nick Robinson
    16

    Nick Robinson

    24
    5
  • Jake Gyllenhaal
    17

    Jake Gyllenhaal

    20
    2
  • Brad Pitt
    18

    Brad Pitt

    16
    0
  • John C. Reilly
    19

    John C. Reilly

    15
    1
  • Matthew McConaughey
    20

    Matthew McConaughey

    12
    0
  • Andrew Garfield
    21

    Andrew Garfield

    10
    1
  • Lakeith Stanfield
    22

    Lakeith Stanfield

    11
    0
  • Michael Shannon
    23

    Michael Shannon

    8
    0
  • Joaquin Phoenix
    24

    Joaquin Phoenix

    11
    0
  • Jonathan Pryce
    25

    Jonathan Pryce

    10
    0
  • Javier Bardem
    26

    Javier Bardem

    6
    0
  • Rupert Everett
    27

    Rupert Everett

    4
    1
  • Lucas Hedges
    28

    Lucas Hedges

    5
    1
  • The Rider
    29

    Brady Jandreau

    5
    0
  • Rory Kinnear
    30

    Rory Kinnear

    2
    0
  • Paul Greengrass
    31

    Jonas Strand Gravli

    2
    0
  • Steve Coogan
    32

    Steve Coogan

    0
    0
  • John C. Reilly
    33

    John C. Reilly

    0
    0
Best Supporting Actress
Nominee
Predict Nomination
Predict Win
  • Amy Adams
    1

    Amy Adams

    1512
    949
  • Regina King
    2

    Regina King

    1513
    320
  • Claire Foy
    3

    Claire Foy

    1381
    172
  • Emma Stone
    4

    Emma Stone

    1242
    74
  • Margot Robbie
    5

    Margot Robbie

    840
    109
  • Nicole Kidman
    6

    Nicole Kidman

    852
    52
  • Rachel Weisz
    7

    Rachel Weisz

    538
    14
  • Michelle Yeoh
    8

    Michelle Yeoh

    223
    16
  • Sissy Spacek
    9

    Sissy Spacek

    170
    8
  • Marina de Tavira
    10

    Marina de Tavira

    102
    3
  • Elizabeth Debicki
    11

    Elizabeth Debicki

    76
    2
  • Rachel McAdams
    12

    Rachel McAdams

    49
    7
  • Tilda Swinton
    13

    Tilda Swinton

    52
    5
  • Meryl Streep
    14

    Meryl Streep

    59
    3
  • Danai Gurira
    15

    Danai Gurira

    39
    7
  • Cynthia Erivo
    16

    Cynthia Erivo

    54
    1
  • Vera Farmiga
    17

    Vera Farmiga

    41
    4
  • Letitia Wright
    18

    Letitia Wright

    31
    5
  • Lupita Nyong'o
    19

    Lupita Nyong'o

    26
    3
  • Kathy Bates
    20

    Kathy Bates

    18
    3
  • Amy Ryan
    21

    Amy Ryan

    22
    3
  • Michelle Rodriguez
    22

    Michelle Rodriguez

    22
    1
  • Laura Harrier
    23

    Laura Harrier

    15
    1
  • Maura Tierney
    24

    Maura Tierney

    13
    2
  • Gina Rodriguez
    25

    Gina Rodriguez

    12
    1
  • Tatiana Maslany
    26

    Tatiana Maslany

    13
    0
  • Jennifer Jason Leigh
    27

    Jennifer Jason Leigh

    10
    1
  • Blythe Danner
    28

    Blythe Danner

    9
    0
  • Linda Cardellini
    29

    Linda Cardellini

    12
    1
  • Ruth Negga
    30

    Ruth Negga

    7
    0
  • Rachel Weisz
    31

    Rachel Weisz

    4
    2
  • Teyonah Parris
    32

    Teyonah Parris

    10
    0
  • Jennifer Jason Leigh
    33

    Jennifer Jason Leigh

    7
    0
  • Sarah Paulson
    34

    Sarah Paulson

    6
    1
  • Leslie Mann
    35

    Leslie Mann

    7
    0
  • Merritt Wever
    36

    Merritt Wever

    5
    1
  • Emily Watson
    37

    Emily Watson

    5
    0
  • Alison Pill
    38

    Alison Pill

    3
    0
  • Zosia Mamet
    39

    Zosia Mamet

    3
    0
  • Anna Deavere Smith
    40

    Anna Deavere Smith

    3
    0
  • Tyne Daly
    41

    Tyne Daly

    2
    0
  • Molly Shannon
    42

    Molly Shannon

    3
    0
  • Zoe Kazan
    43

    Zoe Kazan

    1
    0
  • Thomasin McKenzie
    44

    Thomasin McKenzie

    0
    0
  • Natalie Portman
    45

    Natalie Portman

    1
    0
  • Olivia Colman
    46

    Olivia Colman

    1
    0
  • Regina Hall
    47

    Regina Hall

    0
    0
Best Supporting Actor
Nominee
Predict Nomination
Predict Win
  • Timothee Chalamet
    1

    Timothee Chalamet

    1631
    1163
  • Sam Elliott
    2

    Sam Elliott

    1322
    204
  • Sam Rockwell
    3

    Sam Rockwell

    1117
    57
  • Richard E. Grant
    4

    Richard E. Grant

    923
    80
  • Adam Driver
    5

    Adam Driver

    776
    54
  • Daniel Kaluuya
    6

    Daniel Kaluuya

    777
    31
  • Mahershala Ali
    7

    Mahershala Ali

    590
    39
  • Russell Crowe
    8

    Russell Crowe

    383
    18
  • Michael B. Jordan
    9

    Michael B. Jordan

    343
    36
  • J. K. Simmons
    10

    J.K. Simmons

    102
    4
  • Hugh Grant
    11

    Hugh Grant

    72
    5
  • Oscar Isaac
    12

    Oscar Isaac

    61
    7
  • Stephan James
    13

    Stephan James

    68
    2
  • Ben Foster
    14

    Ben Foster

    55
    5
  • Topher Grace
    15

    Topher Grace

    49
    5
  • Alex Wolff
    16

    Alex Wolff

    45
    3
  • Lin-Manuel Miranda
    17

    Lin-Manuel Miranda

    41
    4
  • Jake Gyllenhaal
    18

    Jake Gyllenhaal

    36
    3
  • Steve Carell
    19

    Steve Carell

    39
    3
  • Armie Hammer
    20

    Armie Hammer

    35
    3
  • Joel Edgerton
    21

    Joel Edgerton

    35
    0
  • Tim Blake Nelson
    22

    Tim Blake Nelson

    31
    0
  • Steve Buscemi
    23

    Steve Buscemi

    29
    1
  • Robert Duvall
    24

    Robert Duvall

    31
    0
  • David Tennant
    25

    David Tennant

    19
    2
  • Sebastian Stan
    26

    Sebastian Stan

    15
    2
  • Nicholas Hoult
    27

    Nicholas Hoult

    24
    1
  • Liam Neeson
    28

    Liam Neeson

    12
    3
  • Jason Clarke
    29

    Jason Clarke

    17
    1
  • Brian Tyree Henry
    30

    Brian Tyree Henry

    15
    0
  • Tommy Lee Jones
    31

    Tommy Lee Jones

    11
    0
  • Bruce Dern
    32

    Bruce Dern

    7
    1
  • Colin Firth
    33

    Colin Firth

    5
    2
  • Kyle Chandler
    34

    Kyle Chandler

    9
    0
  • Dave Franco
    35

    Dave Franco

    7
    1
  • Alessandro Nivola
    36

    Alessandro Nivola

    6
    0
  • Tom Waits
    37

    Tom Waits

    4
    1
  • Ben Hardy
    38

    Ben Hardy

    4
    1
  • Brian Tyree Henry
    39

    Brian Tyree Henry

    6
    0
  • Colin Farrell
    40

    Colin Farrell

    7
    0
  • Paul Giamatti
    41

    Paul Giamatti

    6
    0
  • John Malkovich
    42

    John Malkovich

    7
    0
  • Oscar Isaac
    43

    Oscar Isaac

    6
    0
  • Sam Waterston
    44

    Sam Waterston

    4
    0
  • Donald Sutherland
    45

    Donald Sutherland

    5
    0
  • Liam Neeson
    46

    Liam Neeson

    4
    0
  • Robert Forster
    47

    Robert Forster

    4
    0
  • Corey Stoll
    48

    Corey Stoll

    3
    0
  • Rupert Friend
    49

    Rupert Friend

    3
    0
  • Trevante Rhodes
    50

    Trevante Rhodes

    3
    0
  • Anders Danielsen Lie
    51

    Anders Danielsen Lie

    1
    0
  • Dominic West
    52

    Dominic West

    2
    0
  • Jude Law
    53

    Jude Law

    0
    0
  • Russell Hornsby
    54

    Russell Hornsby

    0
    0
  • Josh Hamilton
    55

    Josh Hamilton

    1
    0
Best Adapted Screenplay
Nominee
Predict Nomination
Predict Win
  • BlacKKKlansman
    1

    BlacKkKlansman

    1304
    804
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
    2

    If Beale Street Could Talk

    1296
    296
  • First Man
    3

    First Man

    1163
    77
  • A Star Is Born
    4

    A Star Is Born

    1033
    96
  • Widows
    5

    Widows

    759
    20
  • Beautiful Boy
    6

    Beautiful Boy

    467
    26
  • Can You Ever Forgive Me
    7

    Can You Ever Forgive Me?

    424
    9
  • Black Panther
    8

    Black Panther

    143
    12
  • Boy Erased
    9

    Boy Erased

    102
    11
  • The Death of Stalin
    10

    The Death of Stalin

    103
    4
  • Crazy Rich Asians
    11

    Crazy Rich Asians

    83
    6
  • The Front Runner
    12

    The Front Runner

    49
    1
  • Mary Queen of Scots
    13

    Mary Queen of Scots

    33
    5
  • Love, Simon
    14

    Love, Simon

    34
    3
  • Paddington 2
    15

    Paddington 2

    20
    6
  • Leave No Trace
    16

    Leave No Trace

    23
    3
  • The Old Man and the Gun
    17

    The Old Man and the Gun

    22
    1
  • The Wife
    18

    The Wife

    16
    1
  • Incredibles 2
    19

    Incredibles 2

    11
    2
  • Wildlife
    20

    Wildlife

    17
    0
  • Disobedience
    21

    Disobedience

    9
    3
  • Mary Poppins Returns
    22

    Mary Poppins Returns

    8
    2
  • The Sisters Brothers
    23

    The Sisters Brothers

    10
    0
  • Suspiria
    24

    Suspiria

    11
    0
  • Annihilation
    25

    Annihilation

    12
    0
  • Susanne Bier
    26

    Bird Box

    3
    1
  • 22 July
    27

    22 July

    2
    0
  • Puzzle
    28

    Puzzle

    0
    0
Best Original Screenplay
Nominee
Predict Nomination
Predict Win
  • Roma
    1

    Roma

    1351
    768
  • The Favourite
    2

    The Favourite

    1330
    353
  • Adam McKay
    3

    Vice

    1136
    104
  • Eighth Grade
    4

    Eighth Grade

    982
    44
  • Green Book
    5

    Green Book

    515
    26
  • A Quiet Place
    6

    A Quiet Place

    410
    29
  • First Reformed
    7

    First Reformed

    462
    5
  • Hereditary
    8

    Hereditary

    170
    9
  • Sorry to Bother You
    9

    Sorry to Bother You

    147
    6
  • Ballad of Buster Scruggs
    10

    Ballad of Buster Scruggs

    109
    3
  • Isle of Dogs
    11

    Isle of Dogs

    68
    2
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
    12

    Bohemian Rhapsody

    53
    4
  • At Eternity's Gate
    13

    At Eternity's Gate

    61
    1
  • Peterloo
    14

    Peterloo

    51
    0
  • Tully
    15

    Tully

    35
    3
  • Welcome to Marwen
    16

    Welcome to Marwen

    27
    6
  • Mid90s
    17

    Mid90s

    39
    0
  • Destroyer
    18

    Destroyer

    34
    2
  • On the Basis of Sex
    19

    On the Basis of Sex

    26
    4
  • The Rider
    20

    The Rider

    22
    1
  • James Gray
    21

    Ad Astra

    15
    0
  • White Boy Rick
    22

    White Boy Rick

    9
    1
  • Everybody Knows
    23

    Everybody Knows

    7
    1
  • Colette
    24

    Colette

    6
    1
  • Ben Is Back
    25

    Ben Is Back

    4
    1
  • Private Life
    26

    Private Life

    6
    0
  • The Happy Prince
    27

    The Happy Prince

    3
    0
  • Under the Silver Lake
    28

    Under the Silver Lake

    2
    0
  • Capernaum
    29

    Capernaum

    3
    0
  • What They Had
    30

    What They Had

    1
    0
  • Stan and Ollie
    31

    Stan and Ollie

    0
    0
  • Vox Lux
    32

    Vox Lux

    0
    0