What’s the chances Jeff Daniels gets snubbed a
la Jon Cryer?

Not going to rule it out because the show is
certainly divisive and its poor nomination showing last year suggests
that he did was in the bottom half of his category in the popular vote. 
But of the six Emmy lead actor nominees, he was one of only three to be
nominated at SAG recently.  Damian Lewis is probably not going to come
back, Hugh Bonneville is hard to take too seriously and Mad Men
is on thin ice, so Daniels has a nice cusion that should secure him
this nomination, even with new contenders in James Spader and Michael
Sheen.