Emmys 2019 slugfest: TV Movie and Limited Series acting races
Forthcoming episodes of “Chernobyl,” “Deadwood: The Movie,” and “When They See Us” remain question marks for users logging their Emmy predictions on Gold Derby, but Luca Giliberti, Zach Laws and I got early access, so we gathered for a slugfest (watch the video above) to offer insights about the four limited series and TV movie acting categories. “Chernobyl” star Jared Harris ranks eighth in Gold Derby’s odds, but all three of us have him in our top-six Best Movie/Limited Actor nomination predictions. I am most confident among our panel and explain, “The finale is what clinches it for him [because] he does get to save everyone.”
Giliberti is going out on a limb with a nomination prediction for 10th-ranked Jharrel Jerome of “When They See Us” because “he’s incredible in it and if people see it, they will nominate him.” The nomination might be a greater hurdle than the win for Jerome. I pipe up, “”He is great in it, but he’s also not really in the first three episodes and they’re submitting him in lead because he’s absolutely the lead of the finale, but I feel like that’s actually just to compensate for how little they use his character before that.”
Laws is predicting past “Deadwood” nominee Ian McShane to finally bring home the gold, noting about his role in the movie, “It’s interesting to see this character, who was so strong and dynamic throughout the show, bedridden.” Laws also feels the strongest of our panel about “Deadwood” supporting actor Gerald McRaney, contending that he is actually the most likely to upset Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor frontrunner Ben Whishaw of “A Very English Scandal.” Laws says about McRaney, “He’s a recent Emmy winner for ‘This is Us,’ so he’s in the club and it’s a really juicy performance. He’s very prominently featured in there, so I think he’s definitely going to get in.” I view Michael Kenneth Williams of “When They See Us” as the most likely to upset, which is a prediction almost as unlikely as McRaney according to the odds, which rank Wiliams seventh and McRaney 10th.
We do not note as much upset potential in Best Movie/Limited Actress and Supporting Actress, in each of which the slate of contenders seems to drop off in terms of competitiveness after the top two or three contenders. Uncertainty about the winners is driven more by uncertainty about whether the Emmys will want to give Patricia Arquette a trophy in each category (for her lead role in “Escape at Dannemora” and supporting work in “The Act”), with the Emmys seldom awarding an actor for multiple performances at the same ceremony in recent years.