Oscar experts predictions slugfest: After PGA and WGA Awards

Those hoping Producers Guild Awards would provide an injection of drama into this extended Oscars season were left empty-handed on Wednesday night. As expected, “Nomadland” took home the PGA Award for Best Picture, the Searchlight film’s latest high-profile victory as it marches toward what seems like an inevitable Oscars win.

But as Gold Derby editors Joyce Eng and Christopher Rosen discussed in their latest slugfest, Best Picture is but one of the victories “Nomadland” should secure on April 25. Most Gold Derby experts predict the Chloe Zhao film will win at least four Oscars: Best Picture, Best Director for Zhao, Best Adapted Screenplay (also for Zhao), and Best Cinematography. Yet as Joyce and Chris discuss, the possibility it goes six-for-six on Oscars night is at least in play, even if Zhao herself trails “The Trial of the Chicago 7” and “Sound of Metal” in the Best Editing category according to the experts, while Frances McDormand is a potential runner-up to Carey Mulligan in Best Actress.

And what of Best Actress: Mulligan remains the presumed favorite among the experts, but her candidacy has been marked by a decided lack of victories so far. The “Promising Young Woman” star lost at the Golden Globes to Andra Day, failed to secure a BAFTA nomination (likely on account of the award show’s jury system), and has only won at the Critics Choice Awards. But if Mulligan can pull out a victory at the SAG Awards in early April, her path to Best Actress will remain on track.

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UPLOADED Mar 27, 2021 10:59 am